Corbin Burnes
Corbin Burnes
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
It wasn't clear how Burnes would be utilized in 2020 after having a rough go of it the year before, but he and the Brewers found something that clicked, and Burnes wound up finishing sixth in NL Cy Young voting after a dominant campaign. Burnes entirely revamped his pitch mix last season, adding a cut fastball and changeup to the mix and severely cutting his reliance on his fastball and slider. When it was all said and done, Burnes posted a 2.02 ERA, a mark that would have ranked fifth in the league had he recorded one more out to qualify. His K/9 rate would have also ranked an elite third among all starters. Burnes was a well-regarded prospect coming up in the Brewers' system, so he has the pedigree to match his results. He will essentially be a lock to open the season as the Brewers' No. 2 starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#63
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Brewers in June of 2016.
Won't need offseason procedure
PMilwaukee Brewers
October 5, 2020
Brewers general manager David Stearns said Monday that Burnes won't require offseason surgery and is expected to make a full recovery from his left oblique strain with rest and rehab, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Though Burnes' oblique strain was significant enough to sideline him for the team's three-game National League Wild Card series with the Dodgers last week, the 25-year-old apparently isn't dealing with any significant structural damage to his core-muscle area. His activity may remain limited for the next couple of weeks while he looks to move past the issue, but Burnes should otherwise be in store for a normal offseason. Burnes should head into 2021 as a likely top-100 selection in fantasy drafts after dazzling during the abbreviated 2020 campaign with a 2.11 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 88 strikeouts while allowing only two home runs in 59.2 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Corbin Burnes generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Corbin Burnes generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-30%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .259 290 74 34 65 13 2 10
Since 2018vs Right .222 338 119 21 69 9 0 13
2020vs Left .200 135 48 14 24 4 2 1
2020vs Right .140 105 40 10 13 2 0 1
2019vs Left .393 103 19 17 33 7 0 8
2019vs Right .287 133 51 3 37 4 0 9
2018vs Left .170 52 7 3 8 2 0 1
2018vs Right .213 100 28 8 19 3 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-14%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-47%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 4.82 1.31 74.2 6 4 0 12.1 3.4 1.6
Since 2018Away 4.13 1.26 72.0 6 2 2 11.6 3.4 1.3
2020Home 1.40 0.97 25.2 2 0 0 14.7 3.2 0.4
2020Away 2.65 1.06 34.0 2 1 0 12.2 4.0 0.3
2019Home 9.51 1.91 29.1 0 4 0 12.3 4.3 3.1
2019Away 7.78 1.73 19.2 1 1 1 13.7 2.7 3.2
2018Home 2.29 0.86 19.2 4 0 0 8.2 2.3 0.9
2018Away 2.95 1.15 18.1 3 0 1 8.3 2.9 1.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Corbin Burnes compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.67
 
