Corbin Carroll

Corbin Carroll

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Arizona Diamondbacks
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A star is born. Carroll flashed tremendous potential as a late-season call-up in 2022 and then did nothing in 2023 to dissuade the notion that he is one of the brightest young players in the sport. He tallied 65 extra-base hits in 155 regular-season games, stole 54 bases in 59 attempts, and placed seventh among all major leaguers in runs scored (116) to help the Diamondbacks claim the final NL Wild Card spot and stage a run all the way to the World Series. The one legitimate knock against him is that he has a weak outfield arm, but fantasy managers have the luxury of simply ignoring that fact. At age 23 and absolutely dripping with category-spanning fantasy upside, Carroll is sure to be a first-round selection in every mixed-league draft this spring. He could even regularly come off the board within the first five picks. That eight-year, $111 million contract extension he signed with Arizona last March already looks incredibly team-friendly and gives the D-backs some leeway to build an even better supporting cast around him. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#5
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $111 million contact extension with the Diamondbacks in March of 2023. Contract includes $28 million team option ($5 million buyout) for 2031.
Idle against lefty
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 21, 2024
Carroll is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
The lefty-hitting Carroll has now taken a seat in two of Arizona's last three matchups against left-handed pitchers, as he'll exit the lineup for the finale in Chicago while southpaw Shota Imanaga takes the hill for the Cubs. Randal Grichuk will check in for Carroll in right field and will bat second.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
49
9
5
4
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
19
5
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+32%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+28%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+55%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .629 337 37 5 23 16 .233 .298 .331
Since 2022vs Right .839 850 155 30 102 60 .264 .351 .489
2024vs Left .518 133 13 1 10 6 .181 .260 .259
2024vs Right .684 294 50 5 25 14 .223 .316 .367
2023vs Left .721 174 23 4 10 9 .283 .339 .382
2023vs Right .921 471 93 21 66 45 .286 .369 .552
2022vs Left .590 30 1 0 3 1 .179 .233 .357
2022vs Right .917 85 12 4 11 1 .289 .365 .553
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+104%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .795 570 94 16 65 33 .259 .343 .453
Since 2022Away .765 617 98 19 60 43 .253 .330 .436
2024Home .691 195 30 2 17 12 .224 .333 .358
2024Away .584 232 33 4 18 8 .198 .270 .314
2023Home .902 322 57 13 41 21 .290 .368 .534
2023Away .834 323 59 12 35 33 .280 .355 .479
2022Home .540 53 7 1 7 0 .196 .226 .314
2022Away 1.099 62 6 3 7 2 .321 .419 .679
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Stat Review
How does Corbin Carroll compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.55
 
