Carl Edwards Jr.
Carl Edwards Jr.
27-Year-Old PitcherRP
San Diego Padres
10-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 9/6/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Edwards hasn't posted a swinging-strike rate lower than 14.4% in the past three years, and he's improved his first-strike percentage in each of the past two, capping at 60.4% in 2018. Even so, his K-BB% has swiftly dropped in each of the past two years as he's topped 5.1 BB/9 in each. Talk about effectively wild. Edwards missed over a month of action with shoulder inflammation. After returning July 6, he walked 6.7 per nine in 27 innings to close out the season -- perhaps he was still affected physically -- and he quickly fell behind Pedro Strop for save chances with Brandon Morrow sidelined for nearly all of the second half. A forearm issue kept Edwards off the Cubs' postseason roster, so watch his availability for spring training. A healthy Edwards' whiffs could play in many deep fantasy leagues, especially NL-only. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $1.5 million contract with the Cubs in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration. Traded to the Padres in July of 2019.
Out with shoulder strain
PSan Diego Padres
August 13, 2019
Edwards was placed on the 10-day injured list Tuesday with a right shoulder strain.
Edwards made his first two appearances with the Padres over the past two days and allowed six runs on four hits and four walks over 1.2 innings, and the shoulder injury could help explain part of his struggles. Robbie Erlin was recalled from Triple-A El Paso to fill out the Friars' bullpen.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .175 250 64 37 36 5 1 3
Since 2017vs Right .156 312 116 46 41 7 0 8
2019vs Left .222 28 4 8 4 0 0 1
2019vs Right .178 50 15 5 8 1 0 2
2018vs Left .241 93 19 13 19 3 1 0
2018vs Right .155 129 48 19 17 5 0 2
2017vs Left .119 129 41 16 13 2 0 2
2017vs Right .148 133 53 22 16 1 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA on Road
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 3.69 1.22 70.2 6 3 0 11.8 5.6 0.5
Since 2017Away 3.34 1.14 64.2 3 4 0 12.1 5.4 1.0
2019Home 7.36 1.45 11.0 1 0 0 12.3 6.5 0.0
2019Away 10.50 1.50 6.0 0 1 0 6.0 7.5 4.5
2018Home 2.33 1.19 27.0 2 1 0 11.3 5.0 0.3
2018Away 2.88 1.44 25.0 1 1 0 11.9 6.1 0.4
2017Home 3.58 1.16 32.2 3 2 0 12.1 5.8 0.8
2017Away 2.41 0.86 33.2 2 2 0 13.4 4.5 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Carl Edwards Jr. compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
93.9 mph
Left On Base
Exit Velocity
87.5 mph
Spin Rate
2531 rpm
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
Swinging Strike
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carl Edwards Jr.
Mound Musings: Examining Trade Deadline Pitching Repercussions
25 days ago
Brad Johnson breaks down the recent pitching trades to figure out how players will be impacted by their moves, starting with Marcus Stroman who heads to the Mets from Toronto.
Mound Musings: Is a Deep Bullpen a Ticket to the Playoffs?
74 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
99 days ago
Jan Levine is back with his latest NL FAAB recommendations while providing updates on a few injured achievers, including Scott Kingery approaching a return to the Phillies' lineup.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
107 days ago
Jan Levine analyzes the top waiver-wire targets in the NL this week, including Colorado's Ian Desmond, who is finally heating up after a slow start to the season.
Mound Musings: Checking the AL Bullpens
109 days ago
Brad Johnson examines American League closer situations, and in Texas he anticipates Jose LeClerc will regain the closing job he recently lost.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Edwards was heavily used in his first full season as a member of the Cubs' bullpen, making a team-high 73 appearances while working as a key piece of the bridge to closer Wade Davis. He was effective against hitters on both sides of the plate despite a 14.5 percent walk rate (5.2 BB/9), as he parlayed his ability to miss a lot of bats (12.8 K/9) and to induce weak contact (24.0 percent hard-hit rate) to excellent results. Edwards has been very effective while featuring a two-pitch arsenal since joining the big club for good in 2016, pairing a mid-90s fastball with a devastating curveball. He appears likely to remain in a setup role with Brandon Morrow signing with the Cubs in the offseason, but Edwards should still offer value in deeper formats as a high-leverage reliever with plenty of strikeouts and good ratios.
