Evan Longoria
Evan Longoria
33-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
San Francisco Giants
2018 Fantasy Outlook
While Longoria took a significant step back from his stellar 2016, his 2017 campaign wasn't a disaster by any means. He trimmed his strikeout rate by nearly five full percentage points, lowering it to 16.7 percent, while hitting 20 homers for the fifth straight year. He's driven in at least 86 runs in four of his last five seasons, and he's steadily been in the .260-.270 range in that time; certainly not great, but he's not a big drag in the category. The groundball spike from a year ago is concerning -- Longoria's groundball rate went from 31.9 percent in 2016 to 43.4 percent, while his flyball rate fell from 46.8 percent to 36.8 percent -- but he still made hard contact with more than one third of his batted balls. More consistent elevation could pay dividends although the move to San Francisco in the offseason should temper expectations for a power rebound. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Longoria signed a six-year, $100 million extension with the Rays in November of 2012. With the new deal, Longoria will be under contract through the 2022 season with an option for the 2023 season that will average an annual salary of $16.6 million per year over the extension length.
Heads to bench
3BSan Francisco Giants
September 26, 2018
Longoria is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Padres, Alex Pavlovic of NBC Sports Bay Area reports.
ANALYSIS
Longoria will take a seat for the first time all month as manager Bruce Bochy looks to rest the veteran third baseman with the Giants out of playoff contention. Alen Hanson is starting at the hot corner and hitting sixth in his stead.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+12%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .721 521 62 19 63 2 .238 .298 .424
Since 2016vs Right .778 1353 141 53 175 7 .269 .310 .469
2018vs Left .744 174 23 8 21 2 .250 .287 .456
2018vs Right .669 338 28 8 33 1 .241 .278 .391
2017vs Left .678 194 17 7 25 0 .217 .304 .373
2017vs Right .760 483 54 13 61 6 .277 .317 .443
2016vs Left .747 153 22 4 17 0 .248 .301 .447
2016vs Right .866 532 59 32 81 0 .280 .323 .543
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+23%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+23%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .757 897 98 31 109 8 .265 .313 .444
Since 2016Away .768 977 105 41 129 1 .257 .300 .468
2018Home .615 233 20 4 19 3 .229 .279 .336
2018Away .757 279 31 12 35 0 .256 .283 .474
2017Home .814 334 38 10 48 5 .296 .347 .467
2017Away .662 343 33 10 38 1 .227 .280 .382
2016Home .800 330 40 17 42 0 .258 .303 .497
2016Away .877 355 41 19 56 0 .287 .332 .544
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Stat Review
How does Evan Longoria compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.22
 
