Julio Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez

21-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners
10-Day IL
Injury Back
Est. Return 10/3/2022
2022 Fantasy Outlook
There have been good No. 1 overall prospects and great ones. Rodriguez falls into the latter camp. He passes the eye test and his statistics measure up. Young for every level he has played at, Rodriguez's worst showing was a 145 wRC+ and .293/.359/.490 slash line as an 18-year-old at Low-A in 2019. He has a patient approach and thunder in his bat to all fields. His speed and aggressiveness on the bases has ticked up to the point that he comfortably projects to steal double-digit bags. The only thing to nitpick is Rodriguez's 54.5 GB% at Double-A, but given that he was 20 years old and still slugged .546 at that level, it would be shortsighted to focus on that. Seattle brazenly prevented him from climbing too high last season by initially sending him to High-A -- a level he excelled at back in 2019 -- so we shouldn't expect them to promote him to the majors when he earns the call. That makes him a volatile option for redraft leagues and draft-and-holds, as he could realistically debut in April, May, June or July, and if he gets hurt early in the year, a 2022 debut isn't assured. In dynasty leagues, however, he is a blue chipper to build around. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#224
ADP
$Signed an eight-year, $120 million contract with the Mariners in August of 2022. Contract includes an seven-year, $105 million team option starting in 2029, which turns into a five-year, $90 million player option if declined.
Returning to baseball activities
OFSeattle Mariners
Back
September 29, 2022
Rodriguez (back) is slated to return to baseball activities Thursday and continues to aim for activation Monday when first eligible, Brandon Gustafson of 710 ESPN Seattle reports.
ANALYSIS
The news comes directly from general manager Jerry Dipoto, who's lending further credence to the possibility of Rodriguez missing the minimal amount of time required by his IL stint. Dipoto added the decision to sideline Rodriguez temporarily was mostly precautionary, and the outfielder has reported feeling better each day thus far. The star rookie's ability to get some at-bats in over the final days of the regular season before the Mariners' expected wild-card series would naturally be a benefit for his timing at the plate, and it would serve as a platform to further corroborate his back is at full health.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2020
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
40
7
18
6
1
9
11
5
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
15
1
6
2
1
1
2
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .809 132 18 6 17 3 .274 .356 .453
Since 2020vs Right .855 417 63 21 56 22 .282 .338 .517
2022vs Left .809 132 18 6 17 3 .274 .356 .453
2022vs Right .855 417 63 21 56 22 .282 .338 .517
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .874 251 36 14 36 10 .276 .339 .535
Since 2020Away .820 298 45 13 37 15 .283 .346 .474
2022Home .874 251 36 14 36 10 .276 .339 .535
2022Away .820 298 45 13 37 15 .283 .346 .474
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Julio Rodriguez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.28
 
BB Rate
7.3%
 
K Rate
26.0%
 
BABIP
.341
 
ISO
.222
 
AVG
.280
 
OBP
.342
 
SLG
.502
 
OPS
.844
 
wOBA
.365
 
Exit Velocity
91.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
34.2%
 
Barrels/PA
8.6%
 
Expected BA
.252
 
Expected SLG
.457
 
Sprint Speed
25.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
45.8%
 
Line Drive %
18.2%
 
Fly Ball %
36.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Julio Rodriguez
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4 days ago
Dan Marcus previews Tuesday's DraftKings slate, making his player recommendations to help you craft an effective DFS lineup.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: End of Regular-Season Wrap-Up
4 days ago
Jeff Stotts breaks down significant injuries as the MLB regular-season winds down and he starts with Ronald Acuna, who's had a disappointing season while recovering from an ACL tear suffered last season.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
6 days ago
Erik Siegrist reviews the available talent in the AL for the last full week of the regular season and thinks Jarred Kelenic might finally be putting things together.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
In 2019, Rodriguez established himself as a top five prospect for dynasty leagues, but 2020 was a bit of a lost season. On a rebuilding team and with zero experience above High-A, he wasn't going to debut in a 60-game season, but he also suffered a hairline fracture in his left wrist that prevented him from doing much at the alternate site. However, once the fall instructional league began, Rodriguez reminded everyone why he is the top prospect in a burgeoning Mariners system and a top three prospect in baseball. He routinely posted exit velocities north of 110 mph, which is elite, and particularly impressive for a 19-year-old who was returning from a wrist injury. Rodriguez played in the Dominican winter league and should spend the bulk of spring training in big-league camp. He projects as a huge plus in AVG, OBP and HR while adding 8-12 steals. An MLB debut this summer is possible if he forces the issue.
For Rodriguez, the normal rules do not apply. He went from the Dominican Summer League in 2018 straight to the Midwest League in 2019. That never happens. A 6-foot-4 18-year-old up against men who were 3.5 years older on average, he logged a 145 wRC+ and .198 ISO before getting promoted to High-A. He was somehow better there, cutting his K% from 22.4 to 13.9 while doing even more damage (.277 ISO). His 40.0 Hard% between the two stops put him in the company of Quad-A hitters using the juiced ball in the Pacific Coast League. As the youngest hitter in the Arizona Fall League, he hit .288/.397/.365 with a 10:8 K:BB and made a point of putting his surprising speed to work, going 4-for-5 on stolen-base attempts. While the other top AFL hitters focused on pulling the ball out in batting practice, he was hitting home runs to the opposite field with ease. A true phenom, Rodriguez is on the fast track to stardom.
The 2017 July 2 international signing class appears to be one of the better ones in recent years, and Rodriguez is a big reason why. A 6-foot-3, 180-pound right fielder with a fantasy-over-reality profile, he received a $1.75 million bonus on the strength of his monster raw power and potential for a plus hit tool. That upside was on full display in the Dominican Summer League, where he logged a 161 wRC+, .210 ISO, 11.8 BB% and 15.7 K%. A right-handed hitter, he obviously mashed lefties (1.005 OPS), but his .899 OPS against same-handed pitchers suggests he could be an everyday player. It is dangerous to get too caught up in DSL statistics, as the quality of competition is extremely low -- Rodriguez was 17 and wasn't even one of the 15 youngest hitters in the league. However, he confirmed the scouting report in his pro debut, meaning he has already been scooped up in serious dynasty leagues that allow in-season pickups.
More Fantasy News
Tracking toward brief IL stint
OFSeattle Mariners
Back
September 26, 2022
Mariners general manager Jerry Dipoto said Rodriguez (back) is on track to return from the 10-day injured list when first eligible Oct. 3, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lands on injured list
OFSeattle Mariners
Back
September 23, 2022
Rodriguez was placed on the 10-day injured list with a lower-back strain Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Friday's lineup
OFSeattle Mariners
Back
September 23, 2022
Rodriguez (back) isn't starting Friday against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Heading for MRI
OFSeattle Mariners
Back
September 22, 2022
Rodriguez (back) will undergo an MRI on Friday, and manager Scott Servais said the recurrence of the outfielder's injury is "concerning," Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with low back tightness
OFSeattle Mariners
Back
September 22, 2022
Rodriguez exited Thursday's game against Oakland in the bottom of the first inning due to low back tightness.
ANALYSIS
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