Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Seattle Mariners
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Elbow trouble sabotaged Miller's 2025 season, as he was first shut down in mid-May with inflammation before making a second trip to the injured list in June. His performance when available was a far cry from his breakout 2024, with his FIP jumping from 3.58 to 5.17. Miller's stuff was down and he finished the regular season with just an 18.9 K% over 90.1 innings. While he pitched well for Seattle in the postseason with a 2.51 ERA across 14.1 innings and indicated he was feeling the best he had all season, there was talk of another PRP shot after the Mariners were eliminated. Surgery was not expected to be necessary heading into the offseason, but it sounds like Miller may need additional treatment for what is said to be a small bone spur in his right elbow. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#272
ADP
Signed a one-year, $2.44 million contract with the Mariners in January of 2025. Contract includes $6.08 million team option ($15,000 buyout) for 2026.
Goes 4.2 innings vs. Boston
PSeattle Mariners
September 2, 2026
Miller did not factor into the decision Wednesday against the Red Sox, allowing a run on seven hits and a walk across 4.2 innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
After he was demoted to the bullpen last week, the right-hander quickly rejoined the M's starting rotation after Emerson Hancock (groin) landed on the IL. Miller was limited to 65 pitches Wednesday, as he managed to work his way through traffic to hold Boston to one run. Overall, it was a step in the right direction for Miller, who struggled to a 9.00 ERA across 20 frames in his previous four starts. He'll carry a 4.01 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 95:26 K:BB into his next outing, tentatively scheduled to come at home against the Rangers.
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Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
2024
2023
2026 MLB Game Log
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2025 MLB Game Log
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2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
88
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2026
 
 
-21%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2024vs Left .231 775 165 66 163 38 3 34
Since 2024vs Right .218 718 175 39 145 24 1 21
2026vs Left .251 224 50 16 52 13 1 9
2026vs Right .199 173 45 10 32 2 1 8
2025vs Left .258 171 30 18 39 9 1 10
2025vs Right .274 221 44 16 54 13 0 7
2024vs Left .207 380 85 32 72 16 1 15
2024vs Right .192 324 86 13 59 9 0 6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2026
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-4%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-52%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2024Home 3.17 1.00 184.1 9 10 0 9.7 2.6 1.1
Since 2024Away 4.62 1.24 185.0 11 12 0 6.9 2.5 1.6
2026Home 3.14 0.88 43.0 1 4 0 9.8 2.9 1.3
2026Away 4.69 1.29 55.2 3 4 0 7.8 1.9 1.8
2025Home 5.80 1.38 45.0 2 3 0 8.2 3.4 2.0
2025Away 5.56 1.43 45.1 2 3 0 6.6 3.4 1.4
2024Home 1.96 0.87 96.1 6 3 0 10.4 2.1 0.6
2024Away 4.07 1.10 84.0 6 5 0 6.4 2.4 1.6
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Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.65
 
K/9
8.7
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
96.0 mph
 
ERA
4.01
 
WHIP
1.11
 
BABIP
.268
 
GB/FB
0.90
 
Left On Base
71.9%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.8%
 
Spin Rate
2153 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.1%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Miller See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
Miller had a breakout sophomore campaign with outcomes that would have been even better if Seattle had a better offense to support him. Somewhere, Felix Hernandez nods in approval and is offering Miller a supporting hug. Miller made 18 quality starts, winning 12 of them, while using a septet of pitches highlighted by the debut of a fantastic splitter. Miller watched other teammates use the pitch effectively in 2023 and honed it himself over the winter. The addition of the splitter paired extremely well with his fastball, as both pitches had opponents' batting averages below .200 and whiff rates above 25 percent. The league hit nearly 75 points worse off the fastball now that it had a more effective partner in crime than the traditional changeup from 2023. The pitch change particularly helped Miller against lefties who hit nearly 100 points lower than they did in 2023 and helped him become more split neutral in 2024 compared to his imbalanced 2023 season. Miller has everything needed to take his career and production to another level, if the Seattle offense comes along for the ride in 2025.
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it.
When factoring in movement and shape, Miller's mid-90s fastball is a 70-grade pitch. He also has a plus mid-to-high-80s slider. Those two offerings allowed him to climb three levels of the minors in 2022, with over half his innings coming at High-A and a 10-start run to close the year at Double-A. He had three double-digit strikeout games over his final 13 starts, compiling a 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 81:22 K:BB in 67.2 innings over that run to close the year. The 24-year-old righty might have a good enough one-two punch in his fastball and slider to have success as a starter who relies heavily on two pitches, but improving his changeup would really help matters. The Mariners don't love sending prized pitchers to the Pacific Coast League, so it's possible Miller will return to Double-A to start the year and he may even bypass Triple-A altogether down the road. He could help the club this summer as a reliever if they wanted to ease him into big-league action while continuing to view him as a long-term starter.
More Fantasy News
Re-entering rotation
PSeattle Mariners
August 31, 2026
Miller will rejoin the Mariners rotation Wednesday in Boston after Emerson Hancock (adductor) was placed on the 15-day injured list Sunday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
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Demoted to bullpen
PSeattle Mariners
August 28, 2026
Mariners manager Dan Wilson said Friday that Miller is being moved to the bullpen, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
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Was available out of bullpen Wednesday
PSeattle Mariners
August 27, 2026
Miller was available to pitch out of the bullpen but did not appear in Wednesday's loss to the Phillies, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
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Pitching through minor lat issue
PSeattle Mariners
August 24, 2026
Miller conceded after Sunday's loss to the Cubs that he's dealt with a minor right lat injury since his July 24 start against the Rangers, Adam Jude of The Seattle Times reports.
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Struggles continue in eighth loss
PSeattle Mariners
August 23, 2026
Miller (4-8) took the loss Sunday, allowing six runs on two hits and seven walks over 4.1 innings against the Cubs. He struck out five.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Poised for arbitration hearing
PSeattle Mariners
January 15, 2026
Miller requested $2.625 million and was offered $2.25 million by the Mariners when arbitration figures were exchanged last week, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
With the two sides unable to reach an agreement, an arbitration hearing will be scheduled in the coming weeks. The righty will be receiving a nice bump in pay either way, as this is his first year of arbitration eligibility. Miller missed a chunk of the 2025 season with injury, finishing the regular season with a 5.68 ERA and 74:34 K:BB over 90.1 innings. He returned to pitch down the stretch of the regular season and playoffs and is expected to report to spring training without restrictions.
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