Matt Boyd
Matt Boyd
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
The lefty has enjoyed a great deal of success at Triple-A (2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9), but to this point he's been unable to sustain success at the highest level. His strikeout rate fell by two per nine with the jump between levels last season (to 7.3 K/9) while his walk rate ticked up by more than a walk per nine (3.5 BB/9), but even so he probably deserved a little better than a 5.27 ERA -- Boyd was bit unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 68.7 percent strand rate. Just keep in mind that Boyd's BABIP will remain relatively high if he continues to allow line drives at a 22.3 percent clip. Boyd finished strong last season (2.95 ERA in September) and should have a rotation spot locked down on the rebuilding Tigers, so he has some appeal in the endgame of AL-only drafts and auctions, but he's waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues until further notice. Read Past Outlooks
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Hit hard in loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 26, 2018
Boyd (9-13) took the loss Wednesday, allowing six runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three over 3.2 innings against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
Boyd was done in by the long ball, allowing a trio of home runs that accounted for five of the six runs. The southpaw got off to a solid start to September, but he'll finish the season with back-to-back rough outings to leave his ERA at 4.39 -- his highest mark since July.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .225 324 69 21 66 13 3 8
Since 2016vs Right .265 1402 282 112 334 67 7 54
2018vs Left .215 155 41 6 31 8 0 6
2018vs Right .232 554 118 45 115 25 1 21
2017vs Left .282 95 17 9 24 3 2 0
2017vs Right .292 510 93 44 133 29 4 18
2016vs Left .172 74 11 6 11 2 1 2
2016vs Right .276 338 71 23 86 13 2 15
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-55%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-14%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.85 1.22 196.1 12 10 0 7.3 2.9 1.2
Since 2016Away 5.54 1.42 206.1 9 19 0 8.4 3.1 1.6
2018Home 2.63 0.98 78.2 6 3 0 7.9 2.3 0.9
2018Away 5.89 1.31 91.2 3 10 0 8.8 3.0 1.9
2017Home 4.52 1.33 71.2 3 4 0 6.7 3.0 1.3
2017Away 6.11 1.82 63.1 3 7 0 8.1 4.1 1.1
2016Home 4.89 1.48 46.0 3 3 0 7.2 3.7 1.6
2016Away 4.21 1.13 51.1 3 2 0 7.9 1.8 1.6
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Stat Review
How does Matt Boyd compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.12
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
2.7
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
90.4 mph
 
ERA
4.39
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.270
 
GB/FB
0.65
 
Strand %
67.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
Boyd had one of those seasons we regularly see from young arms: he was either good or horrible. There was little in-between. He had four incredibly bad starts that accounted for 49 percent of his earned runs (24-of-49) in just 11 percent of his innings (11.2 out of 97.1) yielding a 18.46 ERA. He posted a 2.63 ERA in his other 85.7 innings (14 starts, two relief appearances). Boyd has a quality four-pitch mix with the slider and changeup both operating as swing-and-miss offerings against righties and lefties, but the fastball and curve were homer-prone versus righties which resulted in a 202-point OPS split. His key to success is keeping the fastball up versus righties and maybe shifting some of the curveball usage to his other secondaries unless he can stop hanging it so much. There's something to bet on here and he won't cost much at all.
Boyd went to Detroit in the David Price trade and had a cup of coffee as the Tigers' fifth starter last year. He struggled with control and the long ball. In fact, he allowed 17 homers in just 57.1 innings of work and finished 1-6 with a 1.59 WHIP and 43:20 K:BB rate. He's a power lefty who hit 95 mph as a starter, but his future might lie in the bullpen, as his heater could theoretically hit 97 or even 98 if he were restricted to just one or two innings of work, and that could make him remarkably successful given the deceit that comes with his arm slot. He isn't yet worth owning as a starter in most formats, although he will have an opportunity to compete for a spot in the rotation during spring training. His horrible numbers in limited work in the big leagues last year will scare everyone away, so if he does win a spot out of camp, he will be dirt cheap in AL-only leagues.
More Fantasy News
Gets shelled but avoids loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 20, 2018
Boyd allowed five runs (two earned) on six hits across 1.1 innings Thursday but escaped with a no-decision in an 11-8 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out seven in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
September 14, 2018
Boyd did not factor into the decision in Friday's 5-4 win over the Indians, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Fans season-high 11 in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
September 8, 2018
Boyd didn't factor into the decision in Saturday's 4-3 win over the Cardinals, allowing one run on two hits and a walk over seven-plus innings while striking out 11.
ANALYSIS
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Submits quality outing in Bronx
PDetroit Tigers
September 2, 2018
Boyd (9-12) allowed three runs on five hits and one walk while striking out six over six innings as he secured the victory Sunday against the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
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Yields five in loss
PDetroit Tigers
August 28, 2018
Boyd (8-12) took the loss Tuesday, allowing five runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out four over six innings against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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