Brad Miller

Brad Miller

34-Year-Old OutfielderOF
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Brad Miller in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Padres in March of 2024.
Cut by San Diego
OFFree Agent  
March 20, 2024
The Padres released Miller on March 13.
ANALYSIS
After agreeing to a minor-league deal with the Padres on March 6, Miller was in camp for just one week and went 0-for-6 with three strikeouts in Cactus League play before being cut loose. The 34-year-old spent the previous season in the Rangers organization, posting a .667 OPS over 67 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+20%
OPS vs RHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
+36%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .513 24 2 1 3 2 .174 .208 .304
Since 2022vs Right .614 284 26 7 35 2 .216 .289 .325
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .500 4 0 0 0 0 .250 .250 .250
2023vs Right .679 63 8 1 6 0 .212 .333 .346
2022vs Left .516 20 2 1 3 2 .158 .200 .316
2022vs Right .596 221 18 6 29 2 .217 .276 .320
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
+69%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .613 154 12 4 14 1 .212 .299 .314
Since 2022Away .600 154 16 4 24 3 .213 .266 .333
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home .814 38 5 1 3 0 .258 .395 .419
2023Away .481 29 3 0 3 0 .160 .241 .240
2022Home .550 116 7 3 11 1 .198 .267 .283
2022Away .625 125 13 4 21 3 .224 .272 .353
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brad Miller See More
MLB Picks: World Series Best Bets
271 days ago
Erik Halterman previews the World Series matchup between the Rangers and Diamondbacks with a look at the odds along with his World Series picks and MVP best bets.
Lineup Lowdown: American League
July 25, 2023
Ryan Boyer steps up to the plate with Lineup Lowdown, an in-depth look at American League lineups and how they're trending, including Rangers shortstop Ezequiel Duran subbing for injured star Corey Seager.
Spring Training Job Battles: American League
March 3, 2023
Erik Halterman breaks down the competition for AL jobs, including in Minnesota where Nick Gordon likely will spend time at several spots around the diamond this season.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Tuesday Picks
August 23, 2022
Mike Barner previews Tuesday’s Yahoo slate, recommending a Jays stack against the Red Sox.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
August 21, 2022
Erik Siegrist reviews the available talent in the AL as early-season surprise Manuel Margot returns to action in the Tampa Bay outfield.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
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2013
Miller signed with the Rangers on a two-year, $10 million contract in March, and he delivered the worst season of his career with minus-1.6 bWAR. He split his playing time relatively evenly between third base, left field and designated hitter, and he finished with a .212/.270/.320 slash line in 81 games. He also spent the final month of the campaign on the injured list with a hip issue. Miller provided an above-average bat over the previous three seasons with a 114 wRC+, but his barrel rate and hard-hit rate both dropped significantly in 2022 (to 7.8 percent and 39.9 percent, respectively). Miller should open 2023 in a utility role and will likely have some opportunities to show he's turned things around, but the Rangers could cut bait if he continues to struggle at the plate, especially since he's not an asset defensively.
Miller spent the season in a utility capacity, though injuries and the Phillies lack of production at third base kept him in the lineup enough to post his highest plate appearance total since 2017. The journeyman continued to hit well with the platoon edge but struggled facing southpaws. Even so, circumstances were such he faced lefthanded pitching 21 percent of the time, just a tick below the level for a regular lefthanded batter. Miller's 20 homers marked only the second time he hit more than 13 in a season. However, he only cracked nine doubles, hinting at a few lucky homers. Miller is earmarked for another year filling in at several position. He begins the season with fantasy eligibility at first base and outfield but is likely to add more infield spots as the year unfolds. Contact has always been an issue, but Miller's above average exit velocity on fly balls fuels a sustainably high HR/FB mark.
In recent seasons, Miller has developed a clear and stable skill profile centered around hitting right-handed pitching hard. He saw an increased role per game in 2020, nearly matching his 2019 plate appearances in the shortened season. Miller has proven to be a strong source of power in the past two campaigns by posting ISO of .305 and .218, respectively, backed by strong barrel rates of 12.8% and 13.4%. That leaves little doubt that the ball jumps off Miller's bat. The problem is his fit in the modern game. While his defensive metrics in recent seasons have improved, he has been regarded as a subpar defender at multiple positions across the diamond for the majority of his career. The free agent fits best as a strong-side platoon designated hitter, and not many teams are in the market for such a player entering his age-31 season.
Miller failed to stick with the Rays or Brewers in 2018, and his 2019 campaign didn't get off to a great start either, as he was DFA'd in mid-April by the Indians and failed to make it out of Triple-A for the Yankees. Acquired by the Phillies in mid-June, he was a major-leaguer the rest of the way and looked quite good in a part-time role. He hit .263/.331/.610 with an impressive 12 homers in 130 plate appearances. Despite a 30-HR season in 2016 he'd never displayed that kind of power before, slugging .419 for his career. Still, he showed enough to prove that he still deserves a roster spot. His ability to play all around the diamond makes him a useful bench player. In the right circumstances, he could earn the large side of a platoon due to his career 110 wRC+ against righties. Don't expect that level of power to remain, but Miller could still be playable if at-bats are available.
Miller opened the 2018 season on the strong side of a platoon at first base, but he was designated for assignment by the Rays in June after hitting .256/.322/.429 with five homers across 48 games. The 29-year-old was subsequently traded to Milwaukee, where he hit just .230/.288/.378 with two homers in 27 games before being cut loose at the end of July. Miller failed to latch on elsewhere after parting ways with the Brewers, finishing the year with a .248/.311/.413 line and career-worst 32.7% strikeout rate in just 75 games. He's now been a below-average hitter in each of the past two seasons as measured by wRC+, and while he was an above-average defender at second base in 2018 (7.3 UZR/150), he isn't known for his glove. As such, it's difficult to imagine the veteran will find steady work in the majors in 2019.
