Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Boyd was the de facto staff ace for Detroit in 2018, leading the team in starts, quality starts, wins and strikeouts. The lefty came out of the gates hot, posting an even 3.00 ERA over his first 10 starts, but these monthly ERAs followed: 6.32, 4.34, 4.25, 5.40. He can show flashes of upside, like he did Sept. 8 when he fanned 11 Cardinals, but only his slider graded out as league average. Granted, it was the fifth-best slider among starters, but it's tough to be successful in the major leagues on a consistent basis with only one good pitch. Against lefty batters, Boyd had a 22.6 K-BB%, but that number fell all the way to 13.2% against opposite-handed hitters. Righties combined for 21 homers against Boyd (1.44 HR/9). He seems cemented into the Tigers' rotation and his WHIP will likely remain reasonable, but those home runs aren't going anywhere and the team will be bad, so don't get too carried away. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Allows five runs in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
June 21, 2019
Boyd allowed five runs over six innings and did not factor into the decision in Friday's loss to Cleveland. He gave up seven hits and two walks, while striking out six.
ANALYSIS
Boyd allowed a two-run home run to Carlos Santana in the first inning, but then held Cleveland off the board in the next three innings. However, he ran into trouble in the fifth and sixth, allowing two more home runs and a total of three runs in the two frames. Boyd has now allowed 10 runs (nine earned) over his last two outings, and his ERA has crept up to 3.61, though the lefty still has a stellar 118:19 K:BB through 94.2 innings. He'll look to get back on track in his next scheduled start Wednesday against the Rangers.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .242 312 76 17 69 13 2 8
Since 2017vs Right .254 1394 311 106 320 69 7 51
2019vs Left .250 62 18 2 14 2 0 2
2019vs Right .234 330 100 17 72 15 2 12
2018vs Left .215 155 41 6 31 8 0 6
2018vs Right .232 554 118 45 115 25 1 21
2017vs Left .282 95 17 9 24 3 2 0
2017vs Right .292 510 93 44 133 29 4 18
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.43 1.12 199.2 12 9 0 7.9 2.3 1.2
Since 2017Away 5.57 1.44 200.1 8 20 0 9.5 3.2 1.5
2019Home 3.10 1.03 49.1 3 2 0 9.7 1.3 1.5
2019Away 4.17 1.19 45.1 2 3 0 12.9 2.4 1.2
2018Home 2.63 0.98 78.2 6 3 0 7.9 2.3 0.9
2018Away 5.89 1.31 91.2 3 10 0 8.8 3.0 1.9
2017Home 4.52 1.33 71.2 3 4 0 6.7 3.0 1.3
2017Away 6.11 1.82 63.1 3 7 0 8.1 4.1 1.1
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Stat Review
How does Matthew Boyd compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.21
 
K/9
11.2
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
91.6 mph
 
ERA
3.61
 
WHIP
1.11
 
BABIP
.326
 
GB/FB
1.01
 
Left On Base
76.1%
 
Exit Velocity
88.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
8.1%
 
Spin Rate
2347 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
34.2%
 
Swinging Strike
13.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Tigers Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matthew Boyd
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
The lefty has enjoyed a great deal of success at Triple-A (2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9), but to this point he's been unable to sustain success at the highest level. His strikeout rate fell by two per nine with the jump between levels last season (to 7.3 K/9) while his walk rate ticked up by more than a walk per nine (3.5 BB/9), but even so he probably deserved a little better than a 5.27 ERA -- Boyd was bit unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 68.7 percent strand rate. Just keep in mind that Boyd's BABIP will remain relatively high if he continues to allow line drives at a 22.3 percent clip. Boyd finished strong last season (2.95 ERA in September) and should have a rotation spot locked down on the rebuilding Tigers, so he has some appeal in the endgame of AL-only drafts and auctions, but he's waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues until further notice.
Boyd had one of those seasons we regularly see from young arms: he was either good or horrible. There was little in-between. He had four incredibly bad starts that accounted for 49 percent of his earned runs (24-of-49) in just 11 percent of his innings (11.2 out of 97.1) yielding a 18.46 ERA. He posted a 2.63 ERA in his other 85.7 innings (14 starts, two relief appearances). Boyd has a quality four-pitch mix with the slider and changeup both operating as swing-and-miss offerings against righties and lefties, but the fastball and curve were homer-prone versus righties which resulted in a 202-point OPS split. His key to success is keeping the fastball up versus righties and maybe shifting some of the curveball usage to his other secondaries unless he can stop hanging it so much. There's something to bet on here and he won't cost much at all.
Boyd went to Detroit in the David Price trade and had a cup of coffee as the Tigers' fifth starter last year. He struggled with control and the long ball. In fact, he allowed 17 homers in just 57.1 innings of work and finished 1-6 with a 1.59 WHIP and 43:20 K:BB rate. He's a power lefty who hit 95 mph as a starter, but his future might lie in the bullpen, as his heater could theoretically hit 97 or even 98 if he were restricted to just one or two innings of work, and that could make him remarkably successful given the deceit that comes with his arm slot. He isn't yet worth owning as a starter in most formats, although he will have an opportunity to compete for a spot in the rotation during spring training. His horrible numbers in limited work in the big leagues last year will scare everyone away, so if he does win a spot out of camp, he will be dirt cheap in AL-only leagues.
More Fantasy News
Fans seven in loss
PDetroit Tigers
June 13, 2019
Boyd (5-5) was charged with the loss after lasting just four innings against the Royals on Thursday. He surrendered six hits on five runs (four earned) and two walks while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
June 8, 2019
Boyd struck out eight but didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 6-3 loss to the Twins, allowing three runs on nine hits over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
June 2, 2019
Boyd allowed three runs on five hits with nine strikeouts and zero walks across five innings during a no-decision against the Braves on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Dominates for fifth win
PDetroit Tigers
May 28, 2019
Boyd (5-4) pitched six scoreless innings to record the win Tuesday against the Orioles. He allowed six hits and a walk while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Throws six scoreless in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
May 23, 2019
Boyd didn't factor into the decision against the Marlins on Thursday despite throwing six scoreless innings, giving up five hits, striking out seven and walking one as the Tigers eventually lost 5-2.
ANALYSIS
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