Jose Alvarado
25-Year-Old PitcherRP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
There were times in 2018 when Alvarado looked like the next big thing out of the Tampa Bay bullpen. He touched 100 mph with a two-seamer that seemingly defied the laws of physics at times coupled with a slider that came in around the speed of the league-average fastball. That feels like a decade ago, as Alvarado has rarely been right since due to injuries, inconsistency and family issues. He still throws hard but has permitted 71 baserunners and uncorked 11 wild pitches in 39 innings over the past two seasons. He was a healthy scratch from the postseason roster because his command simply could not be trusted in high-leverage situations. The career 27.9 K% and .207 BAA make him tempting to chase, especially now that he's in Philadelphia where there's less competition for saves, but his command of the strike zone has been AWOL since the end of the 2018 season. If he finds "it" again, he could dominate. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#527
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1 million contract with the Phillies in January of 2021.
Nails down second save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
May 5, 2021
Alvarado earned his second save during Wednesday's 5-4 win over the Brewers, issuing a walk and recording two strikeouts during a scoreless ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
Hector Neris tossed 40 pitches the night before, opening the door for Alvarado to get another save chance. He wasn't exactly sharp while throwing only nine of 17 pitches for strikes, but as usual, Alvarado was overpowering when he was around the zone, topping out at 99.8 mph. He sports a 4.00 ERA and 15:6 K:BB through nine innings, racking up two wins and two holds through 11 appearances in addition to his saves.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2017 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
16
Last 5 Games
18
How many pitches does Jose Alvarado generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jose Alvarado generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .164 76 22 13 9 1 0 0
Since 2019vs Right .264 175 49 32 37 6 1 4
2021vs Left .200 16 3 4 2 0 0 0
2021vs Right .171 44 16 8 6 1 0 0
2020vs Left .000 12 6 1 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right .333 33 7 5 9 2 0 2
2019vs Left .194 48 13 8 7 1 0 0
2019vs Right .282 98 26 19 22 3 1 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-6%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.61 1.54 27.1 2 3 5 13.8 6.6 0.3
Since 2019Away 4.44 2.01 24.1 2 3 4 10.7 9.2 1.1
2021Home 7.20 2.00 5.0 1 0 2 18.0 9.0 0.0
2021Away 0.00 1.30 7.2 2 0 0 10.6 8.2 0.0
2020Home 0.00 0.50 4.0 0 0 0 15.8 2.3 0.0
2020Away 10.80 2.60 5.0 0 0 0 10.8 9.0 3.6
2019Home 4.91 1.64 18.1 1 3 3 12.3 6.9 0.5
2019Away 4.63 2.23 11.2 0 3 4 10.8 10.0 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jose Alvarado compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.58
 
K/9
13.5
 
BB/9
8.5
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
99.2 mph
 
ERA
2.84
 
WHIP
1.58
 
BABIP
.324
 
GB/FB
1.50
 
Left On Base
80.0%
 
Exit Velocity
77.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2194 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
16.4%
 
Swinging Strike
12.0%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jose Alvarado
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
2 days ago
Jan Levine provides his latest contingent of NLers, including a look at Jorge Alfaro's imminent return to the lineup.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
9 days ago
Jan Levine has the lowdown on the latest NL recruits, including Odubel Herrera and his recent fine play.
MLB FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
12 days ago
Jason Shebilske analyzes the top waiver-wire options for the week, including Brandon Belt, who is driving in runs in the heart of San Francisco's lineup.
Week 6 FAAB Recap
Week 6 FAAB Recap
15 days ago
15 days ago
Shane McClanahan was the big prize free agent in a number of leagues this week.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
16 days ago
Jan Levine looks at a few position battles, including the Reds' closer situation.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
Alvarado opened the season sharing closing duties with Diego Castillo. He was effective early, posting a 1.04 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, fanning 26 in 17.1 innings, with five holds and a perfect 4-for-4 saves mark. Things then unraveled for Alvarado, as he allowed seven earned runs over his next seven frames, walking eight while surrendering 11 hits. Alvarado then left the country to attend to a personal matter in Venezuela, returning to the club in late June. His season was interrupted twice more, the first with a sore oblique followed by elbow inflammation prematurely ending his season in August. After his dominant start to the season, Alvarado never regained form. With a revamped bullpen featuring Emilio Pagan and Nick Anderson, Alvarado will first need to show he's healthy, then pitch well enough to return to late-inning duties.
Closers need a couple things: two quality pitches (or one amazing one) and command. Alvarado has two excellent pitches in a fastball that tickles triple digits and a hard, 11-5 breaking ball that batters have a tough time picking up out of his hand. Early in 2018, he lacked the command portion of that equation and had a 14% K-BB rate despite his stuff because he could not hit his spots consistently. That changed midseason and Alvarado had a 28 K-BB% in the second half while holding hitters to a .154 batting average and a .244 slugging percentage. He allowed one home run on the season to the 263 batters he faced, which while fortunate, also speaks to how tough he is for batters to pick up. A few year ago, the club had Felipe Vazquez on the roster and traded him to get Jose Lobaton. They have Vazquez 2.0 here and will not repeat that mistake. As long as the Rays do not try to game the arbitration system, this is their new closer.
Alvarado's fastball-slider combo had enticed during his rise through the farm system, but he hadn't shown an ability to locate with consistency prior to 2017. The lefty issued walks at a 6.4 BB/9 clip in a 16-game stint at Triple-A and hadn't posted a mark under 4.0 at any level. All of a sudden, Alvarado began hitting his spots and ended up with an above-average walk rate (2.7 BB/9) in his first exposure to big-league hitters. The swing-and-miss came with him to the majors, with Alvarado averaging close to a strikeout per inning, and he induced groundballs 53.7 percent of the time. His FIP was more than a run lower than his ERA at 2.55 -- that was good for 18th among 291 relievers with at least 20 innings. Alvarado was excellent against righties (.193 wOBA), and if Alex Colome is dealt this winter, Alvarado could get a look in the ninth.
More Fantasy News
Suspension reduced
PPhiladelphia Phillies
Suspension
May 3, 2021
Alvarado's suspension was reduced to two games upon appeal and will be served starting Monday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Appealing three-game ban
PPhiladelphia Phillies
May 2, 2021
Alvarado was handed a three-game suspension Sunday but will continue to play while appealing the ban, Jim Salisbury of NBC Sports Philadelphia reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Returns to roster
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 26, 2021
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Placed on injured list
PPhiladelphia Phillies
Undisclosed
April 19, 2021
Alvarado was placed on the injured list Monday for an unspecified reason, Matt Breen of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Earns win Sunday
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 12, 2021
Alvarado (2-0) pitched a clean eighth inning while also walking a batter as he was awarded his second win of the season in a 7-6 victory over the Braves on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.