Dylan Cease
Dylan Cease
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago White Sox
2020 Fantasy Outlook
There's hope that Cease's command will come along, but right now, it's lacking. STATS LLC's new Command+ metric, which attempts to judge a pitcher's intent on each throw, had Cease's command at 88 in his debut season (100 is average). His Zone% was 39.4, per FanGraphs, and Cease battled walk (10.7%) and home run (1.85 HR/9) issues during his time in the majors. The free passes were nothing new, as Cease hasn't had a BB rate below 10% at any stop. The good news is that his raw stuff is excellent. With a fastball that averages north of 96 mph, a plus breaking ball and a potential plus changeup, Cease is able to miss bats at a well-above-average clip (24.9 K%, 11.0 SwStr%). There's upside here if he ever figures out how to put the ball where he wants it. In the meantime, Cease should be viewed as a streamer, one with more favorable matchups than most given the weakness of his division. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#275
ADP
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$Signed a contract with the Cubs in 2014 that includes a $1.5 million signing bonus. Traded to the White Sox in July of 2017.
Hands out seven free passes
PChicago White Sox
September 20, 2020
Cease (5-3) allowed three runs on seven walks over three hitless innings in a loss to the Reds on Sunday. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
Cease was effectively wild through three innings, but the effectiveness vanished in the fourth. He walked the bases loaded to begin that frame before being pulled, and Ross Detwiler allowed all three inherited runners to score. Cease walked five in his previous outing, and manager Rick Renteria told Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times that the team will try "to get to the bottom of what corrections need to be made." Cease is expected to make another start to attempt to get things fixed, likely Friday against the Cubs.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .273 302 50 38 70 19 0 15
Since 2018vs Right .232 258 70 29 53 8 3 9
2020vs Left .259 138 15 20 29 9 0 6
2020vs Right .190 96 24 12 16 5 1 3
2019vs Left .285 164 35 18 41 10 0 9
2019vs Right .257 162 46 17 37 3 2 6
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-28%
ERA on Road
2018
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.94 1.72 54.2 4 4 0 8.2 6.6 1.6
Since 2018Away 4.75 1.33 72.0 5 6 0 8.8 3.4 1.8
2020Home 1.77 1.57 20.1 2 0 0 7.1 8.4 0.9
2020Away 4.59 1.35 33.1 3 3 0 6.2 3.5 1.9
2019Home 6.82 1.81 34.1 2 4 0 8.9 5.5 2.1
2019Away 4.89 1.32 38.2 2 3 0 10.9 3.3 1.6
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.22
 
K/9
6.5
 
BB/9
5.4
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
97.4 mph
 
ERA
3.52
 
WHIP
1.43
 
BABIP
.243
 
GB/FB
1.41
 
Left On Base
80.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.7%
 
Spin Rate
2516 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.7%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dylan Cease
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4 days ago
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4 days ago
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5 days ago
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10 days ago
Mike Barner suggests rolling with a Braves stack Monday against Jorge Lopez and the Orioles.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Breakdown
10 days ago
Christopher Olson checks in with his best DraftKings picks Monday, recommending Twins veteran slugger Nelson Cruz against the White Sox.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
2016
Blessed with special arm speed, Cease has had a high-leverage reliever floor (with reasonable health) since entering pro ball, but in 2018 he made massive strides to show that his future may be atop a rotation. He tallied over 100 innings (124) for the first time, notched a career-best 3.6 BB/9 and improved his secondary pitches. His mid-90s fastball touches 98 mph and was more of a worm killer last year (1.14 GO/AO) than in 2017 (0.88 GO/AO). Cease's curveball is his second-best pitch -- a potentially plus offering -- and his changeup emerged as a viable third pitch, thanks largely to the strength of his fastball. His command may never be better than fringe average, but with his stuff, it doesn't need to be. The most impressive aspect of Cease's season was that he improved after his promotion to Double-A, posting career bests in FIP (1.72), WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (27.7). He should open at Triple-A and could make his big-league debut this summer.
Cease is entering his age-22 season, has never pitched above Low-A and has never logged more than 93.1 innings in a season. Yet, his stuff is some of the filthiest in the minors. The 6-foot-2 righty sits in the mid-90s and can touch triple digits with his fastball. He also throws a curveball that can look like a monster putaway pitch when it's on. His changeup is a distant third pitch, but that's hardly the biggest knock on his chances of making it as a starter. He has been coddled ever since the Cubs drafted him in the sixth round in 2014. Cease was the secondary piece the White Sox received when they sent Jose Quintana across town, and he had to be shut down at the end of the season with shoulder fatigue. While he made significant strides with his command and control last season, that area of his game is still a weakness. His fragility and command issues point to a future as an impactful late-inning arm, but even that outcome requires patience.
The minor leagues are lighter on high probability impact talent than they have been in recent years, so this may be a good time to gamble on a player with extreme upside and extreme risk. Cease fits the bill. He has the potential for two monster pitches, yet his fringe-average changeup, below-average control and significant durability concerns should scare off most risk-averse owners. Prospect aficionados are aware of his fastball that sits in the upper-90s and can touch 101 mph with some armside run. He also features a potentially plus curveball that can be devastating when hitters sit on his heater. However, his to-do list for 2017 is long and arduous. Atop that list is improving his command and control after walking 13.7 percent of short-season batters. Cease, who underwent Tommy John surgery after the Cubs drafted him in the fourth round of the 2014 draft, also needs to build up his workload and show more feel for his changeup. His potential outcomes range from frontline starter to high-leverage reliever. This is a very exciting young arm.
A sixth-round pick in 2014, Cease made his pro debut last year for the rookie-level Cubs after missing 2014 following Tommy John surgery. With 25 strikeouts and a .145 BAA in 24 innings, he holds some promise. However, he walked 16 and hit two more, so he has a long way to go. He's still just 20 though, so he has time and the Cubs will be patient with him. Cease has a very high ceiling (he can touch 100 mph), but he's a risk given his prior elbow problems and control issues. However, that frontline upside makes him someone worth gambling on in dynasty leagues that roster 200 prospects. He may not make it to a full-season league in 2016, but the training wheels should come off in 2017, at which point he could start cruising up the organizational ladder.
More Fantasy News
Decent again in no-decision
PChicago White Sox
September 14, 2020
Cease allowed a run on five hits and five walks and struck out four over 4.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Twins on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Five solid innings
PChicago White Sox
September 8, 2020
Cease allowed five hits and no walks while striking out two across five innings Tuesday against the Pirates. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Collects fifth win
PChicago White Sox
September 3, 2020
Cease (5-2) earned the win Thursday after holding the Royals to three runs on four hits and a pair of walks while striking out one across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Labors through 4.1 frames
PChicago White Sox
August 29, 2020
Cease gave up one run on one hit and six walks over 4.1 innings during Saturday's 9-6 loss to the Royals. He had five strikeouts and didn't factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Turns in quality start
PChicago White Sox
August 23, 2020
Cease (4-2) allowed two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out five across six innings to take the loss Sunday against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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