Nick Pivetta
Nick Pivetta
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2018.
Strikes out eight in spring start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 20, 2019
Pivetta allowed three runs on three hits and a pair of walks in a five-inning start Wednesday against the Astros, striking out eight batters.
ANALYSIS
The start wasn't Pivetta's best in terms of runs allowed, but his Grapefruit League ERA still sits at a strong 3.31. The righty will make one more spring start and will then be lined up to pitch the Phillies' second game of the season March 30 against the Braves, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports. The fact that Pivetta will pitch ahead of Jake Arrieta in the rotation is a vote of confidence from the organization, indicating that the Phillies think the Canadian's 3.80 FIP last season is more representative of his true talent than his 4.77 ERA.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .265 593 151 57 138 19 3 17
Since 2016vs Right .275 685 177 51 169 33 2 32
2018vs Left .276 308 79 27 75 8 1 12
2018vs Right .250 386 109 24 88 17 1 12
2017vs Left .253 285 72 30 63 11 2 5
2017vs Right .308 299 68 27 81 16 1 20
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.75 1.26 155.1 8 11 0 11.0 2.5 1.6
Since 2016Away 5.97 1.55 141.2 7 13 0 8.8 4.1 1.3
2018Home 4.34 1.20 91.1 4 8 0 11.1 2.4 1.3
2018Away 5.33 1.43 72.2 3 6 0 9.3 3.3 1.4
2017Home 5.34 1.33 64.0 4 3 0 10.7 2.8 2.1
2017Away 6.65 1.68 69.0 4 7 0 8.3 4.8 1.3
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
3.69
 
K/9
10.3
 
BB/9
2.8
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
94.8 mph
 
ERA
4.77
 
WHIP
1.30
 
BABIP
.336
 
GB/FB
1.67
 
Strand %
66.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Phillies Depth Chart
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2018 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Turns in impressive start
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 15, 2019
Pivetta allowed one run on three hits and struck out two over five innings Friday against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Working on changeup
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 5, 2019
Pivetta is hoping to throw a changeup more often this season, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard, allows six vs. Colorado
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 26, 2018
Pivetta (7-14) took the loss Wednesday, allowing six runs on six hits and three walks while striking out three over 4.2 innings against the Rockies.
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Strong outing in no-decision
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 21, 2018
Pivetta allowed one run on four hits in a no-decision against the Braves on Friday, striking out four and walking one in five innings.
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Allows three runs in loss to Marlins
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 17, 2018
Pivetta (7-13) allowed three runs on four hits and one walk across five innings to take the loss Sunday against he Marlins. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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