Adam Frazier

Adam Frazier

30-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Seattle Mariners
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Through July 25, Frazier posted a .324/.388/.448, prompting the Pirates to deal him to the Padres where his versatility would fortify a roster with playoff intentions. Frazier slashed .267/.327/.335 after the trade, but still finished with a career high average and on-base mark. Frazier's calling card is contact has he fanned only 10.8% of the time, a career low. Frazier needs to put the ball in play as often as possible since he generates some of the weakest contact in the league with a 2nd percentile average exit velocity and 3rd percentile hard-hit rate. The Padres dealt Frazier to Seattle which does no favors for his limited power but could aid steals. He's more likely to match his career high 10 swipes set last season than his personal best 10 homers in 2018 and 2019. Frazier's allure is a solid batting average floor. Note he begins the 2022 only eligible at second base but could pick up outfield. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
$Signed a one-year, $4.3 million contract with the Pirates in January of 2021. Traded to the Padres in July of 2021. Traded to the Mariners in November of 2021.
Shipped to Seattle
2BSeattle Mariners
November 27, 2021
Frazier was sent from San Diego to Seattle on Saturday in exchange for Ray Kerr and Corey Rosier, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Frazier started the season strong with the Pirates but was far more mediocre down the stretch following a trade to the Padres, though he still finished with a .305/.368/.411 slash line, good for a 114 wRC+. He makes a ton of contact, as his 10.8 percent strikeout rate was good for fourth among qualified hitters, but that contact is among the weakest in the league, with his 1.0 percent barrel rate ranking third-worst among that same group. Don't expect him to improve significantly on his meager five homers, but another average close to .300 is certainly possible and should come with plenty of runs if he settles into a role atop Seattle's lineup.
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Batting Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
81
11
1
4
3
4
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
20
6
2
3
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+22%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019vs Left .694 384 40 5 33 1 .259 .318 .376
Since 2019vs Right .767 1088 144 17 81 15 .290 .353 .415
2021vs Left .751 181 23 3 17 1 .274 .343 .409
2021vs Right .790 458 60 2 26 9 .317 .378 .412
2020vs Left .551 47 3 1 5 0 .205 .255 .295
2020vs Right .674 178 18 6 16 1 .231 .305 .369
2019vs Left .671 156 14 1 11 0 .259 .307 .364
2019vs Right .781 452 66 9 39 5 .285 .346 .436
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2019
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2019Home .805 746 104 14 68 10 .296 .362 .443
Since 2019Away .690 726 80 8 46 6 .267 .325 .365
2021Home .817 317 45 4 27 4 .315 .377 .441
2021Away .741 322 38 1 16 6 .296 .359 .381
2020Home .699 126 15 5 14 1 .237 .304 .395
2020Away .583 99 6 2 7 0 .211 .283 .300
2019Home .838 303 44 5 27 5 .301 .371 .467
2019Away .670 305 36 5 23 0 .255 .301 .369
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Stat Review
How does Adam Frazier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.70
 
