Dylan Cease
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Blessed with special arm speed, Cease has had a high-leverage reliever floor (with reasonable health) since entering pro ball, but in 2018 he made massive strides to show that his future may be atop a rotation. He tallied over 100 innings (124) for the first time, notched a career-best 3.6 BB/9 and improved his secondary pitches. His mid-90s fastball touches 98 mph and was more of a worm killer last year (1.14 GO/AO) than in 2017 (0.88 GO/AO). Cease's curveball is his second-best pitch -- a potentially plus offering -- and his changeup emerged as a viable third pitch, thanks largely to the strength of his fastball. His command may never be better than fringe average, but with his stuff, it doesn't need to be. The most impressive aspect of Cease's season was that he improved after his promotion to Double-A, posting career bests in FIP (1.72), WHIP (0.99) and K-BB% (27.7). He should open at Triple-A and could make his big-league debut this summer. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a contract with the Cubs in 2014 that includes a $1.5 million signing bonus. Traded to the White Sox in July of 2017.
Crushed for five runs
PChicago White Sox
August 18, 2019
Cease (2-6) allowed five runs on seven hits and a walk over five innings Sunday, striking out six batters and taking the loss against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Most of the damage against Cease came via the long ball with Matt Thaiss and Kole Calhoun both taking him deep. The rookie right-hander had allowed just four runs in his previous two starts, but Sunday's outing bumped his ERA to 5.93 in his first 44 MLB innings. Cease will get a home start against Texas on Friday.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .338 86 12 10 25 8 0 5
Since 2017vs Right .228 113 29 11 23 2 2 5
2019vs Left .338 86 12 10 25 8 0 5
2019vs Right .228 113 29 11 23 2 2 5
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-15%
ERA at Home
2018
No Stats
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 5.48 1.61 23.0 1 3 0 7.0 5.5 2.0
Since 2017Away 6.43 1.52 21.0 1 3 0 9.9 3.0 2.1
2019Home 5.48 1.61 23.0 1 3 0 7.0 5.5 2.0
2019Away 6.43 1.52 21.0 1 3 0 9.9 3.0 2.1
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.95
 
K/9
8.4
 
BB/9
4.3
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
96.2 mph
 
ERA
5.93
 
WHIP
1.57
 
BABIP
.314
 
GB/FB
1.56
 
Left On Base
65.5%
 
Exit Velocity
88.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.5%
 
Spin Rate
2356 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
38.3%
 
Swinging Strike
9.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Cease is entering his age-22 season, has never pitched above Low-A and has never logged more than 93.1 innings in a season. Yet, his stuff is some of the filthiest in the minors. The 6-foot-2 righty sits in the mid-90s and can touch triple digits with his fastball. He also throws a curveball that can look like a monster putaway pitch when it's on. His changeup is a distant third pitch, but that's hardly the biggest knock on his chances of making it as a starter. He has been coddled ever since the Cubs drafted him in the sixth round in 2014. Cease was the secondary piece the White Sox received when they sent Jose Quintana across town, and he had to be shut down at the end of the season with shoulder fatigue. While he made significant strides with his command and control last season, that area of his game is still a weakness. His fragility and command issues point to a future as an impactful late-inning arm, but even that outcome requires patience.
The minor leagues are lighter on high probability impact talent than they have been in recent years, so this may be a good time to gamble on a player with extreme upside and extreme risk. Cease fits the bill. He has the potential for two monster pitches, yet his fringe-average changeup, below-average control and significant durability concerns should scare off most risk-averse owners. Prospect aficionados are aware of his fastball that sits in the upper-90s and can touch 101 mph with some armside run. He also features a potentially plus curveball that can be devastating when hitters sit on his heater. However, his to-do list for 2017 is long and arduous. Atop that list is improving his command and control after walking 13.7 percent of short-season batters. Cease, who underwent Tommy John surgery after the Cubs drafted him in the fourth round of the 2014 draft, also needs to build up his workload and show more feel for his changeup. His potential outcomes range from frontline starter to high-leverage reliever. This is a very exciting young arm.
A sixth-round pick in 2014, Cease made his pro debut last year for the rookie-level Cubs after missing 2014 following Tommy John surgery. With 25 strikeouts and a .145 BAA in 24 innings, he holds some promise. However, he walked 16 and hit two more, so he has a long way to go. He's still just 20 though, so he has time and the Cubs will be patient with him. Cease has a very high ceiling (he can touch 100 mph), but he's a risk given his prior elbow problems and control issues. However, that frontline upside makes him someone worth gambling on in dynasty leagues that roster 200 prospects. He may not make it to a full-season league in 2016, but the training wheels should come off in 2017, at which point he could start cruising up the organizational ladder.
More Fantasy News
Yields two earned runs in loss
PChicago White Sox
August 13, 2019
Cease (2-5) allowed four runs (two earned) on five hits with five walks and two strikeouts across six innings while taking a loss against the Astros in the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader.
ANALYSIS
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Start postponed due to rain
PChicago White Sox
August 12, 2019
Cease won't make his scheduled start Monday against the Astros, as the game as been postponed due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
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Earns second victory
PChicago White Sox
August 6, 2019
Cease (2-4) allowed two runs on seven hits with one walk and six strikeouts across five innings while earning a victory in game one of a doubleheader against the Tigers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Falls to 1-4
PChicago White Sox
August 1, 2019
Cease (1-4) took the loss against the Mets on Thursday, giving up four runs (three earned) on seven hits over seven innings, striking out six and walking two as the White Sox fell 4-0.
ANALYSIS
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Takes third straight loss
PChicago White Sox
July 27, 2019
Cease was saddled with the loss after allowing five runs on seven hits and three walks while striking out four over five innings against the Twins on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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