Tony Kemp
Tony Kemp
26-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Houston Astros
2018 Fantasy Outlook
In another universe, Kemp is probably gearing up for a shot at a regular role, but in this timeline he's merely a luxury for the talent-rich Astros. The 26-year-old has enjoyed a great deal of success in the minor leagues, posting wRC+ marks above 110 at every stop. His walk rate slid dramatically in his third go-around at Triple-A last season (to 6.3 percent), but he made up for it with a much-improved contact rate -- he struck out just 7.8 percent of the time -- and more power than ever before. He also reached 20 steals for the fourth time on the farm. Kemp once again failed to carry that success over to the highest level and in fact he struggled to a much greater extent than he did during his 2016 debut, but it's hard to read much of anything into that given how sporadic and limited his opportunities were. A trade would change Kemp's outlook considerably, but right now, he's a fifth outfielder. Read Past Outlooks
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Starts for Reddick
OFHouston Astros
September 19, 2018
Kemp started in center field and went 1-for-3 with a double and a run scored in Tuesday's 7-0 win over Seattle.
ANALYSIS
With Josh Reddick (Achilles) sidelined, Kemp slotted into the starting lineup in center field while George Springer covered right field. With a day off looming Thursday, the Astros can keep Reddick out of Wednesday's series finale and allow three days for the Achilles to stop barking. In that case, Kemp could get another start Wednesday.
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Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+50%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .633 109 12 0 9 1 .247 .324 .309
Since 2016vs Right .737 338 45 7 32 11 .258 .340 .397
2018vs Left .710 75 8 0 8 0 .284 .351 .358
2018vs Right .821 197 28 6 22 9 .280 .374 .446
2017vs Left .522 10 0 0 1 0 .222 .300 .222
2017vs Right .491 29 6 0 3 1 .214 .241 .250
2016vs Left .440 24 4 0 0 1 .143 .250 .190
2016vs Right .660 112 11 1 7 1 .232 .306 .354
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+11%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .709 207 27 2 23 6 .263 .340 .369
Since 2016Away .714 240 30 5 18 6 .249 .333 .380
2018Home .746 133 19 1 16 6 .279 .377 .369
2018Away .827 139 17 5 14 3 .282 .360 .468
2017Home .500 14 2 0 1 0 .214 .214 .286
2017Away .497 25 4 0 3 1 .217 .280 .217
2016Home .677 60 6 1 6 0 .241 .288 .389
2016Away .575 76 9 0 1 2 .197 .303 .273
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Stat Review
How does Tony Kemp compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.78
 
BB Rate
11.2%
 
K Rate
14.4%
 
BABIP
.306
 
ISO
.137
 
AVG
.274
 
OBP
.360
 
SLG
.411
 
OPS
.771
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
A small, speedy second baseman in the Houston system is bound to draw comparisons to Jose Altuve. Let's be honest, that's unfair to both guys. It undersells just how excellent Altuve has been as a big leaguer and puts lofty expectations on Kemp based mostly on size. So, let's just focus on Kemp. He has posted a .304 average in the minors over 1,797 plate appearances, but more importantly a near 1.0 K/BB. His speed has been there in volume, but not efficiency -- 107 steals with a modest 70 percent success rate. His 20 percent strikeout rate was a lot (for him) in his MLB debut, but his six percent swinging strike rate suggests he was perhaps too passive while pitchers were attacking. This profile at peak might only hit .275, but with a .340-plus OBP which should offer ample opportunity to steal if he learns when to go. Unfortunately, he would need Altuve to suffer an injury in order to profile as more than a utility player if he remains with Houston.
Kemp is the type of player who often gets overlooked due to his size (5-foot-7, 165 pounds), but the Astros know more than any other organization that small second basemen can still be a factor at the big league level. With a profile that matches Jose Altuve nearly perfectly, the 24-year-old hit .308/.388/.386 in 121 games between Double-A Corpus Christi and Triple-A Fresno last season. With excellent plate discipline (169 walks to 179 strikeouts over three minor league seasons) and plus speed (35 steals last year), Kemp has advanced rapidly in the minors, but the Astros have a crowded infield and aren't in a rush to promote him to the bigs. Unless the team deals with injuries, he's likely to spend a full season at Triple-A Fresno.
In 72 games with High-A Lancaster, Kemp hit .336/.433/.468 with 19 doubles, four triples, four home runs, 37 RBI and 79 runs scored over 295 at-bats. His .433 OBP ranked first in the California League, which earned him a well-deserved promotion to Double-A Corpus Christi in late June. The 23-year-old second baseman was nearly as successful in the Texas League, hitting .292/.381/.425 in 59 games. What Kemp lacks in size (5-foot-6, 165 pounds) and power, he makes up for with plus speed (41 steals between the two levels) and an excellent batting eye (73 walks to 67 strikeouts). He's a prospect to keep an eye on in the Astros' system as he prepares for a likely promotion to Triple-A at some point in 2015.
More Fantasy News
Clubs two-run homer
OFHouston Astros
September 11, 2018
Kemp went 2-for-2 with a walk and a two-run home run in Tuesday's 5-4 win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Playing time up with Springer out
OFHouston Astros
August 26, 2018
Kemp will start in center field and bat ninth Sunday against the Angels, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
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Takes seat in series finale
OFHouston Astros
August 19, 2018
Kemp is out of the lineup Sunday against the Athletics.
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Lone offensive source in loss
OFHouston Astros
August 19, 2018
Kemp went 1-for-3 with a solo home run in Saturday's 7-1 loss to the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
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Situated on bench Tuesday
OFHouston Astros
August 7, 2018
Kemp is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Giants.
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