Bryce Miller

Bryce Miller

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Seattle Mariners
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Miller is a fascinating pitcher to study because we expect to see rookie pitchers struggle in some areas, but in this case, there is not any one thing that sticks out as the source of his 4.32 ERA. Miller was stingy with walks, was tough to hit, and stranded runners at a league-average rate. His extreme flyball outcomes left him more susceptible to homers than other starters, but even his 1.2 HR/9 ratio was not terribly out of whack for someone with his volume of flyball outcomes. Simply put, this was a solid foundational beginning to what could be a bright pitching future if he can fine-tune some things. His whiffiest pitch is his fastball, which speaks to a need for him to find a secondary offering that can get swings and misses when needed. A six-pitch repertoire may be better suited if tuned down to four pitches. Seattle has steadily increased his workload, so 170+ innings is there for the taking if he is ready for it. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#176
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2024.
Dominant in win
PSeattle Mariners
April 18, 2024
Miller (3-1) earned the win over the Reds on Wednesday, allowing one run on one hit and one walk over six innings while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
Miller was dominant Wednesday, doing much of the work with his four-seamer as he held the Reds to just one hit over six frames. The only run he allowed was a solo homer off the bat of Elly De La Cruz, the first home run he's given up over his last three starts. Miller has dazzled on the mound since taking the loss in his first start of the season and now holds a 0.47 ERA in April to go along with an 18:5 K:BB. Furthermore, the right-hander has now gone at least six innings in three consecutive starts, allowing no more than three hits in each of those outings.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Bryce Miller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Miller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-26%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-47%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-34%
BAA vs RHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .271 306 60 21 75 24 0 14
Since 2022vs Right .201 323 83 12 62 14 0 7
2024vs Left .109 51 13 5 5 1 0 2
2024vs Right .205 41 11 2 8 1 0 1
2023vs Left .303 255 47 16 70 23 0 12
2023vs Right .200 282 72 10 54 13 0 6
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-25%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-30%
ERA at Home
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.45 1.05 91.1 7 4 0 8.2 2.2 1.3
Since 2022Away 4.62 1.15 64.1 4 4 0 8.4 1.5 1.1
2024Home 2.60 0.92 17.1 2 1 0 8.8 3.1 1.6
2024Away 0.00 0.57 7.0 1 0 0 9.0 1.3 0.0
2023Home 3.65 1.08 74.0 5 3 0 8.0 1.9 1.2
2023Away 5.18 1.22 57.1 3 4 0 8.3 1.6 1.3
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bryce Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.43
 
K/9
8.9
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
94.9 mph
 
ERA
1.85
 
WHIP
0.82
 
BABIP
.183
 
GB/FB
0.96
 
Left On Base
88.6%
 
Swinging Strike
12.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
In possible trade package?
PSeattle Mariners
January 28, 2024
Bob Nightengale of USA Today lists Miller as one of the players the White Sox are targeting as part of the return for a potential Dylan Cease trade with the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
Chicago is apparently targeting either Miller or Bryan Woo as the centerpiece in the proposed trade packages, and it's unclear if Seattle is willing to part with either arm after strong rookie campaigns in 2023. Miller made 25 starts last season and posted a 4.32 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 119:26 K:BB across 131.1 innings.
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2023 Fantasy Outlook
When factoring in movement and shape, Miller's mid-90s fastball is a 70-grade pitch. He also has a plus mid-to-high-80s slider. Those two offerings allowed him to climb three levels of the minors in 2022, with over half his innings coming at High-A and a 10-start run to close the year at Double-A. He had three double-digit strikeout games over his final 13 starts, compiling a 3.46 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 81:22 K:BB in 67.2 innings over that run to close the year. The 24-year-old righty might have a good enough one-two punch in his fastball and slider to have success as a starter who relies heavily on two pitches, but improving his changeup would really help matters. The Mariners don't love sending prized pitchers to the Pacific Coast League, so it's possible Miller will return to Double-A to start the year and he may even bypass Triple-A altogether down the road. He could help the club this summer as a reliever if they wanted to ease him into big-league action while continuing to view him as a long-term starter.
More Fantasy News
Cruises to second win
PSeattle Mariners
April 12, 2024
Miller (2-1) earned the win Friday, allowing one unearned run on three hits and three walks over 6.1 innings against the Cubs. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Fires seven shutout frames
PSeattle Mariners
April 6, 2024
Miller (1-1) earned the win Saturday in Milwaukee after he gave up just three hits and one walk across seven scoreless innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Coughs up four runs
PSeattle Mariners
April 1, 2024
Miller (0-1) allowed four runs on six hits and two walks Sunday, striking out six and taking a loss against Boston.
ANALYSIS
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Best spring outing Tuesday
PSeattle Mariners
March 13, 2024
Miller allowed an earned run on four hits and two walks over 3.2 innings in a Cactus League loss to the Athletics on Tuesday. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Introducing splitter in '24
PSeattle Mariners
February 18, 2024
Miller added a splitter to his repertoire this offseason, Brandon Gustafson of 710 ESPN Seattle reports.
ANALYSIS
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