Jake Bauers
22-Year-Old First Baseman1B
2018 Fantasy Outlook
If the ball stays juiced, Bauers could end up being one of the most underrated prospects in the minors. He has an elite approach and quality hit tool, which could lead to on-base percentages north of .360. Bauers is an average runner with great instincts on the bases -- a rare skill for a Triple-A first baseman. He also has above-average raw power, but doesn't access all of it in games yet. This is where he becomes impossible to project. If Jesse Winker can get to the big leagues and hit seven home runs in 47 games, then Bauers is capable of being a 20-plus homer bat from Day 1, but it's unclear if this power environment will continue in perpetuity. The outfield experiment was a flop, and he should take the reins as the everyday big-league first baseman early in his age-22 season. His plate skills and modest speed contributions provide a solid floor, but his power output will determine whether he is a sought after fantasy first baseman or a corner-infield replacement option in standard leagues. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Traded to the Rays in December of 2014.
Bat heating up?
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 20, 2018
Bauers went 2-for-5 with a two-run double, another two-bagger and a run in a win over the Rangers on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
Bauers coaxed his average back over the Mendoza Line for the first time since Sept. 1 with his second multi-hit effort over the last four games. The rookie has knocked in seven runs over that span as well, thanks in large part to four extra-base hits (three doubles, one home run). Bauers showed plenty of promise earlier in the season, so the hope is he can finish off the regular season with similar momentum after a prolonged second-half slump.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .667 89 8 2 6 0 .200 .307 .360
Since 2016vs Right .716 261 35 9 38 5 .196 .319 .397
2018vs Left .667 89 8 2 6 0 .200 .307 .360
2018vs Right .716 261 35 9 38 5 .196 .319 .397
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+38%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+38%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
2016
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .802 197 26 7 27 5 .233 .362 .440
Since 2016Away .580 153 17 4 17 0 .154 .257 .323
2018Home .802 197 26 7 27 5 .233 .362 .440
2018Away .580 153 17 4 17 0 .154 .257 .323
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Jake Bauers compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.55
 
BB Rate
14.4%
 
K Rate
26.2%
 
BABIP
.245
 
ISO
.194
 
AVG
.201
 
OBP
.317
 
SLG
.395
 
OPS
.712
 
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
Bauers' 2016 numbers with Double-A Montgomery may not jump out at a glance, but considering his age relative to level, it was a highly successful campaign. The 21-year-old outfielder/first baseman's OBP represented a 41-point improvement over the number he generated in his 285-plate appearance sample at the Double-A level in 2015 -- a product of Bauers walking a career-high 73 times over 581 plate appearances (pushing his walk rate from 7.4 percent to 12.6 percent). He also showed an ability to make consistent contact, striking out at just a 15.3 percent clip. Bauers figures to start 2017 back at Montgomery, and whether he will stick at his corner infield spot or settle permanently in the outfield remains in question. He may have better overall long-term viability in the latter role, as the lefty hitter doesn't project to hit for elite power at the highest level, although there is still room for projection in that department.
Simply put, first base prospects have to hit a lot to make it in the big leagues. Nobody questions Bauers' hit tool, but forget plus power, he may not even have above-average power. Every now and then a player like James Loney or Casey Kotchman is able to carve out a career as a starting first baseman despite never hitting 20 home runs in a season, but it is a pretty rare feat. Additionally, those players are usually afterthoughts in fantasy. The fact that Bauers hit .276 in 285 plate appearances at Double-A as a 19-year-old is incredibly impressive, but that does not change his long-term outlook. He played the outfield in the Arizona Fall League, where his offensive profile would be a better fit, but it remains to be seen if he has the ability to handle an outfield corner in the upper levels. If he remains a first baseman, he will be a low-upside option, due to the lack of projectable power, but he becomes more interesting in dynasty leagues if there is a permanent transition to the outfield.
More Fantasy News
On bench Tuesday
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 18, 2018
Bauers is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game against Texas.
ANALYSIS
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Impressive all-around production
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 17, 2018
Bauers went 1-for-3 with a double, a walk and a stolen base in a win over the Athletics on Sunday.
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Homers and drives in four
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 15, 2018
Bauers went 3-for-3 with a homer and four RBI in Saturday's win over the A's.
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Slugs 10th homer in win
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 11, 2018
Bauers went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in a win over the Indians on Monday.
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Takes seat Sunday
1BTampa Bay Rays
September 9, 2018
Bauers is out of the lineup for Sunday's series finale against the Orioles.
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