Blake Snell

Blake Snell

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Snell went into the break with a 4.99 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. Coming out of the break, he all but bagged his changeup for more four-seam fastballs. He continued to struggle but then went on a tear, finishing the season with a 1.83 ERA and 0.77 WHIP over his last eight starts, fanning 65 over his final 44.1 innings. Snell's control and home run prevention also markedly improved over the second half. It took a groin injury in a September 12 start against the Dodgers to thwart Snell's second half surge. The two outs he collected in that game were the final pair of his season, though he could have come back had the Padres made the playoffs. While altering his pitch mix is a tangible cause for Snell's strong stretch run, he has a history of spotty control and it's a risk to expect he maintains a lower walk rate. That said, he checks enough other boxes (strikeouts, favorable home park, good run support) to find out. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#119
ADP
$Signed a five-year, $50 million contract extension with the Rays in March of 2019. Traded to the Padres in December of 2020.
Fans 13 over seven shutout frames
PSan Diego Padres
September 22, 2022
Snell (8-9) earned the win over St. Louis on Wednesday, pitching seven scoreless innings during which he allowed two hits and two walks while striking out 13 batters.
ANALYSIS
Snell carried a no-hitter into the seventh inning, and he picked up the first two outs in that frame before Albert Pujols ended the bid at history with a single. Juan Yepez followed with another hit, but Snell finished the inning by striking out Paul DeJong. The lefty hurler fired a season-high 117 pitches and tied a career high with 13 punchouts. Though he's still under .500 on the season and holds a just-decent 3.62 ERA, Snell is peaking at the right time. Over his past five appearances, he's notched four quality starts while posting a 2.10 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 43:9 K:BB over 30 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
97
Last 10 Games
99
Last 5 Games
101
How many pitches does Blake Snell generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Blake Snell generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .195 263 96 19 47 13 0 6
Since 2020vs Right .229 986 297 115 196 43 3 30
2022vs Left .250 94 28 8 21 6 0 1
2022vs Right .221 402 132 39 79 17 2 9
2021vs Left .144 122 48 10 16 5 0 2
2021vs Right .235 428 122 59 85 21 1 14
2020vs Left .217 47 20 1 10 2 0 3
2020vs Right .232 156 43 17 32 5 0 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-23%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.16 1.14 159.1 9 11 0 12.8 3.3 0.8
Since 2020Away 4.56 1.43 136.1 10 6 0 10.9 5.0 1.4
2022Home 3.99 1.26 70.0 4 7 0 12.3 2.8 0.9
2022Away 3.06 1.23 47.0 4 2 0 12.1 4.8 0.6
2021Home 2.50 0.95 68.1 4 3 0 13.0 3.6 0.8
2021Away 6.12 1.74 60.1 3 3 0 10.6 6.3 1.5
2020Home 2.57 1.33 21.0 1 1 0 13.7 4.3 0.9
2020Away 3.72 1.10 29.0 3 1 0 9.6 2.5 2.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Blake Snell compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.38
 
