Matt Boyd
Matt Boyd
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Boyd was the de facto staff ace for Detroit in 2018, leading the team in starts, quality starts, wins and strikeouts. The lefty came out of the gates hot, posting an even 3.00 ERA over his first 10 starts, but these monthly ERAs followed: 6.32, 4.34, 4.25, 5.40. He can show flashes of upside, like he did Sept. 8 when he fanned 11 Cardinals, but only his slider graded out as league average. Granted, it was the fifth-best slider among starters, but it's tough to be successful in the major leagues on a consistent basis with only one good pitch. Against lefty batters, Boyd had a 22.6 K-BB%, but that number fell all the way to 13.2% against opposite-handed hitters. Righties combined for 21 homers against Boyd (1.44 HR/9). He seems cemented into the Tigers' rotation and his WHIP will likely remain reasonable, but those home runs aren't going anywhere and the team will be bad, so don't get too carried away. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Lightening up for 2019
PDetroit Tigers
January 25, 2019
Boyd shed 15 pounds of fat this offseason as he changed his diet and workout routine, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
Boyd had a solid season in 2018 with a 4.39 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 159:51 K:BB over 170.1 innings and reached a $2.6 million deal with the Tigers earlier in January to avoid arbitration. The left-hander -- who turns 28 in early February -- should begin the season as Detroit's top arm in the starting rotation, and it should be interesting to see what impact his leaner frame has on his production, if any.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .225 324 69 21 66 13 3 8
Since 2016vs Right .265 1402 282 112 334 67 7 54
2018vs Left .215 155 41 6 31 8 0 6
2018vs Right .232 554 118 45 115 25 1 21
2017vs Left .282 95 17 9 24 3 2 0
2017vs Right .292 510 93 44 133 29 4 18
2016vs Left .172 74 11 6 11 2 1 2
2016vs Right .276 338 71 23 86 13 2 15
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2016Home 3.85 1.22 196.1 12 10 0 7.3 2.9 1.2
Since 2016Away 5.54 1.42 206.1 9 19 0 8.4 3.1 1.6
2018Home 2.63 0.98 78.2 6 3 0 7.9 2.3 0.9
2018Away 5.89 1.31 91.2 3 10 0 8.8 3.0 1.9
2017Home 4.52 1.33 71.2 3 4 0 6.7 3.0 1.3
2017Away 6.11 1.82 63.1 3 7 0 8.1 4.1 1.1
2016Home 4.89 1.48 46.0 3 3 0 7.2 3.7 1.6
2016Away 4.21 1.13 51.1 3 2 0 7.9 1.8 1.6
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Stat Review
How does Matt Boyd compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
90.4 mph
Strand %
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Tigers Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Boyd
The Z Files: Building an Aceless Staff
14 days ago
Todd Zola looks at what it would take to build a competitive pitching staff without using early picks on true aces and focuses on upside arms like Zack Wheeler.
The Z Files: Drafting a Pitching Staff
70 days ago
Todd Zola walks through how he assembles a fantasy pitching staff and explains why Max Scherzer is the only hurler to get a pre-draft plan named after him.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
148 days ago
Sasha Yodashkin delivers his picks for Wednesday's Yahoo slate, turning to Nats veteran first baseman Ryan Zimmerman against the visiting Marlins.
FanDuel MLB: Wednesday Value Plays
148 days ago
Mike Barner checks out Wednesday's evening slate and expects Christian Yelich to keep raking as the Brewers try to catch the Cubs down the stretch.
MLB DFS: Wednesday Cheat Sheet
148 days ago
Wednesday's slate of 16 games features a home matchup for Chris Sale against the Orioles.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
The lefty has enjoyed a great deal of success at Triple-A (2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9), but to this point he's been unable to sustain success at the highest level. His strikeout rate fell by two per nine with the jump between levels last season (to 7.3 K/9) while his walk rate ticked up by more than a walk per nine (3.5 BB/9), but even so he probably deserved a little better than a 5.27 ERA -- Boyd was bit unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 68.7 percent strand rate. Just keep in mind that Boyd's BABIP will remain relatively high if he continues to allow line drives at a 22.3 percent clip. Boyd finished strong last season (2.95 ERA in September) and should have a rotation spot locked down on the rebuilding Tigers, so he has some appeal in the endgame of AL-only drafts and auctions, but he's waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues until further notice.
Boyd had one of those seasons we regularly see from young arms: he was either good or horrible. There was little in-between. He had four incredibly bad starts that accounted for 49 percent of his earned runs (24-of-49) in just 11 percent of his innings (11.2 out of 97.1) yielding a 18.46 ERA. He posted a 2.63 ERA in his other 85.7 innings (14 starts, two relief appearances). Boyd has a quality four-pitch mix with the slider and changeup both operating as swing-and-miss offerings against righties and lefties, but the fastball and curve were homer-prone versus righties which resulted in a 202-point OPS split. His key to success is keeping the fastball up versus righties and maybe shifting some of the curveball usage to his other secondaries unless he can stop hanging it so much. There's something to bet on here and he won't cost much at all.
Boyd went to Detroit in the David Price trade and had a cup of coffee as the Tigers' fifth starter last year. He struggled with control and the long ball. In fact, he allowed 17 homers in just 57.1 innings of work and finished 1-6 with a 1.59 WHIP and 43:20 K:BB rate. He's a power lefty who hit 95 mph as a starter, but his future might lie in the bullpen, as his heater could theoretically hit 97 or even 98 if he were restricted to just one or two innings of work, and that could make him remarkably successful given the deceit that comes with his arm slot. He isn't yet worth owning as a starter in most formats, although he will have an opportunity to compete for a spot in the rotation during spring training. His horrible numbers in limited work in the big leagues last year will scare everyone away, so if he does win a spot out of camp, he will be dirt cheap in AL-only leagues.
More Fantasy News
Signs with Detroit
PDetroit Tigers
January 11, 2019
Boyd signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Tigers on Friday, Robert Murray of The Athletic reports.
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Hit hard in loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 26, 2018
Boyd (9-13) took the loss Wednesday, allowing six runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three over 3.2 innings against the Twins.
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Gets shelled but avoids loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 20, 2018
Boyd allowed five runs (two earned) on six hits across 1.1 innings Thursday but escaped with a no-decision in an 11-8 win over the Royals.
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Strikes out seven in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
September 14, 2018
Boyd did not factor into the decision in Friday's 5-4 win over the Indians, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out seven.
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Fans season-high 11 in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
September 8, 2018
Boyd didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 4-3 win over the Cardinals, allowing one run on two hits and a walk over seven-plus innings while striking out 11.
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