Julio Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez

23-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Rodriguez followed up with his excellent rookie season with an even more productive sophomore season excelling in all five scoring categories on his way to finishing as the 8th most valuable fantasy player in standard formats in 2023. Rodriguez was the only player in the American League to hit at least 30 homers, both score and drive in over 100, while also stealing more than 30 bags while Acuna Jr bested him in every category overall. That said, the youngster is still prone to slumps. He hit below .250 in 3 of the 6 months and just 3 of his homers and 21 of his RBIs came in high leverage situations. A monster second half got him to his final numbers, and he really caught his stride once he was left in the second spot of the lineup behind Crawford's on base percentage. You should expect more of the same from Rodriguez in 2024 with fewer slumps in between bursts of awesomeness as he continues to mature as a hitter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a seven-year, $121.27 million contract with the Mariners in August of 2022. Contract includes an seven-year, $105 million team option after 2029 season that becomes a five-year, $90 million player option if team option is declined. Contract includes annual $25,000 bonus for All-Star selection, $50,000 bonus for Silver Slugger and Gold Glove Award and $150,000 bonus for MVP Award.
Four hits in win
OFSeattle Mariners
April 21, 2024
Rodriguez went 4-for-5 with two RBI, a run scored and two stolen bases in Saturday's win over the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
Rodriguez singled in his second at-bat before stealing second and later coming around to score on a Cal Raleigh single. The star outfielder then added another three singles in the contest, two of which drove home a run, while also swiping another bag. It marked Rodriguez's first four-hit performance of the season as well as his first game with two steals. He's now recorded multiple hits in three straight games.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2020
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
13
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
Even Split
2024
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+4%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .816 325 47 13 52 10 .286 .348 .468
Since 2022vs Right .820 1032 146 47 133 58 .275 .332 .487
2024vs Left .524 21 0 0 3 0 .238 .238 .286
2024vs Right .621 62 7 0 4 6 .263 .323 .298
2023vs Left .842 169 28 6 31 7 .301 .355 .487
2023vs Right .811 545 74 26 72 30 .267 .327 .484
2022vs Left .831 135 19 7 18 3 .275 .356 .475
2022vs Right .860 425 65 21 57 22 .286 .341 .519
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+20%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .808 663 91 29 92 28 .270 .327 .481
Since 2022Away .829 694 102 31 93 40 .285 .344 .484
2024Home .555 52 3 0 3 4 .224 .269 .286
2024Away .665 31 4 0 4 2 .310 .355 .310
2023Home .785 349 49 14 51 14 .266 .324 .461
2023Away .850 365 53 18 52 23 .284 .342 .507
2022Home .892 262 39 15 38 10 .285 .344 .548
2022Away .820 298 45 13 37 15 .283 .346 .474
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Stat Review
How does Julio Rodriguez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.15
 
