60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 8/5/2025
2025 Stats
W-L
0-0
ERA
0.00
WHIP
0.00
K
0
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Garcia sat out all of last season while recovering from the Tommy John surgery he underwent in May of 2023, but he was facing live batters in September and should be fully healthy for spring training. The right-hander made just six starts in 2023 prior to the surgery, but he was a reliable rotation piece for Houston the two prior years with a 3.60 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 9.3 K/9 in 58 outings. Garcia seemed prime to take a step forward in his third full year as a starter, but the elbow injury cost him the past two seasons, and he may also have a limited workload in 2025. The 28-year-old should be a solid mid-tier starter given his track record, but there's no guarantees while coming off Tommy John surgery. Read Past Outlooks

Four Ks in first rehab start
Garcia (elbow) struck out four and allowed one earned run on one hit and no walks over two innings in his rehab start Monday in the rookie-level Florida Complex League.
Analysis
Monday's outing marked Garcia's first official game action since July 4, 2024, when he made his second of two rehab starts last season after completing his recovery from May 2023 Tommy John surgery. He was shut down soon thereafter due to recurring soreness in his surgically repaired elbow, and though he appeared to be fully healthy to begin spring training, Garcia was shut down again when he was diagnosed with inflammation in the elbow. Garcia has steered clear of setbacks since he resumed his throwing program in late April, and he's now finally reached the final phase of his recovery. While he opened his rehab assignment on a positive note by retiring six of the seven batters he faced, Garcia will likely need the entirety of the 30-day rehab window to get fully stretched out for a traditional starting role before he returns from the 60-day injured list. Garcia owns an excellent 3.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 352 career innings in the majors, but he'll likely need to perform well during his rehab assignment in order for Houston to open up a spot for him in the rotation.
Monday's outing marked Garcia's first official game action since July 4, 2024, when he made his second of two rehab starts last season after completing his recovery from May 2023 Tommy John surgery. He was shut down soon thereafter due to recurring soreness in his surgically repaired elbow, and though he appeared to be fully healthy to begin spring training, Garcia was shut down again when he was diagnosed with inflammation in the elbow. Garcia has steered clear of setbacks since he resumed his throwing program in late April, and he's now finally reached the final phase of his recovery. While he opened his rehab assignment on a positive note by retiring six of the seven batters he faced, Garcia will likely need the entirety of the 30-day rehab window to get fully stretched out for a traditional starting role before he returns from the 60-day injured list. Garcia owns an excellent 3.53 ERA and 1.16 WHIP over 352 career innings in the majors, but he'll likely need to perform well during his rehab assignment in order for Houston to open up a spot for him in the rotation.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-42%
BAA vs RHP
2025
No Stats
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .318 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 0 | |||
Since 2023vs Right | .186 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 3 | |||
2025vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2025vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2023vs Left | .318 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | .186 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 3 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-15%
ERA on Road
2025
No Stats
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | 4.24 | 1.24 | 17.0 | 10.6 | 2.6 | ||||
Since 2023Away | 3.60 | 1.40 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 4.5 | ||||
2025Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2025Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2023Home | 4.24 | 1.24 | 17.0 | 10.6 | 2.6 | ||||
2023Away | 3.60 | 1.40 | 10.0 | 9.9 | 4.5 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
Garcia's 2023 season was almost as quickly over as it began. The righty got off to a decent start with 31 strikeouts in 27 innings winning 2 of his first 6 decisions before he joined the long and distinguished list of elbow injuries last season. Garcia had his TJ surgery on May 19th which means we likely will not see him until the late stages of 2024, It is unfortunate as Garcia is a rather fascinating pitcher given his cutter is one of the toughest pitches in baseball on opposing hitters and hit has generated swings and misses over 40% of the time since he ramped up his usage of the pitch in 2021. Like most pitchers in this state, Garcia is an interesting end-game selection in keeper leagues for managers looking to play the fantasy long game, but should otherwise be an afterthought for reset leagues this season.
More Fantasy News

Cleared for rehab assignment
The Astros sent Garcia (elbow) to the rookie-level Florida Complex League on Monday to begin a rehab assignment.
Analysis
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Tosses third live BP session
Garcia (elbow) threw another live batting practice session Friday, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Completes live batting practice
Garcia (elbow) has begun throwing live batting practice sessions at Houston's spring training complex in Florida, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Nearing live batting practice
Garcia (elbow) is expected to throw a live batting practice session within the next week, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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Throws again
Garcia (elbow) threw a 25-pitch bullpen session Saturday, MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Set for Tommy John surgery
Garcia will undergo Tommy John surgery and will miss the rest of the 2023 season, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
The right-hander has been a pivotal member of the Astros rotation after making his debut in 2020, and his absence represents a massive blow for the defending World Series champions. The surgery means Garcia will miss a good chunk of the 2024 campaign as well.
The right-hander has been a pivotal member of the Astros rotation after making his debut in 2020, and his absence represents a massive blow for the defending World Series champions. The surgery means Garcia will miss a good chunk of the 2024 campaign as well.