Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A star is born. Carroll flashed tremendous potential as a late-season call-up in 2022 and then did nothing in 2023 to dissuade the notion that he is one of the brightest young players in the sport. He tallied 65 extra-base hits in 155 regular-season games, stole 54 bases in 59 attempts, and placed seventh among all major leaguers in runs scored (116) to help the Diamondbacks claim the final NL Wild Card spot and stage a run all the way to the World Series. The one legitimate knock against him is that he has a weak outfield arm, but fantasy managers have the luxury of simply ignoring that fact. At age 23 and absolutely dripping with category-spanning fantasy upside, Carroll is sure to be a first-round selection in every mixed-league draft this spring. He could even regularly come off the board within the first five picks. That eight-year, $111 million contract extension he signed with Arizona last March already looks incredibly team-friendly and gives the D-backs some leeway to build an even better supporting cast around him. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed an eight-year, $111 million contact extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2023. Contract includes $28 million team option ($5 million buyout) for 2031.
Triples in two straight
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 20, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-4 with a triple, a walk and a run scored in Sunday's 6-4 win over Detroit. He was also caught stealing.
ANALYSIS
Carroll tripled to lead off the bottom of the first inning and scored the first of two Arizona runs during the frame. It was the second straight game with a triple for Carroll, who finished second in MLB last season with 10 three-baggers. He was moved back to the leadoff spot seven games ago, but it hasn't done much to break Carroll's season-long slump; he's 4-for-24 with three extra-base hits and five runs since the move and has been caught stealing twice.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
12
9
5
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
14
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+55%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .685 270 31 5 18 14 .263 .318 .367
Since 2022vs Right .840 691 118 26 86 50 .262 .349 .491
2024vs Left .636 66 7 1 5 4 .250 .303 .333
2024vs Right .504 135 13 1 9 4 .161 .267 .237
2023vs Left .721 174 23 4 10 9 .283 .339 .382
2023vs Right .921 471 93 21 66 45 .286 .369 .552
2022vs Left .590 30 1 0 3 1 .179 .233 .357
2022vs Right .917 85 12 4 11 1 .289 .365 .553
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+104%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .799 475 74 14 54 28 .263 .344 .455
Since 2022Away .793 486 75 17 50 36 .262 .337 .456
2024Home .612 100 10 0 6 7 .212 .330 .282
2024Away .486 101 10 2 8 1 .172 .228 .258
2023Home .902 322 57 13 41 21 .290 .368 .534
2023Away .834 323 59 12 35 33 .280 .355 .479
2022Home .540 53 7 1 7 0 .196 .226 .314
2022Away 1.099 62 6 3 7 2 .321 .419 .679
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Stat Review
How does Corbin Carroll compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.53
 