BB Rate
10.1%
 
K Rate
18.3%
 
BABIP
.247
 
ISO
.124
 
AVG
.210
 
OBP
.299
 
SLG
.333
 
OPS
.632
 
wOBA
.285
 
Exit Velocity
88.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.3%
 
Barrels/PA
2.8%
 
Expected BA
.240
 
Expected SLG
.342
 
Sprint Speed
25.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
46.8%
 
Line Drive %
18.2%
 
Fly Ball %
35.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Carroll was part of the new trend in 2022 of the game's best prospects in the upper levels debuting for the final month, rather than early the following season. He laid waste to every minor-league stop along the way, showcasing an extremely fantasy-friendly skillset. Carroll has played in some hitter-friendly environments, but his .240 ISO in the majors was his worst such mark since rookie ball in 2019. He may never hit 40 home runs, but power will be a strength (39.0 Hard% in the minors). His 100th percentile sprint speed will also be a strength - he stole 33 bases on 39 attempts last year. Carroll had a .777 OPS against lefties and a 1.062 OPS against righties in the minors in 2022, but considering he is already the Diamondbacks' best position player and a strong defender, it would be surprising if he fell into a strict platoon. His most common lineup spots were sixth, seventh and eighth, but he could assume a spot in the top third sometime this season. The trade of Daulton Varsho to Toronto also opens up center field in Arizona, with Lourdes Gurriel set to play left. Carroll had a plus-four DRS in just 32 games last year, and that strong level of defense in center field should afford him a longer leash if he struggles early in 2023.
Carroll entered the season as the No. 16 overall prospect for dynasty, and if he hadn't suffered a season-ending shoulder injury in May, he may have finished the year as a top-five prospect. He had a 53.3 Hard%, 20.7 BB%, .478 ISO and three steals in 29 plate appearances at High-A, so he couldn't have played much better before getting hurt. Carroll has a potentially special set of fantasy-relevant tools, including 70-grade speed, burgeoning power and a hit tool and approach that offer a level of safety with regards to projecting his performance as he moves up the ladder. Any hitter returning from a significant shoulder surgery carries at least some risk, and we don't know how long it will take Carroll to return to form. However, he is the type of prospect who could cement himself as a blue-chip building block in dynasty in short order. Look for Arizona's center fielder of the future to spend the bulk of his age-21 season at Double-A.
Height and weight are less predictive for future power than bat speed and swing plane, and Carroll has the latter aspects figured out, which allows him to project for 20-plus homer power despite being listed at 5-foot-10, 165 pounds. Traditional scouts love Carroll, the 16th overall pick in 2019, for his leadoff-hitting center fielder skill set and strong makeup. He is appealing in fantasy because he is a plus-plus runner who should be an everyday player who hits for average and power. In a normal year, Carroll would have spent his age-19 season at Low-A and High-A. Instead, he got to face a majority of pitchers at the alternate site who either have significant experience in the upper levels of the minors and/or experience in the majors. Carroll's ceiling is an Andrew McCutchen type of statistical profile, and even if the bat doesn't quite get to that level, he should still be a five-category contributor.
The Diamondbacks appear to have struck gold with Carroll, the No. 16 overall pick in the 2019 draft. From a tools perspective, he was worthy of a top-10 pick, but his size (5-foot-10, 165 pounds) scared some teams off. His plus-plus speed is his top tool (18-for-19 on stolen base attempts in 42 games), but he could also be a plus hitter and plus center fielder. His strong hands and wrists generate excellent bat speed and he is adept at using compact torque to produce surprising pop. His 22.0 K% and 15.6 BB% were strong marks for an 18-year-old, and after some early adjustments, he started lifting the ball more in his pro debut. Leadoff-hitting everyday center fielder seems like a median outcome, but there is a chance he gets to enough power to hit second or third. This is a deep draft class for impactful position players, but Carroll clearly belongs in the top-10 for fantasy purposes.
More Fantasy News
Provides insurance in win
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 21, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-5 with a home run and two RBI in Saturday's 3-0 win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes bag in win
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 20, 2024
Carroll went 0-for-2 with a walk, a hit-by-pitch and a stolen base in Friday's 5-2 win over the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Sunday
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 14, 2024
Carroll is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Breaks out with two homers
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 13, 2024
Carroll went 2-for-4 with a pair of home runs, one walk, six RBI and three runs scored in Saturday's 12-1 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Notches two steals
OFArizona Diamondbacks
July 12, 2024
Carroll went 1-for-4 with a walk, an RBI, two stolen bases and a run scored in Friday's 5-4 win over the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rounding into form?
OFArizona Diamondbacks
May 8, 2024
Carroll has a .296/.321/.444 slash line and at least one hit in six of his past seven games.
ANALYSIS
The reigning NL Rookie of the Year has struggled early in 2024 with a .578 OPS through 34 games, and his average exit velocity has dropped five mph to 85 mph, which ranks 169th of 173 qualified batters. Carroll has still provided some fantasy value with eight steals and has encouraging strikeout and walk rates at 18 and 10.7 percent, respectively, but he's shown minimal pop with only five extra-base hits.
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