2026 Stats
W-L
2-5
ERA
7.16
WHIP
1.80
K
30
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Bello's 3.35 ERA looks strong on the surface, but underlying metrics suggest it should have been closer to a run higher. He benefited from an unusually low BABIP for a groundball pitcher and a favorable left-on-base rate. Although he sharpened his control and did a better job limiting home runs, his strikeout rate dropped sharply to a modest 17.7 percent. A shift in pitch mix contributed to the decline: he threw more four-seamers and added a cutter while reducing his slider and changeup usage, even though those two pitches generate most of his whiffs. The Red Sox have a solid track record of helping pitchers adjust, so there's a pathway for Bello to regain some of his lost swing-and-miss ability. Still, if the strikeout rate remains low, his ERA is likely to fall in line with the estimators. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a six-year, $55 million contract extension with the Red Sox in March of 2024. Contract includes $21 million team option for 2030.
Jumped early in loss
Bello (2-5) took the loss against Atlanta on Sunday, allowing seven runs on eight hits and three walks with one strikeout over five innings.
Analysis
Bello allowed runs in four of his five innings pitched, including five across the game's first two frames. He generated just seven swinging strikes on 98 pitches and yielded 11 hard-hit balls in his first start since April 29 after two impressive performances in bulk relief to open May. The 27-year-old now owns an unsightly 7.16 ERA, 1.80 WHIP and 30:20 K:BB across 44 innings this season and lines up for a home matchup against the Twins next weekend, though it's currently unclear in what role that will be.
Bello allowed runs in four of his five innings pitched, including five across the game's first two frames. He generated just seven swinging strikes on 98 pitches and yielded 11 hard-hit balls in his first start since April 29 after two impressive performances in bulk relief to open May. The 27-year-old now owns an unsightly 7.16 ERA, 1.80 WHIP and 30:20 K:BB across 44 innings this season and lines up for a home matchup against the Twins next weekend, though it's currently unclear in what role that will be.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Brayan Bello generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Brayan Bello generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-9%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .258 | 153 | 97 | 202 | 30 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .250 | 154 | 46 | 161 | 15 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .333 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 8 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .302 | 16 | 7 | 26 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .232 | 67 | 41 | 83 | 9 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .243 | 57 | 18 | 64 | 7 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .262 | 72 | 43 | 86 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .241 | 81 | 21 | 71 | 6 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-6%
ERA at Home
2026
-34%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 4.16 | 1.39 | 192.1 | 7.5 | 3.7 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.43 | 1.32 | 180.2 | 7.3 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2026Home | 5.27 | 1.61 | 13.2 | 9.2 | 5.3 | ||||
| 2026Away | 8.01 | 1.88 | 30.1 | 4.7 | 3.6 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.53 | 1.30 | 102.0 | 6.8 | 3.3 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.06 | 1.13 | 64.2 | 6.5 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.81 | 1.46 | 76.2 | 8.2 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 4.20 | 1.27 | 85.2 | 8.7 | 3.0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Brayan Bello compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
1.50K/9
6.1BB/9
4.1HR/9
2.0Fastball
94.6 mphERA
7.16WHIP
1.80BABIP
.342GB/FB
1.81Left On Base
64.6%Exit Velocity
84.1 mphBarrels/BBE
8.9%Spin Rate
2082 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.9%Swinging Strike
11.2%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Bello signed a six-year extension during spring training, picked up an Opening Day win and early on looked like a No. 1 starter. Then the walks started. He went from 76th percentile in BB% (6.7) in 2023 to 33rd (9.1) in 2024. The right-hander managed to win 14 games but needed good run support during the rough patches. Bello's 4.49 ERA was the worst among starters with at least that many wins. Walks don't always kill, but they hurt during the first half when he allowed 14 home runs over 89.2 innings (1.4 HR/9) and entered the break with a 5.32 ERA. The walks didn't stop in the second half, but Bello was able to prevent damage through better location which kept the ball in the park; he allowed just five homers in 72.2 innings (0.6 per nine) following the break. The pressure to lead the staff won't be on the 25-year-old in 2025, as Bello should slot behind Garrett Crochet and Tanner Houck -- and possibly Walker Buehler.
More Fantasy News
Starting Sunday vs. Atlanta
Bello will start in Sunday's series finale against Atlanta, Tim Healey of The Boston Globe reports.
Analysis
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Goes 6.1 innings as bulk reliever
Bello didn't factor into the decision Tuesday against the Phillies, allowing one run on four hits and one walk with five strikeouts across 6.1 innings.
Analysis
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Working behind opener again
Bello is slated to work in bulk relief behind an opener in Tuesday's game against the Phillies, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
Analysis
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Sharp as primary pitcher Tuesday
Bello (2-4) picked up the win Tuesday, allowing one run on four hits and a walk over seven relief innings in a 10-3 rout of the Tigers. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Working as bulk reliever Tuesday
Red Sox interim manager Chad Tracy said that Bello will be deployed as the bulk reliever behind opening pitcher Jovani Moran in Tuesday's game against Detroit, Mac Cerullo of the Boston Herald reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Emerging in trade talks
Bello has been discussed in recent trade talks, according to Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic.
Analysis
The Red Sox have upgraded their rotation by adding Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez and Johan Oviedo, so Bello might have more value as a trade chip. The right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 124:59 K:BB over 166.2 innings in 29 regular-season games in 2025.
The Red Sox have upgraded their rotation by adding Sonny Gray, Ranger Suarez and Johan Oviedo, so Bello might have more value as a trade chip. The right-hander posted a 3.35 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 124:59 K:BB over 166.2 innings in 29 regular-season games in 2025.