Carlos Hernandez

Carlos Hernandez

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Kansas City Royals
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Hernandez began the season as a reliever then transitioned to the Royals rotation after the break. He throws four pitches, led by a 97-mph fastball. While it's curious his K% was only 20.7%, Hernandez's swinging strike mark portended a rate a couple ticks higher. That said, unless Hernandez improves his 11.5% BB%, he'll need more than a few additional punch outs to manage his ratios. To that end, his 3.68 ERA was pegged as at least a run lucky by its estimators. He benefited from a fortunate .267 BABIP and 7.3% HR/FB mark along with a 74.7% LOB mark, three points above league average. Hernandez has a live arm worth a speculative investment with a strong chance to win a spot in Kansas City's rotation. Just don't expect last season's ERA, though fewer walks puts a repeat in play. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#442
ADP
$Signed a contract with the Royals in July of 2016.
Struggles again Saturday
PKansas City Royals
May 14, 2022
Hernandez (0-3) took the loss against Colorado on Saturday, allowing nine runs on eight hits and three walks while striking out three batters over four innings.
ANALYSIS
Hernandez fell behind early and yielded seven runs over his first three innings. Though he pitched a perfect fourth frame, he was pulled after starting the fifth by giving up a walk and a run-scoring double. Hernandez has given up 15 runs over his past two starts to push his season ERA to 9.11. He's in danger of losing his spot in the rotation, but if he gets another chance to smooth things out, it will likely come at home against the White Sox next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
78
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Carlos Hernandez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Carlos Hernandez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-28%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-37%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-29%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .219 263 46 36 49 6 2 9
Since 2020vs Right .304 292 54 26 78 15 1 6
2022vs Left .265 61 7 11 13 3 1 2
2022vs Right .419 69 6 4 26 6 0 2
2021vs Left .182 167 35 22 26 2 1 3
2021vs Right .257 191 39 19 43 7 1 4
2020vs Left .313 35 4 3 10 1 0 4
2020vs Right .321 32 9 3 9 2 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-45%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-54%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 4.90 1.52 71.2 3 3 0 6.5 4.1 1.3
Since 2020Away 4.70 1.34 53.2 3 2 0 7.5 4.7 0.8
2022Home 6.39 2.05 12.2 0 1 0 2.8 5.7 0.7
2022Away 11.57 2.00 14.0 0 2 0 5.8 4.5 1.9
2021Home 4.89 1.43 46.0 3 2 0 7.4 3.9 1.0
2021Away 2.27 1.11 39.2 3 0 0 8.2 4.8 0.5
2020Home 3.46 1.31 13.0 0 0 0 6.9 3.5 2.8
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Carlos Hernandez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.87
 
K/9
4.4
 
BB/9
5.1
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
95.4 mph
 
ERA
9.11
 
WHIP
2.03
 
BABIP
.360
 
GB/FB
1.24
 
Left On Base
53.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.8%
 
Spin Rate
2141 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.3%
 
Swinging Strike
10.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carlos Hernandez
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
2 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
2 days ago
Chris Morgan feels Ketel Marte is significantly undervalued and should do well against Kyle Hendricks and the Cubs.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
2 days ago
Chris Bennett suggests picking either C.J. Cron, or Connor Joe around whom to build a lineup against Carlos Hernandez, who has allowed 18 runs in 22.2 innings.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown
2 days ago
Dan Marcus is offering an under-the-radar stack among his options.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
3 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Despite not having pitched above Low-A prior to last season, the Royals brought Hernandez to their alternate training site and eventually gave him three big-league starts in September. The 23-year-old predictably struggled, but his numbers could have been a lot worse, all things considered. Hernandez has the raw stuff to justify that jump in competition, averaging 96.2 mph with his power sinker last year and having touched triple digits with his four-seamer in the minors. He also features a curveball and changeup that have both flashed plus on occasion. Hernandez has the big, sturdy frame to handle a starting role, but he's had trouble staying healthy, slowing his development, and his career high in innings in any season is only 79.1 The Royals have enough pitching depth that they don't need to throw Hernandez back into the fire right away, but he's put himself in the team's future rotation plans.
More Fantasy News
Gets knocked around in loss
PKansas City Royals
May 9, 2022
Hernandez (0-2) was saddled with the loss after surrendering six runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out two across 4.2 innings Monday against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Saturday's matchup called off
PKansas City Royals
May 7, 2022
Hernandez and the Royals won't play Saturday against the Orioles after the game was postponed due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
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Friday's game postponed
PKansas City Royals
May 6, 2022
Hernandez and the Royals won't play against the Orioles on Friday after the game was postponed due to inclement weather, Lynn Worthy of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Walks five in loss
PKansas City Royals
April 30, 2022
Hernandez (0-1) took the loss during Saturday's 3-0 loss to the Yankees, allowing three runs (two earned) on four hits and five walks with three strikeouts in four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Decent in no-decision
PKansas City Royals
April 24, 2022
Hernandez allowed three runs on six hits and two walks in 5.1 innings while striking out four in a 5-4 extra-inning loss Sunday in Seattle. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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