Adam Frazier

Adam Frazier

32-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Kansas City Royals
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Adam Frazier in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
#569
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $2 million contract with the Royals in January of 2024. Deal includes an $8.5 million mutual option for 2025.
Signs with Royals
2BKansas City Royals
January 27, 2024
Frazier signed a one-year, $2 million contract with the Royals on Saturday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Frazier slashed .240/.300/.396 with 60 RBI across 454 plate appearances with the Orioles last season. He elected free agency earlier in the offseason to avoid being completely phased out by Baltimore's young talent, and he will presumably replace Michael Massey as the Royals' primary second baseman while occasionally getting a look in the corner outfield spots. His new contract includes an $8.5 million mutual option for 2025 with a $2.5 million buyout.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
11
17
25
21
16
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
6
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+15%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .662 400 48 6 36 5 .237 .311 .351
Since 2021vs Right .708 1295 155 15 109 27 .272 .331 .377
2023vs Left .615 64 10 2 8 2 .193 .281 .333
2023vs Right .709 390 49 11 52 9 .248 .303 .406
2022vs Left .576 155 15 1 11 2 .210 .286 .290
2022vs Right .624 447 46 2 31 9 .248 .306 .318
2021vs Left .751 181 23 3 17 1 .274 .343 .409
2021vs Right .790 458 60 2 26 9 .317 .378 .412
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .694 834 93 12 70 16 .260 .326 .368
Since 2021Away .700 861 110 9 75 16 .268 .326 .374
2023Home .650 220 22 7 29 5 .222 .297 .354
2023Away .738 234 37 6 31 6 .257 .303 .435
2022Home .594 297 26 1 14 7 .229 .294 .301
2022Away .628 305 35 2 28 4 .247 .308 .320
2021Home .817 317 45 4 27 4 .315 .377 .441
2021Away .741 322 38 1 16 6 .296 .359 .381
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Adam Frazier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.47
 