BB Rate
4.8%
 
K Rate
32.5%
 
BABIP
.392
 
ISO
.038
 
AVG
.256
 
OBP
.301
 
SLG
.295
 
OPS
.596
 
wOBA
.270
 
Exit Velocity
90.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.4%
 
Barrels/PA
4.8%
 
Expected BA
.262
 
Expected SLG
.368
 
Sprint Speed
24.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
43.1%
 
Line Drive %
31.4%
 
Fly Ball %
25.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Working through timing issues
OFSeattle Mariners
April 10, 2024
Mariners manager Scott Servais said Sunday that Rodriguez is managing some issues with swing timing early in the season, reports Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times.
ANALYSIS
The center fielder raked during spring training with a 1.179 OPS in 14 Cactus League games, but the start of the regular season has brought far different results. Rodriguez went 1-for-5 with four strikeouts Wednesday against the Blue Jays, bringing his slash line to .196/.255/.216 through 55 plate appearances. Rodriguez has never been a fast starter with a .628 OPS during March and April for his career, but his struggles early in 2024 would set a new low.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
A strong spring from Rodriguez forced Seattle to break camp with him as their centerfielder. He did not disappoint, capturing the AL Rookie of the Year award. Rodriguez's season could have been even better as he improved over the second half, but wrist and back issues limited him to 41 games after the break. Rodriguez's exit velocity, hard-hit rate, barrel percentage and speed were all at least 90th percentile. His 25.9 percent strikeout rate and 7.1 percent walk rate could use some work, but that should come as the 22-year-old continues to develop. While it's fair to point out Rodriguez swiped 21 bags in his first 82 games but then stole only four bases in his final 52 contests, playing hurt could have slowed him down as he initially jammed his wrist sliding, so he may have just been cautious the rest of the season. Rodriguez merits top-five overall consideration, with a salient argument for him to be the first player off the board.
There have been good No. 1 overall prospects and great ones. Rodriguez falls into the latter camp. He passes the eye test and his statistics measure up. Young for every level he has played at, Rodriguez's worst showing was a 145 wRC+ and .293/.359/.490 slash line as an 18-year-old at Low-A in 2019. He has a patient approach and thunder in his bat to all fields. His speed and aggressiveness on the bases has ticked up to the point that he comfortably projects to steal double-digit bags. The only thing to nitpick is Rodriguez's 54.5 GB% at Double-A, but given that he was 20 years old and still slugged .546 at that level, it would be shortsighted to focus on that. Seattle brazenly prevented him from climbing too high last season by initially sending him to High-A -- a level he excelled at back in 2019 -- so we shouldn't expect them to promote him to the majors when he earns the call. That makes him a volatile option for redraft leagues and draft-and-holds, as he could realistically debut in April, May, June or July, and if he gets hurt early in the year, a 2022 debut isn't assured. In dynasty leagues, however, he is a blue chipper to build around.
In 2019, Rodriguez established himself as a top five prospect for dynasty leagues, but 2020 was a bit of a lost season. On a rebuilding team and with zero experience above High-A, he wasn't going to debut in a 60-game season, but he also suffered a hairline fracture in his left wrist that prevented him from doing much at the alternate site. However, once the fall instructional league began, Rodriguez reminded everyone why he is the top prospect in a burgeoning Mariners system and a top three prospect in baseball. He routinely posted exit velocities north of 110 mph, which is elite, and particularly impressive for a 19-year-old who was returning from a wrist injury. Rodriguez played in the Dominican winter league and should spend the bulk of spring training in big-league camp. He projects as a huge plus in AVG, OBP and HR while adding 8-12 steals. An MLB debut this summer is possible if he forces the issue.
For Rodriguez, the normal rules do not apply. He went from the Dominican Summer League in 2018 straight to the Midwest League in 2019. That never happens. A 6-foot-4 18-year-old up against men who were 3.5 years older on average, he logged a 145 wRC+ and .198 ISO before getting promoted to High-A. He was somehow better there, cutting his K% from 22.4 to 13.9 while doing even more damage (.277 ISO). His 40.0 Hard% between the two stops put him in the company of Quad-A hitters using the juiced ball in the Pacific Coast League. As the youngest hitter in the Arizona Fall League, he hit .288/.397/.365 with a 10:8 K:BB and made a point of putting his surprising speed to work, going 4-for-5 on stolen-base attempts. While the other top AFL hitters focused on pulling the ball out in batting practice, he was hitting home runs to the opposite field with ease. A true phenom, Rodriguez is on the fast track to stardom.
The 2017 July 2 international signing class appears to be one of the better ones in recent years, and Rodriguez is a big reason why. A 6-foot-3, 180-pound right fielder with a fantasy-over-reality profile, he received a $1.75 million bonus on the strength of his monster raw power and potential for a plus hit tool. That upside was on full display in the Dominican Summer League, where he logged a 161 wRC+, .210 ISO, 11.8 BB% and 15.7 K%. A right-handed hitter, he obviously mashed lefties (1.005 OPS), but his .899 OPS against same-handed pitchers suggests he could be an everyday player. It is dangerous to get too caught up in DSL statistics, as the quality of competition is extremely low -- Rodriguez was 17 and wasn't even one of the 15 youngest hitters in the league. However, he confirmed the scouting report in his pro debut, meaning he has already been scooped up in serious dynasty leagues that allow in-season pickups.
More Fantasy News
Two hits, steal Tuesday
OFSeattle Mariners
April 17, 2024
Rodriguez went 2-for-5 with a stolen base and a run in Tuesday's 3-1 win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Sunday
OFSeattle Mariners
April 14, 2024
Rodriguez is out of the lineup for Sunday's game versus the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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Plates pair in win
OFSeattle Mariners
April 13, 2024
Rodriguez went 1-for-4 with a two-run single in a win over the Cubs on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Making adjustments amid slump
OFSeattle Mariners
April 9, 2024
Rodriguez, who's hitting .186 over 46 plate appearances across 11 games, is actively making adjustments amid his slump, Brandon Gustafson of 710 ESPN Seattle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes second bag Monday
OFSeattle Mariners
April 2, 2024
Rodriguez went 1-for-3 with a stolen base and a walk in a win over the Guardians on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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