Jose Alvarado
25-Year-Old PitcherRP
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Alvarado opened the season sharing closing duties with Diego Castillo. He was effective early, posting a 1.04 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, fanning 26 in 17.1 innings, with five holds and a perfect 4-for-4 saves mark. Things then unraveled for Alvarado, as he allowed seven earned runs over his next seven frames, walking eight while surrendering 11 hits. Alvarado then left the country to attend to a personal matter in Venezuela, returning to the club in late June. His season was interrupted twice more, the first with a sore oblique followed by elbow inflammation prematurely ending his season in August. After his dominant start to the season, Alvarado never regained form. With a revamped bullpen featuring Emilio Pagan and Nick Anderson, Alvarado will first need to show he's healthy, then pitch well enough to return to late-inning duties. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Rays in March of 2012 that includes a $50,000 signing bonus.
Starts season off sharp
PTampa Bay Rays
July 27, 2020
Alvarado, who fired a scoreless ninth frame during which he recorded two strikeouts in an extra-inning win over the Blue Jays on Sunday, has opened the season with back-to-back scoreless appearances.
ANALYSIS
There was a fair amount of scrutiny on Alvarado heading into the campaign, as the left-hander was coming off a wildly inconsistent 2019 in which he often struggled with control. Despite some unsightly numbers in spring training this year, Alvarado had steadfastly maintained he was primed for a big 2020, and early returns have certainly been encouraging. The 25-year-old has yet to see a save chance, but he's now retired six batters on a relatively efficient 35 pitches while posting a 4:1 K:BB across his first pair of outings.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2017
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
20
Last 10 Games
20
Last 5 Games
20
How many pitches does Jose Alvarado generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jose Alvarado generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .203 142 42 19 24 3 0 1
Since 2018vs Right .209 290 84 40 51 13 2 3
2020vs Left .000 4 3 1 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right .250 19 4 2 4 2 0 1
2019vs Left .194 48 13 8 7 1 0 0
2019vs Right .282 98 26 19 22 3 1 2
2018vs Left .215 90 26 10 17 2 0 1
2018vs Right .167 173 54 19 25 8 1 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-7%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.29 1.13 54.2 2 7 7 12.7 4.8 0.3
Since 2018Away 3.07 1.64 44.0 0 5 8 10.0 6.1 0.4
2020Home 0.00 0.33 3.0 0 0 0 15.0 3.0 0.0
2020Away 10.80 3.60 1.2 0 0 0 10.8 10.8 5.4
2019Home 4.91 1.64 18.1 1 3 3 12.3 6.9 0.5
2019Away 4.63 2.23 11.2 0 3 4 10.8 10.0 0.8
2018Home 2.70 0.93 33.1 1 4 4 12.7 3.8 0.3
2018Away 2.05 1.30 30.2 0 2 4 9.7 4.4 0.0
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Stat Review
How does Jose Alvarado compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.33
 
K/9
13.5
 
BB/9
5.8
 
HR/9
1.9
 
Fastball
96.7 mph
 
ERA
3.86
 
WHIP
1.50
 
BABIP
.328
 
GB/FB
1.20
 
Left On Base
71.4%
 
Exit Velocity
83.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
10.5%
 
Spin Rate
2162 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.3%
 
Swinging Strike
7.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Alvarado
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Erik Siegrist checks out the free-agent pool in the American League, where top prospects like the Blue Jays' Nate Pearson have started making their big-league debuts.
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4 days ago
One week in, Brad Johnson evaluates bullpens in the American League, including in Minnesota where Taylor Rodgers should continue to be the primary closer.
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8 days ago
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21 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff profiles 10 undervalued players he's happy to draft, including the Mets' Robinson Cano.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2019
2018
Closers need a couple things: two quality pitches (or one amazing one) and command. Alvarado has two excellent pitches in a fastball that tickles triple digits and a hard, 11-5 breaking ball that batters have a tough time picking up out of his hand. Early in 2018, he lacked the command portion of that equation and had a 14% K-BB rate despite his stuff because he could not hit his spots consistently. That changed midseason and Alvarado had a 28 K-BB% in the second half while holding hitters to a .154 batting average and a .244 slugging percentage. He allowed one home run on the season to the 263 batters he faced, which while fortunate, also speaks to how tough he is for batters to pick up. A few year ago, the club had Felipe Vazquez on the roster and traded him to get Jose Lobaton. They have Vazquez 2.0 here and will not repeat that mistake. As long as the Rays do not try to game the arbitration system, this is their new closer.
Alvarado's fastball-slider combo had enticed during his rise through the farm system, but he hadn't shown an ability to locate with consistency prior to 2017. The lefty issued walks at a 6.4 BB/9 clip in a 16-game stint at Triple-A and hadn't posted a mark under 4.0 at any level. All of a sudden, Alvarado began hitting his spots and ended up with an above-average walk rate (2.7 BB/9) in his first exposure to big-league hitters. The swing-and-miss came with him to the majors, with Alvarado averaging close to a strikeout per inning, and he induced groundballs 53.7 percent of the time. His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA at 2.55 -- that was good for 18th among 291 relievers with at least 20 innings. Alvarado was excellent against righties (.193 wOBA), and if Alex Colome is dealt this winter, Alvarado could get a look in the ninth.
More Fantasy News
Improves from last sim game
PTampa Bay Rays
July 13, 2020
Alvarado, who struggled some with control in a simulated game Friday, was more effective during a Sunday appearance, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports. "Better," said Rays manager Kevin Cash. "His last outing that he had he was fine, but he just wasn't filling up the strike zone like he's capable of. We put in an emphasis to fill it up, fill up the zone with the fastball, because as soon as he does that, then those 55-foot breaking balls [come] -- which catchers can't stand but hitters swing at. So you don't tell him not to throw those."
ANALYSIS
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Ready for big season
PTampa Bay Rays
July 4, 2020
Alvarado, who struggled to a career-worst 4.80 ERA and 1.87 WHIP in 2019, feels highly confident he'll have a bounce-back year in 2020, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports. "When he's right, he's as dominant as anybody in the game," said manager Kevin Cash. "The thing that really sticks out right now is the strike-throwing and that he's landing his breaking ball. His delivery is really clean."
ANALYSIS
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Gets long toss in
PTampa Bay Rays
June 22, 2020
Alvarado got some long toss in at Tropicana Field on Monday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Looking to erase '19
PTampa Bay Rays
May 22, 2020
Alvarado is one of several Rays players with plenty to prove in 2020, Josh Tolentino of The Athletic reports.
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Not viewed as top closing candidate
PTampa Bay Rays
March 23, 2020
Alvarado is expected to work primarily as a setup man to begin the 2020 season with Nick Anderson "in line to get the bulk of the save opportunities" for the Rays, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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