Aaron Judge
Aaron Judge
27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Yankees
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Regression was probably inevitable for Judge after he took the baseball world by storm as a rookie, but his 25-home run decline was harsher than most anticipated. The fractured wrist that sidelined Judge for nearly two months bears much of the blame, as his batted-ball profile otherwise revealed the outfielder performed like one of the game's top sluggers. For the second straight year, Judge lit up the Statcast leaderboards, ranking first in average exit velocity (94.8 mph) and hard-hit percentage (53.8%) and 20th in barrel rate (8.6 Brls/PA). Judge's thumping ways should regularly translate to high BABIPs, thereby giving him more batting-average stability than others who strike out as often as he does (career 31.6 K%). Further wrist issues would obviously affect Judge's outlook, but the fact that he ended 2018 on the field and didn't require a follow-up procedure over the winter indicates the Yankees are confident he'll anchor a talented lineup in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $622,300 contract with the Yankees in March of 2018.
Blasts off on Rockies
OFNew York Yankees
July 20, 2019
Judge went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer, a pair of walks and an additional run Friday in the Yankees' 8-2 win over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
Judge's 11th long ball of the season capped the scoring in the series opener and allowed the star slugger to continue his July surge. Through 14 games this month, Judge is slashing .292/.424/.563 with four home runs, eight RBI, 10 runs and 11 walks. Judge will stick in the lineup Saturday, batting second while manning right field, according to Erik Boland of Newsday.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
29
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+22%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .976 349 49 19 37 4 .262 .444 .532
Since 2017vs Right .995 1018 186 71 170 13 .291 .402 .593
2019vs Left 1.125 51 6 3 9 2 .359 .510 .615
2019vs Right .925 140 24 8 17 0 .281 .407 .518
2018vs Left .967 143 20 8 12 1 .261 .427 .541
2018vs Right .901 355 57 19 55 5 .285 .377 .523
2017vs Left .934 155 23 8 16 1 .230 .439 .496
2017vs Right 1.079 523 105 44 98 8 .298 .417 .662
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+34%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+70%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home 1.130 701 140 56 130 11 .329 .452 .678
Since 2017Away .846 666 95 34 77 6 .238 .371 .475
2019Home .957 123 20 5 17 2 .330 .447 .510
2019Away 1.016 68 10 6 9 0 .245 .412 .604
2018Home 1.170 244 47 18 45 4 .352 .471 .699
2018Away .688 254 30 9 22 2 .212 .315 .373
2017Home 1.165 334 73 33 68 5 .312 .440 .725
2017Away .935 344 55 19 46 4 .256 .404 .531
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Stat Review
How does Aaron Judge compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 200 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.64
 
