Matthew Boyd
Matthew Boyd
28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Boyd was the de facto staff ace for Detroit in 2018, leading the team in starts, quality starts, wins and strikeouts. The lefty came out of the gates hot, posting an even 3.00 ERA over his first 10 starts, but these monthly ERAs followed: 6.32, 4.34, 4.25, 5.40. He can show flashes of upside, like he did Sept. 8 when he fanned 11 Cardinals, but only his slider graded out as league average. Granted, it was the fifth-best slider among starters, but it's tough to be successful in the major leagues on a consistent basis with only one good pitch. Against lefty batters, Boyd had a 22.6 K-BB%, but that number fell all the way to 13.2% against opposite-handed hitters. Righties combined for 21 homers against Boyd (1.44 HR/9). He seems cemented into the Tigers' rotation and his WHIP will likely remain reasonable, but those home runs aren't going anywhere and the team will be bad, so don't get too carried away. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Tigers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Notches second win
PDetroit Tigers
April 23, 2019
Boyd (2-1) allowed three runs over seven innings and earned his second win in Tuesday's 7-4 victory over the Red Sox in the first game of a doubleheader. He gave up three hits, walked two and struck out three.
Boyd has been excellent to start the season, as he now has a 3.16 ERA through five starts, with a stellar 39:9 K:BB across 31.1 innings. The lefty will look to stay hot in his next scheduled start Sunday on the road against the White Sox.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .231 279 69 17 59 12 2 6
Since 2017vs Right .257 1161 239 96 267 57 6 41
2019vs Left .154 29 11 2 4 1 0 0
2019vs Right .216 97 28 7 19 3 1 2
2018vs Left .215 155 41 6 31 8 0 6
2018vs Right .232 554 118 45 115 25 1 21
2017vs Left .282 95 17 9 24 3 2 0
2017vs Right .292 510 93 44 133 29 4 18
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
Since 2017Home 3.47 1.13 163.1 10 7 0 7.4 2.6 1.0
Since 2017Away 5.71 1.47 173.1 7 18 0 9.0 3.4 1.5
2019Home 2.77 1.00 13.0 1 0 0 9.0 2.1 0.7
2019Away 3.44 1.04 18.1 1 1 0 12.8 2.9 0.5
2018Home 2.63 0.98 78.2 6 3 0 7.9 2.3 0.9
2018Away 5.89 1.31 91.2 3 10 0 8.8 3.0 1.9
2017Home 4.52 1.33 71.2 3 4 0 6.7 3.0 1.3
2017Away 6.11 1.82 63.1 3 7 0 8.1 4.1 1.1
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Stat Review
How does Matthew Boyd compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
90.7 mph
Strand %
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Tigers Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matthew Boyd
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3 days ago
Colorado's Charlie Blackmon looks like an attractive option at home Monday against Jeremy Hellickson and the Nationals.
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6 days ago
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DFS Baseball 101: Finding Value at Starting Pitching
9 days ago
Michael Rathburn analyzes under-the-radar pitchers like Caleb Smith who can help DFS owners get into the win column.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
The lefty has enjoyed a great deal of success at Triple-A (2.54 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 8.5 K/9), but to this point he's been unable to sustain success at the highest level. His strikeout rate fell by two per nine with the jump between levels last season (to 7.3 K/9) while his walk rate ticked up by more than a walk per nine (3.5 BB/9), but even so he probably deserved a little better than a 5.27 ERA -- Boyd was bit unlucky with a .330 BABIP and 68.7 percent strand rate. Just keep in mind that Boyd's BABIP will remain relatively high if he continues to allow line drives at a 22.3 percent clip. Boyd finished strong last season (2.95 ERA in September) and should have a rotation spot locked down on the rebuilding Tigers, so he has some appeal in the endgame of AL-only drafts and auctions, but he's waiver-wire fodder in mixed leagues until further notice.
Boyd had one of those seasons we regularly see from young arms: he was either good or horrible. There was little in-between. He had four incredibly bad starts that accounted for 49 percent of his earned runs (24-of-49) in just 11 percent of his innings (11.2 out of 97.1) yielding a 18.46 ERA. He posted a 2.63 ERA in his other 85.7 innings (14 starts, two relief appearances). Boyd has a quality four-pitch mix with the slider and changeup both operating as swing-and-miss offerings against righties and lefties, but the fastball and curve were homer-prone versus righties which resulted in a 202-point OPS split. His key to success is keeping the fastball up versus righties and maybe shifting some of the curveball usage to his other secondaries unless he can stop hanging it so much. There's something to bet on here and he won't cost much at all.
Boyd went to Detroit in the David Price trade and had a cup of coffee as the Tigers' fifth starter last year. He struggled with control and the long ball. In fact, he allowed 17 homers in just 57.1 innings of work and finished 1-6 with a 1.59 WHIP and 43:20 K:BB rate. He's a power lefty who hit 95 mph as a starter, but his future might lie in the bullpen, as his heater could theoretically hit 97 or even 98 if he were restricted to just one or two innings of work, and that could make him remarkably successful given the deceit that comes with his arm slot. He isn't yet worth owning as a starter in most formats, although he will have an opportunity to compete for a spot in the rotation during spring training. His horrible numbers in limited work in the big leagues last year will scare everyone away, so if he does win a spot out of camp, he will be dirt cheap in AL-only leagues.
More Fantasy News
Starting Game 1 of doubleheader
PDetroit Tigers
April 22, 2019
Boyd will start Game 1 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Red Sox, Anthony Fenech of the Detroit Free Press reports.
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Start vs. Red Sox postponed
PDetroit Tigers
April 22, 2019
Boyd's scheduled start against the Red Sox on Monday was postponed due to inclement weather, Chris Cotillo of reports.
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Pitches well in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
April 16, 2019
Boyd allowed three runs over seven innings and did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's 5-3 loss to the Pirates. He gave up six hits and a walk while striking out seven.
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Earns win with quality start
PDetroit Tigers
April 10, 2019
Boyd (1-1) grabbed the win against the Indians on Wednesday by allowing one run on four hits over six innings. He had six strikeouts and issued two walks.
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Fans career-high 13 against Yanks
PDetroit Tigers
April 3, 2019
Boyd struck out a career-high 13 batters Wednesday, allowing one run on five hits and three walks over 6.1 innings, but he didn't factor into the decision in a 2-1 win over the Yankees.
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