Dylan Cease

Dylan Cease

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Cease truthers were rewarded with the breakthrough season, but let's pump the fantasy ace brakes just a tad. The righthander made 32 starts and his 3.96 ERA was pegged a little lower by the estimators. The long-expected spike in strikeouts manifested, keyed by a slider with a 22.4% swinging strike rate. The yellow flags are a high walk rate and a flyball lean. The latter isn't necessarily an issue, but it can be when combined with excess free passes and a homer-friendly home venue. To be fair, Cease's BB% dropped to 9.6%, but that was still the second highest among qualified starters, resulting in averaging just 5.2 innings per start, the lowest among qualified starters. Youth is Cease's ally as he's entering his age-26 season. He may improve his control even more but paying for it is a risk. The upside is indeed elite, but there's also a chance Cease is a ratio buzzkill. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#82
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $750,000 contract with the White Sox in March of 2022.
Whiffs nine in Tuesday's win
PChicago White Sox
May 18, 2022
Cease (4-1) picked up the win in the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Royals, allowing seven hits and two walks over 5.2 scoreless innings. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander fired 94 pitches (61 strikes) in falling just short of his third quality start of the season, but it was still another dominant outing for Cease. He's struck out at least eight batters in each of his last five starts, posting a 2.93 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and stunning 48:10 K:BB through 27.2 innings over that stretch.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .232 586 161 61 118 18 4 18
Since 2020vs Right .213 559 176 58 105 26 1 17
2022vs Left .219 85 28 11 16 2 1 0
2022vs Right .200 97 39 6 18 6 0 3
2021vs Left .226 349 113 30 70 7 3 11
2021vs Right .220 359 113 38 69 15 0 9
2020vs Left .256 152 20 20 32 9 0 7
2020vs Right .202 103 24 14 18 5 1 5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.26 1.20 132.2 10 3 0 11.9 4.3 1.3
Since 2020Away 4.33 1.36 135.0 12 9 0 10.8 3.7 1.1
2022Home 3.57 0.88 22.2 2 0 0 15.5 2.8 0.8
2022Away 2.57 1.48 21.0 2 1 0 12.0 4.3 0.4
2021Home 3.18 1.18 85.0 6 2 0 12.2 3.8 1.3
2021Away 4.69 1.33 80.2 7 5 0 12.4 3.6 0.9
2020Home 3.24 1.56 25.0 2 1 0 7.6 7.6 1.8
2020Away 4.59 1.35 33.1 3 3 0 6.2 3.5 1.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.94
 
