Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Boyd was the de facto staff ace for Detroit in 2018, leading the team in starts, quality starts, wins and strikeouts. The lefty came out of the gates hot, posting an even 3.00 ERA over his first 10 starts, but these monthly ERAs followed: 6.32, 4.34, 4.25, 5.40. He can show flashes of upside, like he did Sept. 8 when he fanned 11 Cardinals, but only his slider graded out as league average. Granted, it was the fifth-best slider among starters, but it's tough to be successful in the major leagues on a consistent basis with only one good pitch. Against lefty batters, Boyd had a 22.6 K-BB%, but that number fell all the way to 13.2% against opposite-handed hitters. Righties combined for 21 homers against Boyd (1.44 HR/9). He seems cemented into the Tigers' rotation and his WHIP will likely remain reasonable, but those home runs aren't going anywhere and the team will be bad, so don't get too carried away. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Finishes season with loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 28, 2019
Boyd (9-12) took the loss Saturday against the White Sox as he allowed four runs (two earned) on six hits across four innings. He walked one and struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Boyd wrapped up his 2019 campaign with a mediocre outing, and that's been the story for the lefty in the second half of the season. Before the All-Star break, he had a 3.87 ERA over 18 starts, but in the 14 games since, Boyd posted a 5.51 mark. The 28-year-old was still easily Detroit's best starter this year, and his 238:50 K:BB in 185.1 innings shows how dominant he can be at times. Boyd will search for more consistency heading into 2020.
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Matthew Boyd generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Matthew Boyd generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .237 398 102 21 86 16 2 13
Since 2017vs Right .257 1704 405 133 395 85 7 71
2019vs Left .231 148 44 6 31 5 0 7
2019vs Right .250 640 194 44 147 31 2 32
2018vs Left .215 155 41 6 31 8 0 6
2018vs Right .232 554 118 45 115 25 1 21
2017vs Left .282 95 17 9 24 3 2 0
2017vs Right .292 510 93 44 133 29 4 18
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-1%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.92 1.17 236.2 14 12 0 8.3 2.5 1.7
Since 2017Away 5.42 1.41 254.0 10 24 0 10.2 3.1 1.4
2019Home 4.59 1.23 86.1 5 5 0 10.1 2.3 2.7
2019Away 4.55 1.23 99.0 4 7 0 12.8 2.5 1.2
2018Home 2.63 0.98 78.2 6 3 0 7.9 2.3 0.9
2018Away 5.89 1.31 91.2 3 10 0 8.8 3.0 1.9
2017Home 4.52 1.33 71.2 3 4 0 6.7 3.0 1.3
2017Away 6.11 1.82 63.1 3 7 0 8.1 4.1 1.1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matthew Boyd compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.76
 
K/9
11.6
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.9
 
Fastball
92.0 mph
 
ERA
4.56
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.328
 
GB/FB
0.89
 
Left On Base
73.2%
 
Exit Velocity
89.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.9%
 
Spin Rate
2332 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
35.7%
 
Swinging Strike
14.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matthew Boyd
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
19 days ago
Many playoff-bound starters are taking it easy recently, but Sasha Yodashkin tips Luis Severino to go longer on Saturday to make up for lost time.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Picks
25 days ago
Every MLB day seems to involve picking on the Tigers' weaknesses, and today's no different with Mike Barner offering a group of opposing White Sox hitters.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Subject to Change
26 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the starting pitching for the final week of the season, which is always tricky. Gerrit Cole is scheduled for two starts, but will he make both?
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
31 days ago
Erik Halterman looks at the ups and downs this week in baseball, including Tampa Bay's Austin Meadows, who is breaking out in a big way.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Nationals, Astros Dominate Top-5
33 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching has the Astros and Nationals have separated themselves from the pack.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
The lefty has enjoyed a great deal of success at Triple-A (2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9), but to this point he's been unable to sustain success at the highest level. His strikeout rate fell by two per nine with the jump between levels last season (to 7.3 K/9) while his walk rate ticked up by more than a walk per nine (3.5 BB/9), but even so he probably deserved a little better than a 5.27 ERA -- Boyd was bit unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 68.7 percent strand rate. Just keep in mind that Boyd's BABIP will remain relatively high if he continues to allow line drives at a 22.3 percent clip. Boyd finished strong last season (2.95 ERA in September) and should have a rotation spot locked down on the rebuilding Tigers, so he has some appeal in the endgame of AL-only drafts and auctions, but he's waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues until further notice.
Boyd had one of those seasons we regularly see from young arms: he was either good or horrible. There was little in-between. He had four incredibly bad starts that accounted for 49 percent of his earned runs (24-of-49) in just 11 percent of his innings (11.2 out of 97.1) yielding a 18.46 ERA. He posted a 2.63 ERA in his other 85.7 innings (14 starts, two relief appearances). Boyd has a quality four-pitch mix with the slider and changeup both operating as swing-and-miss offerings against righties and lefties, but the fastball and curve were homer-prone versus righties which resulted in a 202-point OPS split. His key to success is keeping the fastball up versus righties and maybe shifting some of the curveball usage to his other secondaries unless he can stop hanging it so much. There's something to bet on here and he won't cost much at all.
Boyd went to Detroit in the David Price trade and had a cup of coffee as the Tigers' fifth starter last year. He struggled with control and the long ball. In fact, he allowed 17 homers in just 57.1 innings of work and finished 1-6 with a 1.59 WHIP and 43:20 K:BB rate. He's a power lefty who hit 95 mph as a starter, but his future might lie in the bullpen, as his heater could theoretically hit 97 or even 98 if he were restricted to just one or two innings of work, and that could make him remarkably successful given the deceit that comes with his arm slot. He isn't yet worth owning as a starter in most formats, although he will have an opportunity to compete for a spot in the rotation during spring training. His horrible numbers in limited work in the big leagues last year will scare everyone away, so if he does win a spot out of camp, he will be dirt cheap in AL-only leagues.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out six in win
PDetroit Tigers
September 22, 2019
Boyd (9-11) gave up three runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out six through five innings to earn the win over the White Sox on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Set to start Sunday
PDetroit Tigers
September 19, 2019
Boyd (personal) has rejoined the team and will start Sunday against the White Sox, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Penciled in to start Sunday
PDetroit Tigers
Personal
September 18, 2019
Manager Ron Gardenhire said Boyd (personal) is penciled in to start Sunday's game against the White Sox, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Scratched for personal reasons
PDetroit Tigers
Personal
September 16, 2019
Boyd was scratched from his start Tuesday in Cleveland for personal reasons, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Saddled with 11th loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 12, 2019
Boyd (8-11) took the loss after surrendering four runs (two earned) on three hits and four walks while striking out three over five innings in Game 1 of Thursday's doubleheader against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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