David Peterson

David Peterson

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Mets
60-Day IL
Injury Hip
Est. Return 5/27/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Peterson was needed for 27 appearances (21 starts) for the Mets last season as the team battled numerous injury issues in their rotation. On the positive side, Peterson struck out 128 batters across his 111 innings, marking the second year in a row he's fanned well over a batter per frame. On the negative side, Peterson also had a walk rate over 10 percent for the second straight year and wound up finishing with an ERA over 5.00. The left-hander underwent left hip surgery in early November and a rough timetable has him returning around June. Pitchers that can miss bats and get groundballs like Peterson are usually ones you want to bet on. The southpaw has yet to throw strikes consistently in the big leagues, though, and isn't necessarily guaranteed a rotation spot once healthy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $2.15 million contract with the Mets in January of 2024.
Throwing bullpen sessions
PNew York Mets
Hip
March 21, 2024
Peterson (hip) began throwing bullpen sessions in March and is hopeful to return from the 60-day injured list when first eligible May 27, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
After undergoing surgery Nov. 6 to repair a torn labrum in his left hip, Peterson was projected to require 6-to-7 months of recovery time, so the Mets felt comfortable stashing him on the 60-day IL to begin the season to clear up a 40-man roster spot for another player. Peterson won't be ready to pitch in games at any point this spring, but he seems to be making steady progress in his recovery from hip surgery. Now that he's reached the point in his rehab where he's throwing bullpen sessions, Peterson could soon face hitters in live batting practice sessions and simulated games. After that, Peterson would then likely be sent out on an extended minor-league rehab assignment as he looks to build back up to a starter's workload.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-13%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .236 213 67 18 45 5 1 10
Since 2022vs Right .271 733 187 80 172 33 4 17
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .283 117 35 9 30 3 1 5
2023vs Right .288 375 93 41 94 14 3 11
2022vs Left .176 96 32 9 15 2 0 5
2022vs Right .252 358 94 39 78 19 1 6
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-34%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-63%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-26%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.57 1.40 111.0 7 4 0 9.9 4.1 0.8
Since 2022Away 5.37 1.51 105.2 3 9 0 11.2 4.0 1.4
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 2.79 1.38 58.0 2 2 0 10.1 4.3 0.8
2023Away 7.47 1.77 53.0 1 6 0 10.7 3.7 1.9
2022Home 4.42 1.42 53.0 5 2 0 9.7 3.9 0.8
2022Away 3.25 1.25 52.2 2 3 0 11.8 4.3 1.0
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Rotation frontrunner?
PNew York Mets
March 18, 2023
Peterson could slot in as a regular starter with teammate Jose Quintana expected to be out until July.
ANALYSIS
Dating back to the end of last season, Peterson was an incumbent favorite to rejoin the rotation, per Will Sammon of The Athletic. Justin Verlander, Max Scherzer, Kodai Senga and Carlos Carrasco are currently locks, but Peterson and Tylor Megill represent a thin cast to fill Quintana's spot. Peterson pitched to mixed results last season, but with a potent lineup to support him, he could be a decent source of wins and strikeouts.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
2019
2018
Peterson had middling results in 15 starts for the Mets in 2021, but he was much better as a swingman last season with a 3.83 ERA across 105.1 innings. The lefty started in 19 of his 28 appearances and was effective in both roles. He added a tick to his fastball and more heavily mixed in his off-speed pitches, which helped lead to a 27.8 percent strikeout rate. New York is looking to bolster its rotation during the offseason -- whether it's by re-signing Jacob deGrom or bringing in a new face remains to be seen -- but Peterson pitched well last year and should have a chance to lock down a rotation spot during spring training. He has yet to show he can produce consistently year-to-year but is trending toward fantasy utility after a strong 2022.
