Adbert Alzolay
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Alzolay didn't crack the Cubs' Opening Day 30-man roster. After a month at the alternate site, he bounced back and forth between South Bend and the North Side the final month, making four starts in six appearances. Alzolay's 2.95 ERA and 1.17 WHIP were deflated by a .256 BABIP, but a 33.3 K% is encouraging. Alzolay's 14.9% walk rate is dangerously high, especially once he experiences a BABIP correction. That said, a 4.15 SIERA and 3.62 xFIP offer encouragement. Alzolay features a four-seam fastball, hard sinker and a slider, mixing in some changeups against left-handers. His slider is his primary strikeout pitch. This is a starter's repertoire, and Alzolay may still be a rotation mainstay, but with a little tweaking, he could be a dominant reliever. He'll likely have an innings limit, but Alzolay should be given a chance to break camp in the Cubs' rotation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#410
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in February of 2021.
Strikes out seven
PChicago Cubs
May 5, 2021
Alzolay allowed two earned runs on three hits and one walk while striking out seven across five innings Wednesday against the Dodgers. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Alzolay surrendered a run in each of his last two innings, but he was otherwise excellent during the outing. He racked up 12 swinging strikes on only 79 total pitches to back up his seven strikeouts. More importantly, after posting a 4.6 BB/9 across his first 33.2 innings in the majors across the last two seasons, Alzolay has walked only seven batters while striking out 30 over 26 frames to begin the current campaign. He's in line to draw his next start Tuesday at Cleveland.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
80
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Adbert Alzolay generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Adbert Alzolay generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-46%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-42%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-51%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-43%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .248 122 28 15 26 7 0 5
Since 2019vs Right .134 113 40 13 13 1 1 3
2021vs Left .222 49 12 4 10 3 0 3
2021vs Right .128 51 18 3 6 1 0 1
2020vs Left .219 41 13 7 7 2 0 0
2020vs Right .107 34 12 5 3 0 1 0
2019vs Left .321 32 3 4 9 2 0 2
2019vs Right .182 28 10 5 4 0 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-38%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-19%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-55%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-89%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.89 1.07 34.2 1 2 0 10.1 4.9 1.3
Since 2019Away 6.30 1.45 20.0 1 2 0 11.3 3.6 1.4
2021Home 4.91 0.95 14.2 0 1 0 11.0 3.1 1.8
2021Away 3.97 0.79 11.1 1 1 0 9.5 1.6 0.8
2020Home 3.97 1.32 11.1 0 1 0 9.5 6.4 0.0
2020Away 1.80 1.20 5.0 0 0 0 16.2 5.4 0.0
2019Home 2.08 0.92 8.2 1 0 0 9.3 6.2 2.1
2019Away 19.64 3.82 3.2 0 1 0 9.8 7.4 4.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Adbert Alzolay compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.29
 
K/9
10.4
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
93.5 mph
 
ERA
4.50
 
WHIP
0.88
 
BABIP
.217
 
GB/FB
1.05
 
Left On Base
57.5%
 
Exit Velocity
81.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.9%
 
Spin Rate
2427 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.4%
 
Swinging Strike
13.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Jesse Siegel reviews the prospect pool, with a look at a highly-touted shortshop who will need to get back on track after he returns.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2018
Alzolay reached the big leagues for the first time at age 24 but didn't look great in 12.1 innings, allowing 10 runs and walking nine batters. His 4.41 ERA in 15 starts for Triple-A Iowa isn't too exciting either, but his 32.3 K% in those starts provides some reason to be excited for Alzolay's future. Whether that future comes in the rotation or the bullpen remains to be seen. Alzolay's smaller frame and lack of a strong third pitch to complement his fastball and curve would seem to point in the latter direction. He has the tools to become a strong late-inning option for a team that has lacked stability in that area, though relieving won't give him much fantasy value unless he's in the closer conversation. If he does get a run in the rotation, Alzolay has a bit of upside as a potential high-strikeout streamer, but it would probably take an injury for an opportunity to open up.
If Alzolay were in a better farm system, he would blend in, but he will be ranked near the top of the Cubs' system by most outlets, and unnecessary dynasty-league hype will follow. He is the only pitcher in that system with some upside who is also relatively close to the majors. Indeed, proximity to the big leagues may be his most appealing trait. His plus fastball sits at 93-94 mph, and he has a quality breaking ball, but his changeup is a distant third pitch, and his curveball is by no means a hammer. Alzolay has above-average command, which allowed him to hold his own in the lower levels before he experienced a velocity bump last season. With only seven starts at Double-A, he may head back to the Southern League, but it's possible he is assigned straight to Triple-A after spring training. The Cubs could call upon Alzolay during his age-23 season, whether to plug a hole in the rotation or work in middle relief. Unless his changeup really comes along, he profiles as a No. 4 starter or setup man.
More Fantasy News
Fans six in win
PChicago Cubs
April 29, 2021
Alzolay (1-2) earned the win Thursday after holding Atlanta to two runs on four hits and a walk while striking out six across six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out seven Saturday
PChicago Cubs
April 24, 2021
Alzolay allowed two runs on two hits across 4.2 innings and did not factor into the decision Saturday against the Brewers. He walked two and struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled prior to start
PChicago Cubs
April 24, 2021
Alzolay was recalled by the Cubs ahead of his scheduled start against the Brewers on Saturday, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to start Saturday
PChicago Cubs
April 21, 2021
Alzolay is scheduled to start Saturday's game against the Brewers, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Should return next weekend
PChicago Cubs
April 14, 2021
Alzolay will likely be recalled when the Cubs need a fifth starter next weekend against the Brewers, Bruce Levine of 670TheScore.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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