Joe Ryan

Joe Ryan

28-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Ryan had a roller-coaster season for the Twins as he had a 2.98 ERA with a 9.65 K/9 and 0.91 WHIP through his first 15 starts of the season. He then seemingly ran out of gas by posting a 8.63 ERA and 1.81 WHIP over this next seven starts before he went on the injured list with a strained groin. His final eight starts after he returned were not much better (5.90 ERA) and the Twins limited him to one short two-inning start in the playoffs. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (92.3 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an excellent 29.3% K% and 14.2% swinging strike rate. His weakness is as a fly-ball pitcher (31.6% GB%) he can be prone to the long ball. Home runs were especially an issue last season with a career-worst 1.78 HR/9 driven by a high 14.9% HB/FB%. He usually limits the damage for home runs by typically having one of the lowest walk rates in baseball (5.1% BB%). Ryan will be counted on at the top of the Twins rotation and could improve significantly if he can keep the ball in the park and improve one of his off-speed pitches, which all took a step backward last year. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#97
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in September of 2021.
Allows four runs in no-decision
PMinnesota Twins
July 21, 2024
Ryan did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing four runs on seven hits over six innings against the Brewers. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Ryan started strong, managing to avoid pitching from the stretch through four innings, with a third-inning two-out solo homer from Eric Haase representing the only batter to reach base against him. Ryan then ran into trouble in the fifth, allowing hits to four of the first five batters he faced with three runs crossing the plate. He managed to complete the sixth in line for the win, but a leaky bullpen prevented him from grabbing his seventh victory of the season. Ryan has now allowed nine runs through 11.1 innings over his last two starts, though his season stats remain impressive. Through 20 starts, Ryan has completed 120.2 innings with a 3.65 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 130 strikeouts. He's currently projected to next take the hill when the Twins travel to Detroit to take on the Tigers next weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
96
Last 5 Games
96
How many pitches does Joe Ryan generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Joe Ryan generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .210 847 193 56 163 30 5 25
Since 2022vs Right .246 913 285 44 210 52 3 44
2024vs Left .204 233 57 9 45 8 2 8
2024vs Right .245 251 73 10 58 16 3 9
2023vs Left .222 315 80 20 64 11 1 9
2023vs Right .269 357 117 14 91 19 0 23
2022vs Left .202 299 56 27 54 11 2 8
2022vs Right .219 305 95 20 61 17 0 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-19%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-27%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.59 1.02 225.2 18 11 0 10.6 2.0 1.2
Since 2022Away 4.33 1.19 203.2 12 13 0 9.4 2.2 1.7
2024Home 4.03 0.96 60.1 4 3 0 9.5 1.0 1.3
2024Away 3.28 1.06 60.1 2 3 0 9.8 1.8 1.2
2023Home 3.83 1.08 82.1 7 4 0 12.1 1.6 1.3
2023Away 5.22 1.26 79.1 4 6 0 9.8 2.2 2.3
2022Home 3.04 1.01 83.0 7 4 0 9.8 3.1 1.0
2022Away 4.22 1.22 64.0 6 4 0 8.6 2.5 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Joe Ryan compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.84
 
K/9
9.7
 
BB/9
1.4
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
94.0 mph
 
ERA
3.65
 
WHIP
1.01
 
BABIP
.290
 
GB/FB
0.85
 
Left On Base
70.3%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2259 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.6%
 