K/9
13.3
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
0.3
 
Fastball
96.0 mph
 
ERA
2.11
 
WHIP
1.02
 
BABIP
.304
 
GB/FB
1.62
 
Left On Base
79.0%
 
Exit Velocity
80.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.7%
 
Spin Rate
2709 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.8%
 
Swinging Strike
14.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Corbin Burnes
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6 days ago
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Collette Calls: 2021 AL West Bold Predictions
14 days ago
Jason Collette kicks off his annual Bold Predictions series with a pair of predictions for each of the five teams in the American League West. Is he in or out on Yuli Gurriel?
Rounding Third: Is Corbin Burnes Getting Drafted Too Soon?
28 days ago
Is Corbin Burnes getting drafted too soon in early NFBC drafts? Jeff Erickson takes a look at the Brewers' hurler and the risks associated with his current ADP.
The Z Files: Starting Pitchers -- A Tierful Experience
62 days ago
Todd Zola offers an alternative to a standard tiered approach to drafting, intended to help determine whether rostering an aging ace like Max Scherzer is right for your squad.
Super Early Top 400 for 2021
105 days ago
James Anderson releases his super early top 400 redraft rankings, which features a trio of Atlanta hitters in the top 20.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
There were high hopes for Burnes heading into 2019 after the right-hander excelled in a relief role during his debut season in 2018. However, things did not go according to plan. He opened the season in Milwaukee's rotation but was sent to the minors after struggling to a 10.70 ERA and allowing 11 home runs through his first four starts (17.2 innings). Burnes spent the rest of the season bouncing between Triple-A and the big-league bullpen, missing time with a shoulder injury while struggling at both stops. Control was an issue for Burnes; he averaged 3.7 BB/9 and often caught too much of the plate when throwing strikes, as evidenced by his 12% barrel rate. Burnes finished the year with an 8.82 ERA in 49 innings, but underlying numbers suggest he was a bit unlucky (6.09 FIP, 3.38 xFIP). He registered a 21.3 K-BB%, which underscores his potential. Burnes should get another chance to start in 2020.
Burnes remains a starter long-term, but the Brewers let him get his feet wet at the major-league level as a reliever, and the move worked brilliantly, as Burnes got to complete his development and provide excellent innings during the team's playoff push. His stuff played up in relief, with Burnes posting a 15.2% swinging-strike rate and a 47.4 O-Contact%, nearly 20 percentage points lower than the league average. So when hitters swung at Burnes' pitches out of the strike zone, they very rarely even put bat to ball let alone connected for base hits. The Brewers want him to keep starting, and he will get a chance to compete for a rotation spot during spring training. If he does not earn a spot there, it's likely he will work out of the bullpen and be next on deck should a spot open up.
Burnes showed flashes of brilliance while throwing just 35.2 innings in his 2016 professional debut, but that turned out to be a sign of things to come, as he flat-out dominated minor-league hitters in 2017. He fell just short of averaging a strikeout per inning at both the High-A and Double-A levels, but was otherwise spectacular, limiting opposing hitters to just a .200 batting average while also posting a sparkling 4.20 K/BB and giving up just three home runs. He doesn't possess elite strikeout potential, but he will at least be serviceable in that area given his deep, high-quality arsenal, which includes a mid-90s fastball, a hard slider, and also a curveball and changeup. Burnes figures to get a run at the Triple-A level before he makes his big-league debut, but as long as he does not fall victim to the thin air of Colorado Springs, he stands a good chance to join the Brewers at some point in the summer of 2018.
Burnes was completely off the prospect radar his freshman year at St. Mary's, when he posted a 6.18 ERA as he bounced between the rotation and the bullpen. But over the next three years, Burnes developed into a major prospect, thanks in particular to a notable summer in the Cape Cod League following his junior season. Now he owns a fastball that sits 92-95 to go with a changeup and breaking ball, all capable of drawing whiffs. That was enough to earn Burnes a fourth-round selection from the Brewers. He looked fantastic in his first professional action, as he struck out 41 batters and allowed just eight runs over 35.2 innings between rookie ball and Low-A Wisconsin. At 21 years old, he should be able to handle batters at those levels, but his stock will be worth watching as he progresses up the ladder.
More Fantasy News
Out with oblique strain
PMilwaukee Brewers
Oblique
September 25, 2020
Burnes was placed on the 10-day injured list Friday with a left oblique strain.
ANALYSIS
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Leaves start with back discomfort
PMilwaukee Brewers
Back
September 24, 2020
Burnes exited Thursday's start against the Cardinals with lower-back discomfort, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dominates again
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 19, 2020
Burnes (4-0) allowed four hits and no walks while striking out nine across six innings to earn the win Saturday against Kansas City.
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Fans 10 in no-decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 14, 2020
Burnes allowed one run on five hits and three walks over 4.2 innings in the loss to St. Louis during Game 2 of Monday's doubleheader. He struck out 10 and did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Whiffs 11 over seven shutout frames
PMilwaukee Brewers
September 9, 2020
Burnes (3-0) earned the win Wednesday against the Tigers after recording 11 strikeouts and giving up one hit and zero walks over seven scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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