Michael Conforto
Michael Conforto
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
New York Mets
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Conforto continues to make strides as a hitter. Way back in the day, there was pseudo-science around the Age 27 theory which pointed to many hitters having career years at age 27. It is a long-debunked theory, but that does not discredit what Conforto did at that age in the 2020 season. His 157 wRC+ was the eighth-best in the National League, and yet somehow Ryan Tepera received more MVP votes than Conforto did. The plate discipline skills have been remarkably consistent for a player in his mid-20s, but the career-best batting average was a big surprise. He did stop pulling the ball and used all fields, which is how DJ LeMahieu has done so well for the other New York team. Conforto's xBA came in at .284, and even that would have been a career-best batting average. Hitters that can hit the ball to all fields are tough to shift on, which allows for more hits to bleed through. This bears watching in 2021. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#73
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $12.25 million contract with the Mets in January of 2021.
Agrees to deal with Mets
OFNew York Mets
January 15, 2021
Conforto (hamstring) and the Mets reached a one-year, $12.25 million deal Friday, avoiding, arbitration, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Conforto's 2020 season ended slightly early due to hamstring tightness, but he'll avoid arbitration with the Mets heading into 2021. He had a strong season last year, slashing .322/.412/.515 with nine home runs and three stolen bases over 54 games.
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Batting Stats
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2019
2018
2017
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
23
11
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
10
8
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+32%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .775 469 55 20 64 4 .252 .335 .440
Since 2018vs Right .877 1046 153 50 141 9 .267 .380 .498
2020vs Left .881 85 15 4 10 1 .288 .388 .493
2020vs Right .982 144 25 5 21 2 .352 .438 .544
2019vs Left .701 193 17 6 26 1 .241 .316 .385
2019vs Right .926 455 73 27 66 6 .264 .382 .544
2018vs Left .803 191 23 10 28 2 .249 .330 .473
2018vs Right .794 447 55 18 54 1 .241 .358 .436
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+31%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .826 695 92 33 87 6 .255 .357 .469
Since 2018Away .856 824 116 37 118 7 .266 .371 .485
2020Home .920 110 17 4 11 1 .323 .409 .510
2020Away .934 123 23 5 20 2 .321 .415 .519
2019Home .934 296 44 18 46 4 .274 .382 .552
2019Away .792 352 46 15 46 3 .243 .347 .445
2018Home .682 289 31 11 30 1 .211 .311 .371
2018Away .895 349 47 17 52 2 .271 .381 .514
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Stat Review
How does Michael Conforto compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.42
 