The second year of Edwards' tenure in the bullpen was a success as he pushed his strikeout rate to a career-high 37.7 percent while issuing walks at his lowest rate (10.1 percentage) since his 2013 stint at High-A. Armed with a high-90s fastball and steady curveball, Edwards has the arsenal necessary to become a shut-down option at the back of the bullpen. Not surprisingly, his elevated strikeout rate was supported by a 17.8 percent swinging-strike rate -- the sixth-highest mark among relievers with 30 or more innings pitched -- and his 2.87 FIP was nearly a full run below his ERA. Even if he's not positioned to handle save situations regularly for the Cubs with Wade Davis in town, Edwards may emerge to have value in deeper formats where setup men are utilized as he's earning the trust of manager Joe Maddon while showing the ability to handle hitters from both side of the plate (LHH posted a .191 wOBA against him, RHH posted a .210 mark).
A 49th-round draft pick by the Rangers in 2011, Edwards rose through the ranks of the Cubs' system after he was acquired in 2013 to become arguably the organization's top pitching prospect. A shoulder strain cost him significant development time in 2014, and unfortunately he was converted to a reliever last year, with mixed results. In 55.1 innings in the minors in 2015, he struck out 75 and allowed just 26 hits — including only one home run. Unfortunately, he also walked 41, leading to a 1.21 WHIP, which is a bit high for a pitcher with a minuscule .139 BAA. The Cubs did give him a late-season run, and would probably like to see more of him this year, but until he gets the walks down he'll struggle against MLB hitters. Still, this is a special skill set, so the skinny right-hander could find himself closing someday.
Edwards, the Cubs' top pitching prospect, appears to have the 6-foot-3, 170-pound frame that he's credited with. He's very skinny, and most of that frame comes from Edwards' long legs. If he were graded purely off of stuff and production to this point in his career, Edwards would likely be much higher on prospect lists. Walks have been an occasional issue for Edwards, as he's issued 73 free passes in 182 innings, but he's offset that with 220 strikeouts and just two home runs allowed as a professional. It's also worth noting that Edwards has been excellent against Top 20 prospects, carrying a 26.1% K% and allowing a .188 average against them over the past two seasons. Durability is the primary concern with Edwards, especially after a right shoulder strain cost him nearly four months to begin the 2014 season. He'll likely return to Double-A to start 2015, with the hope of pushing his way to the big leagues before season's end, but a strict innings cap seems likely.
A 49th-round pick in 2011, Edwards has more than exceeded expectations in the minors, and is probably the best piece (not Mike Olt) acquired in the Matt Garza trade. He's been unhittable in the minors, even when he was promoted to High-A Daytona after the deal. His strikeout rate has been above 11.0 K/9 at every stop so far (with respectable walk rates to boot). The 6-foot-2 right-hander might only need one more year in the minors before he's starting games at Wrigley Field. He looks like a gem.
More Fantasy News
Surrenders two runs in Padres debut
PSan Diego Padres
August 12, 2019
Edwards pitched one inning against Colorado on Sunday, surrendering two runs on two hits and two walks while striking out one.
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Returns to majors
PSan Diego Padres
August 11, 2019
Edwards was recalled by the Padres on Sunday, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
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Sent to San Diego
PSan Diego Padres
July 31, 2019
Edwards was traded from the Cubs to the Padres on Wednesday in exchange for Brad Wieck, Mark Gonzales of the Chicago Tribune reports.
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Bound for minors
PChicago Cubs
July 22, 2019
The Cubs optioned Edwards to Triple-A Iowa on Monday, Jesse Rogers of reports.
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Returns from injured list
PChicago Cubs
July 19, 2019
Edwards (back) was activated off the 10-day injured list Friday, Patrick Mooney of The Athletic reports.
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