Matthew Boyd News

Matthew Boyd

30-Year-Old PitcherSP

Detroit Tigers

10-Day IL

Injury Triceps

Est. Return 6/25/2021

2021 Stats

W-L

3-6

ERA

3.44

WHIP

1.20

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

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2021 Fantasy Outlook

Boyd entered the 2020 season with the burden of proving that the results of his 2019 campaign were a new norm rather than a one-year aberration on his resume. While a full season of work yielded only 60.1 innings, Boyd's results regressed heavily in 2020. His fastball remained troublesome, as opposing batters teed off against the pitch for a .643 slugging percentage, .425 wOBA and eight home runs. Also problematic was the fact that Boyd generated fewer whiffs and surrendered harder contact with his slider, which ranked among the best pitches in the league in past seasons. The result was a strikeout rate and K-BB% that fell back toward his career average and a 2.24 HR/9 that sunk many of his starts. Projecting forward, Boyd is a safe bet for volume, though his ratios aren't likely to reach their 2019 peak and his win potential may also be muted if he remains a Tiger amid offseason trade rumors. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#304

ADP

Overall

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 234

DOB 2/2/1991

Born Mercer Island, WA

College Oregon State

Drafted 6th Rd 2013 TOR

Heads to IL

PDetroit Tigers

Triceps

June 15, 2021

Boyd was placed on the 10-day injured list with left arm discomfort Tuesday, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
The southpaw will be further evaluated in the next 24 hours, so it's still possible he'll be given a more detailed diagnosis and return timeline in the near future. For the time being, he'll miss at least his next turn through the rotation. He'll be eligible to come off the IL on June 25.

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Pitching Stats

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2021

2020

2019

2018

2017

2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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2017 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Matthew Boyd generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Matthew Boyd generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2019

-12%

BAA vs LHP

2021

-13%

BAA vs RHP

2020

-56%

BAA vs LHP

2019

-8%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2019vs Left	.228	262	70	12	55	7	0	11
Since 2019vs Right	.259	1095	284	79	256	59	5	49
2021vs Left	.271	75	15	4	19	1	0	3
2021vs Right	.236	223	41	15	47	12	1	3
2020vs Left	.135	39	11	2	5	1	0	1
2020vs Right	.304	232	49	20	62	16	2	14
2019vs Left	.231	148	44	6	31	5	0	7
2019vs Right	.250	640	194	44	147	31	2	32
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2019

-8%

ERA at Home

2021

-51%

ERA at Home

2020

-17%

ERA on Road

2019

-1%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2019Home	4.52	1.24	159.1	9	12	0	8.9	2.5	1.9
Since 2019Away	4.93	1.30	157.0	6	13	0	11.2	2.7	1.5
2021Home	2.47	1.03	43.2	2	4	0	7.0	2.1	0.4
2021Away	5.00	1.48	27.0	1	2	0	7.3	3.0	1.3
2020Home	7.36	1.60	29.1	2	3	0	8.3	3.7	1.8
2020Away	6.10	1.35	31.0	1	4	0	9.6	2.9	2.6
2019Home	4.59	1.23	86.1	5	5	0	10.1	2.3	2.7
2019Away	4.55	1.23	99.0	4	7	0	12.8	2.5	1.2
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Matthew Boyd compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

2.95

K/9

7.1

BB/9

2.4

HR/9

0.8

Fastball

91.9 mph

ERA

3.44

WHIP

1.20

BABIP

.295

GB/FB

1.02

Left On Base

71.8%

Exit Velocity

80.8 mph

Barrels/BBE

4.2%

Spin Rate

2237 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

22.5%

Swinging Strike

11.1%

Advanced Pitching Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Tigers Depth Chart

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matthew Boyd

MLB Betting: Monday Best Bets

2 days ago

Joe Sheehan breaks down the board for Monday's MLB action and identifies a trio of wagers to consider, including a look at the showdown between the Nationals and Pirates.

FanDuel MLB: Monday Targets

2 days ago

Chris Morgan examines Monday’s slate and likes Kris Bryant against Mets lefty David Peterson, who sports a 6.32 ERA.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Towering Above the Rest

4 days ago

Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as Rays ace Tyler Glasnow is leaps and bounds ahead of the pack.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: The Calm after the Storm

11 days ago

Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few two-start options in a week with fewer games scheduled.

