Nick Pivetta
Nick Pivetta
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Phillies in March of 2018.
Bullpen transition considered
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
April 30, 2019
Pivetta is being considered for a move to the bullpen, Matt Breen of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Pivetta was demoted to Triple-A Lehigh Valley after getting lit up to the tune of an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts of the season. In two turns at the Triple-A level, he has a 3.75 ERA and a 46.0 percent strikeout rate. A move to the bullpen would eliminate any need to face a lineup a third time, something he's struggled with so far (6.53 ERA). There's no guarantee the move will happen, as manager Gabe Kapler referred to the idea simply as, "something that we're discussing and brainstorming."
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .275 643 158 64 155 22 5 20
Since 2017vs Right .280 728 186 52 183 34 2 34
2019vs Left .405 50 7 7 17 3 2 3
2019vs Right .359 43 9 1 14 1 0 2
2018vs Left .276 308 79 27 75 8 1 12
2018vs Right .250 386 109 24 88 17 1 12
2017vs Left .253 285 72 30 63 11 2 5
2017vs Right .308 299 68 27 81 16 1 20
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-20%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 5.13 1.35 173.2 10 12 0 10.6 2.7 1.7
Since 2017Away 5.97 1.55 141.2 7 13 0 8.8 4.1 1.3
2019Home 8.35 2.13 18.1 2 1 0 7.9 3.9 2.5
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 4.34 1.20 91.1 4 8 0 11.1 2.4 1.3
2018Away 5.33 1.43 72.2 3 6 0 9.3 3.3 1.4
2017Home 5.34 1.33 64.0 4 3 0 10.7 2.8 2.1
2017Away 6.65 1.68 69.0 4 7 0 8.3 4.8 1.3
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Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 40 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
K/BB
2.00
 
K/9
7.9
 
BB/9
3.9
 
HR/9
2.5
 
Fastball
94.1 mph
 
ERA
8.35
 
WHIP
2.13
 
BABIP
.421
 
GB/FB
2.00
 
Left On Base
65.6%
 
Exit Velocity
92.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
15.2%
 
Spin Rate
2536 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
45.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nick Pivetta
Regan's Rumblings: Callupapalooza
Yesterday
Dave Regan analyzes recent high-profile prospect callups, including Austin Riley, a third baseman by trade who’s expected to function as an everyday left fielder for the Braves.
Mound Musings: Reviewing Preseason Targets
20 days ago
Brad Johnson re-examines his preseason list of potential value pitchers who were likely underrated by fantasy team owners, such as the Rays’ Tyler Glasnow, to see how they’re doing to start the season.
Farm Futures: Stashing Season Is Here
21 days ago
James Anderson offers his thoughts on Nate Lowe's 2019 upside before listing the top remaining stash candidates, highlighting Marlins righty Zac Gallen.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
23 days ago
Erik Halterman looks at players like Texas' Joey Gallo whose performances in the first month of the season have been most out of line with their 2019 ADP.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
24 days ago
Jan Levine returns to survey the National League free-agent landscape, with Carter Kieboom looking good because of a strong path to regular playing time.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out 14 in second MiLB start
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
April 29, 2019
Pivetta struck out 14 over six innings for Triple-A Lehigh Valley in its 6-5 win Sunday over Buffalo. He gave up one run on three hits and three walks in the 101-pitch outing.
ANALYSIS
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Sent packing to minors
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
April 17, 2019
The Phillies optioned Pivetta to Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Wednesday, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises to easy win
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
April 16, 2019
Pivetta (2-1) picked up the win in Tuesday's 14-3 rout of the Mets, allowing three runs on seven hits and three walks over five innings while striking out two.
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Hit hard Wednesday
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
April 10, 2019
Pivetta (1-1) allowed seven earned runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out six across 3.2 innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Earns first victory
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AAA
April 5, 2019
Pivetta (1-0) allowed four runs (three earned) on nine hits with four strikeouts and one walk to pick up the victory over the Twins on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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