Brandon Lowe
Brandon Lowe
26-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Tampa Bay Rays
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Lowe is 5-foot-10 and 185 pounds, yet continues to barrel the baseball like few others in the game. Lowe hits what the local radio team calls "Helium Balls" because they tend to just stay in the air longer than most flyballs until they find the seats. For the first six weeks of the 2020 season, Lowe was a leading candidate for the AL MVP as he had a .273/.371/.612 slash line with 10 homers, 26 runs, and 27 RBI heading into September. He cooled off a bit with a .264/.345/.458 line the rest of the way, but then was downright abysmal in the playoffs, hitting .118/.183/.276 around the two-homer game in the World Series with a 34% strikeout rate. He hit .300 with six homers against lefties in 2020, somewhat quieting the concerns of him being platooned, but the postseason slump is definitely concerning. The strikeouts limit his batting average upside, but he does accept his walks and hits with power to all fields. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#71
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $24 million contract with the Rays in March of 2019. Contract includes a $10.5 million team options ($1 million buyout) for 2025 and an $11.5 million team option ($500,000 buyout) for 2026.
Slated to work at third base
2BTampa Bay Rays
February 24, 2021
Lowe will get time at third base during spring training, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Lowe is slated to begin the regular season as the starting second baseman for the Rays, but his increased reps at third base should allow for more in-game defensive flexibility for manager Kevin Cash. The 26-year-old appeared in 56 games during the abbreviated 2020 season, slashing .269/.362/.554 with 14 home runs and 37 RBI.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
36
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
5
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+34%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .842 162 20 12 26 1 .250 .315 .527
Since 2018vs Right .863 533 74 25 87 9 .268 .351 .512
2020vs Left 1.137 60 11 6 9 1 .300 .417 .720
2020vs Right .851 160 25 8 28 2 .264 .344 .507
2019vs Left .674 68 6 3 9 0 .242 .265 .409
2019vs Right .899 259 36 14 42 5 .278 .355 .543
2018vs Left .704 34 3 3 8 0 .188 .235 .469
2018vs Right .794 114 13 3 17 2 .247 .351 .443
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .833 350 42 16 56 7 .255 .343 .490
Since 2018Away .885 340 51 21 56 3 .272 .341 .544
2020Home .968 96 15 6 15 3 .272 .375 .593
2020Away .905 119 20 8 21 0 .276 .353 .552
2019Home .802 166 18 8 26 2 .258 .325 .477
2019Away .900 161 24 9 25 3 .283 .348 .552
2018Home .746 88 9 2 15 2 .230 .341 .405
2018Away .809 60 7 4 10 0 .236 .300 .509
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Brandon Lowe compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.43
 
BB Rate
11.2%
 
K Rate
25.9%
 
BABIP
.309
 
ISO
.285
 
AVG
.269
 
OBP
.362
 
SLG
.554
 
OPS
.916
 
wOBA
.398
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
43.1%
 
Barrels/PA
11.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brandon Lowe
The Z Files: Putting a Price on Multiple Eligibility
8 days ago
Todd Zola examines the added value provided by players eligible at multiple positions, such as Cavan Biggio, in different league formats.
Baseball Draft Kit: Player Values by Position
16 days ago
Jeff Erickson ranks the players at each position for the 2021 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
Farm Futures: The Top 400 Update
25 days ago
James Anderson breaks down his big update to the top 400 prospect rankings, where five prospects had a case to be ranked No. 1, including Giants shortstop Marco Luciano.
The Z Files: Outfield Studs to Duds
51 days ago
Todd Zola wraps up his positional tiers with the outfield, and finds he can't quit Marcell Ozuna even without knowing what uniform he'll be wearing in 2021.
The Z Files: Flexibility Second To None
72 days ago
Todd Zola breaks down his tiers at the keystone and finds a plethora of multiple eligibility options, including the Mets' Jeff McNeil.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Lowe inked a six-year, $24 million extension last March, ensuring he would hold a vital role for the Rays right away after a strong 43-game cameo in 2018. Injuries effectively kept Lowe out of the mix after the All-Star break, but his big first half still made his season an unequivocal success. Initially tabbed for a utility role, the 25-year-old settled at the keystone and was among the top fantasy options at the position when healthy, slashing .276/.339/.523 with 16 homers and five steals before the break. If injuries hadn't intervened, Lowe may have been headed for a drop-off, as his 33.9 K% and .381 BABIP loomed as major signs that the .276 average would fall. Lowe's ability to rack up counting stats appears more repeatable based on his Statcast metrics, so as long as fantasy managers can deal with a sub-.250 average and the Rays benching him versus lefties, there's still value to be had.
It's difficult to make heads or tails of Lowe. He totaled 28 homers and posted wRC+ marks of 156 and 178 at Double-A and Triple-A, respectively, last season. Lowe was also 13% better than league average, offensively, in his first foray into the major leagues. However, he was relatively old for those levels in the minors and had a 25.7% strikeout rate in the big leagues. Statcast suggests he was a .220-ish hitter. His 77.4% zone-contact rate was way below league average and is a red flag looking ahead to 2019 and beyond. There is some speed here to go along with the pop, and Lowe has shown that he will accept his walks. After the Rays traded Mallex Smith, general manager Erik Neander said publicly that Lowe will be in the mix for a spot on the Opening Day roster, but a starting spot seems unlikely barring multiple injuries in front of him on the depth chart.
More Fantasy News
Swats pair of homers
2BTampa Bay Rays
October 21, 2020
Lowe went 2-for-5 with two home runs and three RBI overall in a win over the Dodgers in Game 2 of the World Series on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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First XBH of postseason
2BTampa Bay Rays
October 16, 2020
Lowe went 1-for-5 with a solo homer in the Rays' Game 5 loss to the Astros on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Game 4
2BTampa Bay Rays
October 14, 2020
Lowe isn't in the lineup Wednesday for Game 4 of the ALCS against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Not in lineup
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2020
Lowe is not starting Friday against the Phillies, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in win
2BTampa Bay Rays
September 23, 2020
Lowe went 2-for-5 with a home run, three RBI and two runs scored in Wednesday's 8-5 win over the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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