Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
29-Year-Old PitcherRP
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Lugo was versatile for the Mets last season, serving as a starter, closer and middle reliever at different times throughout the campaign. His 2019 plan looks similar; he’s been told by the new regime in New York to prepare for any job, though closing is probably off the table after the Mets acquired Edwin Diaz from Seattle. Lugo’s fastball played up in relief and gave him closer-like peripherals, but he can also spread the wealth with five solid-to-awesome offerings as a starter, including a Statcast-melting curveball. Chances are, he will spend most of the year in a high-leverage, multi-inning bullpen role, once again pitching roughly 100 innings. This is the wave of the future, and these highly-skilled non-closers, previously afterthoughts in traditional mixed leagues, are growing more appealing with fewer workhorse starters in the game. Consider tucking Lugo away in the late rounds. Read Past Outlooks
Not competing for rotation spot
PNew York Mets
February 13, 2019
Lugo will not be competing to start the season in the rotation, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
There will be no competition for the fifth starter spot, manager Mickey Callaway said Wednesday, with Jason Vargas locked into the role. This contradicts reports from earlier in the offseason which suggested that Lugo had a shot at the job. Of course, the Mets' starters don't have the greatest injury records, so Lugo could well be called upon for a handful of starts at some point in the season in the event of injury or if Vargas continues to struggle like he did last season.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .234 549 109 47 115 21 4 13
Since 2016vs Right .254 557 124 27 129 21 1 16
2018vs Left .184 197 49 17 32 7 0 4
2018vs Right .245 213 54 11 49 4 1 5
2017vs Left .293 233 42 15 63 12 2 5
2017vs Right .273 203 43 10 51 10 0 8
2016vs Left .196 119 18 15 20 2 2 4
2016vs Right .240 141 27 6 29 7 0 3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2016Home 2.10 0.94 124.1 6 3 2 8.1 2.2 0.9
Since 2016Away 4.62 1.41 142.1 9 8 1 7.7 2.8 1.0
2018Home 1.52 0.88 53.1 1 1 2 9.6 1.9 0.7
2018Away 3.94 1.29 48.0 2 3 1 8.6 3.2 0.9
2017Home 2.39 0.96 37.2 3 1 0 7.4 1.9 1.0
2017Away 6.08 1.62 63.2 4 4 0 7.6 2.4 1.3
2016Home 2.70 1.02 33.1 2 1 0 6.5 3.0 1.4
2016Away 2.64 1.17 30.2 3 1 0 6.2 2.9 0.6
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Stat Review
How does Seth Lugo compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
93.9 mph
Strand %
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Seth Lugo
Collette Calls: NL East Bold Predictions
21 days ago
Jason Collette takes a stab at the 2019 season. Will Zack Wheeler contend for the NL Cy Young? The answer to that and more here.
Mound Musings: The Bullpen Shuffle – National League
184 days ago
Brad Johnson looks at evolving bullpen assignments in the NL to see where they may be headed. Kenta Maeda could see the majority of saves in Los Angeles until Kenley Jansen returns.
The Long Game: Tomorrow's Closers... Today!
186 days ago
Erik Siegrist looks for potential 2019 save sources in all 30 big-league bullpens, including a peek at what might happen in Boston if Craig Kimbrel leaves as a free agent.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
203 days ago
Jan Levine updates free-agent finders on the NL's influx of new talent, including former Royal and new Brewers third baseman Mike Moustakas.
Mound Musings: The Trade Winds Are Blowing
205 days ago
Brad Johnson discusses some of the high-profile pitching changes happening this month, like the Brad Hand and Adam Cimber move from San Diego to Cleveland.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Formerly an unheralded depth piece, Lugo spun a 2.68 ERA in eight starts to end 2016 and looked like valuable insurance for a brittle Mets rotation. The right-hander was bit by the injury bug himself, unfortunately, crashing to a 4.71 ERA over 19 appearances last year while pitching with a slight UCL tear. He later missed time due to a shoulder impingement. The good luck from his .230 BABIP and 85.7 left-on-base percentage the previous year dissolved into .325 and 68.4, respectively. Lugo features an elite curveball, which led the league in spin rate across 2015 and 2016 with a combined 3337 rpm average and finished sixth in 2017 with 3058, per Statcast. His 3.40 K/BB showed a solid foundation for command. However, Lugo is in limbo with no opening as a starter heading into 2018, but he could wind up being traded or filling an injury void for a significant stretch, making him a logical deep-league dart.
Seen as a non-prospect entering last season, Lugo logged eight starts for the Mets due to injuries in the rotation, and the results were surprisingly excellent in 47 innings as a starter. Unfortunately, his 4.93 FIP and 90.9 percent strand rate suggest he was pretty fortunate. That said, some Statcast data suggests Lugo is worth monitoring. He has the highest average curveball spin rate over the past two seasons (Garrett Richards and Jesse Hahn round out the top three). It is an awfully effective pitch, as it held opposing hitters to a .235 average and .294 slugging percentage. The rest of Lugo's pitches are just mediocre offerings, which is why his 17.3 percent strikeout rate does not back up the notion that he might have an 80-grade curveball in his toolbox. He is unlikely to break camp in the starting rotation, but if an injury opens up a spot, Lugo's curveball makes him interesting enough to be worth an add in deeper formats.
More Fantasy News
Considered a rotation option
PNew York Mets
February 4, 2019
Lugo will be an option for the Mets' rotation in 2019, Matt Ehalt of The Bergen Record reports.
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Set to remain in bullpen
PNew York Mets
December 5, 2018
Manager Mickey Callaway said he prefers to keep Lugo in the bullpen heading into the 2019 season, Matt Ehalt of The Record reports.
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Done for season
PNew York Mets
September 28, 2018
Lugo will be unavailable this weekend due to concerns over his workload, Mike Puma of The New York Post reports.
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Picks up third save
PNew York Mets
September 26, 2018
Lugo struck out one in a perfect ninth inning Wednesday to record his third save of the season in a 3-0 win over the Braves.
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Nabs second save
PNew York Mets
September 9, 2018
Lugo gave up a run on one hit while striking five over two innings as he picked up the save Sunday against the Phillies.
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