K/9
13.8
 
BB/9
3.5
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
96.4 mph
 
ERA
3.09
 
WHIP
1.17
 
BABIP
.356
 
GB/FB
1.09
 
Left On Base
76.9%
 
Exit Velocity
79.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.8%
 
Spin Rate
2552 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
14.5%
 
Swinging Strike
16.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Cease
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
6 days ago
Mike Barner breaks down Thursday’s Yahoo offering, which affords eight games worth of action to build your DFS lineup from.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday's Picks
6 days ago
Kevin Payne looks over Thursday's short slate and sees a lot of value in Mookie Betts and the Dodgers at home against the Phillies.
Bernie on the Scene: Young Hitters I Want on My Fantasy Team (AL)
9 days ago
This week, Bernie Pleskoff features six under-25 AL hitters whom he believes are worthy of consideration on fantasy teams, starting in Minnesota with Luis Arraez.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
The unique circumstances surrounding the 2020 campaign weren't conducive for young arms to exhibit growth. Still, Cease's season was a big disappointment. His skills fell back across the board; he fanned fewer and walked more while allowing harder contact. Cease's 4.01 ERA was spared further harm by a .238 BABIP and 81.7 LOB%, both touched by Lady Luck, with a 5.87 xFIP and 5.86 SIERA more indicative of his true skill level. Command and control are Cease's primary issues. His pitch mix remained close to 2019, but he traded a few curves for sliders, his most effective offering. Last year, the right-hander threw his fastball for a strike just 61% of the time. Until he can locate his four-seamer better, he's just a guy with velocity. Entering his age-25 season, Cease is still young enough to prove he's more. However, other than youth and the reading on the radar gun, there's little reason for optimism.
There's hope that Cease's command will come along, but right now, it's lacking. STATS LLC's new Command+ metric, which attempts to judge a pitcher's intent on each throw, had Cease's command at 88 in his debut season (100 is average). His Zone% was 39.4, per FanGraphs, and Cease battled walk (10.7%) and home run (1.85 HR/9) issues during his time in the majors. The free passes were nothing new, as Cease hasn't had a BB rate below 10% at any stop. The good news is that his raw stuff is excellent. With a fastball that averages north of 96 mph, a plus breaking ball and a potential plus changeup, Cease is able to miss bats at a well-above-average clip (24.9 K%, 11.0 SwStr%). There's upside here if he ever figures out how to put the ball where he wants it. In the meantime, Cease should be viewed as a streamer, one with more favorable matchups than most given the weakness of his division.
Blessed with special arm speed, Cease has had a high-leverage reliever floor (with reasonable health) since entering pro ball, but in 2018 he made massive strides to show that his future may be atop a rotation. He tallied over 100 innings (124) for the first time, notched a career-best 3.6 BB/9 and improved his secondary pitches. His mid-90s fastball touches 98 mph and was more of a worm killer last year (1.14 GO/AO) than in 2017 (0.88 GO/AO). Cease's curveball is his second-best pitch -- a potentially plus offering -- and his changeup emerged as a viable third pitch, thanks largely to the strength of his fastball. His command may never be better than fringe average, but with his stuff, it doesn't need to be. The most impressive aspect of Cease's season was that he improved after his promotion to Double-A, posting career bests in FIP (1.72), WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (27.7). He should open at Triple-A and could make his big-league debut this summer.
Cease is entering his age-22 season, has never pitched above Low-A and has never logged more than 93.1 innings in a season. Yet, his stuff is some of the filthiest in the minors. The 6-foot-2 righty sits in the mid-90s and can touch triple digits with his fastball. He also throws a curveball that can look like a monster putaway pitch when it's on. His changeup is a distant third pitch, but that's hardly the biggest knock on his chances of making it as a starter. He has been coddled ever since the Cubs drafted him in the sixth round in 2014. Cease was the secondary piece the White Sox received when they sent Jose Quintana across town, and he had to be shut down at the end of the season with shoulder fatigue. While he made significant strides with his command and control last season, that area of his game is still a weakness. His fragility and command issues point to a future as an impactful late-inning arm, but even that outcome requires patience.
The minor leagues are lighter on high probability impact talent than they have been in recent years, so this may be a good time to gamble on a player with extreme upside and extreme risk. Cease fits the bill. He has the potential for two monster pitches, yet his fringe-average changeup, below-average control and significant durability concerns should scare off most risk-averse owners. Prospect aficionados are aware of his fastball that sits in the upper-90s and can touch 101 mph with some armside run. He also features a potentially plus curveball that can be devastating when hitters sit on his heater. However, his to-do list for 2017 is long and arduous. Atop that list is improving his command and control after walking 13.7 percent of short-season batters. Cease, who underwent Tommy John surgery after the Cubs drafted him in the fourth round of the 2014 draft, also needs to build up his workload and show more feel for his changeup. His potential outcomes range from frontline starter to high-leverage reliever. This is a very exciting young arm.
A sixth-round pick in 2014, Cease made his pro debut last year for the rookie-level Cubs after missing 2014 following Tommy John surgery. With 25 strikeouts and a .145 BAA in 24 innings, he holds some promise. However, he walked 16 and hit two more, so he has a long way to go. He's still just 20 though, so he has time and the Cubs will be patient with him. Cease has a very high ceiling (he can touch 100 mph), but he's a risk given his prior elbow problems and control issues. However, that frontline upside makes him someone worth gambling on in dynasty leagues that roster 200 prospects. He may not make it to a full-season league in 2016, but the training wheels should come off in 2017, at which point he could start cruising up the organizational ladder.
More Fantasy News
Fans 11 but allows six runs
PChicago White Sox
May 12, 2022
Cease did not factor in the decision against the Yankees on Thursday, hurling four innings during which he gave up six runs on six hits and two walks while striking out 11.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight
PChicago White Sox
May 8, 2022
Cease allowed one earned run on four hits and three walks while striking out eight across five innings Saturday against Boston. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Electric over seven frames
PChicago White Sox
May 2, 2022
Cease (3-1) earned the win Tuesday after he pitched seven scoreless innings, giving up just one hit while striking out 11 batters against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine
PChicago White Sox
April 27, 2022
Cease allowed two earned runs on three hits and three walks while striking out nine across six innings Wednesday against the Royals. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard in Cleveland
PChicago White Sox
April 21, 2022
Cease (2-1) allowed four earned runs on eight hits and two walks while striking out three across 5.1 innings to take the loss Thursday against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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