Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

24-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2025 Fantasy Outlook
A first-round pick in most fantasy leagues last spring, Carroll was a bust for the first four months of 2024. At the end of July, he sat with a .664 OPS and just eight home runs. He more than doubled that latter number with 11 long balls in August alone before adding three more in September to bring his total to 22 home runs for the season. He still ended up down more than 50 points in batting average and 40 points in on-base percentage from his National League Rookie of the Year campaign in 2023. As a result of his struggles during the summer, Carroll dropped to the bottom third of the Arizona order at various points and his opportunities to steal bases weren't as plentiful. The outfielder still ranked in the 96th percentile in sprint speed, led the majors in triples with 14 and scored 121 runs despite the ups and downs. At 24 years old, Carroll appears to have a 20-30 floor and top-five overall upside given his speed, even if he doesn't necessarily light up Statcast with his batted-ball numbers. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#9
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $111 million contact extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2023. Contract includes $28 million team option ($5 million buyout) for 2031.
Swats fourth spring homer
OFArizona Diamondbacks
March 17, 2025
Carroll went 1-for-3 with a walk and a solo home run in Sunday's spring game against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
The blast was the fourth of the spring for Carroll, who is having a monster Cactus League. The outfielder is slashing .370/.433/1.285 with five extra-base hits, nine RBI and two steals through 10 games. Given his productive finish to the second half of the 2024 regular season, which has continued into spring training, Carroll's first-half slump of 2024 is looking like an aberration.
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Batting Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2025
 
 
+500%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+9%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023vs Left .712 387 55 12 34 18 .246 .317 .395
Since 2023vs Right .848 947 182 35 116 71 .262 .352 .496
2025vs Left .500 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .500 .000
2025vs Right 3.000 1 0 0 0 0 1.000 1.000 2.000
2024vs Left .706 209 32 8 24 9 .219 .296 .410
2024vs Right .769 475 89 14 50 26 .236 .333 .436
2023vs Left .721 174 23 4 10 9 .283 .339 .382
2023vs Right .921 471 93 21 66 45 .286 .369 .552
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2025
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2023Home .882 651 118 25 82 39 .277 .365 .517
Since 2023Away .740 683 119 22 68 50 .239 .320 .420
2025Home 1.267 5 0 0 0 0 .333 .600 .667
2025Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Home .856 324 61 12 41 18 .264 .358 .498
2024Away .654 360 60 10 33 17 .202 .289 .365
2023Home .902 322 57 13 41 21 .290 .368 .534
2023Away .834 323 59 12 35 33 .280 .355 .479
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Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
A star is born. Carroll flashed tremendous potential as a late-season call-up in 2022 and then did nothing in 2023 to dissuade the notion that he is one of the brightest young players in the sport. He tallied 65 extra-base hits in 155 regular-season games, stole 54 bases in 59 attempts, and placed seventh among all major leaguers in runs scored (116) to help the Diamondbacks claim the final NL Wild Card spot and stage a run all the way to the World Series. The one legitimate knock against him is that he has a weak outfield arm, but fantasy managers have the luxury of simply ignoring that fact. At age 23 and absolutely dripping with category-spanning fantasy upside, Carroll is sure to be a first-round selection in every mixed-league draft this spring. He could even regularly come off the board within the first five picks. That eight-year, $111 million contract extension he signed with Arizona last March already looks incredibly team-friendly and gives the D-backs some leeway to build an even better supporting cast around him.
Carroll was part of the new trend in 2022 of the game's best prospects in the upper levels debuting for the final month, rather than early the following season. He laid waste to every minor-league stop along the way, showcasing an extremely fantasy-friendly skillset. Carroll has played in some hitter-friendly environments, but his .240 ISO in the majors was his worst such mark since rookie ball in 2019. He may never hit 40 home runs, but power will be a strength (39.0 Hard% in the minors). His 100th percentile sprint speed will also be a strength - he stole 33 bases on 39 attempts last year. Carroll had a .777 OPS against lefties and a 1.062 OPS against righties in the minors in 2022, but considering he is already the Diamondbacks' best position player and a strong defender, it would be surprising if he fell into a strict platoon. His most common lineup spots were sixth, seventh and eighth, but he could assume a spot in the top third sometime this season. The trade of Daulton Varsho to Toronto also opens up center field in Arizona, with Lourdes Gurriel set to play left. Carroll had a plus-four DRS in just 32 games last year, and that strong level of defense in center field should afford him a longer leash if he struggles early in 2023.