BB Rate
4.3%
 
K Rate
19.7%
 
BABIP
.274
 
ISO
.169
 
AVG
.244
 
OBP
.281
 
SLG
.413
 
OPS
.694
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Longoria turned back the clock in 2016, blasting a career-high 36 homers, tallying his best RBI total (98) and ISO (.248) since 2011, and his best slugging percentage (.521) since 2012. He was as durable as ever, playing 160 games for the second straight season, and he's now only missed six games in the last four seasons overall. There's no reason to believe an encore isn't possible despite the somewhat drastic jump in his home run totals, especially after he posted a near six-percent jump in hard contact in 2016. While his strikeout rate did see a slight bump up to 21.0 percent, Longoria's bat speed proved to be as healthy as ever last season given his power numbers, and he'll therefore profile as a top-10 fantasy option at third base in any format heading into the coming season. Overly aggressive bidders may regret raising his baseline, though.
The old knock on Longoria was that he could put up huge numbers if he could finally stay healthy. Quietly, over the past three seasons, Longoria has only missed four games, but his offensive production continues to suffer from a combination of excessive playing time and playing half of his games on the artificial turf at Tropicana Field. Longoria barely got over the 20-homer plateau with a late-season surge, but he failed to drive in at least 80 runs or score 80 times for the first time in any full season of his career. His days of .200-plus ISO are a thing of the past, and while his defense still remains quite strong at the hot corner, maybe 2016 is the season where people finally separate the real player value from the fantasy player value. After all, he was being drafted 50 spots ahead of Chris Davis this time last year whereas now, that should be reversed and then some.
One of the knocks on Longoria in recent years was, “If he could only stay healthy.” He missed time in 2011 and 2012, but answered critics with a strong 2013 season. In 2014, he played in every single game, but he had the worst statistical season of his career. The most concerning part of his numbers was that his slugging percentage fell 94 points from 2013, as he needed a big final week just to get over the .400 mark. Early on, he was struggling to turn and burn on pitches on the inner half, which has always been something he has excelled at. Around mid-June, he got back to pulling pitches, but got away from hitting the other way and pitchers neutralized him with stuff away-away-away. For the season, he had a .590 OPS on pitches away where his previous career low was .758. Stop drafting him in the first five rounds; he’s not worth it.
After an injury-shortened campaign in 2012, Longoria proved in 2013 what he can bring to the Rays' offense. While a .269 batting average may not seem overly impressive, he posted an .842 OPS and had the third 30-homer season of his career. His RBI total fell to 88 and his strikeout rate rose to 23.4%, but he managed to play in a career-high 160 games. He brings big power to the middle of the order for the Rays and was a finalist for a Gold Glove Award for his prowess defensively. The dip in RBI production is likely not too concerning, since he hit .284/.375/.453 with runners on base. Longoria will enter his age-28 season as an elite option at the hot corner. If he remains healthy, the developing power talent of Wil Myers near him in the lineup will only help him see better pitches to hit. He is a solid bet most seasons to hit 30 home runs with 100 RBI.
Longoria was off to one of the best starts in the league in April when he had a line of .329/.433/.561 until an awkward slide into second base led to a hamstring injury that knocked him out until early August. After struggling initially in his return, he slugged 11 home runs and 26 RBI over the final 34 games of the season and finished the season with a pace in line with his full-season averages. Even with playing in just 74 games, he posted a career-high .896 OPS. His walk rate dropped and his strikeout rate rose slightly from the previous season, but with a smaller sample size, this should not indicate difficulties moving forward. If he can avoid injuries, expect Longo to again be a premier fantasy third baseman for 2013.
Longoria might have been the biggest part of what was arguably the most dramatic final day of the regular season after hitting a walk-off home run to give the Rays the wild card in the American League. Longoria's overall numbers from last season, other than his career-low .244 batting average, were similar to his last three seasons. However, there are reasons to be very bullish on him going forward. He missed time back in April due to an oblique injury which not only led to a slow start but led to 87 fewer plate from the previous season. Longoria's strikeout rate dropped for the third straight season while his walk rate increased by three percent. This improved plate discipline didn't cost him any power as he homered once in every 18.5 plate appearances -- the best mark of his career. His production improved as the season went on, culminating in some gaudy stats over the season's final two months. Longoria finished those two months with 17 home runs, 46 RBI and a 37:37 K:BB ratio over 203 at-bats. His .244 batting average can be explained as being unlucky when considering his .239 BABIP was a career-low by 70 points. The only disappointment for fantasy owners was the stolen-base total which was down from 15 in 2010 to only three in 2011. One of the better fielding third baseman in the game, look for Longoria to be one of the first at the position off the board when your fantasy draft rolls around.
Longoria disappointed fantasy owners last year, hitting 11 fewer home runs (22) than the previous season. On a positive note he stole 15 bases which was unexpected and hit for a career-high .294 average. So while the power outage may have left a bad taste for fantasy owners, there's a lot to like about Longoria heading into this season. For the third straight year, Longoria lowered his strikeout rate by nearly three percent. As noted, he stole 15 bases on 20 attempts suggesting that yearly totals in double-digit steals is reasonable. With Carl Crawford leaving, Longoria should hit cleanup instead of third, providing him with more RBI opportunities. He'll only be 25 this season, so chances are we haven't seen the best of him yet. Hope that the lost home runs drop his stock on draft day and be prepared to take advantage.
Longoria put together another solid season at the hot corner for the Rays, finishing with 33 home runs, 113 RBI and nine stolen bases. Only 24, he's got an MVP-caliber season somewhere in the near future. He still strikes out a lot (140 times in 584 at-bats) but improved his contact rate while increasing his walk rate last season. Possibly the best fielding third baseman, his UZR rating of 14.9 was tops for the position. Don't be afraid to spend the extra dollar on him; he'll continue to be a solid power producer and have plenty of RBI opportunities with B.J. Upton and Carl Crawford setting the table ahead of him.
After a mid-April callup from Triple-A, Longoria was unanimously voted American League Rookie of the Year, finishing in the top 10 of all players (not just rookies) in both slugging and at-bats per home run (16.6). Longoria missed about a month of action due to a fracture in his ulna near the wrist, but he was fine after his return and during the postseason, so he's not a health concern. He'll rank second only to Alex Rodriguez on the offseason American League cheat sheet at third base.
Tampa Bay's top draft pick in 2006 impressed at both Double-A and Triple-A in 2007, showing power, strike-zone judgement and good defense at third base as well. The Rays intend to move Akinori Iwamura from third to second this spring, opening up third base for Longoria; the star prospect will get the opportunity to start on Opening Day if he shows he's ready in the spring. Conversely, if Longoria has a tough spring, the Rays won't mind delaying his arbitration clock a year by sending him back to Triple-A for a month or two. Longoria was one of the leaders of Team USA this fall and starred in the World Cup gold medal game win over Cuba; the Rays have every right to believe he can be a heart-of-the-order leader for the club for years to come.
Will marry the Spurs' Tony Parker in August . . . whoops, that's Eva, not Evan. Furthermore, Tampa Bay's top 2006 draft pick showed no desperation in his pro debut. While his cup-of-coffee numbers at Double-A show he still has to work on strike zone judgment, his power at high-A was a pleasant surprise. He should make the major leagues by early 2008 at the latest, and perhaps later this season. Will he play third when he gets there?
More Fantasy News
Homers in win
3BSan Francisco Giants
September 18, 2018
Longoria went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Monday's 4-2 win over the Padres.
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Drives in three
3BSan Francisco Giants
September 4, 2018
Longoria went 1-for-4 with a triple and a trio of RBI in Monday's loss to Colorado.
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Clears fences in loss
3BSan Francisco Giants
September 1, 2018
Longoria went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in a loss to the Mets on Saturday.
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Rare day off
3BSan Francisco Giants
August 29, 2018
Longoria is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Diamondbacks.
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Blasts 14th home run
3BSan Francisco Giants
August 23, 2018
Longoria went 1-for-3 with a solo homer and a walk in Thursday's 3-1 win over the Mets.
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