Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The unique circumstances surrounding the 2020 campaign weren't conducive for young arms to exhibit growth. Still, Cease's season was a big disappointment. His skills fell back across the board; he fanned fewer and walked more while allowing harder contact. Cease's 4.01 ERA was spared further harm by a .238 BABIP and 81.7 LOB%, both touched by Lady Luck, with a 5.87 xFIP and 5.86 SIERA more indicative of his true skill level. Command and control are Cease's primary issues. His pitch mix remained close to 2019, but he traded a few curves for sliders, his most effective offering. Last year, the right-hander threw his fastball for a strike just 61% of the time. Until he can locate his four-seamer better, he's just a guy with velocity. Entering his age-25 season, Cease is still young enough to prove he's more. However, other than youth and the reading on the radar gun, there's little reason for optimism. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#339
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $600,000 contract with the White Sox in February of 2021.
One out away from quality start
PChicago White Sox
May 16, 2021
Cease didn't factor into the decision Sunday against the Royals after allowing one unearned run on three hits and three walks while fanning three across 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
Cease was just one out away from what would've been his third quality start over his last four appearances. The right-hander has failed to complete five innings in four of his eight starts this season, but that hasn't happened in any of his last four outings. Cease continues to show swing-and-miss stuff, living up to the reputation he had as a prospect in the Cubs organization. Cease owns a 2.41 ERA so far and his next start is scheduled for next week at the Yankees.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-40%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .249 397 81 49 83 19 0 18
Since 2019vs Right .241 355 94 40 75 9 3 12
2021vs Left .154 81 26 11 10 0 0 2
2021vs Right .256 90 24 9 20 1 0 1
2020vs Left .256 152 20 20 32 9 0 7
2020vs Right .202 103 24 14 18 5 1 5
2019vs Left .285 164 35 18 41 10 0 9
2019vs Right .257 162 46 17 37 3 2 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.34 1.53 85.0 5 5 0 9.0 5.6 1.6
Since 2019Away 4.43 1.34 87.1 6 6 0 9.3 3.7 1.5
2021Home 2.10 1.13 25.2 1 0 0 10.5 3.9 0.7
2021Away 2.93 1.37 15.1 1 0 0 11.7 5.3 0.6
2020Home 3.24 1.56 25.0 2 1 0 7.6 7.6 1.8
2020Away 4.59 1.35 33.1 3 3 0 6.2 3.5 1.9
2019Home 6.82 1.81 34.1 2 4 0 8.9 5.5 2.1
2019Away 4.89 1.32 38.2 2 3 0 10.9 3.3 1.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.50
 