Carroll entered the season as the No. 16 overall prospect for dynasty, and if he hadn't suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in May, he may have finished the year as a top-five prospect. He had a 53.3 Hard%, 20.7 BB%, .478 ISO and three steals in 29 plate appearances at High-A, so he couldn't have played much better before getting hurt. Carroll has a potentially special set of fantasy-relevant tools, including 70-grade speed, burgeoning power and a hit tool and approach that offer a level of safety with regards to projecting his performance as he moves up the ladder. Any hitter returning from a significant shoulder surgery carries at least some risk, and we don't know how long it will take Carroll to return to form. However, he is the type of prospect who could cement himself as a blue-chip building block in dynasty in short order. Look for Arizona's center fielder of the future to spend the bulk of his age-21 season at Double-A.
Height and weight are less predictive for future power than bat speed and swing plane, and Carroll has the latter aspects figured out, which allows him to project for 20-plus homer power despite being listed at 5-foot-10, 165 pounds. Traditional scouts love Carroll, the 16th overall pick in 2019, for his leadoff-hitting center fielder skill set and strong makeup. He is appealing in fantasy because he is a plus-plus runner who should be an everyday player who hits for average and power. In a normal year, Carroll would have spent his age-19 season at Low-A and High-A. Instead, he got to face a majority of pitchers at the alternate site who either have significant experience in the upper levels of the minors and/or experience in the majors. Carroll's ceiling is an Andrew McCutchen type of statistical profile, and even if the bat doesn't quite get to that level, he should still be a five-category contributor.
The Diamondbacks appear to have struck gold with Carroll, the No. 16 overall pick in the 2019 draft. From a tools perspective, he was worthy of a top-10 pick, but his size (5-foot-10, 165 pounds) scared some teams off. His plus-plus speed is his top tool (18-for-19 on stolen base attempts in 42 games), but he could also be a plus hitter and plus center fielder. His strong hands and wrists generate excellent bat speed and he is adept at using compact torque to produce surprising pop. His 22.0 K% and 15.6 BB% were strong marks for an 18-year-old, and after some early adjustments, he started lifting the ball more in his pro debut. Leadoff-hitting everyday center fielder seems like a median outcome, but there is a chance he gets to enough power to hit second or third. This is a deep draft class for impactful position players, but Carroll clearly belongs in the top-10 for fantasy purposes.
More Fantasy News
Returns to field
OFArizona Diamondbacks
March 9, 2025
Carroll started in right field, batted leadoff and went 2-for-3 with a run scored in Saturday's spring game against Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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Back in action Friday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
March 7, 2025
Carroll (back) is starting in right field and batting leadoff in Friday's Cactus League game against the Angels, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Getting closer to 100 percent
OFArizona Diamondbacks
Back
March 5, 2025
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said Wednesday that Carroll (back) is "very close" to being fully recovered and returning to games, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Day-to-day with back issue
OFArizona Diamondbacks
Back
March 3, 2025
Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo said Monday that Carroll (back) is considered day-to-day, Alex Weiner of ArizonaSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not concerned with back injury
OFArizona Diamondbacks
Back
March 2, 2025
Carroll said that he isn't concerned about his back tightness that caused him to be removed from Sunday's spring game against Texas, Steve Gilbert of MLB.com reports.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Named NL's best for August
OFArizona Diamondbacks
September 4, 2024
Carroll was named the National League Player of the Month for August on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Carroll appeared headed in the right direction after he posted an .822 OPS in July, and he was even more productive in August as he posted a .280/.342/.700 slash line with 11 homers, two steals, 24 RBI and 30 runs in 27 games. The 24-year-old's .749 OPS for the season is still underwhelming following an ugly first half, but he's finally looking like the player that unanimously won NL Rookie of the Year in 2023.
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