Gunnar Henderson

23-Year-Old ShortstopSS

Baltimore Orioles

2024 Stats

AVG

.282

RBI

109

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

We should always be impressed when 22 year olds hold their own at the major league level considering most players that age are still taking a bus to a small to mid-sized town near you. It is even more impressive when said players do something few others do early in their careers. Henderson was one of five corner infielders with 25 homers, 80 runs and RBIs along with 10 steals joining Walker, Freeman, Bellinger, and Goldschmidt while being five years younger than anyone else in that group. Henderson has been everything as advertised so far at the plate and in the field qualifying at both positions on the left side of the infield. The only fantasy flaw in his current profile is he has been just above average in batting average as his plate discipline is still morphing into what it could be while he continues attempting to figure out lefties who have limited him to a .199 average. Those are flaws you can live with for now while enjoying his continued overall growth Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Overall Projection

Overall Rank

Dynasty

From Preseason

#30

ADP

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'3"

Weight 195

DOB 6/29/2001

Born Montgomery, AL

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2019 BAL

Racks up three hits in loss

SSBaltimore Orioles

September 8, 2024

Henderson went 3-for-4 with a stolen base in Sunday's 2-0 loss to the Rays.

ANALYSIS
Henderson played well, but only one other Oriole (Cedric Mullins) produced any hits in the contest. This was Henderson's fourth multi-hit effort over seven games in September -- he's 12-for-28 (.429) with three home runs and seven RBI in that span. The shortstop is up to a .282/.367/.540 slash line with 36 homers, 85 RBI, 108 runs scored and 18 steals through 142 games this season. Henderson's recent success has come since he was moved back to the top of the order versus right-handed pitchers.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+28%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+14%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+43%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+95%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.712	395	44	11	37	10	.226	.327	.385
Since 2022vs Right	.908	1007	177	57	148	19	.283	.355	.554
2024vs Left	.828	202	23	8	24	6	.254	.366	.462
2024vs Right	.941	446	86	28	61	12	.294	.368	.573
2023vs Left	.618	167	20	3	11	4	.209	.293	.324
2023vs Right	.885	455	80	25	71	6	.272	.336	.549
2022vs Left	.448	26	1	0	2	0	.130	.231	.217
2022vs Right	.872	106	11	4	16	1	.290	.377	.495
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+3%

OPS on Road

2024

+4%

OPS at Home

2023

+1%

OPS on Road

2022

+62%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.842	705	104	37	93	14	.265	.332	.510
Since 2022Away	.866	697	117	31	92	15	.271	.362	.505
2024Home	.924	324	54	23	52	7	.281	.355	.569
2024Away	.889	324	55	13	33	11	.283	.380	.509
2023Home	.810	308	45	13	35	7	.256	.315	.495
2023Away	.818	314	55	15	47	3	.254	.334	.484
2022Home	.620	73	5	1	6	0	.227	.301	.318
2022Away	1.007	59	7	3	12	1	.300	.407	.600
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Gunnar Henderson compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.50

BB Rate

11.0%

K Rate

22.1%

BABIP

.317

ISO

.257

AVG

.282

OBP

.367

SLG

.540

OPS

.907

wOBA

.392

Exit Velocity

92.7 mph

Hard Hit Rate

44.1%

Barrels/PA

7.7%

Expected BA

.291

Expected SLG

.514

Sprint Speed

24.0 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

46.8%

Line Drive %

20.1%

Fly Ball %

33.0%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Gunnar Henderson Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

Henderson was shot out of a cannon last season, putting up a .312/.452/.573 slash line and 176 wRC+ with more walks (19.7 BB%) than strikeouts (18.3 K%) as a 20-year-old at Double-A. He subsequently got the bump to Triple-A, and while his production predictably dipped slightly, he still established himself as one of the game's elite prospects and got rewarded with a taste of the majors. Henderson's plus all-fields power is his current top skill for fantasy, and that may always be the case. However, he should also be a good enough hitter to add value in batting average and add significant value in on-base percentage. His 26.4 K% at Triple-A and 25.8 K% in the majors aren't very concerning when considering he won't turn 22 until late June and was well above the league average as a hitter at both stops. The young third baseman stole 23 bases on 27 attempts and has a 91st percentile sprint speed, so he could add double-digit steals over a full season. He primarily hit fifth in the majors and is one of Baltimore's bluechip building blocks, along with Adley Rutschman.

Henderson performed well statistically at the level he was supposed to perform well at (Low-A as a 19-year-old) but he struggled after aggressive assignments to High-A and Double-A. He struck out too much, even when he was having success, logging a 30.9 K% on the season. Henderson uses the whole field well and comfortably projects for plus power -- he hit 17 home runs and 28 doubles in 105 games, primarily against more advanced competition. However, so far, Henderson looks like a better prospect for OBP leagues than AVG leagues, given that he walked or struck out in 43% of his plate appearances last season. He is an average runner with some stiffness and a thicker lower half, so he may end up moving to third base and probably won't be a major threat on the bases, although he does have good instincts. It is noteworthy when a 20-year-old gets the bump to Double-A, and that's likely where Henderson will return this season, but for now, he projects as a three-category contributor in standard roto leagues.

By all accounts, Henderson was the most pleasant surprise this past summer at the Orioles' alternate training site and in the fall instructional league. A 6-foot-3, 195-pound shortstop who bats left-handed, Henderson was selected out of high school with the No. 42 overall pick in 2019 and held his own (103 wRC+) in the Gulf Coast League after signing. There were some mechanical adjustments made last year to Henderson's lower half that allowed him to have success over the summer as the youngest player at the alternate site. He is only an average runner and could slow down before he reaches the majors, so the hope is that he will hit for average and power to make up for the fact that he won't be a major source of stolen bases. He will likely head to Low-A, and if he is as good as advertised, he could get a bump to High-A before his 20th birthday in late June.

Henderson received $2.3 million (equivalent to the slot value of the No. 31 overall pick) when the Orioles selected him with the 42nd pick in 2019. While he was young for his class, not turning 18 until June 29, Henderson's Gulf Coast League showing wasn't particularly impressive. He hit .259/.331/.370 with one home run and two steals on four attempts in 121 PA. Seen as a sum-of-the-parts prospect without a standout tool, he does not stand out as an appealing dynasty-league target, although he should be rostered in deeper leagues. He uses the whole field and could develop above-average power as he fills out his 6-foot-3, 195-pound frame. He is just an average runner, which also limits the fantasy appeal.

More Fantasy News

Goes yard in win

SSBaltimore Orioles

September 7, 2024

Henderson went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Friday's 2-0 win over the Rays.