Josh Lowe
22-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Tampa Bay Rays AAA
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The younger, more dynamic brother of Nate Lowe, Josh is a good center fielder with the power/speed to go 25/25 in a full MLB season. There is no evidence he will ever hit for a very high batting average, but with walk rates north of 10% at High-A and Double-A, a middling AVG may not matter much in real life or in OBP/points leagues. Including a red-hot run in the Arizona Fall League to close the year, Lowe hit .277/.356/.474 with nine home runs, 16 steals (on 18 attempts), a 10.8 BB% and 24.5 K% in 69 games from July on. Standing 6-foot-4, 205 pounds, Lowe should remain a plus athlete into his late-20s. He uses the whole field and his 35.4 GB% at Double-A was elite. In terms of true center fielders, Lowe is clearly the next man up behind Kevin Kiermaier on the organizational depth chart. Kiermaier (1.5 fWAR in 2019) is under contract through 2022, but Lowe could unseat him as the everyday option by 2021. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#560
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Rays in June of 2016 that includes a $2.6 million signing bonus.
Protected from Rule 5 draft
OFTampa Bay Rays  AAA
November 20, 2020
Lowe's contract was purchased by the Rays on Friday, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Lowe, the younger brother of Nate Lowe, is one of the best center field prospects in the minors and is essentially big-league ready after an impressive Arizona Fall League in 2019 and a strong performance this past summer at the alternate training site. The one fantasy concern is that the platoon-happy Rays may limit his exposure to left-handed pitchers, but he brings a very appealing power/speed combo to the table.
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2020
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Josh Lowe
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149 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
For a toolsy 19-year-old in his first year in a full-season league, Lowe emerged with a passing grade. His overall line doesn't stand out, but he was slightly above league average (102 wRC+) and was able to show off his plus speed (22-for-30 on stolen-base attempts) while transitioning from third base to the outfield. He had an impressive finish to the season, hitting .307/.373/.425 over his final 255 plate appearances, but a .415 BABIP was largely responsible for that. So far his plus raw power has not shown up consistently in games, but at 6-foot-4, 205 pounds, he should tap into a bit more pop as he gets used to more advanced pitching and gets more professional instruction. While his 28.4 percent strikeout rate was not ideal, his all-fields approach was very impressive. He almost hit as many balls to the opposite field (36.1 percent) as he did to the pull side (37.1 percent). Lowe has yet to fully break out, so he should be easily attainable in dynasty leagues, which is an odd thing to say about a high-pedigree hitting prospect with 20-20 potential.
The Rays' top pick of 2016 started the season with the Gulf Coast League Rays before a promotion to Princeton of the rookie Appalachian League, where he acquitted himself reasonably well over 100 plate appearances. The speedster tallied a trio of triples overall on the season, and although he only hit five homers over 214 plate appearances overall, he is thought to have plenty to offer in the power department going forward. Lowe sports a 6-foot-4 frame that should accommodate plenty of added bulk, which will only help his overall long-term fantasy prospects. While he's quite a ways off from the big league level, he's laden with potential as a possible five-tool player.
More Fantasy News
Officially in player pool
OFTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Shoulder
June 29, 2020
Lowe (shoulder) has officially made the Rays' 60-man player pool that will report to summer camp, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Likely joining player pool
OFTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Shoulder
June 26, 2020
Lowe (shoulder) is expected to be a part of Tampa Bay's 60-man roster pool, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Recovering from shoulder surgery
OFTampa Bay Rays  AAA
Shoulder
February 5, 2020
Lowe underwent right shoulder surgery in November and is in the process of returning to baseball activities, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Goes yard twice at Double-A
OFTampa Bay Rays  AAA
April 22, 2019
Lowe went 3-for-4 with a pair of solo home runs and a walk Sunday in Double-A Montgomery's 7-6 loss to Mississippi.
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Behind where he was last season
OFTampa Bay Rays  AAA
June 17, 2017
Lowe has three home runs and 11 stolen bases this season with Low-A Bowling Green.
ANALYSIS
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