Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
If deGrom had not won the NL Cy Young Award, it would have been a damn shame. DeGrom shoved all season and pitched with a laughable amount of run support. His average pitch velocities went up across the board, and combined with precision command, explain how he was able to dominate hitters in nearly every single outing of 2018. The only problem with deGrom is the run support could continue to be a problem for him as the Mets are, well, the Mets. DeGrom had 21 starts in which he allowed one or zero runs and he had nine wins to show for his efforts in those outings. He had just one game where he allowed more than three runs. He should have won 25, but won 10. He has strikeouts and ratios in spades, but the uncertain offensive support cannot be overlooked. If you want him, start petitioning your commissioner to change scoring from wins to quality starts as it eliminates the only risk in owning deGrom. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $7.4 million contract with the Mets in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Brings home NL Cy Young
PNew York Mets
November 14, 2018
DeGrom won the 2018 National League Cy Young Award on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
As expected, deGrom ran away with the award, receiving 29 of 30 first-place votes after leading the majors with a ridiculous 1.70 ERA across 32 starts (217 innings). The 30-year-old finished with the fewest wins ever (10) for a Cy Young Award-winning starter.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .235 1138 297 75 247 39 5 22
Since 2016vs Right .218 1128 354 66 227 37 2 31
2018vs Left .219 424 125 23 87 15 2 6
2018vs Right .172 411 144 23 65 12 1 4
2017vs Left .247 403 102 33 91 12 3 11
2017vs Right .228 424 137 26 89 13 0 17
2016vs Left .241 311 70 19 69 12 0 5
2016vs Right .269 293 73 17 73 12 1 10
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-10%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.29 1.02 286.1 15 15 0 11.3 2.6 0.7
Since 2016Away 3.12 1.15 280.0 17 12 0 9.3 1.9 1.0
2018Home 1.54 0.85 111.0 4 6 0 11.8 1.9 0.4
2018Away 1.87 0.98 106.0 6 3 0 10.4 2.0 0.4
2017Home 3.34 1.23 94.1 6 6 0 11.6 3.3 1.0
2017Away 3.70 1.15 107.0 9 4 0 9.8 2.0 1.5
2016Home 2.11 1.01 81.0 5 3 0 10.3 2.7 0.9
2016Away 4.16 1.43 67.0 2 5 0 6.7 1.6 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Jacob deGrom compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
5.85
 
