Jorge Alfaro

Jorge Alfaro

30-Year-Old CatcherC
Chicago Cubs
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Jorge Alfaro in 2024. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKS
$Signed a one-year, minor-league contract with the Cubs in December of 2023.
Inks minors deal with Cubs
CChicago Cubs  NRI
December 13, 2023
The Cubs signed Alfaro to a minor-league contract Wednesday with an invitation to major-league spring training, Robert Murray of FanSided.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Alfaro, 30, batted just .146/.212/.292 with one home run and 15 strikeouts in 52 major-league plate appearances last year between the Rockies and Red Sox. He'll be at least third on Chicago's organizational depth chart at catcher behind Yan Gomes and Miguel Amaya.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
4
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+191%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+27%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .765 176 11 7 21 0 .268 .301 .464
Since 2021vs Right .582 461 38 5 53 9 .225 .269 .313
2023vs Left .889 18 0 0 0 0 .313 .389 .500
2023vs Right .305 34 2 1 4 0 .063 .118 .188
2022vs Left .773 71 7 4 10 0 .269 .310 .463
2022vs Right .630 203 18 3 30 1 .238 .276 .354
2021vs Left .735 87 4 3 11 0 .259 .276 .459
2021vs Right .581 224 18 1 19 8 .238 .286 .295
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+25%
OPS on Road
2023
Even Split
2022
 
 
+61%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .567 338 26 5 39 5 .216 .251 .316
Since 2021Away .709 299 23 7 35 4 .262 .308 .401
2023Home .502 17 1 0 0 0 .133 .235 .267
2023Away .503 35 1 1 4 0 .152 .200 .303
2022Home .524 149 10 3 20 1 .197 .221 .303
2022Away .842 125 15 4 20 0 .307 .360 .482
2021Home .610 172 15 2 19 4 .239 .279 .331
2021Away .644 139 7 2 11 4 .250 .288 .356
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Stat Review
How does Jorge Alfaro compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.13
 
