Adbert Alzolay
Adbert Alzolay
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Chicago Cubs
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Alzolay didn't crack the Cubs' Opening Day 30-man roster. After a month at the alternate site, he bounced back and forth between South Bend and the North Side the final month, making four starts in six appearances. Alzolay's 2.95 ERA and 1.17 WHIP were deflated by a .256 BABIP, but a 33.3 K% is encouraging. Alzolay's 14.9% walk rate is dangerously high, especially once he experiences a BABIP correction. That said, a 4.15 SIERA and 3.62 xFIP offer encouragement. Alzolay features a four-seam fastball, hard sinker and a slider, mixing in some changeups against left-handers. His slider is his primary strikeout pitch. This is a starter's repertoire, and Alzolay may still be a rotation mainstay, but with a little tweaking, he could be a dominant reliever. He'll likely have an innings limit, but Alzolay should be given a chance to break camp in the Cubs' rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#404
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in February of 2021.
Handed 11th loss
PChicago Cubs
July 27, 2021
Alzolay (4-11) allowed four runs across five innings to take the loss Tuesday against the Reds. He gave up seven hits and no walks while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
For the second straight start, Alzolay was done in by home runs. He allowed three runs on two long balls his last time out and followed that up by allowing three solo bombs Tuesday. Alzolay has now given up 23 home runs in 93.1 innings this season after allowing just a single homer in 2020, albeit in only 21.1 innings. The 26-year-old has pitched decently for the Cubs at times, but he's going to struggle to find consistent success if he can't keep the ball in the yard. Alzolay will look to get back on track in his next scheduled start Sunday against the Nationals.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Adbert Alzolay generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Adbert Alzolay generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-38%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-35%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-51%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-43%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .273 257 52 26 62 14 0 21
Since 2019vs Right .170 260 81 22 39 4 2 6
2021vs Left .275 184 36 15 46 10 0 19
2021vs Right .178 198 59 12 32 4 1 4
2020vs Left .219 41 13 7 7 2 0 0
2020vs Right .107 34 12 5 3 0 1 0
2019vs Left .321 32 3 4 9 2 0 2
2019vs Right .182 28 10 5 4 0 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-5%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-55%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-89%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.15 1.09 65.0 4 5 0 9.6 3.5 1.9
Since 2019Away 5.53 1.35 57.0 1 8 0 9.5 3.5 2.1
2021Home 4.60 1.07 45.0 3 4 0 9.6 2.2 2.4
2021Away 4.84 1.18 48.1 1 7 0 8.8 3.0 2.0
2020Home 3.97 1.32 11.1 0 1 0 9.5 6.4 0.0
2020Away 1.80 1.20 5.0 0 0 0 16.2 5.4 0.0
2019Home 2.08 0.92 8.2 1 0 0 9.3 6.2 2.1
2019Away 19.64 3.82 3.2 0 1 0 9.8 7.4 4.9
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Stat Review
How does Adbert Alzolay compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.52
 
K/9
9.2
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
2.2
 
Fastball
93.7 mph
 
ERA
4.72
 
WHIP
1.12
 
BABIP
.246
 
GB/FB
1.35
 
Left On Base
74.2%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.7%
 
Spin Rate
2370 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.2%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Adbert Alzolay
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2018
Alzolay reached the big leagues for the first time at age 24 but didn't look great in 12.1 innings, allowing 10 runs and walking nine batters. His 4.41 ERA in 15 starts for Triple-A Iowa isn't too exciting either, but his 32.3 K% in those starts provides some reason to be excited for Alzolay's future. Whether that future comes in the rotation or the bullpen remains to be seen. Alzolay's smaller frame and lack of a strong third pitch to complement his fastball and curve would seem to point in the latter direction. He has the tools to become a strong late-inning option for a team that has lacked stability in that area, though relieving won't give him much fantasy value unless he's in the closer conversation. If he does get a run in the rotation, Alzolay has a bit of upside as a potential high-strikeout streamer, but it would probably take an injury for an opportunity to open up.
If Alzolay were in a better farm system, he would blend in, but he will be ranked near the top of the Cubs' system by most outlets, and unnecessary dynasty-league hype will follow. He is the only pitcher in that system with some upside who is also relatively close to the majors. Indeed, proximity to the big leagues may be his most appealing trait. His plus fastball sits at 93-94 mph, and he has a quality breaking ball, but his changeup is a distant third pitch, and his curveball is by no means a hammer. Alzolay has above-average command, which allowed him to hold his own in the lower levels before he experienced a velocity bump last season. With only seven starts at Double-A, he may head back to the Southern League, but it's possible he is assigned straight to Triple-A after spring training. The Cubs could call upon Alzolay during his age-23 season, whether to plug a hole in the rotation or work in middle relief. Unless his changeup really comes along, he profiles as a No. 4 starter or setup man.
More Fantasy News
Suffers 10th loss
PChicago Cubs
July 22, 2021
Alzolay (4-10) allowed three runs across six innings and took the loss Thursday against the Cardinals. He gave up four hits and three walks while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Lasts five innings in no-decision
PChicago Cubs
July 17, 2021
Alzolay allowed two runs on five hits and two walks while striking out two in five innings versus Arizona on Saturday. He did not factor in the decision.
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Yields two homers in loss
PChicago Cubs
July 8, 2021
Alzolay (4-9) allowed four runs on five hits and a walk while striking out five in five innings as he took the loss versus Philadelphia on Thursday.
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Stuck with loss in quality start
PChicago Cubs
July 3, 2021
Alzolay (4-8) took the loss Saturday as the Cubs fell 3-2 to the Reds, allowing three runs on five hits and a walk over seven innings. He struck out six.
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Roughed up in short outing
PChicago Cubs
June 27, 2021
Alzolay (4-7) allowed six runs (four earned) on five hits and three walks while striking out three across three innings, taking the loss to the Dodgers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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