K/9
11.2
 
BB/9
1.9
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
96.0 mph
 
ERA
1.70
 
WHIP
0.91
 
BABIP
.293
 
GB/FB
1.58
 
Strand %
83.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jacob deGrom
The Z Files: Drafting a Pitching Staff
3 days ago
Todd Zola walks through how he assembles a fantasy pitching staff and explains why Max Scherzer is the only hurler to get a pre-draft plan named after him.
The Z Files: Early Market Disagreements
November 23rd
Todd Zola takes another look at five players he's more bullish on than the market right now, and thinks a better season from the Arizona offense could help Paul Goldschmidt regain some of his luster.
Collette Calls: Does the Opener Strategy Work?
November 16th
Jason Collette analyzes 'The Opener' strategy and how it relates to the times-through-the-order penalty. Would it have benefited Robbie Ray?
The Z Files: Historical Top 200
November 10th
Todd Zola takes a look at the end-of-season top-200 performers over the last five years and thinks Charlie Blackmon's being discounted too heavily in early drafts given his track record.
The Z Files: Early Top 15 Pitchers
November 1st
Todd Zola offers his initial list of the top arms heading into 2019, and doesn't think Luis Severino's second half is a good enough reason to keep him out of the top 10.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
After undergoing ulnar nerve surgery at the end of the 2016 season, deGrom regained his velocity and stepped up as the Mets' best starter last season. For the first time in his career, he eclipsed 200 innings, and parlayed the increased workload and an improved strikeout rate (10.7 K/9) into a career-high 239 punchouts. Little changed with his pitch mix, although deGrom used his slider at a 22.7 percent rate, the most he's thrown that offering to this point in his career, and the adjustment came at the expense of fewer fastballs. He was more willing than ever to challenge hitters within the strike zone (51.5 percent), and despite that, hitters made contact on those pitches at a career-low 73.5 percent rate against him. If the improved walk rate he carried in the second half (2.1 BB/9) is maintained over a full season with the increase in strikeouts, deGrom has the tools necessary to contend for the Cy Young Award in 2018.
New York's super rotation held together for all of a year as two of the three aces suffered through injuries that eventually required surgery. DeGrom's season was markedly better than Matt Harvey's, but he imploded late and missed the final month of the season thanks to ulnar nerve surgery. Through 21 starts, he had a 2.30 ERA and 1.05 WHIP with 129 strikeouts, all of which is peak deGrom. The surgery was a clean-up around the nerve while the nerve itself was healthy and in good shape. This all bodes well for a strong recovery and winter reports suggest deGrom won't be limited in spring training. Don't be surprised if deGrom's price rises throughout spring as he proves himself healthy during the Grapefruit League and earns back the confidence of drafters. He was a 6th-7th round bargain in some winter drafts, but could wind up back in the 4th-5th round area where more frontliners are going for 2017. With health, buy in bulk.
While deGrom's season ended on a disappointing note — he gave up four runs in the fifth inning of a Game 2 loss to the Royals in the World Series — it did not detract from what was an absolutely stellar campaign for the 27-year-old. DeGrom improved upon his already excellent strikeout and walk rates, with his 22.2% K-BB% ranking seventh among all qualified starters in Major League Baseball, ahead of Jake Arrieta, Chris Archer, David Price, and teammate Matt Harvey. He gained a couple ticks on each of his four offerings, with his fastball consistently reaching the mid-90s, and was able to get more swings at pitches outside of the strike zone. The Mets took measures late in the year to limit his workload, and he acknowledged in the postseason that he was fatigued, but deGrom is now five years removed from Tommy John surgery and should be unrestricted in 2016.
This is why the prospecting game is so difficult. DeGrom was never seen as much of a prospect, especially if the list in question stopped at 10 names. His excellent 2014 shocked everyone. He never had that carrying tool or standout plus pitch, but instead was just kind of solid across-the-board. He is the embodiment of the Bill James adage that is usually applied to a team construct: if you grade average everywhere, the package winds up being very good. He has four reliable pitches (all thrown at least 10% of the time) with the fastball leading the way (61%), a slider he features against righties, a changeup that he uses against lefties and a curveball that he throws at hitters on both sides of the plate. This isn't some soft-tossing non-prospect who caught lightning in a bottle, though. He has a strong 93-95 mph fastball that yielded the third-lowest OPS-against in the league (.585) and third-highest strikeout rate (27.4%). The fact that he doesn’t overly rely on any of his four pitches for his 26.0% strikeout rate bodes well for it holding firm. Don’t pay for a repeat, especially if the hardware he won drives the price up, but he should be a very useful asset again in 2015.
DeGrom began the year at High-A St. Lucie, but ascended to Triple-A Las Vegas before the season concluded. He struck out 63 batters over 75.2 innings in Triple-A ball, finishing the season with a 4-2 record for the 51s. DeGrom throws strikes consistently, using a low-90s fastball, average breaking pitch and solid changeup. He underwent Tommy John surgery, missing all of the 2011 season, but has been a fast riser since returning to action. DeGrom was added to the 40-man roster in November to protect him from the Rule 5 draft and he will likely start the year in Las Vegas, but he could see Citi Field during the upcoming season.
More Fantasy News
Dominates Braves for 10th win
PNew York Mets
September 26, 2018
DeGrom (10-9) picked up the win Wednesday, allowing only two hits over eight scoreless innings while striking out 10 in a 3-0 victory over the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 12, surrenders three vs. Boston
PNew York Mets
September 16, 2018
DeGrom allowed three runs on five hits and one walk while striking out 12 over seven innings Sunday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans nine in tough-luck loss
PNew York Mets
September 12, 2018
DeGrom (8-9) allowed two runs on three hits and two walks across seven innings Tuesday to take the loss versus the Marlins. He struck out nine.
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Game postponed
PNew York Mets
September 10, 2018
DeGrom will not start Monday against the Marlins as the game has been postponed.
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Scratched from Sunday's start
PNew York Mets
September 9, 2018
DeGrom will not start Sunday against Philadelphia due to inclement weather, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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