BB Rate
18.8%
 
K Rate
29.3%
 
BABIP
.402
 
ISO
.242
 
AVG
.301
 
OBP
.435
 
SLG
.542
 
OPS
.977
 
wOBA
.422
 
Exit Velocity
98.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
57.1%
 
Barrels/PA
10.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Aaron Judge
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Monday Picks
Yesterday
Mike Barner is plugging in a Yankees stack Monday against Martin Perez and the Twins.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Picks
2 days ago
While James Paxton hasn't performed like the marquee arm the Yankees had hoped for, Mike Barner likes him based on recent results and a weak Rockies' road attack.
PrizePicks MLB: Friday Picks
4 days ago
Mike Barner expects Aaron Judge to tee-off against the struggling Kyle Freeland. See which other players to target or avoid for PrizePick's slate of MLB contests.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Picks
4 days ago
Justin Verlander is 3-0 against the Rangers and has allowed seven runs and 14 hits, while fanning 27 in 24 innings.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Breakdown
4 days ago
Adam Zdroik recommends an A’s stack against Jake Odorizzi and the Twins on Friday.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
After a disappointing debut in 2016, Judge exploded for 52 home runs, finishing second in the AL MVP voting and arguably becoming the new face of baseball. He ranked first or second in most traditional hitting categories and modern technology confirmed what was obvious to the naked eye: Judge crushed the ball. He finished first in the majors in barrel rate (12.8 Brls/PA) and second among qualified hitters in hard-hit rate (45.3 percent). While Judge still struck out at a relatively high clip (30.7 percent), he made significant improvement in that regard from the previous season and trailed only Joey Votto in walk rate (18.7 percent). While his batting average could fade as he sees a heavier dose of breaking pitches, we've already seen enough to safely say Judge will be at least a three-category stud for many years to come. He underwent arthroscopic surgery on his shoulder in November, but is expected to be a full go for the start of spring training.
Long viewed as one of the top prospects in the Yankees system, Judge got a chance to make his major league debut last season. Following the trade deadline departure of Carlos Beltran, the 6-foot-7, 275-pound Judge was immediately inserted into an everyday role in right field. After smacking 19 home runs in the minors, Judge got off to a terrific start in the majors with homers in his first two games while hitting over .300 in his first week, but a lot of worrisome issues cropped up after that. The 24-year-old struck out at an alarming 44.2 percent clip and ended up hitting just .179 before a Grade 2 oblique strain ended his season. While his elite raw power was never questioned in the minors, he had some seasons where he posted strikeout rates above 25 percent, and the worry was always that big league pitching would be able to exploit his size, resulting in low batting averages. That appears to be exactly what happened last season. Winning the starting right field job is all but guaranteed, and Judge could be a solid source of power, but the questions about his hit tool make this an extremely volatile profile.
Viewed as the top prospect in the Yankees' system, Judge will likely get his chance to make his big league debut in 2016. The 23-year-old has great raw power, helped in large part by his 6-foot-7, 230 pound frame, which he flashed en route to hitting 20 home runs across both Double-A and Triple-A in 2015. Though his average dipped after the promotion, Judge projects to be more than just a pure power hitter. Barring any offseason trades, the Yankees' outfield appears to be totally accounted for, with Carlos Beltran occupying Judge's natural right field spot for the 2016 season and Aaron Hicks available to spell him. In order to give Judge everyday playing time, the Yankees will likely have him spend the first half (if not the entire season) back at Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.
At 6-foot-7, 230 pounds, Judge was understandably labeled a high-risk/high-reward proposition when he was drafted by the Yankees with the 32nd pick in the 2013 draft. Now, following an excellent first full season as a professional, the idea of Judge actualizing his immense potential is starting to look a lot more realistic. He has 80 raw power, which one might expect out of such a herculean specimen. But, somewhat surprisingly, he also had no problem hitting for average and getting on base in 131 games between Low-A and High-A. He split his time right down the middle between the two stops, and combined to post a .308/.419/.486 slash line with 17 home runs. There’s no doubt that more power will come in time, and by showing good on-base skills in 2014 he has earned the label of best position player prospect in the Yankees’ system. After capping his impressive debut season by putting on a show in the Arizona Fall League, few prospects will enter 2015 with more helium.
Judge, one of the Yankees' first-round picks in the 2013 draft, is a massive human being at 6-foot-7 and 255 pounds, but he has a good arm and moves around well enough that he should stick in the outfield. He has a short swing that hasn't yet generated much in-game power, so it seems likely that the Yankees will want to work with him on his mechanics to unleash some of that power potential. He'll make his pro debut in 2014, and may be brought along relatively slowly for an older bat drafted out of college.
More Fantasy News
Clubs game-winning homer
OFNew York Yankees
July 16, 2019
Judge went 2-for-3 with a two-run home run and a walk in Tuesday's 8-3 win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Hits two bombs
OFNew York Yankees
July 5, 2019
Judge went 2-for-5 with a pair of solo homers in Friday's win over the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Day off Thursday
OFNew York Yankees
July 4, 2019
Judge is not in the lineup for Thursday's game against the Rays, Erik Boland of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Belts sixth homer
OFNew York Yankees
June 26, 2019
Judge went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Tuesday's 10-8 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Day off Monday
OFNew York Yankees
June 24, 2019
Judge is not in the lineup Monday against Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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