2023 Stats
W-L
7-9
ERA
4.58
WHIP
1.42
K
214
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Cease followed up 2021's breakthrough campaign with an even better season, finishing a distant second to Justin Verlander in the AL Cy Young voting. Cease started 32 games for the second straight season, finishing with a career-high 184 innings. It wasn't by much, but Cease's K% ticked down while his BB% inched up. A .260 BABIP and 82.3% LOB mark resulted in a 2.20 ERA, over a run below the associated 3.50 xFIP and 3.48 SIERA. Cease is being drafted ahead of starters with similar or better skills, but with a longer track record. If he can lower his 10% walk rate, Cease could be one of the best pitchers in the league. There is a pathway as Cease uses his fastball 47% of the time but throws it for a strike at a low 62% rate. Cease is a prime example of how pitchers can be both lucky and good. Dreaming of a lower walk rate is tempting, but the regression monster is looming with nightmare intentions. Read Past Outlooks

Allows one run in tough-luck loss
Cease (7-9) took the loss Friday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks over five innings against the Padres. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
Cease was highly effective but far from efficient in needing 104 pitches to complete five frames. The only run he allowed came in the fifth, when Matthew Batten struck out but advanced all the way to second base on a wild pitch. He then took third on another wild pitch before being driven in by a Xander Bogaerts sac fly. While Cease's season total of 214 strikeouts is elite, the 27-year-old has struggled to a 4.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 177 innings. He finished strong with a 1.93 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 31 strikeouts across 23.1 innings over his final four starts, however.
Cease was highly effective but far from efficient in needing 104 pitches to complete five frames. The only run he allowed came in the fifth, when Matthew Batten struck out but advanced all the way to second base on a wild pitch. He then took third on another wild pitch before being driven in by a Xander Bogaerts sac fly. While Cease's season total of 214 strikeouts is elite, the 27-year-old has struggled to a 4.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 177 innings. He finished strong with a 1.93 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 31 strikeouts across 23.1 innings over his final four starts, however.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
99
Last 10 Games
103
Last 5 Games
103
How many pitches does Dylan Cease generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Dylan Cease generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2023
-14%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .239 | 302 | 104 | 236 | 30 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .204 | 365 | 121 | 201 | 25 | |||
2023vs Left | .268 | 91 | 30 | 96 | 13 | |||
2023vs Right | .230 | 123 | 49 | 76 | 6 | |||
2022vs Left | .219 | 98 | 44 | 70 | 6 | |||
2022vs Right | .163 | 129 | 34 | 56 | 10 | |||
2021vs Left | .226 | 113 | 30 | 70 | 11 | |||
2021vs Right | .220 | 113 | 38 | 69 | 9 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-19%
ERA at Home
2023
-16%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 3.20 | 1.20 | 286.2 | 11.1 | 3.8 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 3.94 | 1.32 | 240.0 | 11.8 | 3.9 | ||||
2023Home | 4.20 | 1.44 | 94.1 | 9.9 | 4.6 | ||||
2023Away | 5.01 | 1.39 | 82.2 | 12.0 | 3.4 | ||||
2022Home | 2.35 | 1.02 | 107.1 | 11.2 | 3.2 | ||||
2022Away | 2.00 | 1.24 | 76.2 | 10.9 | 4.7 | ||||
2021Home | 3.18 | 1.18 | 85.0 | 12.2 | 3.8 | ||||
2021Away | 4.69 | 1.33 | 80.2 | 12.4 | 3.6 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Dylan Cease compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.71K/9
10.9BB/9
4.0HR/9
1.0Fastball
95.6 mphERA
4.58WHIP
1.42BABIP
.349GB/FB
1.07Left On Base
68.2%Exit Velocity
83.3 mphBarrels/BBE
3.8%Spin Rate
2620 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
24.2%Swinging Strike
13.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Cease truthers were rewarded with the breakthrough season, but let's pump the fantasy ace brakes just a tad. The righthander made 32 starts and his 3.96 ERA was pegged a little lower by the estimators. The long-expected spike in strikeouts manifested, keyed by a slider with a 22.4% swinging strike rate. The yellow flags are a high walk rate and a flyball lean. The latter isn't necessarily an issue, but it can be when combined with excess free passes and a homer-friendly home venue. To be fair, Cease's BB% dropped to 9.6%, but that was still the second highest among qualified starters, resulting in averaging just 5.2 innings per start, the lowest among qualified starters. Youth is Cease's ally as he's entering his age-26 season. He may improve his control even more but paying for it is a risk. The upside is indeed elite, but there's also a chance Cease is a ratio buzzkill.
More Fantasy News

Twirls gem in no-decision
Cease did not factor into the decision Saturday, allowing six hits over seven scoreless innings against the Red Sox. He struck out 11 without issuing any free passes.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start marred by home run
Cease (7-8) took the loss Sunday, allowing three runs on four hits and three walks over six innings against the Twins. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in win
Cease (7-7) earned the win Tuesday, allowing one run on four hits and a walk over 5.1 innings against Kansas City. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Scheduled start postponed
Cease will not make his scheduled start Monday against the Royals with the contest being postponed due to rain.
ANALYSIS
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Another rocky outing
Cease did not factor into the decision Tuesday, allowing five runs (four earned) on eight hits and two walks over 5.1 innings against Kansas City. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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