Luke Weaver
Luke Weaver
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
St. Louis Cardinals
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Say what you will about a "soft" schedule for Weaver; he was excellent in 2017. The right-hander posted a 2.05 ERA over his first 11 starts, and while a couple of poor performances at the end of the year inflated his overall numbers, Weaver finished with a 3.17 FIP and 2.93 xFIP over 60.1 innings at the big-league level. He averaged 10.7 K/9 and just 2.5 BB/9 -- he had the 28th-best K-BB percentage among 274 pitchers with at least 60 innings. Weaver did well to keep the ball on the ground (49.4 percent GB%) and limit hard contact, resulting in a .287 xwOBA. He is still primarily a fastball-changeup pitcher, but the changeup is a dominant pitch, and his curveball is coming along. The only real concern with Weaver is his workload. He totaled just 138 innings between the majors and minors last year, his highest total as a professional, after throwing 119.1 combined frames in 2016. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a $1.843 million contract with the Cardinals in June of 2014.
Moved back to bullpen
PSt. Louis Cardinals
September 3, 2018
Weaver will work out of the bullpen moving forward, Joe Trezza of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Thanks to an off day Thursday, the Cardinals are able to proceed with a four-man rotation until next Monday, at which point Adam Wainwright (elbow) is expected to rejoin the rotation after a lengthy stay on the disabled list. Wainwright's return pushed both Weaver and Daniel Poncedeleon to the bullpen, though both will remain options to start down the stretch should an opportunity arise. While it's a small sample size, Weaver has fared better in relief this season, posting a 2.25 ERA across three appearances (four innings) compared to his 4.66 mark through 25 starts (129.1 innings).
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .285 503 106 48 127 21 2 16
Since 2016vs Right .269 525 132 35 128 22 2 17
2018vs Left .291 324 57 34 83 14 2 11
2018vs Right .261 285 64 20 67 10 2 8
2017vs Left .210 110 31 8 21 3 0 2
2017vs Right .288 142 41 9 38 8 0 5
2016vs Left .377 69 18 6 23 4 0 3
2016vs Right .264 98 27 6 23 4 0 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-20%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-26%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-41%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 5.34 1.47 111.1 5 7 0 8.8 3.2 1.4
Since 2016Away 4.29 1.43 121.2 10 10 0 9.5 3.2 1.2
2018Home 5.74 1.60 64.1 1 5 0 7.8 3.6 1.5
2018Away 4.25 1.40 72.0 6 6 0 8.1 3.5 1.0
2017Home 4.72 1.34 34.1 3 2 0 9.7 2.6 1.0
2017Away 2.77 1.15 26.0 4 0 0 12.1 2.4 1.0
2016Home 4.97 1.18 12.2 1 0 0 11.4 2.8 1.4
2016Away 6.08 1.82 23.2 0 4 0 11.0 3.0 1.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Luke Weaver compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
2.24
 
K/9
8.0
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
93.7 mph
 
ERA
4.95
 
WHIP
1.50
 
BABIP
.332
 
GB/FB
1.28
 
Strand %
69.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Cardinals Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
Weaver got his first taste of the majors at the latter end of the 2016 season. He pieced together a few rough outings and ended the year with a 5.70 ERA and 1.60 WHIP that was built over nine games (36.1 innings). Lefties were particularly tough for Weaver and they went 23-for-69 (.377) against the 23-year-old. Fortunately for the club, he showed signs of promise and produced a 27 percent strikeout rate in that time. Weaver has shown he's a capable starter in the minors, as he dominated his 12 starts at Double-A Springfield in 2016. Heading into 2017, the Cardinals may have Weaver compete for a spot at the back of their rotation, or could opt to use him from the bullpen as they did at the end of 2016. However, the most likely course of action will be to send him to Triple-A Memphis, where he's only appeared in one game to this point, to keep developing his breaking pitches until he's deemed MLB-ready.
Weaver appears to be a third pitch away from being a No. 3 starter, thanks to a low-90s fastball and a filthy changeup that will work as an out pitch at the highest level. That combination was enough for him to breeze through the pitcher-friendly Florida State League with a 1.62 ERA, 1.11 WHIP, and 88 strikeouts in 105.1 innings. Those numbers rightfully put him squarely on the radar of dynasty league owners, but most reports suggest his curveball lags way behind the rest of his arsenal. Without that third pitch, there is not much to see here, so Weaver should still be seen as a work in progress. Fortunately he is in a competent organization, and at least two years away from the big leagues, so it is OK that he is not a finished product. He will head to Double-A Springfield in 2016, where it should become fairly obvious if he has improved his breaking ball.
The 27th overall selection out of Florida State in the 2014 amateur draft, Weaver is expected to work his way through the Cardinals' system rather quickly and could be competing for a roster spot as soon as 2016. Weaver was only able to log 9.1 professional innings with the club's rookie and High-A affiliates, getting six starts and striking out 12. Expect Weaver to start 2015 in either Low-A or High-A for the Cardinals, possibly finishing the season in Double-A if he pitches well. Weaver has drawn praise as one of the lowest risk pitchers drafted. Fantasy owners still shouldn't expect anything on the MLB level until 2016, with 2017 being the most likely scenario.
More Fantasy News
Issues five walks in return to rotation
PSt. Louis Cardinals
September 3, 2018
Weaver allowed two runs on three hits and five walks across four innings en route to a no-decision Sunday against the Reds. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
In line to start Sunday
PSt. Louis Cardinals
August 31, 2018
Weaver will take the hill for Sunday's series finale against the Reds, Jenifer Langosch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Retreats to relief role
PSt. Louis Cardinals
August 19, 2018
Weaver will be removed from the Cardinals rotation, with Daniel Poncedeleon taking his place and starting Tuesday, Rob Rains of StLSportsPage.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Remaining in rotation for now
PSt. Louis Cardinals
August 17, 2018
Weaver will remain in the starting rotation for now, Jenifer Langosch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Chased early in loss
PSt. Louis Cardinals
August 16, 2018
Weaver (6-11) tossed 3.2 innings Thursday, allowing four runs (two earned) on seven hits and a walk in the 5-4 loss to Washington. He took the loss and struck out just one batter.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.