Brandon Lowe

Brandon Lowe

27-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Tampa Bay Rays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe is 5-foot-10 and 185 pounds, yet continues to barrel the baseball like few others in the game. Lowe hits what the local radio team calls "Helium Balls" because they tend to just stay in the air longer than most flyballs until they find the seats. For the first six weeks of the 2020 season, Lowe was a leading candidate for the AL MVP as he had a .273/.371/.612 slash line with 10 homers, 26 runs, and 27 RBI heading into September. He cooled off a bit with a .264/.345/.458 line the rest of the way, but then was downright abysmal in the playoffs, hitting .118/.183/.276 around the two-homer game in the World Series with a 34% strikeout rate. He hit .300 with six homers against lefties in 2020, somewhat quieting the concerns of him being platooned, but the postseason slump is definitely concerning. The strikeouts limit his batting average upside, but he does accept his walks and hits with power to all fields. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#72
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $24 million contract with the Rays in March of 2019. Contract includes a $10.5 million team options ($1 million buyout) for 2025 and an $11.5 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2026.
Powers rout with three homers
2BTampa Bay Rays
October 2, 2021
Lowe went 3-for-5 with three home runs and seven RBI in Saturday's 12-2 win over the Yankees.
ANALYSIS
He got the rout started quickly with a three-run blast off Jordan Montgomery in the first inning, then took the Yankees southpaw deep again for another three-run shot in the third before capping his afternoon with a solo homer off Michael King in the seventh. Lowe came into 2021 with 37 career home runs in 181 games, and he's now topped that total with 39 in 148 contests this season. He'll look for No. 40 on the final day of the season.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
59
7
6
20
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
1
17
11
5
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+44%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+34%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .749 316 34 19 45 2 .226 .291 .458
Since 2019vs Right .918 846 141 51 142 13 .271 .363 .555
2021vs Left .662 188 17 10 27 1 .198 .261 .401
2021vs Right .956 427 80 29 72 6 .270 .375 .581
2020vs Left 1.137 60 11 6 9 1 .300 .417 .720
2020vs Right .851 160 25 8 28 2 .264 .344 .507
2019vs Left .674 68 6 3 9 0 .242 .265 .409
2019vs Right .899 259 36 14 42 5 .278 .355 .543
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .854 575 84 33 88 10 .248 .343 .511
Since 2019Away .890 582 90 37 98 5 .269 .344 .547
2021Home .847 313 51 19 47 5 .234 .342 .506
2021Away .879 302 46 20 52 2 .259 .338 .541
2020Home .968 96 15 6 15 3 .272 .375 .593
2020Away .905 119 20 8 21 0 .276 .353 .552
2019Home .802 166 18 8 26 2 .258 .325 .477
2019Away .900 161 24 9 25 3 .283 .348 .552
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Stat Review
How does Brandon Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
11.1%
 
K Rate
27.2%
 
BABIP
.280
 
ISO
.277
 
AVG
.247
 
OBP
.340
 
SLG
.523
 
OPS
.863
 
wOBA
.372
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
35.6%
 
Barrels/PA
9.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brandon Lowe
MLB Betting: Sunday Best Bets
5 days ago
Michael Rathburn picks Sunday's playoff games, including a bet on Dylan Cease and the White Sox.
The Z Files: Playoff Primer, NFBC Postseason Holdem
8 days ago
Todd Zola discusses his strategy in assembling a lineup for the NFBC's postseason contest and recommends considering your alternatives if a player like Freddie Freeman gets eliminated.
Playoff Primer: The Rankings
10 days ago
Todd Zola ranks players by position for fantasy playoff leagues. Chicago's Jose Abreu is tough to beat at first base.
Bernie on the Scene: Looking at World Series Contenders
18 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff writes about potential World Series champions, starting with Eloy Jimenez and the Chicago White Sox.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
21 days ago
Mike Barner thinks Adalberto Mondesi might be worth taking a chance on with his matchup against the Tigers’ Casey Mize.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lowe inked a six-year, $24 million extension last March, ensuring he would hold a vital role for the Rays right away after a strong 43-game cameo in 2018. Injuries effectively kept Lowe out of the mix after the All-Star break, but his big first half still made his season an unequivocal success. Initially tabbed for a utility role, the 25-year-old settled at the keystone and was among the top fantasy options at the position when healthy, slashing .276/.339/.523 with 16 homers and five steals before the break. If injuries hadn't intervened, Lowe may have been headed for a drop-off, as his 33.9 K% and .381 BABIP loomed as major signs that the .276 average would fall. Lowe's ability to rack up counting stats appears more repeatable based on his Statcast metrics, so as long as fantasy managers can deal with a sub-.250 average and the Rays benching him versus lefties, there's still value to be had.
It's difficult to make heads or tails of Lowe. He totaled 28 homers and posted wRC+ marks of 156 and 178 at Double-A and Triple-A, respectively, last season. Lowe was also 13% better than league average, offensively, in his first foray into the major leagues. However, he was relatively old for those levels in the minors and had a 25.7% strikeout rate in the big leagues. Statcast suggests he was a .220-ish hitter. His 77.4% zone-contact rate was way below league average and is a red flag looking ahead to 2019 and beyond. There is some speed here to go along with the pop, and Lowe has shown that he will accept his walks. After the Rays traded Mallex Smith, general manager Erik Neander said publicly that Lowe will be in the mix for a spot on the Opening Day roster, but a starting spot seems unlikely barring multiple injuries in front of him on the depth chart.
More Fantasy News
Resting Friday
2BTampa Bay Rays
October 1, 2021
Lowe will sit Friday against the Yankees, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Goes deep again
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 30, 2021
Lowe went 1-for-3 with a two-run homer and a walk Thursday in a 3-2 loss to the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Belts 35th long ball
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 30, 2021
Lowe went 2-for-5 with a two-run home run, a double and an additional run scored Wednesday in a 7-0 win over Houston.
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Goes for four hits in win
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2021
Lowe went 4-for-5 with a single, three doubles and two RBI in Saturday's 7-3 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Receives Monday off
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 20, 2021
Lowe is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Blue Jays, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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