Marcus Stroman's injury paved the way for Peterson's early promotion from the Mets' alternate training site. He remained in the rotation all year, save for a 10-day stint on the IL with shoulder inflammation and a brief trip to the bullpen. Peterson appeared in 10 games, starting nine while supplying the Mets with much-needed innings. While his 3.44 ERA appears impressive, his 5.26 xFIP and 5.11 SIERA disagree. Peterson benefited from a .233 BABIP, which helped to offset a bloated 11.7 BB%. The lefty's strikeouts have been inconsistent, with last season's 19.5% mark being low in today's landscape. Peterson should have an Opening Day spot in the Mets' revamped rotation. His minor-league history portends an improved walk rate, but he'll need to miss more bats to fend off impending ERA correction. Consider Peterson in formats conducive to streaming as Citi Field is the league's best pitching venue.
In an era where strikeouts are king, Peterson gets it done the old-fashioned way: command, control and groundballs. That said, if he maintains the punchout gains of the past couple of seasons, Peterson has mid-rotation upside. The southpaw sits around 90 mph with his fastball, touching 93. It has good sinking action, helping to record one of the highest groundball rates in the minors. Peterson's slider is his strikeout pitch while he also works in a changeup and curveball. None are dominant, but he throws each for strikes. Peterson spent 2019 with Double-A Binghamton, posting a 4.19 ERA and 1.34 WHIP, giving up 119 hits in 116 innings while fanning 122 with 37 walks and nine homers. The high WHIP is characteristic of a groundball pitcher and should improve with better infield defense. Peterson should open the season with Triple-A Syracuse and could be a candidate for a callup if the Mets need a starter.
Other than a truly elite groundball rate (over 62% as a pro) and a frame (6-foot-6, 240 pounds) that should allow him to chew up innings, there is not a ton to get excited about with Peterson at first glance. The big lefty commands a four-pitch mix, with his heavy, low-90s fastball and above-average slider grading out as his two best offerings. A knee injury cost him a few weeks early in the year, but he still amassed 128 frames. Over his final five starts, he gave up two runs, allowed 21 baserunners and struck out 32 over 29 innings. His groundball rate was also a ridiculous 71% over that stretch. That success in a small sample might mean nothing. After all, he was a 22-year-old southpaw with command and pitchability facing High-A hitters at the end of a long season. However, if he somehow maintains that late-season strikeout rate at Double-A, it would warrant quick action in dynasty leagues, as his ability to generate weak contact is already outstanding.
A big 6-foot-6 southpaw, Peterson has the potential to have three above-average pitches and and above-average command down the road, hinting at a future role as a No. 4 starter. His low-90s fastball isn't much of a bat-misser, but he should excel at generating groundballs. His slider and changeup both have the potential generate whiffs, and while neither is a plus pitch right now, both have a chance to get there. The key for Peterson will be carrying over the excellent control he showed in his junior season at Oregon, where he posted a 1.4 BB/9. Surgery to remove an ingrown toenail limited him to just three starts for a total of just 3.2 innings in his pro debut. He is advanced enough to head to Low-A or High-A this season. If he were to experience a slight uptick in velocity, Peterson's secondaries and command profile could allow him to project as No. 2 or No. 3 starter, but for now his upside appears capped.
More Fantasy News
Shifts to 60-day IL
PNew York Mets
Hip
February 25, 2024
Peterson (hip) was placed on the 60-day injured list Sunday.
ANALYSIS
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Agrees to terms
PNew York Mets
Hip
January 11, 2024
Peterson (hip) signed a one-year, $2.15 million contract with the Mets on Thursday to avoid arbitration, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports.
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Out 6-to-7 months after hip surgery
PNew York Mets
Hip
November 8, 2023
Peterson underwent surgery Monday to repair the labrum in his left hip, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out seven
PNew York Mets
September 21, 2023
Peterson did not factor into the decision Thursday, allowing four runs on five hits and two walks over four innings against the Phillies. He struck out seven.
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Strikes out 10
PNew York Mets
September 15, 2023
Peterson did not factor into the decision Friday, allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits and two walks over 5.2 innings against the Reds. He struck out 10.
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