BB Rate
3.8%
 
K Rate
28.8%
 
BABIP
.188
 
ISO
.146
 
AVG
.146
 
OBP
.212
 
SLG
.292
 
OPS
.503
 
wOBA
.227
 
Exit Velocity
88.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.3%
 
Barrels/PA
3.8%
 
Expected BA
.209
 
Expected SLG
.339
 
Sprint Speed
26.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
66.7%
 
Line Drive %
15.2%
 
Fly Ball %
18.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jorge Alfaro See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2012
Injuries and a position split limited Alfaro to 82 games last season, his lowest total since 2017 (aside from the shortened 2020 campaign). The veteran backstop recorded a franchise-record five walk-off hits, but in spite of the memorable moments he finished with an uninspiring 90 wRC+. Alfaro has demonstrated the ability to smash a baseball (his max exit velocity has ranked within the top 4% of players leaguewide five of the past six seasons) and can run surprisingly well for a catcher (his sprint speed was in the 85th percentile among all players last year), yet he hasn't emerged as an impactful big-league or fantasy producer. That's largely due to his tendency to swing at everything and miss quite frequently -- among players with 200 or more plate appearances last season, he ranked eighth-worst with a 35.8 K% and dead last with a 21.7% swinging-strike rate. San Diego non-tendered Alfaro in November, and he latched on with Boston on a minor-league deal. Reese McGuire and Connor Wong currently project as the Red Sox's top catchers to open 2023, but neither has established themselves as a reliable big-league backstop. It's a favorable landing spot for Alfaro, and he could carve out relevance as a low-average, power-punching backstop, though his strikeout woes may limit his opportunities.
Jorge Alfaro now holds outfield eligibility with the Padres. Alfaro's peak season came in 2019 with 18 home runs, four steals, and a .262 batting average. Since 2019 Alfaro battled with COVID-19, oblique, concussions, hamstring, knee, and calf injuries. That explains the 411 plate appearances with seven home runs, ten stolen bases, and a .240 batting average in 2020 and 2021. Plate discipline remains a concern with a career BB% of 4.3% and 33.8% K% based on the awful 48% O-Swing%. Amongst hitters with 1,000 plate appearances since 2016, Alfaro holds the second-worst O-Swing%. Alfaro possesses an above-average 9.7% Barrel% with a maximum exit velocity in the top 4% of the league. However, the 52.4% GB% remains a concern. Playing time is the question since the Padres also have Austin Nola and Victor Caratini, but Alfaro could earn time at DH or outfield as a second catcher in 15-team leagues.
Alfaro had settled in as a solid mid-tier catcher through the end of 2019, with his strong exit velocities generally offsetting his high whiff rates, leading to a .266/.320/.423 slash line, a perfectly adequate mark for a backstop. His 2020 campaign was a very disappointing one. Limited to just 31 games in part due to a battle with COVID-19, he struggled to a .226/.280/.344 line while hitting just three homers. Small-sample caveats apply, but his struggles appear to have been deserved rather than mere reflections of bad luck. His typically high K% jumped back up to an untenable 36.0%, and he seemingly forgot how to lift the ball, with his launch angle falling to just 2.8 degrees. Toss in some poor framing and you get a rather unimpressive year. Alfaro could certainly turn things around in his age-28 season, but a career .262 hitter who's topped out at 18 homers isn't a hot commodity even at catcher.
Alfaro didn't appear to be hurt by the tougher home park in his first season in Miami, posting the same .262 batting average and 95 wRC+ that he recorded the season prior. His growth in his second full season showed up in his home run total, which increased from 10 to 18, and in his strikeout rate, which fell from 36.6% to a still-high 33.1%. It's fair to wonder if he can keep recording respectable batting averages while striking out that much, especially given that it took a .364 BABIP to get him there last season. He's always been a high-BABIP player due to his hard contact, though, with a .385 mark for his career. Statcast does suggest he overachieved a bit, but not as much as one might think, giving him an xBA of .246. Alfaro isn't an elite catcher, but he'll have no competition for starts next year and easily clears low offensive bar at the position, making him a fine fantasy option.
Alfaro couldn’t repeat the impressive offensive performance from his 29-game rookie season, but he still produced a solid .262/.324/.407 line with 10 homers in 377 plate appearances, totally acceptable for a catcher. Combined with strong framing numbers, the 25-year-old appears to be well on his way to being an average or better starting catcher. The underlying stats provide reason to be cautious in the near term. His strikeout rate of 36.6% ranked third-worst among all hitters who came to the plate at least 350 times, beating only Chris Davis and Mike Zunino, and his batting line was propped up by a clearly unsustainable .406 BABIP (the highest among the same group). Alfaro does hit the ball very hard, but no one can keep up a BABIP that high. According to Statcast’s xBA, he deserved to hit closer to .220. He has room to keep growing, but it may be a gradual process with only incremental improvement in 2019.