BB Rate
7.5%
 
K Rate
10.8%
 
BABIP
.339
 
ISO
.106
 
AVG
.305
 
OBP
.368
 
SLG
.411
 
OPS
.779
 
wOBA
.345
 
Exit Velocity
79.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.1%
 
Barrels/PA
0.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Frazier was able to produce at close to a league-average level with the bat in 2019 even as he played through injuries, complementing his plus defense at second base. The defense remained excellent in 2020 and in fact Frazier ranked in the top 10 in all of baseball in Outs Above Average, but the offense declined significantly. He nearly doubled his HR/FB rate from the previous season and continued to put bat-to-ball at a good clip (15.2 K%), but his offensive rate stats dipped across the board regardless and Frazier was caught stealing three times in four attempts, making him an ugly 20-for-37 on the basepaths in his career. The batted-ball numbers offer no reprieve; Frazier was in the bottom 7% of the league in exit velocity and hard-hit rate, per Statcast. With Pittsburgh, Frazier should continue to play every day, but he's merely an injury-replacement option in mixed leagues.
Aside from garnering more playing time, Frazier's 2019 season was a near carbon copy of his 2017 campaign. Oddly, 2018's slugging bested them both, despite the increased offensive environment in the bookend years. Frazier's 97 wRC+ rates him a tick below average and his five stolen bases don't change that. That said, the batting average stability Frazier offers (.278, .277, .276 the past three seasons) can aid a fantasy roster stocked with homers and steals, but a bit deficient in the BA department. Frazier's calling card is an 85% career contact rate. His average exit velocity is 13th percentile, but a low 30% flyball rate and above-average speed help maintain a BABIP a tick above league norm. Better served as a reserve swinging between second and corner outfield, Frazier is ticketed to see regular keystone at-bats. He's mixed viable with the proper roster composition but is best suited for NL-only.
Frazier showed two abilities in the minor leagues: strong bat-to-ball skills and a willingness to steal bases. The latter was on display in 2017, but disappeared in 2018 despite nearly identical on-base percentages and batting averages. The disappointment in steals was offset by a gain in his power, as he had the first double-digit homer season of his professional career. He doubled his home-run-to-flyball ratio despite little change in his average exit velocity or launch angle. Statcast data shows that his 2018 numbers overachieved based on the quality of his contact, so a repeat of the double-digit homer total seems unlikely. Perhaps fewer home runs will lead him to attempt more steals in 2019, but this is otherwise a compiler skill set -- a player who gives you some contributions across the board but not enough in any one category to push the needle. There's some additional value in his positional flexibility.
Frazier turned in a decent sophomore season after a promising 2016 season between Triple-A and the big-league level. He posted high on-base percentages and batting averages throughout the minors and did the same in his rookie season over 160 plate appearances. Last year, the OBP remained good but the average slipped a bit. Despite the nine steals, he is not an efficient basestealer. He was caught five times last year and that comes on the heels of a 21-for-37 showing between Triple-A and the majors in 2016. In fact, he has been successful just 58 percent of the time over his entire career. Given the breakeven rate for steals is around 70 percent, Frazier seems likely to get a restrictor plate from the front office, and he instantly becomes a replacement-level player with an empty batting average. In short, this is roster filler.
The Pirates are grooming Frazier for a super utility role in 2017. The 25-year-old saw time at second base, shortstop and in the outfield last season, though he only qualifies in the outfield in leagues requiring a 20-game minimum. While he's not particularly strong defensively, he's shown an ability to hit for average wherever he's played. Frazier batted .333 for Triple-A Indianapolis in 2016 and holds a career .300/.363/.378 line in the minors. His triple-slash with Pittsburgh was almost a mirror image. Fantasy owners won't find power -- he's hit a combined five homers in four pro seasons -- or speed -- he's never stolen more than 17 bases -- but Frazier's a strong bet to hit for a high batting average.
If one focuses on what Frazier cannot do, his below average power and fringe average speed will quickly become apparent. Admittedly, those are two pretty big aspects of a hitting prospect’s fantasy value. However, for dynasty league owners who play in deeper leagues, or prefer a general glass-half-full mentality, there are three things he can do quite well that should garner attention. First, he played primarily shortstop (58 games) and center field (29 games) last year at Double-A Altoona — two of the most valuable defensive positions in baseball. This speaks to his athleticism. Second, he has a plus hit tool, although this skill typically only manifests itself in singles and doubles, as just 10 of his 318 career hits have been triples or home runs. Lastly, he posted a 42:34 K:BB in 423 plate appearances last year, demonstrating one of the best such rates in Double-A. Shortstops with Frazier’s hitting ability and advanced approach are quite rare, but his lack of a high ceiling also cannot be debated.
More Fantasy News
Out of lineup
2BSan Diego Padres
October 2, 2021
Frazier will be on the bench for Saturday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Finding form at plate
2BSan Diego Padres
September 30, 2021
Frazier went 2-for-5 with a double, an RBI and a run Wednesday in the Padres' 11-9 loss to the Dodgers.
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Not in Wednesday's lineup
2BSan Diego Padres
September 22, 2021
Frazier isn't starting Wednesday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Collects three more hits
2BSan Diego Padres
September 16, 2021
Frazier went 3-for-5 with two runs scored and a stolen base Thursday against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Raps four hits in win
2BSan Diego Padres
September 16, 2021
Frazier went 4-for-5 with a double, two RBI and a run in a 9-6 victory versus the Giants on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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