After delivering an unexpected 30-homer season in 2016, Miller came crashing back to earth in 2017, slugging a career-low .337 and hitting a measly .201 thanks to a career-worst 27 percent strikeout rate. An abdominal injury in May put him on the DL for the first time last season, and he made a quick return to the shelf thanks to a groin injury he suffered after his return in early June. The Rays deployed Miller as their primary second baseman when he was healthy, causing him to lose eligibility at shortstop for 2018. It's entirely possible that the injuries are to blame for the magnitude of his decline, as it was revealed in October that he underwent core surgery. Most likely, he'll be pushed for playing time in spring training and throughout the season, and it's difficult to rely on him for anything more than a .240 batting average and low double-digit home run total given his overall body of work over five big-league campaigns.
Miller exploded for a career season in 2016, posting personal bests in doubles (29), triples (six), homers (30) and RBI (81). He also handled a move away from his shortstop position graciously after the acquisition of Matt Duffy, and he heads into the spring as the starting first baseman. He saw encouraging bumps in several other metrics as well, including HR/FB (20.4 percent), which he nearly doubled over the previous season, and hard contact rate, which he raised from 30.3 percent to 35.1 percent. It will be intriguing to see if the power surge was simply an outlier or a harbinger of things to come for Miller, who'd previously topped out at 11 homers in 2015. It's notable that his strikeout rate also saw a rise in 2016, with his 24.8 percent figure last season representing a career high, so Miller has room for offering even greater fantasy production if he can make even just a slight improvement in his contact rate.
Miller still strikes out too much (20.3% rate last year) and doesn't make good contact (77 percent), but he turned in a promising year at the plate last season. His 37 extra-base hits ranked ninth among AL shortstops while his 13 stolen bases ranked sixth. Most of his damage came against right-handers as he found himself in a platoon much of the season, posting an .803 OPS against righties vs. a .513 OPS against left-handers. His biggest weakness, though, is in the field. So much so, the Mariners transitioned him to the outfield when his defense at shortstop finally became too much of a liability. He wasn't very good as an outfielder, either. Nevertheless, he gets a fresh start this season as he was shipped to Tampa Bay in November, where he'll return to shortstop. Unless he figures out lefties quickly, he could find himself in a platoon again, but the Rays will likely have more patience with his defense.
Miller entered last season with much optimism after a promising rookie campaign that saw him knock 25 XBH in 76 games. He won the starting shortstop job in spring over the since-departed Nick Franklin but couldn't carry that over to the regular season. He was under the Mendoza Line well into June until a two-week hot streak dug him out of that hole, barely. But he quickly returned to form and by late July lost his starting job to callup Chris Taylor. After a solid strikeout rate (15.5 percent) as a rookie, Miller couldn't stop whiffing last year. His strikeout rate spiked to 23.2% while his contact rate dropped to 74 percent. In 61 more at-bats than in 2013, he posted just four more extra-base hits. He will have to win the starting job in spring training again, assuming the Mariners don't upgrade at shortstop before then. Taylor has a better glove, but Miller has a much more potent bat, potentially at least.
Miller began last season at Double-A Jackson, was promoted to Triple-A Tacoma by late May and a month later found himself in Seattle for good. The quick rise was partly due to his crushing both of his minor-league stops and partly due to the Mariners' desperation for a shortstop who could produce more than the all-glove, no-bat Brendan Ryan. The left-handed Miller held his own as the team's leadoff hitter, flashing league-average power with a .153 ISO and mirroring his solid minor-league contact and strikeout rates. His walk rate dipped dramatically to 7.2 percent, which caused his OBP to take a big hit, however. He'll look for improvement in that area in 2014, as he will with his defense at shortstop, which is a work in progress.
Seattle's 2011 second-round pick, Miller has excellent plate discipline, though he does not project for much power. He handled High-A High Desert last season (.931 OPS) before a promotion to Double-A Jackson where his bat proved not to be just a product of the hitter-friendly California League. He could end up moving from shortstop where he struggled with range and errors last season. But the Mariners are getting quite a backlog at second base (Dustin Ackely, Nick Franklin), so a position switch isn't necessarily a given even though that's the conventional wisdom.
More Fantasy News
Latches on with San Diego
OFSan Diego Padres  
March 5, 2024
Miller signed a minor-league contract with the Padres on Tuesday that includes an invitation to spring training, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Moves to 60-day IL
OFTexas Rangers  
Hamstring
September 8, 2023
The Rangers transferred Miller (hamstring) to the 60-day injured list Friday.
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Begins rehab assignment
OFTexas Rangers  
Hamstring
September 1, 2023
Miller (hamstring) will begin a rehab assignment Friday with Double-A Frisco.
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Placed on 10-day IL
OFTexas Rangers  
Hamstring
August 2, 2023
Texas placed Miller on the 10-day injured list Wednesday with a left hamstring strain.
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Enters lineup
OFTexas Rangers  
July 24, 2023
Miller started at designated hitter and went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double and two runs scored in Sunday's 8-4 win over the Dodgers.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Looking at regular role for now
OFPhiladelphia Phillies  
August 26, 2021
Miller should be the top option to replace regular first baseman Rhys Hoskins, who is out for the year due to an abdominal tear.
ANALYSIS
Miller picked up the start at first base Thursday when it was announced that Hoskins was out, so it looks like he has the job for now. However, Alec Bohm is also an option at the Triple-A level if the Phillies decide call him back up. Miller profiles as more of a utility player who can fill in across the diamond, so the team may prefer Bohm in a more everyday role at first.
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