Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta was one of the league's biggest first half surprises as he was sitting with a 3.78 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in early June. His 11.4% BB% was high, but a dominant 27.3% K% minimized damage. This is when umpires were instructed to check for grip enhancers. From this point on, Pivetta recorded a 5.06 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but his BB% significantly fell to 8.7% while his K% dipped only slightly 25.9%. Pivetta's curve and slider spin rates fell for the first five outings after the umpires did their search, but recovered for the remainder of the season. This points to variance, and not a tackier explanation. Considering Pivetta was all but written off, last season was encouraging, but walks and homers remain an issue. He's a rotation lock and the strikeouts and win potential are nice, but they come with ratio risk, and the AL East isn't an easy division to take advantage of favorable matchups. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#361
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2.65 million contract with the Red Sox in March of 2022.
Picks up first win
PBoston Red Sox
May 13, 2022
Pivetta (1-4) allowed one run on three hits and a walk over seven innings Friday, striking out four and earning a win over Texas.
ANALYSIS
Pivetta cruised through six scoreless innings with little resistance from the Rangers, but he threw a wild pitch in the seventh, letting Kole Calhoun break up the shutout after he had tripled earlier in the frame. The 29-year-old right-hander has allowed just one run over his last two outings after posting a brutal 7.84 ERA through his first five starts. Pivetta is expected to face the Astros at home next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
87
How many pitches does Nick Pivetta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Pivetta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-37%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .256 334 86 37 75 12 3 13
Since 2020vs Right .234 522 134 46 109 26 1 18
2022vs Left .306 54 12 5 15 1 1 2
2022vs Right .225 91 21 9 18 2 0 2
2021vs Left .233 262 69 31 53 10 1 9
2021vs Right .235 399 106 34 84 21 1 15
2020vs Left .412 18 5 1 7 1 1 2
2020vs Right .259 32 7 3 7 3 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-31%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-81%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 6.00 1.53 96.0 5 4 0 10.1 3.8 2.1
Since 2020Away 3.74 1.16 108.1 7 8 1 9.7 3.7 0.8
2022Home 6.75 1.92 12.0 0 2 0 10.5 4.5 1.5
2022Away 4.15 1.11 21.2 1 2 0 7.9 3.3 0.8
2021Home 5.40 1.45 73.1 4 2 0 10.1 3.8 2.1
2021Away 3.75 1.18 81.2 5 6 1 10.2 3.7 0.8
2020Home 9.28 1.69 10.2 1 0 0 10.1 3.4 2.5
2020Away 1.80 1.20 5.0 1 0 0 9.0 3.6 1.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.36
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
3.7
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
5.08
 
WHIP
1.40
 
BABIP
.319
 
GB/FB
0.79
 
Left On Base
67.6%
 
Exit Velocity
83.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.4%
 
Spin Rate
2336 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
28.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Pivetta
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
5 days ago
It's Friday the 13th, with 13 games on the slate, including in Texas where Corey Seager will face Red Sox pitcher Nick Pivetta.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Knock on Woodruff
11 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as two-start Brandon Woodruff is looking good after a rough opener.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
17 days ago
Chris Morgan likes Anthony Rendon based on his lower salary and continued prowess against left-handed pitchers.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
Pivetta failed to win a starting job with the Phillies, so he began the 2020 season as a reliever. Through three appearances, Pivetta was sporting a 15.88 ERA and 1.94 WHIP with three homers and just four whiffs in 5.2 innings. The struggles prompted Pivetta to lose his roster spot before he was dealt to the Red Sox on Aug. 21. Pivetta was stretched out at Boston's alternate training facility as the Red Sox viewed him as a starter. Pivetta was recalled and made two starts, each lasting five frames with four hits and one earned run allowed. In those 10 innings, he fanned 13 with five walks. The results were enough for Pivetta to get a spring audition as a back-end starter in Boston's depleted rotation. Pivetta will be just 28 years old and the Red Sox are hoping he can rediscover the promising skills displayed in his first two seasons. Perhaps a change of scenery will help, but the wait-and-see approach is recommended.
2019 was supposed to be Pivetta's breakout campaign, as his underlying numbers suggested that a big improvement from his 4.77 ERA was coming. Unfortunately for those who bought into the hype, that didn't come close to happening. He was sent to the minors in mid-April after posting an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts and never really got things together even after returning in late May, posting a 4.66 ERA the rest of way. He lost his rotation spot for good in mid-July, spending the rest of the year in the bullpen. Pivetta's rough season was the product of his numbers falling off across the board. His BB% rose from 7.4% to 9.3%, while his formerly promising 27.1 K% plummeted to 21.1 K%. He also saw his HR/9 balloon to 1.92. The Phillies don't have much reason to bring the Canadian back into the rotation, and there's little reason to believe he'll suddenly become a relief ace.
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs.
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Punches out eight
PBoston Red Sox
May 7, 2022
Pivetta allowed five hits and no walks while striking out eight across six innings Saturday against the White Sox. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Dealt fourth loss
PBoston Red Sox
May 1, 2022
Pivetta (0-4) was charged with the loss Sunday in Baltimore after allowing three runs on six hits with five strikeouts and zero walks across 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Uneven effort in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
April 27, 2022
Pivetta didn't factor into the decision in Tuesday's 6-5 extra-inning loss to the Blue Jays, giving up two runs on three hits and four walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Takes away positives in loss
PBoston Red Sox
April 21, 2022
Pivetta (0-3) was charged with the loss after allowing five runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out four over four innings in Wednesday's 6-1 loss to the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Mechanics off in poor start
PBoston Red Sox
April 15, 2022
Pivetta (0-2) allowed four runs on five hits and two walks while striking out a pair over two innings Friday to take the loss against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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