BB Rate
7.0%
 
K Rate
15.0%
 
BABIP
.258
 
ISO
.155
 
AVG
.240
 
OBP
.300
 
SLG
.396
 
OPS
.696
 
wOBA
.307
 
Exit Velocity
85.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.8%
 
Barrels/PA
2.4%
 
Expected BA
.261
 
Expected SLG
.361
 
Sprint Speed
22.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
36.5%
 
Line Drive %
26.7%
 
Fly Ball %
36.8%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Frazier hit a modest .238 last season, marking the second time in three years that he's finished the year below .240. That's an issue for a player who's averaged just eight homers and eight steals per 600 plate appearances over the course of his career. When the hits fall as they did in 2021, when a .339 BABIP helped him to a .305 average, he contributes enough in that category to have broader fantasy appeal, but when his BABIP drops to .268 like it did last season, he doesn't do much outside of deeper formats. Expecting much more than last year's career-high 11 steals in his age-31 season seems unwise, as does expecting him to suddenly hit for even passable power. His 1.5% barrel rate and 23.8% hard hit rate both sat in the second percentile. Between his contact and defensive versatility, Frazier still has enough to offer MLB clubs, but he does so little else that it's no surprise the Orioles will be his fourth team in the last three years.
Through July 25, Frazier posted a .324/.388/.448, prompting the Pirates to deal him to the Padres where his versatility would fortify a roster with playoff intentions. Frazier slashed .267/.327/.335 after the trade, but still finished with a career high average and on-base mark. Frazier's calling card is contact has he fanned only 10.8% of the time, a career low. Frazier needs to put the ball in play as often as possible since he generates some of the weakest contact in the league with a 2nd percentile average exit velocity and 3rd percentile hard-hit rate. The Padres dealt Frazier to Seattle which does no favors for his limited power but could aid steals. He's more likely to match his career high 10 swipes set last season than his personal best 10 homers in 2018 and 2019. Frazier's allure is a solid batting average floor. Note he begins the 2022 only eligible at second base but could pick up outfield.
Frazier was able to produce at close to a league-average level with the bat in 2019 even as he played through injuries, complementing his plus defense at second base. The defense remained excellent in 2020 and in fact Frazier ranked in the top 10 in all of baseball in Outs Above Average, but the offense declined significantly. He nearly doubled his HR/FB rate from the previous season and continued to put bat-to-ball at a good clip (15.2 K%), but his offensive rate stats dipped across the board regardless and Frazier was caught stealing three times in four attempts, making him an ugly 20-for-37 on the basepaths in his career. The batted-ball numbers offer no reprieve; Frazier was in the bottom 7% of the league in exit velocity and hard-hit rate, per Statcast. With Pittsburgh, Frazier should continue to play every day, but he's merely an injury-replacement option in mixed leagues.
Aside from garnering more playing time, Frazier's 2019 season was a near carbon copy of his 2017 campaign. Oddly, 2018's slugging bested them both, despite the increased offensive environment in the bookend years. Frazier's 97 wRC+ rates him a tick below average and his five stolen bases don't change that. That said, the batting average stability Frazier offers (.278, .277, .276 the past three seasons) can aid a fantasy roster stocked with homers and steals, but a bit deficient in the BA department. Frazier's calling card is an 85% career contact rate. His average exit velocity is 13th percentile, but a low 30% flyball rate and above-average speed help maintain a BABIP a tick above league norm. Better served as a reserve swinging between second and corner outfield, Frazier is ticketed to see regular keystone at-bats. He's mixed viable with the proper roster composition but is best suited for NL-only.
Frazier showed two abilities in the minor leagues: strong bat-to-ball skills and a willingness to steal bases. The latter was on display in 2017, but disappeared in 2018 despite nearly identical on-base percentages and batting averages. The disappointment in steals was offset by a gain in his power, as he had the first double-digit homer season of his professional career. He doubled his home-run-to-flyball ratio despite little change in his average exit velocity or launch angle. Statcast data shows that his 2018 numbers overachieved based on the quality of his contact, so a repeat of the double-digit homer total seems unlikely. Perhaps fewer home runs will lead him to attempt more steals in 2019, but this is otherwise a compiler skill set -- a player who gives you some contributions across the board but not enough in any one category to push the needle. There's some additional value in his positional flexibility.
Frazier turned in a decent sophomore season after a promising 2016 season between Triple-A and the big-league level. He posted high on-base percentages and batting averages throughout the minors and did the same in his rookie season over 160 plate appearances. Last year, the OBP remained good but the average slipped a bit. Despite the nine steals, he is not an efficient basestealer. He was caught five times last year and that comes on the heels of a 21-for-37 showing between Triple-A and the majors in 2016. In fact, he has been successful just 58 percent of the time over his entire career. Given the breakeven rate for steals is around 70 percent, Frazier seems likely to get a restrictor plate from the front office, and he instantly becomes a replacement-level player with an empty batting average. In short, this is roster filler.
The Pirates are grooming Frazier for a super utility role in 2017. The 25-year-old saw time at second base, shortstop and in the outfield last season, though he only qualifies in the outfield in leagues requiring a 20-game minimum. While he's not particularly strong defensively, he's shown an ability to hit for average wherever he's played. Frazier batted .333 for Triple-A Indianapolis in 2016 and holds a career .300/.363/.378 line in the minors. His triple-slash with Pittsburgh was almost a mirror image. Fantasy owners won't find power -- he's hit a combined five homers in four pro seasons -- or speed -- he's never stolen more than 17 bases -- but Frazier's a strong bet to hit for a high batting average.
If one focuses on what Frazier cannot do, his below average power and fringe average speed will quickly become apparent. Admittedly, those are two pretty big aspects of a hitting prospect’s fantasy value. However, for dynasty league owners who play in deeper leagues, or prefer a general glass-half-full mentality, there are three things he can do quite well that should garner attention. First, he played primarily shortstop (58 games) and center field (29 games) last year at Double-A Altoona — two of the most valuable defensive positions in baseball. This speaks to his athleticism. Second, he has a plus hit tool, although this skill typically only manifests itself in singles and doubles, as just 10 of his 318 career hits have been triples or home runs. Lastly, he posted a 42:34 K:BB in 423 plate appearances last year, demonstrating one of the best such rates in Double-A. Shortstops with Frazier’s hitting ability and advanced approach are quite rare, but his lack of a high ceiling also cannot be debated.
More Fantasy News
On bench for Game 2
2BBaltimore Orioles
October 8, 2023
Frazier is not in the lineup for Game 2 of the ALDS versus the Rangers on Sunday, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Idle against southpaw
2BBaltimore Orioles
October 7, 2023
Frazier isn't in the Orioles' lineup for Game 1 of the ALDS against the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting versus lefty
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 28, 2023
Frazier isn't in the Orioles' lineup Thursday against the Red Sox, Nathan Ruiz of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Wednesday's lineup
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 27, 2023
Frazier is not in the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Nationals, Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up 11th steal
2BBaltimore Orioles
September 27, 2023
Frazier went 1-for-2 with a walk and a stolen base in Tuesday's 1-0 win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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