K/9
11.0
 
BB/9
4.4
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
96.1 mph
 
ERA
2.41
 
WHIP
1.22
 
BABIP
.292
 
GB/FB
0.83
 
Left On Base
83.0%
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.3%
 
Spin Rate
2631 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.1%
 
Swinging Strike
14.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Cease
FanDuel MLB: Sunday Targets
2 days ago
Chris Morgan is up for today's full schedule and has his eyes set on Bo Bichette at home versus Chase Anderson and the Phillies.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Wheeling and Dealing
3 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings has a prime spot for Zack Wheeler, who is maintaining a high ground-ball rate while ramping up his strikeout rate.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
7 days ago
Chris Bennett reviews Tuesday's slate and thinks Randy Arozarena's playoff power stroke could show up against Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Aces Not High
10 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, as Shane Bieber is one of the few aces with two starts.
MLB Betting: Tuesday Best Bets
14 days ago
Joe Sheehan dives into Tuesday's slate with four wagers, including a double-dip on the Reds-White Sox game where Dylan Cease is in for a tougher test than the one he faced against Detroit last time out.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
There's hope that Cease's command will come along, but right now, it's lacking. STATS LLC's new Command+ metric, which attempts to judge a pitcher's intent on each throw, had Cease's command at 88 in his debut season (100 is average). His Zone% was 39.4, per FanGraphs, and Cease battled walk (10.7%) and home run (1.85 HR/9) issues during his time in the majors. The free passes were nothing new, as Cease hasn't had a BB rate below 10% at any stop. The good news is that his raw stuff is excellent. With a fastball that averages north of 96 mph, a plus breaking ball and a potential plus changeup, Cease is able to miss bats at a well-above-average clip (24.9 K%, 11.0 SwStr%). There's upside here if he ever figures out how to put the ball where he wants it. In the meantime, Cease should be viewed as a streamer, one with more favorable matchups than most given the weakness of his division.
Blessed with special arm speed, Cease has had a high-leverage reliever floor (with reasonable health) since entering pro ball, but in 2018 he made massive strides to show that his future may be atop a rotation. He tallied over 100 innings (124) for the first time, notched a career-best 3.6 BB/9 and improved his secondary pitches. His mid-90s fastball touches 98 mph and was more of a worm killer last year (1.14 GO/AO) than in 2017 (0.88 GO/AO). Cease's curveball is his second-best pitch -- a potentially plus offering -- and his changeup emerged as a viable third pitch, thanks largely to the strength of his fastball. His command may never be better than fringe average, but with his stuff, it doesn't need to be. The most impressive aspect of Cease's season was that he improved after his promotion to Double-A, posting career bests in FIP (1.72), WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (27.7). He should open at Triple-A and could make his big-league debut this summer.
Cease is entering his age-22 season, has never pitched above Low-A and has never logged more than 93.1 innings in a season. Yet, his stuff is some of the filthiest in the minors. The 6-foot-2 righty sits in the mid-90s and can touch triple digits with his fastball. He also throws a curveball that can look like a monster putaway pitch when it's on. His changeup is a distant third pitch, but that's hardly the biggest knock on his chances of making it as a starter. He has been coddled ever since the Cubs drafted him in the sixth round in 2014. Cease was the secondary piece the White Sox received when they sent Jose Quintana across town, and he had to be shut down at the end of the season with shoulder fatigue. While he made significant strides with his command and control last season, that area of his game is still a weakness. His fragility and command issues point to a future as an impactful late-inning arm, but even that outcome requires patience.
The minor leagues are lighter on high probability impact talent than they have been in recent years, so this may be a good time to gamble on a player with extreme upside and extreme risk. Cease fits the bill. He has the potential for two monster pitches, yet his fringe-average changeup, below-average control and significant durability concerns should scare off most risk-averse owners. Prospect aficionados are aware of his fastball that sits in the upper-90s and can touch 101 mph with some armside run. He also features a potentially plus curveball that can be devastating when hitters sit on his heater. However, his to-do list for 2017 is long and arduous. Atop that list is improving his command and control after walking 13.7 percent of short-season batters. Cease, who underwent Tommy John surgery after the Cubs drafted him in the fourth round of the 2014 draft, also needs to build up his workload and show more feel for his changeup. His potential outcomes range from frontline starter to high-leverage reliever. This is a very exciting young arm.
A sixth-round pick in 2014, Cease made his pro debut last year for the rookie-level Cubs after missing 2014 following Tommy John surgery. With 25 strikeouts and a .145 BAA in 24 innings, he holds some promise. However, he walked 16 and hit two more, so he has a long way to go. He's still just 20 though, so he has time and the Cubs will be patient with him. Cease has a very high ceiling (he can touch 100 mph), but he's a risk given his prior elbow problems and control issues. However, that frontline upside makes him someone worth gambling on in dynasty leagues that roster 200 prospects. He may not make it to a full-season league in 2016, but the training wheels should come off in 2017, at which point he could start cruising up the organizational ladder.
More Fantasy News
Strikes out seven
PChicago White Sox
May 11, 2021
Cease allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out seven across five innings in Tuesday's win over the Twins. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fans career-high 11 in win
PChicago White Sox
May 4, 2021
Cease (2-0) picked up the win Tuesday, giving up one hit and three walks over six scoreless innings while striking out a career-high 11 in a 9-0 victory over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Dominates in complete-game shutout
PChicago White Sox
April 29, 2021
Cease (1-0) shut out the Tigers on three hits while striking out nine over seven innings in the second leg of Thursday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fans five in short outing
PChicago White Sox
April 23, 2021
Cease yielded two runs on three hits and three walks over 3.1 innings in Friday's win over Texas. He struck out five and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Gives up two runs
PChicago White Sox
April 17, 2021
Cease gave up two runs on six hits and three walks while fanning six across 4.2 innings Saturday against the Red Sox. He didn't factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.