Harrison Bader
Harrison Bader
25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
St. Louis Cardinals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Defense is his calling card, but Bader's no slouch with the bat. When accounting for park effects and the current run environment, Bader graded out as 6% better than league average at the plate (106 wRC+) as a rookie. He did benefit from some good fortune on balls in play (.358 BABIP), but it wasn't all luck. He used his above-average speed to beat out groundballs at the highest rate among players with 400 plate appearances; a whopping 17.8% of Bader's groundballs resulted in infield hits. He showed good instincts on the basepaths, successfully converting 15 of 18 stolen-base attempts. His modest .251/.317/.378 line against same-handed pitching suggests he could be overexposed in an everyday role, but his stellar defense will give him a long leash. With stolen-base totals at their lowest levels in decades, Bader has quite a bit of appeal, as he has the speed to reach 20 bases while also contributing double-digit homers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Cardinals in July of 2017.
Benched for third straight
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
October 9, 2019
Bader is out of the lineup Wednesday for Game 5 of the Cardinals' NLDS matchup with the Braves.
ANALYSIS
Benched for the third game in a row, Bader appears to have lost his spot in the Cardinals' regular lineup to Matt Carpenter. Given that Bader is batting just .190 with a 37.5 percent strikeout rate since the beginning of September, his move into a reserve role doesn't come as a major shock.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
7
59
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
9
11
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+22%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+153%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .816 265 40 11 28 7 .254 .328 .487
Since 2017vs Right .671 660 85 16 58 21 .228 .317 .355
2019vs Left .640 106 9 4 10 1 .177 .255 .385
2019vs Right .693 300 45 8 29 10 .215 .334 .359
2018vs Left .886 138 26 5 14 6 .292 .370 .517
2018vs Right .695 289 35 7 23 9 .251 .317 .378
2017vs Left 1.229 21 5 2 4 0 .400 .429 .800
2017vs Right .486 71 5 1 6 2 .185 .239 .246
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+26%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+20%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+82%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .631 472 60 7 32 14 .209 .306 .324
Since 2017Away .797 453 65 20 54 14 .262 .334 .463
2019Home .614 194 29 5 16 6 .164 .306 .308
2019Away .736 212 25 7 23 5 .239 .321 .415
2018Home .678 222 28 2 15 7 .250 .321 .357
2018Away .840 205 33 10 22 8 .279 .348 .492
2017Home .500 56 3 0 1 1 .192 .250 .250
2017Away .909 36 7 3 9 1 .303 .333 .576
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Stat Review
How does Harrison Bader compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.39
 
BB Rate
11.3%
 
K Rate
28.8%
 
BABIP
.268
 
ISO
.161
 
AVG
.205
 
OBP
.314
 
SLG
.366
 
OPS
.680
 
wOBA
.303
 
Exit Velocity
88.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
38.4%
 
Barrels/PA
5.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Harrison Bader
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
32 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
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37 days ago
To kick off the NLCS, Chris Bennett likes the Cardinal’s Kolten Wong hitting in the 2-hole against Nationals pitcher Anibal Sanchez.
Postseason Cheatsheet
Postseason Cheatsheet
45 days ago
45 days ago
Jeff Erickson's quick postseason ranks.
Regan's Rumblings: Prospect Stashes for Next Year
61 days ago
Dave Regan does a deep dive into prospects to keep an eye on in 2020, including Tampa Bay’s Wander Franco, who stands out with his incredibly advanced plate discipline at such a young age.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
77 days ago
As we await expanded rosters, Jan Levine looks at the latest available NL candidates while mentioning a few who could stick for the rest of the regular season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Gone are the days where the Cardinals were satisfied with players like Jedd Gyorko, Kolten Wong, Randal Grichuk and the like occupying prominent spots in the lineup, and that's bad news for Bader. He fit the prototype of the Mike Matheny-era Cardinals -- a player who maximizes his natural ability but lacks the impact tools to be a game changer at the plate or in the field. With the starting outfield set for 2018 with three everyday players, Bader will be competing for a bench role this spring. He has always mashed lefties, which is a strength that Matheny would undoubtedly make use of if Bader is on the bench. Unfortunately, he is subpar against righties and has to sell out to access his average raw power, which means he will always be a bit of a batting average risk without enough power to make it worthwhile. He is capable of playing all three outfield spots and is an above-average runner. Essentially, he is a prototypical fourth outfielder.
The dominant narrative with Bader seems to be his dramatic decline in production after being promoted from the Texas League (143 wRC+) to the Pacific Coast League (74 wRC+). However, his splits against right-handed pitching should be what really troubles his dynasty league owners. He rode a 1.375 OPS against lefties at Low-A to prominence last offseason, and boosted his mark against southpaws even further to 1.485 OPS at Double-A in 2016. All the while, Bader was a middling hitter against righties, putting up splits of .270/.337/.399 and .249/.319/.377 at Low-A and Double-A, respectively. His solid defense in center field, above-average speed and ability to crush left-handed pitching will undoubtedly get him to the big leagues at some point in the next year or two, but it seems likely that he will be limited to a part-time role. Look to deal him before this reality becomes common knowledge.
The 100th overall pick in the 2015 draft started his professional career as well as any player in his class. Bader, a late bloomer with the stick out of the University of Florida, received a promotion to Low-A Peoria after posting a 1.055 OPS in seven games with short-season State College. He clearly needed more of a challenge, and he handled that challenge, posting a .301/.364/.505 slash line with nine home runs and 15 steals in 228 plate appearances. Despite being slightly younger than the average player at that level, Bader’s .869 OPS would have been tied for the second best mark in the Midwest League if he had enough plate appearances to qualify. His 49:15 K:BB in 61 games suggests he has the approach to continue his success in an assignment to High-A Palm Beach as a 21-year-old, and if he continues to rake, the 6-foot center fielder could find himself at Double-A shortly after he turns 22 on June 3.
More Fantasy News
Sits again for Game 4
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
October 7, 2019
Bader remains on the bench for Game 4 of the NLDS against the Braves on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Game 3
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
October 6, 2019
Bader is out of the lineup for Game 3 of the NLDS against the Braves on Sunday, Rob Rains of StLSportsPage.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in loss
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 29, 2019
Bader went 1-for-2 with a solo home run, a walk and two runs overall in a loss to the Cubs on Saturday.
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Retreats to bench
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 25, 2019
Bader is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Key component in win
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 20, 2019
Bader went 2-for-3 with a run-scoring single, an RBI double and a walk in an extra-inning win over the Cubs on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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