2022 Stats
AVG
.221
HR
3
RBI
17
R
23
SB
7
2023 Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Two years ago, Duran was quite an interesting prospect, but his star has fallen far after a pair of unsuccessful attempts to establish himself at the big-league level. His .645 OPS in 58 games last season at least represented a step up from his .578 OPS in 33 games the year prior, but it was nowhere near good enough for a player whose speed hasn't translated into even average defense in center field. Duran can't claim to have gotten particularly unlucky, as his .219 xBA was a near match for his actual .221 batting average. His strikeout rate fell by over seven points compared to his major-league debut but still sat at 28.3%, while his 7.7% barrel rate was merely average. A modest step forward on both sides of the ball could turn Duran into a competent big-league regular, but he's now 26 years old, so a modest step may be as much as it's fair to expect. If he earns a role, his speed should help fantasy teams, but his performance suggests that even a bench spot isn't a lock. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#573
ADP

Roster status uncertain
Red Sox manager Alex Cora told reporters Sunday that the team is not ready to make a decision on where Duran will open the season, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
"Like I told [Duran] yesterday, don't worry about stuff like that," Cora said. "We're not going to worry about that right now. We'll figure that out towards the end of the month where we're at." If Duran does make the roster, it's likely as a backup, so the debate is whether to get him regular at-bats in Triple-A with Worcester or be a backup with the Red Sox. While there's still a chance for long-term success, Duran can safely be ignored in redraft leagues regardless of roster status.
"Like I told [Duran] yesterday, don't worry about stuff like that," Cora said. "We're not going to worry about that right now. We'll figure that out towards the end of the month where we're at." If Duran does make the roster, it's likely as a backup, so the debate is whether to get him regular at-bats in Triple-A with Worcester or be a backup with the Red Sox. While there's still a chance for long-term success, Duran can safely be ignored in redraft leagues regardless of roster status.
Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2022 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
35
4
9
#1
#2
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#9
4
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
+50%
OPS vs RHP
2022
+54%
OPS vs RHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020vs Left | .445 | 70 | 0 | 7 | .185 | ||||
Since 2020vs Right | .669 | 265 | 5 | 20 | .228 | ||||
2022vs Left | .449 | 42 | 0 | 5 | .184 | ||||
2022vs Right | .690 | 181 | 3 | 12 | .229 | ||||
2021vs Left | .438 | 28 | 0 | 2 | .185 | ||||
2021vs Right | .624 | 84 | 2 | 8 | .225 | ||||
2020vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2020vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
+1%
OPS on Road
2022
+2%
OPS on Road
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2020Home | .618 | 177 | 1 | 11 | .204 | ||||
Since 2020Away | .627 | 158 | 4 | 16 | .235 | ||||
2022Home | .640 | 121 | 1 | 6 | .202 | ||||
2022Away | .652 | 102 | 2 | 11 | .242 | ||||
2021Home | .572 | 56 | 0 | 5 | .208 | ||||
2021Away | .583 | 56 | 2 | 5 | .222 | ||||
2020Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2020Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Jarren Duran compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.22BB Rate
6.3%K Rate
28.3%BABIP
.302ISO
.142AVG
.221OBP
.283SLG
.363OPS
.645wOBA
.286Exit Velocity
89.3 mphHard Hit Rate
27.5%Barrels/PA
4.9%Expected BA
.219Expected SLG
.353Sprint Speed
27.1 ft/secGround Ball %
50.7%Line Drive %
15.4%Fly Ball %
33.8%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
The time to cash out Duran in dynasty leagues was in early July, prior to his MLB debut, when some were valuing him as a top-50 prospect. While his value has fallen since then, there's still an argument for getting what you can for him this winter. His .258/.357/.516 slash line at Triple-A looks fine for a hitter with his combination of above-average raw power and plus-plus speed, but Duran's 23.3 K% was a poor mark at that level for a player who turned 25 in September. Given the gap between Triple-A pitching and major-league pitching, it should not have come as a surprise that he went on to log a 35.7 K% and 3.6 BB% in his first 112 MLB plate appearances. In addition to significant hit tool concerns, Duran's outfield defense is quite poor, so it's difficult to see a contending team like the Red Sox gifting him playing time in the short term. They will very likely bring in one, if not two superior outfielders after the lockout, and even players of Christian Arroyo's caliber could get playing time over Duran barring some major improvements in the field or at the plate.
More Fantasy News

Sent back down
Duran was optioned to Triple-A Worcester on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled from Triple-A
Duran was recalled from Triple-A Worcester on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Sent back to Triple-A
Duran was optioned to Triple-A Worcester on Saturday, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican reports.
ANALYSIS
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Gets look in right field
Duran started in right field and went 1-for-4 in Saturday's 4-3 win over Baltimore.
ANALYSIS
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On bench, time as regular likely up
Duran is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game in Pittsburgh, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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