K/9
12.2
 
BB/9
3.6
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
95.9 mph
 
ERA
3.62
 
WHIP
1.25
 
BABIP
.342
 
GB/FB
1.01
 
Left On Base
72.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.5%
 
Spin Rate
2392 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.6%
 
Swinging Strike
15.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Blake Snell
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: And Then There Was One
2 days ago
Robbie Ray tops Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings thanks to a pair of home matchups against a pair of struggling opponents.
Todd's Takes: Passing Judgment
4 days ago
Todd Zola discusses the AL MVP race and shares his biggest fantasy takeaways from Wednesday's MLB action.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Cease Tops a Busy Week
9 days ago
Two-start pitchers fill eight of the top nine spots in Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings, but Jacob deGrom earns a spot near the top despite being scheduled for just one start.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
10 days ago
Chris Bennett delivers his Friday FanDuel insights, recommending a Mariners bat stack in the series-opener down in Anaheim.
MLB Picks Tonight: Expert MLB Bets for Friday, September 16
10 days ago
Blake Snell has dominated the Diamondbacks, and for that reason Michael Rathburn is doubling down on the Padres. Visit RotoWire for more MLB picks and betting analysis all season long.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Snell's 2020 will always be remembered for how it ended. He was quite good during his time on the mound, posting a 3.16 ERA and 100:32 K:BB over 79.2 innings (postseason included). The long ball was a problem; Snell served up 15 HR in total. His HR/FB during the regular season was all the way up at 29.4% after he was consistently in the 10-15% range the three seasons prior. Eight of the 10 homers he allowed during the regular season were against the fastball, leading to an ugly .326 BA and .663 SLG against the pitch, but we're talking about a sample of 50 innings with those stats. Snell's curveball remains a great put-away pitch and he's still just a few years removed from winning the Cy Young pitching in a brutal AL East. The trade from Tampa Bay to San Diego looks like a net positive as Snell will be pitching for another good team and may be allowed to go deeper into games, in theory padding wins and Ks.
Regression was expected for the 2018 AL Cy Young Award winner as Snell's 1.89 ERA was lower than his 3.16 xFIP and 3.30 SIERA. Sure enough, his 4.29 ERA last year was significantly higher than the 3.31 xFIP and 3.56 SIERA. In terms of skills, Snell was essentially the same pitcher he was the year he took home the hardware. Perhaps if Snell didn't miss about two months after surgery to remove loose bodies from his elbow, his ERA would have corrected, but it didn't have the chance. The encouraging news is that when Snell returned in September, his velocity was just a tick below normal, so he should be 100% heading into 2020. The only blemish is a high walk rate, resulting in an elevated WHIP. However, a strikeout rate north of 30% helps mitigate the impact. Snell may fall a couple dozen innings short of the elite, but he's still a fantasy ace. Invest with confidence.
James Clear, in his book Atomic Habits, references The Plateau of Latent Potential. We expect all progress to be linear, and that it will come quickly. In reality, the results get delayed and we enter into the valley of disappointment. That aptly describes Snell from mid-2016 through the end of July 2017. For all the talent, the results were not there. Wise owners noticed changes Snell made over the final six weeks of the season and bought back in on Snell last season and were rewarded with a Cy Young-winning effort. Snell made outstanding gains across the board, both statistically and in his approach to the game, specifically his ability to command his pitches and throw non-fastballs for strikes early to force batters to chase pseudo-strikes later in the count. The ERA will regress, and the wins will come down, but Snell is now a staff ace.
Snell has mostly struggled so far at the highest level, failing to meet the hype as a former top prospect, but he made strides late in 2017 and may be on the verge of a breakout. The young left-hander shaved a full walk from his BB/9 from the previous season (to 4.1) and got sharper as the season wore on, posting a 2.9 BB/9 in the second half. Meanwhile, Snell added to his strikeout percentage in each of the season's final three months, finishing with a 26.5-percent mark in September, while also trimming his HR/9 from 1.21 to 0.93 from the first half to the second half. It's not uncommon for pitchers to struggle with fastball command like Snell did with the jump to the big leagues; Snell seems to have regained his trust in the pitch, but continuing to locate well will be critical to his success moving forward. With plenty of owners disappointed by his struggles last season, Snell's second-half improvement may not be baked into his price on draft day.
Snell's eagerly anticipated major league debut was by and large a successful one. The young southpaw posted five quality starts overall but was also lifted before the fourth inning on five occasions, a perfect example of the inconsistencies a rookie pitcher can often display, regardless of their talent level. The one major blemish that Snell carried over from the minors was an issue with control, as he posted a bloated 5.2 BB/9 and 1.62 WHIP at the big league level. He was as stingy as ever with the long ball, however, generating a minuscule 0.5 HR/9 that essentially mirrored or represented an improvement on his figure in that category at his various minor league stops. With a full offseason to prepare for the grind of a major league campaign, Snell could take a formidable leap forward in 2017 and has plenty of proven strikeout upside, having tallied a double-digit K/9 from High-A to Triple-A. Control will presumably still be an issue for the time being, but the talented southpaw still has plenty to offer in several other fantasy categories.
There aren’t enough superlatives to describe Snell’s 2015 season. Across three levels, the lefty went 15-4 with a 1.41 ERA, a 1.02 WHIP, and struck out 163 batters in 134 innings and seemed to look better with each level. At Triple-A Durham, he went 6-2 with a 1.83 ERA, a 0.95 WHIP, and struck out 57 batter while allowing 29 hits in 44.1 innings of work. That type of resume would normally be a lock for a job in a rotation the next season, but he pitches for Tampa Bay. Like Hellickson and Price before him, he’ll return to Durham for (insert made up BS reason here) until arbitrary Super 2 date passes. The Rays have a set rotation of Archer, Smyly, Odorizzi, Moore, and Ramirez as the roster stands now even after dealing Karns, so they do at least have a legit reason to send him back to the minors. Unless there is a trade or an injury, don’t look for him sometime in June, at the earliest.
It is said that lefties take a bit longer to develop, especially with their command. That may be the case for Snell. He pitched at two levels last season and struck out 119 batters in 115.2 innings of work while permitting just 95 hits and two home runs. He also walked 56 batters, including 37 in just 75 innings of work in High-A ball. He throws in the low 90s and the team really likes his changeup, which is a required pitch to move up in the organization. He will likely report to Double-A Montgomery in 2015 and should be watched to see how his progression continues.
Snell put together a successful first year in full-season baseball with Low-A Bowling Green. In 23 starts, he went 4-9 with a 4.27 ERA and had 106 strikeouts in 99 innings. A tall left-hander, he features a big fastball that can hover in the mid-90s. A 2011 draft selection out of high school, the Rays have brought Snell along slowly to build up his innings and preserve his arm. He had a very high walk rate of 6.6 BB/9 in 2013, which can be expected of most young pitchers. He features an interesting set of pitches and is expected to develop those and continue to work as a starter. He will likely start 2014 with High-A Charlotte, as he makes a bid to surpass 100 innings for the first time in his professional career.
More Fantasy News
Cruises to seventh win
PSan Diego Padres
September 16, 2022
Snell (7-9) allowed one run on four hits and struck out seven without issuing a walk in seven innings to earn the win Friday over the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Falls apart in fifth frame
PSan Diego Padres
September 10, 2022
Snell (6-9) took the loss against the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing five runs on seven hits and three walks over four innings. He struck out five batters.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out 10 in loss
PSan Diego Padres
September 5, 2022
Snell (6-8) took the loss against Arizona on Monday, allowing one run on four hits and one walk while striking out 10 batters over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Throws six scoreless innings
PSan Diego Padres
August 30, 2022
Snell (6-7) earned the win Tuesday over the Padres, allowing four hits, three walks and a hit batsman over six scoreless innings while striking out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Allows six runs
PSan Diego Padres
August 24, 2022
Snell (5-7) took the loss Wednesday, allowing six runs on eight hits and four strikeouts over 3.1 innings against the Guardians.
ANALYSIS
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