Fernando Tatis
Fernando Tatis
21-Year-Old ShortstopSS
San Diego Padres
2020 Fantasy Outlook
In his rookie campaign, Tatis blew away the lofty expectations that accompanied his rise up the prospect rankings. Among players with 300 or more plate appearances, Tatis placed 11th in wRC+ (150) while ranking in the top 15 in traditional metrics such as batting average (.317), slugging percentage (.590) and OPS (.969). The phenom was limited to 84 games due to a pair of stints on the injured list, but when healthy he flashed an impressive combination of speed and power, swatting 22 home runs and utilizing baseball's 18th-best sprint speed (29.3 ft/s) to swipe 16 bases. Tatis' high strikeout rate (29.6%) and unsustainable BABIP (.410) portend some batting-average regression, but he'll be only 21 years old on Opening Day and should improve his plate discipline as he matures. Even with some imperfections, Tatis possesses the necessary tools to be a legitimate 30-30 threat for many seasons to come. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#17
ADP
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$Signed a one-year, $555,000 contract with the Padres in March of 2019.
Swipes fifth bag
SSSan Diego Padres
August 11, 2020
Tatis went 2-for-5 with a stolen base and a run scored in a victory over the Dodgers on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Tatis continues to show why he is one of the most exciting young players in baseball, as he is now tied for the MLB lead with five thefts on the season. The 21-year-old also ranks second in baseball with eight home runs and is tied for third with 18 RBI. He is slashing .333/.407/.750 on the season while leading off for a much-improved Padres offense.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
14
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+29%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+42%
OPS vs LHP
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left 1.222 99 23 6 14 4 .387 .515 .707
Since 2018vs Right .946 354 54 24 57 17 .305 .347 .598
2020vs Left .990 16 3 1 2 0 .231 .375 .615
2020vs Right 1.195 65 13 7 16 5 .356 .415 .780
2019vs Left 1.268 83 20 5 12 4 .419 .542 .726
2019vs Right .891 289 41 17 41 12 .294 .332 .559
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+80%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home 1.055 222 36 16 30 14 .337 .396 .658
Since 2018Away .951 231 41 14 41 7 .304 .372 .578
2020Home 1.465 43 10 6 12 2 .395 .465 1.000
2020Away .813 38 6 2 6 3 .265 .342 .471
2019Home .959 179 26 10 18 12 .323 .380 .579
2019Away .978 193 35 12 35 4 .312 .378 .600
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Fernando Tatis compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.36
 
BB Rate
11.1%
 
K Rate
30.9%
 
BABIP
.410
 
ISO
.417
 
AVG
.333
 
OBP
.407
 
SLG
.750
 
OPS
1.157
 
wOBA
.488
 
Exit Velocity
89.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
68.1%
 
Barrels/PA
11.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Fernando Tatis
Regan's Rumblings: Who’s Caught My Eye?
Yesterday
Dave Regan talks notable players like Kansas City’s Jorge Soler, who seems to be proving his 2019 season wasn’t a fluke, with his five homers already this year.
FanDuel MLB: Tuesday Targets
Yesterday
Chris Bennett looks over Tuesday's slate and thinks Juan Soto is a tempting headliner on a Nationals stack against Mets right-hander Rick Porcello.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
2 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes who's hot and who's not in baseball, and few are hotter than the Padres' Fernando Tatis Jr.
Dream11 Fantasy Baseball: Padres at Dodgers
2 days ago
Juan Pablo Aravena breaks down Monday's Padres at Dodgers game for Dream11 contests.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
4 days ago
Chris Bennett examines Saturday’s slate of games and notes Chris Paddack and the Padres should have a stable floor.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
2017
Tatis has had a lot of success (133 wRC+ at Double-A as a 19-year-old) relative to age and level, but there are red flags in his profile that are not shared by the game's other elite prospects. He has a 27.9% strikeout rate at Double-A and only 26.7% of his hits went to the opposite field last year. His physical gifts can't be taught (easy plus power, above-average speed and athleticism) and he didn't turn 20 until Jan. 2, but his approach undeniably needs some work. Tatis could eventually provide Trevor Story-esque production at shortstop, but there will likely be some bumps along the road against big-league pitching. He missed the final six weeks of 2018 with a broken thumb, but was ready for winter ball and will open 2019 at Triple-A. The Padres say they will keep him on a fast track, but unless there is significant skills growth with his approach, he should not be expected to hit for a high average against big-league pitching if he debuts this summer.
Tatis became the first 18-year-old in the modern era to post a 20-20 season in the Midwest League. The 6-foot-3, 185-pound quick-twitch athlete may have slightly misled dynasty-league owners with his 21-homer, 29-steal campaign. He projects to be a 30-homer threat in the majors, but his steal totals should decline annually as he continues to mature physically. It is extremely rare for players his age to hit for that kind of power at Low-A while also showcasing a quality approach (124:75 K:BB). He could struggle to hit much higher than .275, but given his age, athleticism and aptitude for making adjustments, anything is possible on that front. The same could be said for his ability to stick at shortstop, as many expect him to eventually end up at third base, but such a move is unlikely to be made for at least a couple years. He is on track to enter 2019 alongside another junior (Vladimir Guerrero) as a top-three prospect in baseball.
At the time of the trade, it seemed that the Padres were simply getting salary relief and a low-level minor league throw-in from the White Sox for James Shields. Now, general manager A.J. Preller can point to his acquisition of Tatis as one of his best moves in what has been a calendar year full of excellent maneuvers. He was an above-average hitter as a 17-year-old in both the Arizona and Northwest leagues last year, and is still just scratching the surface of his potential. Tatis is already 6-foot-3, 185 pounds, so he will likely grow out of shortstop, but his bat should be good enough for him to profile as at least an average regular at third base. So far he has shown more speed than power, but that will not be the case for much longer. Tatis could offer 25-30 homer pop as he continues to mature physically. His future value will hinge on the continued development of his bat, but he is well ahead of schedule.
More Fantasy News
Launches eighth homer
SSSan Diego Padres
August 9, 2020
Tatis went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run in Sunday's 9-5 win over Arizona.
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Two solo shots in loss
SSSan Diego Padres
August 8, 2020
Tatis went 3-for-4 with two solo home runs in Saturday's 3-2 loss to the Diamondbacks.
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Launches homer in win
SSSan Diego Padres
August 7, 2020
Tatis went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's win over the Diamondbacks.
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Keeps hitting streak alive
SSSan Diego Padres
August 6, 2020
Tatis went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, an additional run scored, a walk and a stolen base in Wednesday's loss against the Dodgers.
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Goes yard against Dodgers
SSSan Diego Padres
August 4, 2020
Tatis went 1-for-3 with a solo home run and a walk in Monday's 5-4 win over the Dodgers.
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