While he is reminiscent of Gary Sanchez in terms of prospect fatigue and raw power, the red flags in Alfaro's offensive profile are much more significant than anything attached to Sanchez in his final offseason on prospect lists. If Alfaro were not on the 40-man roster and out of minor-league options, he would be in line to repeat Triple-A this season. Those roster-management issues will force the Phillies to keep him in the majors in 2018, where his pitch recognition issues and lack of patience should lead to below-replacement-level production. Throw out his impressive numbers in the majors -- his .420 BABIP and 33:3 K:BB illustrate that he was operating at a completely unsustainable level. He still possesses plus-plus raw power, but his ceiling is likely what Mike Zunino did last year (.251/.331/.509 with 25 home runs in 124 games). Unfortunately, like with Zunino, there will be a few years where his average and OBP are unpalatable before he reaches that level, so rostering him in dynasty leagues during the lean years will require extreme patience.
The Phillies sent Alfaro back to Double-A Reading at the start of last season after he missed a significant amount of time in 2015 with an ankle injury. Alfaro was able to stay mostly healthy (outside of an oblique issue) and put together a solid season. Like many of the hitters playing for Reading, Alfaro's overall stat line was buoyed by his hitter-friendly home park. He hit .318 with nine home runs and an .855 OPS in 211 at-bats at home, but just .249 with six home runs and a .705 OPS in 193 at-bats on the road. He also struggled against lefties, hitting just .213 with one homer and a .585 OPS in 80 at-bats last season. The Phillies gave Alfaro a cup of coffee in September, but he doesn't appear to be part of their plans behind the plate in 2017. He needs more time in the minors to continue to refine his offensive game.
Acquired as part of the deal that sent Cole Hamels to the Rangers last season, Alfaro was limited to 194 at-bats due to an ankle injury that he suffered in June. He projects to have plus power with above average speed for a catcher, but there is a lot of risk associated with the profile. Last season, before getting hurt, Alfaro struck out 61 times in 49 games with just nine walks, illustrating his flawed approach. Despite having an elite arm behind the plate, Alfaro has some work to do as a receiver, which could keep him in the minors longer than anticipated. He made a late-season appearance with the Gulf Coast League Phillies and then picked up extra at-bats playing in the Venezuelan Winter League. Look for Alfaro to return to Double-A to start the year, with the chance to reach Triple-A by midseason if he gets off to a good start. The shine is not as bright as it once was with Alfaro, but he is still a top-10 prospect at his position.
The hype around the toolsy backstop has been building for a few seasons, yet he did not advance to Double-A Frisco until the final month of 2014. Coming off a 18-homer/18-steal 2013 season (primarily at Low-A Hickory), there seemed to be no limit to what Alfaro could eventually accomplish at the big league level. His power continued to show in games last season, and he belted 13 home runs with a .261/.318/.440 slash line in 437 plate appearances at High-A Myrtle Beach and he added another four big flies in 99 plate appearances after a late season promotion to Double-A. However, the speed that had some dreaming of a 30/20 season some day, was nowhere to be found last season. He had six steals in 11 attempts at High-A and did not attempt a steal with Frisco. Alfaro, who is still just 21 years old, should join the Rangers in 2016 and has the potential to hit .265 with 25 home runs and 10 steals in his prime, making him an elite prospect at a scarce position.
Alfaro enters 2014 as one of the best fantasy prospects in all of baseball behind the plate, though there are still plenty of areas where Alfaro needs to improve to realize his vast potential. He spent most of the year at Low-A Hickory, hitting .258/.338/.452 but drawing just 28 walks against 111 strikeouts. Alfaro did play better in a brief stint against advanced competition in the Arizona Fall League (.386/.438/.500 in 19 games), and he's expected to begin the year at High-A Myrtle Beach before a promotion mid-year to Double-A Frisco if his production warrants it. There's a 25-homer, 15-steal skill set at his peak if things go well, but 2014 will be a major test for him.
Alfaro's short-season debut went well when you consider he was playing against players three years his elder in some cases. His .300/.345/.481 line looks good on paper, but there are still some troubling plate discipline issues. He'll make his full-season debut in 2012.
More Fantasy News
Back with Marlins on minors deal
CMiami Marlins  NRI
August 15, 2023
Alfaro signed a minor-league contract with the Marlins on Tuesday, Jordan McPherson of the Miami Herald reports.
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Hits open market
CFree Agent  NRI
August 5, 2023
Alfaro cleared waivers and elected free agency Saturday after being designated for assignment by the Red Sox, Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republicanreports.
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Moves off 40-man roster
CBoston Red Sox  NRI
August 1, 2023
The Red Sox designated Alfaro for assignment Tuesday, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
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Returns to Boston on MLB deal
CBoston Red Sox  NRI
July 6, 2023
Alfaro signed a one-year contract with the Red Sox on Thursday, Alex Speier of The Boston Globe reports.
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Outrighted to Triple-A
CColorado Rockies  NRI
July 5, 2023
Colorado outrighted Alfaro to Triple-A Albuquerque on Wednesday.
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