Pablo Lopez
Pablo Lopez
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Miami Marlins
2020 Fantasy Outlook
The right-hander made his debut for the Marlins in 2018, and after becoming the talk of the Grapefruit League last spring, earned a spot in the Opening Day rotation. Lopez put together a solid first half (4.23 ERA and 1.12 WHIP) before going down with a shoulder strain, which sidelined him for over two months. He struggled in seven starts after coming off the IL with a 7.01 ERA. Lopez had a 20.3 K% and 5.8 BB% and mixes in a curveball and changeup to go with his 94-mph fastball. His numbers don't jump off the page, and he could be hurt some by the Marlins moving in the fences, but he is only entering his age-24 season, so we should not consider him a finished product. He could get by as a low-WHIP groundball pitcher even if his strikeout rate doesn't significantly improve. If he can come anywhere near his first-half numbers from last season he should see consistent innings for Miami. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#393
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Marlins in March of 2018.
Bounces back to pick up win
PMiami Marlins
September 14, 2020
Lopez (4-4) picked up the win Monday against the Phillies, allowing one run on three hits across seven innings. He fanned six and did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
It was a dramatic turnaround for Lopez after being tagged for seven runs in just 1.2 innings Sept. 10. The right-hander was close to flawless after allowing a home run to Andrew McCutchen to leadoff the ball game, allowing just two hits while not issuing a free pass the rest of the way. The 24-year-old picked up his fourth win and dropped his ERA to 4.02 on the season. He will look to carry his momentum into his start against Washington on Saturday.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
80
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Pablo Lopez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Pablo Lopez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-5%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .283 472 85 31 122 35 2 12
Since 2018vs Right .226 442 102 27 90 15 1 15
2020vs Left .282 109 16 5 29 11 0 1
2020vs Right .203 89 30 8 16 1 0 3
2019vs Left .303 241 45 17 66 15 2 9
2019vs Right .217 228 50 10 45 8 1 6
2018vs Left .245 122 24 9 27 9 0 2
2018vs Right .259 125 22 9 29 6 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-54%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-23%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.28 1.14 126.1 6 7 0 7.5 2.1 0.7
Since 2018Away 6.45 1.39 90.2 5 9 0 8.1 2.8 1.7
2020Home 2.39 0.91 26.1 2 1 0 8.2 0.3 0.7
2020Away 6.10 1.65 20.2 2 3 0 9.6 5.2 0.9
2019Home 3.39 1.08 63.2 3 3 0 7.6 2.3 0.6
2019Away 7.36 1.45 47.2 2 5 0 7.7 2.1 2.1
2018Home 3.72 1.40 36.1 1 3 0 6.7 3.2 1.0
2018Away 4.84 1.03 22.1 1 1 0 7.7 2.0 1.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Pablo Lopez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.54
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
2.5
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
93.7 mph
 
ERA
4.02
 
WHIP
1.23
 
BABIP
.321
 
GB/FB
2.92
 
Left On Base
63.0%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.0%
 
Spin Rate
2067 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.0%
 
Swinging Strike
12.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2019 Fantasy Outlook
Lopez hadn't pitched above High-A prior to the 2018 season, but a series of good starts in the high minors saw him promoted to the big leagues in late June. He performed competently in 10 starts for the struggling Marlins, recording a 4.14 ERA before being shut down with a shoulder strain in early September. His greatest strength thus far in his professional career has been his ability to avoid walks -- his 7.3% walk rate in his debut was good, though he'd actually kept his walk rate at 5.0% or below at each of his minor-league stops. His 18.6% strikeout rate wasn't particularly impressive, however, leaving him looking like a back-end starter. It's unclear if he'll have a chance to fill out the Marlins' rotation from the start of this season, but his pitcher-friendly home park will make him a decent deep-league streaming option when called upon.
More Fantasy News
Roughed up in loss
PMiami Marlins
September 10, 2020
Lopez (3-4) allowed seven runs on four hits (one home run) and four walks while striking out two across 1.2 innings Wednesday as he took the loss against the Braves.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss to Rays
PMiami Marlins
September 5, 2020
Lopez (3-3) allowed five runs on five hits and two walks while striking out six over four innings in a loss to the Rays on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in loss
PMiami Marlins
August 29, 2020
Lopez (3-2) allowed two earned runs on six hits and no walks while striking out five across seven innings to take the loss Saturday against the Rays.
ANALYSIS
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Collects third win
PMiami Marlins
August 24, 2020
Lopez (3-1) allowed six hits and two walks while striking out three over five scoreless innings on the way to a win Monday night against Washington.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses quality start Wednesday
PMiami Marlins
August 20, 2020
Lopez gave up two runs on seven hits and a walk while striking out five in 6.1 innings Wednesday. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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