2024 Stats
W-L
7-7
ERA
3.41
WHIP
1.03
K
103
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it. Read Past Outlooks
Strong start goes to waste
Miller allowed three hits and struck out five without walking a batter over seven scoreless innings in a no-decision versus the Angels on Monday.
ANALYSIS
Miller hadn't pitched since July 10 due to the All-Star break, but he was sharp, throwing 62 of 94 pitches for strikes. This was his fifth scoreless outing of the year, as well as his third such effort of at least seven innings, but the Mariners' bullpen couldn't hold the lead he gave it. Miller is putting together a solid sophomore campaign with a 3.41 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 103:29 K:BB through 116 innings over 20 starts, though he's a bit unlucky to have just a 7-7 record. The 25-year-old's next start is projected to be another favorable matchup on the road versus the White Sox.
Miller hadn't pitched since July 10 due to the All-Star break, but he was sharp, throwing 62 of 94 pitches for strikes. This was his fifth scoreless outing of the year, as well as his third such effort of at least seven innings, but the Mariners' bullpen couldn't hold the lead he gave it. Miller is putting together a solid sophomore campaign with a 3.41 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 103:29 K:BB through 116 innings over 20 starts, though he's a bit unlucky to have just a 7-7 record. The 25-year-old's next start is projected to be another favorable matchup on the road versus the White Sox.
Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
83
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2024
Even Split
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .257 | 101 | 36 | 120 | 24 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .205 | 121 | 19 | 94 | 9 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .212 | 54 | 20 | 50 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .212 | 49 | 9 | 40 | 3 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .303 | 47 | 16 | 70 | 12 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .200 | 72 | 10 | 54 | 6 | |||
| 2022vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2022vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-47%
ERA at Home
2024
-66%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 2.81 | 0.99 | 141.0 | 9.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 5.33 | 1.22 | 106.1 | 6.8 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2024Home | 1.88 | 0.88 | 67.0 | 10.2 | 2.1 | ||||
| 2024Away | 5.51 | 1.22 | 49.0 | 5.0 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.65 | 1.08 | 74.0 | 8.0 | 1.9 | ||||
| 2023Away | 5.18 | 1.22 | 57.1 | 8.3 | 1.6 | ||||
| 2022Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2022Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.55K/9
8.0BB/9
2.3HR/9
1.2Fastball
95.0 mphERA
3.41WHIP
1.03BABIP
.251GB/FB
1.00Left On Base
73.5%Exit Velocity
83.8 mphBarrels/BBE
5.7%Spin Rate
2141 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.6%Swinging Strike
10.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
When factoring in movement and shape, Miller's mid-90s fastball is a 70-grade pitch. He also has a plus mid-to-high-80s slider. Those two offerings allowed him to climb three levels of the minors in 2022, with over half his innings coming at High-A and a 10-start run to close the year at Double-A. He had three double-digit strikeout games over his final 13 starts, compiling a 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 81:22 K:BB in 67.2 innings over that run to close the year. The 24-year-old righty might have a good enough one-two punch in his fastball and slider to have success as a starter who relies heavily on two pitches, but improving his changeup would really help matters. The Mariners don't love sending prized pitchers to the Pacific Coast League, so it's possible Miller will return to Double-A to start the year and he may even bypass Triple-A altogether down the road. He could help the club this summer as a reliever if they wanted to ease him into big-league action while continuing to view him as a long-term starter.
More Fantasy News
Throws six scoreless in win
Miller (7-7) earned the win against the Padres on Wednesday, allowing five hits and no walks while striking out one over six scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fares well in no-decision
Miller allowed two runs on eight hits and a walk while striking out six over 5.2 innings in a no-decision versus the Orioles on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in losing effort
Miller (6-7) took the loss against the Twins on Saturday, allowing two runs on five hits and one walk over five innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Tagged for six runs
Miller dropped to 6-6 on the season in Sunday's 6-4 loss to the Marlins, allowing six earned runs on six hits and one walk over four innings while striking out three.
ANALYSIS
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Improves to 6-5
Miller (6-5) earned the win Tuesday against the Guardians, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks over 5.2 innings. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Finding success with new splitter
Miller has induced a swing-and-miss on 33 percent of the swings on his new splitter through four starts, per Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times.
ANALYSIS
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.
Miller has pitched well early in 2024 with a 1.85 ERA, 0.82 WHIP and 24:7 K:BB across 24.1 innings, and the splitter has clearly played a role in that success. The right-hander is also using the new pitch at a decent clip of 19.4 percent, trailing only his four-seam fastball and sinker. It's still a small sample size, but Miller is building on his strong 2023 rookie campaign.