Jose Alvarado

Jose Alvarado

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Philadelphia Phillies
2021 Fantasy Outlook
There were times in 2018 when Alvarado looked like the next big thing out of the Tampa Bay bullpen. He touched 100 mph with a two-seamer that seemingly defied the laws of physics at times coupled with a slider that came in around the speed of the league-average fastball. That feels like a decade ago, as Alvarado has rarely been right since due to injuries, inconsistency and family issues. He still throws hard but has permitted 71 baserunners and uncorked 11 wild pitches in 39 innings over the past two seasons. He was a healthy scratch from the postseason roster because his command simply could not be trusted in high-leverage situations. The career 27.9 K% and .207 BAA make him tempting to chase, especially now that he's in Philadelphia where there's less competition for saves, but his command of the strike zone has been AWOL since the end of the 2018 season. If he finds "it" again, he could dominate. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#495
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1 million contract with the Phillies in January of 2021.
Notches fifth save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
August 31, 2021
Alvarado gave up a hit and a walk in a scoreless ninth inning Monday to record his fifth save of the season in a 7-4 win over the Nationals. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
Ian Kennedy had the night off after picking up his fifth save as a Phillie on Sunday, so Alvarado got the call to close out this one. The southpaw hasn't been scored upon in six straight appearances dating back to Aug. 3, and his recent stint on the IL due to shoulder inflammation didn't derail his momentum. That being said, his lack of control (career-worst 19.7 percent walk rate on the season) makes him volatile at the best of times.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
13
Last 5 Games
15
How many pitches does Jose Alvarado generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jose Alvarado generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-51%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-54%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .136 152 39 23 16 1 0 1
Since 2019vs Right .279 290 81 57 64 12 1 8
2021vs Left .123 92 20 14 9 0 0 1
2021vs Right .266 159 48 33 33 7 0 4
2020vs Left .000 12 6 1 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right .333 33 7 5 9 2 0 2
2019vs Left .194 48 13 8 7 1 0 0
2019vs Right .282 98 26 19 22 3 1 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-41%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.74 1.48 49.1 5 3 6 11.3 7.1 0.9
Since 2019Away 4.37 1.92 45.1 3 4 6 11.5 8.1 0.8
2021Home 5.33 1.52 27.0 4 0 3 10.0 8.0 1.3
2021Away 3.14 1.67 28.2 3 1 2 11.9 7.2 0.3
2020Home 0.00 0.50 4.0 0 0 0 15.8 2.3 0.0
2020Away 10.80 2.60 5.0 0 0 0 10.8 9.0 3.6
2019Home 4.91 1.64 18.1 1 3 3 12.3 6.9 0.5
2019Away 4.63 2.23 11.2 0 3 4 10.8 10.0 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jose Alvarado compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.45
 
K/9
11.0
 
BB/9
7.6
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
99.4 mph
 
ERA
4.20
 
WHIP
1.60
 
BABIP
.294
 
GB/FB
2.64
 
Left On Base
72.0%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.8%
 
Spin Rate
2101 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.3%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Alvarado
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82 days ago
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114 days ago
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124 days ago
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Bernie on the Scene: Trade Deadline Edition
130 days ago
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NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
152 days ago
With Evan Longoria set to be back later this month, Jan Levine figures he'll be a popular add.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
Alvarado opened the season sharing closing duties with Diego Castillo. He was effective early, posting a 1.04 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, fanning 26 in 17.1 innings, with five holds and a perfect 4-for-4 saves mark. Things then unraveled for Alvarado, as he allowed seven earned runs over his next seven frames, walking eight while surrendering 11 hits. Alvarado then left the country to attend to a personal matter in Venezuela, returning to the club in late June. His season was interrupted twice more, the first with a sore oblique followed by elbow inflammation prematurely ending his season in August. After his dominant start to the season, Alvarado never regained form. With a revamped bullpen featuring Emilio Pagan and Nick Anderson, Alvarado will first need to show he's healthy, then pitch well enough to return to late-inning duties.
Closers need a couple things: two quality pitches (or one amazing one) and command. Alvarado has two excellent pitches in a fastball that tickles triple digits and a hard, 11-5 breaking ball that batters have a tough time picking up out of his hand. Early in 2018, he lacked the command portion of that equation and had a 14% K-BB rate despite his stuff because he could not hit his spots consistently. That changed midseason and Alvarado had a 28 K-BB% in the second half while holding hitters to a .154 batting average and a .244 slugging percentage. He allowed one home run on the season to the 263 batters he faced, which while fortunate, also speaks to how tough he is for batters to pick up. A few year ago, the club had Felipe Vazquez on the roster and traded him to get Jose Lobaton. They have Vazquez 2.0 here and will not repeat that mistake. As long as the Rays do not try to game the arbitration system, this is their new closer.
Alvarado's fastball-slider combo had enticed during his rise through the farm system, but he hadn't shown an ability to locate with consistency prior to 2017. The lefty issued walks at a 6.4 BB/9 clip in a 16-game stint at Triple-A and hadn't posted a mark under 4.0 at any level. All of a sudden, Alvarado began hitting his spots and ended up with an above-average walk rate (2.7 BB/9) in his first exposure to big-league hitters. The swing-and-miss came with him to the majors, with Alvarado averaging close to a strikeout per inning, and he induced groundballs 53.7 percent of the time. His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA at 2.55 -- that was good for 18th among 291 relievers with at least 20 innings. Alvarado was excellent against righties (.193 wOBA), and if Alex Colome is dealt this winter, Alvarado could get a look in the ninth.
More Fantasy News
Returns from IL
PPhiladelphia Phillies
August 26, 2021
The Phillies reinstated Alvarado (shoulder) from the 10-day injured list Thursday, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starts up rehab assignment
PPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
August 25, 2021
Alvarado (shoulder) made his first rehab appearance for Triple-A Lehigh Valley on Tuesday, tossing a no-hit inning while striking out one and walking one.
ANALYSIS
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Throws bullpen Friday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
August 20, 2021
Alvarado (shoulder) threw a bullpen session Friday, Daniel Guerrero of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on injured list
PPhiladelphia Phillies
Shoulder
August 11, 2021
Alvarado was placed on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with a left shoulder impingement.
ANALYSIS
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Locks down fourth save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
August 3, 2021
Alvarado earned the save against the Nationals on Tuesday after tossing a perfect inning with a pair of strikeouts.
ANALYSIS
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