Collette Calls: The Other Third

12 days ago

With a third of the season in the books, Jason Collette checks in on his preseason predictions to see how he's doing. So far, so good for Yuli Gurriel.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2020

2019

2018

2017

2016

The perennial fantasy tease was at it again. Two months into the season, Boyd was sporting a 2.85 ERA and 1.02 WHIP with 88 strikeouts, 15 walks and a stingy seven homers in 72.2 frames. There wasn't anything different with his pitch mix, but the strong start was supported by underlying metrics, sending many down the familiar rabbit hole. Once the calendar flipped to June, Boyd gave up homers like Pete Alonso's cousin in the Home Run Derby, surrendering 12 in his next 34.1 innings. The onslaught continued with Boyd ultimately serving up 39 long balls in 185.1 innings, second most in the league. While the lively ball played a part, the main reason for the homer barrage was Boyd's inability to continue getting away with working up in the zone. In order to be trusted as more than a streamer, Boyd needs to demonstrate a tangible reason he can the ball in the yard all season. If you take the flier, be ready to bail.

Boyd was the de facto staff ace for Detroit in 2018, leading the team in starts, quality starts, wins and strikeouts. The lefty came out of the gates hot, posting an even 3.00 ERA over his first 10 starts, but these monthly ERAs followed: 6.32, 4.34, 4.25, 5.40. He can show flashes of upside, like he did Sept. 8 when he fanned 11 Cardinals, but only his slider graded out as league average. Granted, it was the fifth-best slider among starters, but it's tough to be successful in the major leagues on a consistent basis with only one good pitch. Against lefty batters, Boyd had a 22.6 K-BB%, but that number fell all the way to 13.2% against opposite-handed hitters. Righties combined for 21 homers against Boyd (1.44 HR/9). He seems cemented into the Tigers' rotation and his WHIP will likely remain reasonable, but those home runs aren't going anywhere and the team will be bad, so don't get too carried away.

The lefty has enjoyed a great deal of success at Triple-A (2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9), but to this point he's been unable to sustain success at the highest level. His strikeout rate fell by two per nine with the jump between levels last season (to 7.3 K/9) while his walk rate ticked up by more than a walk per nine (3.5 BB/9), but even so he probably deserved a little better than a 5.27 ERA -- Boyd was bit unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 68.7 percent strand rate. Just keep in mind that Boyd's BABIP will remain relatively high if he continues to allow line drives at a 22.3 percent clip. Boyd finished strong last season (2.95 ERA in September) and should have a rotation spot locked down on the rebuilding Tigers, so he has some appeal in the endgame of AL-only drafts and auctions, but he's waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues until further notice.

Boyd had one of those seasons we regularly see from young arms: he was either good or horrible. There was little in-between. He had four incredibly bad starts that accounted for 49 percent of his earned runs (24-of-49) in just 11 percent of his innings (11.2 out of 97.1) yielding a 18.46 ERA. He posted a 2.63 ERA in his other 85.7 innings (14 starts, two relief appearances). Boyd has a quality four-pitch mix with the slider and changeup both operating as swing-and-miss offerings against righties and lefties, but the fastball and curve were homer-prone versus righties which resulted in a 202-point OPS split. His key to success is keeping the fastball up versus righties and maybe shifting some of the curveball usage to his other secondaries unless he can stop hanging it so much. There's something to bet on here and he won't cost much at all.

Boyd went to Detroit in the David Price trade and had a cup of coffee as the Tigers' fifth starter last year. He struggled with control and the long ball. In fact, he allowed 17 homers in just 57.1 innings of work and finished 1-6 with a 1.59 WHIP and 43:20 K:BB rate. He's a power lefty who hit 95 mph as a starter, but his future might lie in the bullpen, as his heater could theoretically hit 97 or even 98 if he were restricted to just one or two innings of work, and that could make him remarkably successful given the deceit that comes with his arm slot. He isn't yet worth owning as a starter in most formats, although he will have an opportunity to compete for a spot in the rotation during spring training. His horrible numbers in limited work in the big leagues last year will scare everyone away, so if he does win a spot out of camp, he will be dirt cheap in AL-only leagues.

More Fantasy News

May require IL stint

PDetroit Tigers

Triceps

June 15, 2021

Manager A.J. Hinch suggested that Boyd could be in line for a stint on the injured list after he exited his start in Monday's 10-3 win over the Royals with a suspected triceps issue, Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic reports. "We're gonna have to figure out some things," Hinch said in reference to who might replace Boyd in the rotation.

ANALYSIS
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Exits with arm issue

PDetroit Tigers

Arm

June 14, 2021

Boyd left Monday's start against Kansas City due to discomfort in his arm, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.

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Scoops up third win

PDetroit Tigers

June 9, 2021

Boyd improved to 3-6 on the season after limiting the Mariners to one unearned run over six innings in the Tigers' 5-3 victory Tuesday. He scattered six hits and a walk and struck out three in the 97-pitch start.

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Allows five runs in no-decision

PDetroit Tigers

June 1, 2021

Boyd allowed five runs across 4.2 innings and did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's game against the Brewers. He gave up five hits and three walks while striking out four.

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Crumbles late

PDetroit Tigers

May 27, 2021

Boyd (2-6) allowed four earned runs on six hits and two walks while striking out five across five innings to take the loss Thursday against Cleveland.

ANALYSIS
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