BB Rate
10.0%
 
K Rate
18.9%
 
BABIP
.230
 
ISO
.079
 
AVG
.191
 
OBP
.279
 
SLG
.270
 
OPS
.548
 
wOBA
.253
 
Exit Velocity
86.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
25.5%
 
Barrels/PA
3.5%
 
Expected BA
.240
 
Expected SLG
.348
 
Sprint Speed
24.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.7%
 
Line Drive %
19.1%
 
Fly Ball %
36.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Corbin Carroll See More
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Hotlanta Heating Up
3 days ago
The potent Atlanta Braves lineup has underperformed thus far in May, but with seven games this week Todd Zola projects them to break out in his Weekly Hitter Rankings.
MLB Barometer: Making Sense of Bat Speed
4 days ago
Bat speed on its own can be misleading, but it's potentially very useful when combined with other metrics. What does it tell us about Corbin Carroll?
Weekly Hitter Rankings: In Houston, Offense Isn't the Problem
10 days ago
Juan Soto has six games against right-handers this week, and he’s a player to keep an eye on. Todd Zola steps in the box for the Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Lineup Lowdown: National League
13 days ago
Ozzie Albies is back in the second spot in the Atlanta Braves' lineup, which is just one of many developments that Ryan Boyer chronicles in the National League edition of Lineup Lowdown.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Rangers Rocking and Rolling
17 days ago
Marcus Semien and the World Series-champion Texas Rangers have a top-notch schedule up ahead, making them one of the teams to watch in Todd Zola's Weekly Hitter Rankings.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rounding into form?
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2024
Carroll has a .296/.321/.444 slash line and at least one hit in six of his past seven games.
ANALYSIS
The reigning NL Rookie of the Year has struggled early in 2024 with a .578 OPS through 34 games, and his average exit velocity has dropped five mph to 85 mph, which ranks 169th of 173 qualified batters. Carroll has still provided some fantasy value with eight steals and has encouraging strikeout and walk rates at 18 and 10.7 percent, respectively, but he's shown minimal pop with only five extra-base hits.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Carroll was part of the new trend in 2022 of the game's best prospects in the upper levels debuting for the final month, rather than early the following season. He laid waste to every minor-league stop along the way, showcasing an extremely fantasy-friendly skillset. Carroll has played in some hitter-friendly environments, but his .240 ISO in the majors was his worst such mark since rookie ball in 2019. He may never hit 40 home runs, but power will be a strength (39.0 Hard% in the minors). His 100th percentile sprint speed will also be a strength - he stole 33 bases on 39 attempts last year. Carroll had a .777 OPS against lefties and a 1.062 OPS against righties in the minors in 2022, but considering he is already the Diamondbacks' best position player and a strong defender, it would be surprising if he fell into a strict platoon. His most common lineup spots were sixth, seventh and eighth, but he could assume a spot in the top third sometime this season. The trade of Daulton Varsho to Toronto also opens up center field in Arizona, with Lourdes Gurriel set to play left. Carroll had a plus-four DRS in just 32 games last year, and that strong level of defense in center field should afford him a longer leash if he struggles early in 2023.
Carroll entered the season as the No. 16 overall prospect for dynasty, and if he hadn't suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in May, he may have finished the year as a top-five prospect. He had a 53.3 Hard%, 20.7 BB%, .478 ISO and three steals in 29 plate appearances at High-A, so he couldn't have played much better before getting hurt. Carroll has a potentially special set of fantasy-relevant tools, including 70-grade speed, burgeoning power and a hit tool and approach that offer a level of safety with regards to projecting his performance as he moves up the ladder. Any hitter returning from a significant shoulder surgery carries at least some risk, and we don't know how long it will take Carroll to return to form. However, he is the type of prospect who could cement himself as a blue-chip building block in dynasty in short order. Look for Arizona's center fielder of the future to spend the bulk of his age-21 season at Double-A.
Height and weight are less predictive for future power than bat speed and swing plane, and Carroll has the latter aspects figured out, which allows him to project for 20-plus homer power despite being listed at 5-foot-10, 165 pounds. Traditional scouts love Carroll, the 16th overall pick in 2019, for his leadoff-hitting center fielder skill set and strong makeup. He is appealing in fantasy because he is a plus-plus runner who should be an everyday player who hits for average and power. In a normal year, Carroll would have spent his age-19 season at Low-A and High-A. Instead, he got to face a majority of pitchers at the alternate site who either have significant experience in the upper levels of the minors and/or experience in the majors. Carroll's ceiling is an Andrew McCutchen type of statistical profile, and even if the bat doesn't quite get to that level, he should still be a five-category contributor.
The Diamondbacks appear to have struck gold with Carroll, the No. 16 overall pick in the 2019 draft. From a tools perspective, he was worthy of a top-10 pick, but his size (5-foot-10, 165 pounds) scared some teams off. His plus-plus speed is his top tool (18-for-19 on stolen base attempts in 42 games), but he could also be a plus hitter and plus center fielder. His strong hands and wrists generate excellent bat speed and he is adept at using compact torque to produce surprising pop. His 22.0 K% and 15.6 BB% were strong marks for an 18-year-old, and after some early adjustments, he started lifting the ball more in his pro debut. Leadoff-hitting everyday center fielder seems like a median outcome, but there is a chance he gets to enough power to hit second or third. This is a deep draft class for impactful position players, but Carroll clearly belongs in the top-10 for fantasy purposes.
More Fantasy News
Getting day off Wednesday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 15, 2024
Carroll is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Delivers winning run
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 10, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-4 with a walk and an RBI in Thursday's 5-4 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Homer, five RBI in victory
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 7, 2024
Carroll went 2-for-5 with a three-run homer and five total RBI in Tuesday's 6-2 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Moves up to leadoff spot Tuesday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 7, 2024
Carroll will start in center field and bat leadoff in Tuesday's game in Cincinnati.
ANALYSIS
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Breaks RBI drought
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 6, 2024
Carroll went 2-for-4 with two RBI and a run scored in Sunday's 11-4 win over San Diego.
ANALYSIS
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