Swinging Strike
12.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Ryan showed his late season 2021 callup promise was not fluke as he had a strong rookie season with 13 wins and 3.55 ERA. Ryan doesn't have great velocity (91.5 average mph fastball) but has an extremely deceptive four-seam fastball that helped him generate an above-average 9.2 K/9 and 12% swinging strike rate. As a fly-ball pitcher (27.7% GB%), home runs can be a worry (1.2 HR/9), but he limits the damage with a plus walk rate (2.88 BB/9). He missed three weeks with Covid-19 in late May/early June, but was otherwise healthy. He should provide a steady productive presence at the top of the Minnesota rotation.
As a minor-leaguer, Ryan had always logged very impressive statistics (career 2.67 ERA, 0.87 WHIP) thanks to an extremely deceptive 91-mph fourseam fastball he leaned on heavily (over 60% usage). The Rays opted to cash him out before he ever pitched in the majors, along with pitching prospect Drew Strotman, for 10 weeks of Nelson Cruz. The early returns suggest the Twins landed a long-term rotation anchor. He struck out more than five in only one of his five starts (11 K's against a very weak Cubs lineup), but Ryan was stingy with baserunners (13 in 22 IP) prior to a blowup outing in his final start of the year against the Tigers. There are dozens of pitching prospects with more exciting repertoires, but given the fact that Ryan has good command and is locked into a big-league rotation spot, he is arguably more valuable than all but a handful of pitchers who have yet to make their big-league debuts. The 25-year-old righty threw 92.2 innings last season, so look for him to be limited to around 150 frames this year.
A seventh-round pick in 2018, Ryan didn't get a chance to follow up on his breakout 2019 with another strong statistical season, but he might have been better served getting major-league instruction at the Rays' alternate training site. The 24-year-old right-hander has a plus fastball, strong command and a looping delivery that hitters have a hard time picking up, a package that was enough to dominate hitters in the low minors, but any hope of a future in the rotation would likely require a dramatic expansion of his arsenal. Working with better coaching last year might have helped unlock his embryonic curve, slider and changeup, however. Ryan might make his major-league debut in 2021 if he baffles Triple-A hitters the way he did A-ball opposition, but the repertoire he showed in 2019 could lead to early struggles.
Ryan led all qualified minor-league pitchers in FIP (1.91) and K-BB% (32.4) and finished second in strikeouts (183). Unfortunately, we can't point to a bevy of plus pitches and say that this breakout pitcher has frontline upside. He has one dominant pitch that he threw 75% of the time -- a 70-grade mid-90s fastball -- that is aided by a deceptive delivery and good command. His secondary pitches are so underdeveloped that we can't even say with confidence which offspeed pitches will be a part of his arsenal when he gets to the majors. Ryan's changeup probably has the most potential, but it is still in its nascent stages. He has tried several breaking balls, with his curveball showing the most potential. Ryan will return to Double-A and should reach Triple-A, but as a one-pitch flyball pitcher, his minor-league numbers greatly oversell his readiness to have success in a big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News
Tagged for five runs in loss
PMinnesota Twins
July 12, 2024
Ryan (6-6) allowed five runs on six hits and three walks while striking out six over 5.1 innings Friday, taking the loss versus the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out eight in win
PMinnesota Twins
July 6, 2024
Ryan (6-5) earned the win against the Astros on Saturday, allowing three runs on five hits and one walk with eight strikeouts over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 10 Sunday
PMinnesota Twins
July 1, 2024
Ryan allowed two runs (one earned) on six hits and no walks while striking out 10 over 5.2 innings Sunday against the Mariners. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders four runs
PMinnesota Twins
June 25, 2024
Ryan allowed four runs on six hits and struck out five without walking a batter over six innings in a no-decision versus the Diamondbacks on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Posts another quality start
PMinnesota Twins
June 19, 2024
Ryan allowed one run on six hits and one walk while striking out five batters over six innings in a no-decision against Tampa Bay on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
May hit innings limit
PMinnesota Twins
August 19, 2022
Ryan exceeded 100 innings pitched for the season in his last start and is closing in on a new career-high total as a professional.
ANALYSIS
Ryan has a combined 104 innings pitched between Triple-A and the majors this season, exceeding last year's total of 92.2 innings. While he tossed 123.2 frames in the minors in 2019, the COVID-19 shutdown in 2020 kept him from logging any professional innings. It's reasonable to assume that Ryan will be able to weather an increase in innings this season but also worth noting that he has an 8.10 ERA and seven homers allowed in 20 innings over his last four starts. Minnesota is currently a game behind Cleveland for the top spot in the American League Central and will likely need its 26-year-old starter for any postseason run.
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