BB Rate
10.3%
 
K Rate
24.5%
 
BABIP
.412
 
ISO
.193
 
AVG
.322
 
OBP
.412
 
SLG
.515
 
OPS
.927
 
wOBA
.407
 
Exit Velocity
81.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.9%
 
Barrels/PA
7.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
A quick glance at leading indicators, namely K%, BB% and average exit velocity, suggests a stagnation in Conforto's skills in his age-26 season, but there was some underlying growth. When Conforto did get fooled, he was able to make contact with those pitches out of the zone more often (63.4 O-Contact%). He trimmed his K% against left-handed pitching from 30.9% to 25.9% and hit .268 against offspeed pitches, up from .189 in 2018. Among 451 batters with at least 100 plate appearances, Conforto ranked 35th in xwOBA with a .367 mark, and his xwOBA on contact was up close to 30 points. A bonus for fantasy owners: Conforto was more active and efficient on the basepaths, stealing seven bags in nine attempts, matching his SB total from his first four seasons combined. There is still some platoon risk here, but Conforto has a strong skills base to prop up his floor and there may be another level to his game.
After undergoing shoulder surgery in September 2017, Conforto was initially expected to miss at least the first month of 2018. He pleased fantasy managers when he pushed through his rehab and missed only the first five games, but in hindsight, a longer recovery time would have been beneficial. Though he avoided setbacks with the shoulder, Conforto struggled to regain power in the first half and delivered a .150 ISO, 116 points lower than his 2017 mark. Fortunately, he seemed to be all the way back in peak form from mid-July on, raising his hard-hit rate nearly five percentage points en route to a .895 post-break OPS. With no injury concerns clouding his 2019 outlook, Conforto looks poised to keep his career on an upward trajectory. The fact that a compromised version of Conforto actually performed better against lefties (122 wRC+) than he did while ostensibly healthier the year before (94 wRC+) offers additional reason to be bullish.
Conforto was establishing himself as one of the game's most exciting young outfielders before a torn posterior capsule in his left shoulder ended his season in August. He hit over .300 in three separate months of the campaign and boosted his walk rate for the season to 13 percent. As a 24-year-old, Conforto ranked 30th in barrel rate with 7.5 Brls/PA (min. 190 batted-ball events), which resulted in a .557 xSLG and .276 ISO. His HR/FB rate was inflated to a great extent at 27.3 percent, and his struggles against lefties continued (.212/.284/.444), but Conforto looks like the real deal against righties and there is hope that he will improve with more exposure to southpaws. Unfortunately, Conforto may not be ready for the start of 2018 after undergoing surgery on his shoulder in September. Expect the Mets to give Conforto another chance to play every day once he's healthy.
Conforto has potential as he's exhibited solid plate skills in the minors with extra-base power. However, these have yet to translate to the major league level, in large part due serious deficiencies against lefty pitching. After a strong April (1.118 OPS), Conforto struggled the next two months (.519 OPS) was demoted in late June. He was recalled just after the All-Star break, hitting well initially but ultimately landing back at Triple-A Las Vegas in August. There was some hope that Conforto's early scuffles were a result of a sore wrist but his failure to produce in his second big league stint suggested otherwise. He returned for the final month, hitting a meek .236 in 38 at-bats with one homer. It doesn't help that Las Vegas is one of the best hitting environments in the minors, artificially boosting numbers, and expectations. Conforto's 2017 role is unclear, but he'll try to win a job in the outfield or first base this spring.
Yoenis Cespedes receives a lot of the credit for the Mets' second-half offensive surge, but Conforto's contributions cannot be overlooked. After his July 24 arrival from Double-A, Conforto quickly emerged as a valuable source of power, smacking 23 extra-base hits in 174 at-bats, while maintaining a near-league-average contact rate. Sure, he may have benefited from limited exposure to left-handed pitching (14 at-bats), and the average could fall if he moves into an everyday role in left field with Michael Cuddyer retired, but Conforto did not have dramatic lefty/righty splits in his two minor-league seasons. In fact, he had slightly better numbers against lefties (.904 OPS) than against righties (.897 OPS) with Binghamton prior to his callup. Given what he did in his first exposure to big-league pitching, his age and handle of the strike zone, there is reason to think he will continue to thrive with a full season's worth of at-bats near the middle of the Mets' lineup.
Conforto was drafted as a bat-first outfielder with the 10th overall pick in 2014 out of Oregon State. He won’t be ranked highly on national prospect lists as he profiles as a left fielder, but the impact potential on offense is real. He slashed .331/.403/.448 with three home runs in 186 plate appearances at short season Brooklyn, and figures to start 2015 at Low-A. Entering his age-22 season, Conforto has a chance to move fast. Considering defense won’t be a primary focus and given his hit and power tools, which both project as plus, he could get to Double-A by the end of the season, with a chance to debut with the Mets in the summer of 2016. At his peak, Conforto could provide a .285 average with 25 home runs, so he should be targeted in the early rounds of dynasty leagues this year.
More Fantasy News
Hamstring tightness ends season
OFNew York Mets
Hamstring
September 24, 2020
Conforto was placed on the 10-day injured list Thursday with hamstring tightness, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Held hitless in return
OFNew York Mets
September 23, 2020
Conforto (hamstring) went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts in Wednesday's 8-5 loss to the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Starting as designated hitter
OFNew York Mets
September 23, 2020
Conforto (hamstring) is starting Wednesday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Remains sidelined
OFNew York Mets
Hamstring
September 22, 2020
Conforto (hamstring) remains on the bench Tuesday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Not available to pinch hit
OFNew York Mets
Hamstring
September 21, 2020
Conforto (hamstring) wasn't available to pinch hit Monday against the Rays, Justin Toscano of The Bergen Record reports.
ANALYSIS
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