Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2018 Fantasy Outlook
After undergoing ulnar nerve surgery at the end of the 2016 season, deGrom regained his velocity and stepped up as the Mets' best starter last season. For the first time in his career, he eclipsed 200 innings, and parlayed the increased workload and an improved strikeout rate (10.7 K/9) into a career-high 239 punchouts. Little changed with his pitch mix, although deGrom used his slider at a 22.7 percent rate, the most he's thrown that offering to this point in his career, and the adjustment came at the expense of fewer fastballs. He was more willing than ever to challenge hitters within the strike zone (51.5 percent), and despite that, hitters made contact on those pitches at a career-low 73.5 percent rate against him. If the improved walk rate he carried in the second half (2.1 BB/9) is maintained over a full season with the increase in strikeouts, deGrom has the tools necessary to contend for the Cy Young Award in 2018. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $7.4 million contract with the Mets in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Fans 12, surrenders three vs. Boston
PNew York Mets
September 16, 2018
DeGrom allowed three runs on five hits and one walk while striking out 12 over seven innings Sunday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
DeGrom gave up all three of his runs in the third inning, but he managed to record four straight scoreless frames to end his outing. He left with the game tied 3-3, but Boston would strike for a run in the bottom of the eighth and hang on for the victory. The 30-year-old has continued to pitch well in the final month of the season, giving up six runs and striking out 27 over 20 frames in September (three starts).
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-24%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .239 1113 290 75 245 39 5 22
Since 2016vs Right .220 1104 343 65 224 37 2 31
2018vs Left .228 399 118 23 85 15 2 6
2018vs Right .174 387 133 22 62 12 1 4
2017vs Left .247 403 102 33 91 12 3 11
2017vs Right .228 424 137 26 89 13 0 17
2016vs Left .241 311 70 19 69 12 0 5
2016vs Right .269 293 73 17 73 12 1 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-13%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.36 1.04 278.1 14 15 0 11.3 2.7 0.7
Since 2016Away 3.16 1.17 273.0 16 12 0 9.3 1.9 1.0
2018Home 1.66 0.89 103.0 3 6 0 11.9 2.0 0.4
2018Away 1.91 1.01 99.0 5 3 0 10.5 2.0 0.5
2017Home 3.34 1.23 94.1 6 6 0 11.6 3.3 1.0
2017Away 3.70 1.15 107.0 9 4 0 9.8 2.0 1.5
2016Home 2.11 1.01 81.0 5 3 0 10.3 2.7 0.9
2016Away 4.16 1.43 67.0 2 5 0 6.7 1.6 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Jacob deGrom compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
5.58
 
K/9
11.2
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
95.9 mph
 
ERA
1.78
 
WHIP
0.95
 
BABIP
.301
 
GB/FB
1.48
 
Strand %
83.5%
 
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
New York's super rotation held together for all of a year as two of the three aces suffered through injuries that eventually required surgery. DeGrom's season was markedly better than Matt Harvey's, but he imploded late and missed the final month of the season thanks to ulnar nerve surgery. Through 21 starts, he had a 2.30 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with 129 strikeouts, all of which is peak deGrom. The surgery was a clean-up around the nerve while the nerve itself was healthy and in good shape. This all bodes well for a strong recovery and winter reports suggest deGrom won't be limited in spring training. Don't be surprised if deGrom's price rises throughout spring as he proves himself healthy during the Grapefruit League and earns back the confidence of drafters. He was a 6th-7th round bargain in some winter drafts, but could wind up back in the 4th-5th round area where more frontliners are going for 2017. With health, buy in bulk.
While deGrom's season ended on a disappointing note — he gave up four runs in the fifth inning of a Game 2 loss to the Royals in the World Series — it did not detract from what was an absolutely stellar campaign for the 27-year-old. DeGrom improved upon his already excellent strikeout and walk rates, with his 22.2% K-BB% ranking seventh among all qualified starters in Major League Baseball, ahead of Jake Arrieta, Chris Archer, David Price, and teammate Matt Harvey. He gained a couple ticks on each of his four offerings, with his fastball consistently reaching the mid-90s, and was able to get more swings at pitches outside of the strike zone. The Mets took measures late in the year to limit his workload, and he acknowledged in the postseason that he was fatigued, but deGrom is now five years removed from Tommy John surgery and should be unrestricted in 2016.
This is why the prospecting game is so difficult. DeGrom was never seen as much of a prospect, especially if the list in question stopped at 10 names. His excellent 2014 shocked everyone. He never had that carrying tool or standout plus pitch, but instead was just kind of solid across-the-board. He is the embodiment of the Bill James adage that is usually applied to a team construct: if you grade average everywhere, the package winds up being very good. He has four reliable pitches (all thrown at least 10% of the time) with the fastball leading the way (61%), a slider he features against righties, a changeup that he uses against lefties and a curveball that he throws at hitters on both sides of the plate. This isn't some soft-tossing non-prospect who caught lightning in a bottle, though. He has a strong 93-95 mph fastball that yielded the third-lowest OPS-against in the league (.585) and third-highest strikeout rate (27.4%). The fact that he doesn’t overly rely on any of his four pitches for his 26.0% strikeout rate bodes well for it holding firm. Don’t pay for a repeat, especially if the hardware he won drives the price up, but he should be a very useful asset again in 2015.
DeGrom began the year at High-A St. Lucie, but ascended to Triple-A Las Vegas before the season concluded. He struck out 63 batters over 75.2 innings in Triple-A ball, finishing the season with a 4-2 record for the 51s. DeGrom throws strikes consistently, using a low-90s fastball, average breaking pitch and solid changeup. He underwent Tommy John surgery, missing all of the 2011 season, but has been a fast riser since returning to action. DeGrom was added to the 40-man roster in November to protect him from the Rule 5 draft and he will likely start the year in Las Vegas, but he could see Citi Field during the upcoming season.
More Fantasy News
Fans nine in tough-luck loss
PNew York Mets
September 12, 2018
DeGrom (8-9) allowed two runs on three hits and two walks across seven innings Tuesday to take the loss versus the Marlins. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Game postponed
PNew York Mets
September 10, 2018
DeGrom will not start Monday against the Marlins as the game has been postponed.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched from Sunday's start
PNew York Mets
September 9, 2018
DeGrom will not start Sunday against Philadelphia due to inclement weather, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
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Allows one earned run
PNew York Mets
September 3, 2018
DeGrom allowed one earned run on two hits and a walk while striking out six across six innings Monday against the Dodgers. He did not factor into the decision.
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Strikes out 10 in no-decision
PNew York Mets
August 29, 2018
DeGrom struck out 10 and walked one in eight innings Tuesday against the Cubs, allowing one run on eight hits in a no-decision.
ANALYSIS
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