Jose Alvarado
24-Year-Old PitcherRP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Closers need a couple things: two quality pitches (or one amazing one) and command. Alvarado has two excellent pitches in a fastball that tickles triple digits and a hard, 11-5 breaking ball that batters have a tough time picking up out of his hand. Early in 2018, he lacked the command portion of that equation and had a 14% K-BB rate despite his stuff because he could not hit his spots consistently. That changed midseason and Alvarado had a 28 K-BB% in the second half while holding hitters to a .154 batting average and a .244 slugging percentage. He allowed one home run on the season to the 263 batters he faced, which while fortunate, also speaks to how tough he is for batters to pick up. A few year ago, the club had Felipe Vazquez on the roster and traded him to get Jose Lobaton. They have Vazquez 2.0 here and will not repeat that mistake. As long as the Rays do not try to game the arbitration system, this is their new closer. Read Past Outlooks
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Bounces back for fifth save
PTampa Bay Rays
May 18, 2019
Alvarado retired the side in the bottom of the 11th inning to earn his fifth save Saturday against the Yankees. He allowed one hit and no walks and struck out one in an inning of work.
ANALYSIS
After blowing his first save chance since April 7 on Friday, Alvarado was given another opportunity and this time was successful, working around a leadoff single from Luke Voit before producing a strikeout and a double play. The Rays still figure to play matchups with their closer, but this will help Alvarado stay a part of the committee. The left-hander has a strong 2.37 ERA and 1.16 WHIP on the season along with a 28:9 K:BB.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-48%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .235 169 43 16 35 6 0 1
Since 2017vs Right .171 295 94 31 44 10 2 2
2019vs Left .174 27 8 2 4 0 0 0
2019vs Right .209 51 20 7 9 2 0 1
2018vs Left .215 90 26 10 17 2 0 1
2018vs Right .167 173 54 19 25 8 1 0
2017vs Left .298 52 9 4 14 4 0 0
2017vs Right .156 71 20 5 10 0 1 1
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-66%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.18 0.93 62.1 1 8 6 12.0 3.2 0.1
Since 2017Away 2.15 1.35 50.1 0 4 7 9.7 4.5 0.4
2019Home 1.74 0.87 10.1 0 2 2 14.8 3.5 0.0
2019Away 3.12 1.50 8.2 0 1 3 11.4 5.2 1.0
2018Home 2.70 0.93 33.1 1 4 4 12.7 3.8 0.3
2018Away 2.05 1.30 30.2 0 2 4 9.7 4.4 0.0
2017Home 4.82 0.96 18.2 0 2 0 9.2 1.9 0.0
2017Away 1.64 1.36 11.0 0 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
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Stat Review
How does Jose Alvarado compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.11
 
K/9
13.3
 
BB/9
4.3
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
98.5 mph
 
ERA
2.37
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.319
 
GB/FB
1.23
 
Left On Base
82.5%
 
Exit Velocity
86.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2286 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
34.1%
 
Swinging Strike
15.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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13 days ago
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57 days ago
Erik Siegrist offers up his outside the box predictions for 2019, including a history-making performance from Gary Sanchez.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarado's fastball-slider combo had enticed during his rise through the farm system, but he hadn't shown an ability to locate with consistency prior to 2017. The lefty issued walks at a 6.4 BB/9 clip in a 16-game stint at Triple-A and hadn't posted a mark under 4.0 at any level. All of a sudden, Alvarado began hitting his spots and ended up with an above-average walk rate (2.7 BB/9) in his first exposure to big-league hitters. The swing-and-miss came with him to the majors, with Alvarado averaging close to a strikeout per inning, and he induced groundballs 53.7 percent of the time. His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA at 2.55 -- that was good for 18th among 291 relievers with at least 20 innings. Alvarado was excellent against righties (.193 wOBA), and if Alex Colome is dealt this winter, Alvarado could get a look in the ninth.
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Unravels in ninth inning
PTampa Bay Rays
May 18, 2019
Alvarado (0-3) allowed three earned runs on four hits, a walk and a wild pitch over two-thirds of an inning in a loss to the Yankees on Friday. He also recorded a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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Continues dominating
PTampa Bay Rays
May 16, 2019
Alvarado, who notched his fifth hold in a win over the Marlins on Wednesday with 1.1 scoreless innings in which he allowed no hits or walks and recorded a strikeout, owns four saves, a 1.04 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 17.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Tagged with first loss
PTampa Bay Rays
April 20, 2019
Alvarado (0-1) took the loss Saturday, giving up a run on two hits and a walk over one inning while striking out one as the Rays fell 6-5 to the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Shaky outing produces save
PTampa Bay Rays
April 7, 2019
Alvarado worked around a hit and a walk to earn the save after a scoreless ninth inning in Sunday's 3-0 win over San Francisco. He struck out one batter.
ANALYSIS
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Earns third save
PTampa Bay Rays
April 5, 2019
Alvarado posted a strikeout, walk and hit over one inning while nailing down his third save of the season in a 5-2 victory against the Giants on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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