2025 Stats
AVG
.199
HR
8
RBI
14
R
18
SB
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Wallner entered 2024 viewed as the starting left fielder after a breakout 2023 season. However, he looked so lost at the plate during spring training that he was quickly demoted to the minors in mid-April after going 2-for-25 with 17 strikeouts. It took him awhile to find his stroke in the minors, but he was finally called back up July 7 and hit .282 with 12 home runs and a.945 OPS the rest of the season. Wallner has tremendous power, ranking in the top 20 batters in baseball last season in both Average Exit Velocity and Hard Hit % (per Baseball Savant) for batters with at least his much playing time. His power has come with a high strikeout rate (36.4%) and low contact rate (56.8%) that make him prone to long slumps. While he draws a decent amount of walks (9.2%) he may have been lucky the last two seasons with a high BABIP (.389) and HR/FB rates (21.7%). He also struggles against lefties (career .510 OPS vs. LHP) which likely limits him to a platoon. While he lacks range in the outfield he has one of the best outfield arms in the majors. With the departure of Max Kepler, he'll get a shot to be the starting right fielder, likely in the strong side of a platoon. He could hit more than 30 home runs if he can improve against lefties and avoid prolonged slumps. Read Past Outlooks

Supplies lone run in loss
Wallner went 1-for-4 with a solo home run during Thursday's 4-1 loss to Miami.
Analysis
Wallner broke the Marlins' shutout attempt in the seventh inning, when he took Cade Gibson deep to center field for a solo home run. It was Wallner's eighth home run of the season, six of which have come since the beginning of June. That hasn't masked the 27-year-old outfielder's struggles at the plate this season, as he sports a .199/.295/.444 slash line with 14 RBI and a 28.9 percent strikeout rate in 173 plate appearances.
Wallner broke the Marlins' shutout attempt in the seventh inning, when he took Cade Gibson deep to center field for a solo home run. It was Wallner's eighth home run of the season, six of which have come since the beginning of June. That hasn't masked the 27-year-old outfielder's struggles at the plate this season, as he sports a .199/.295/.444 slash line with 14 RBI and a 28.9 percent strikeout rate in 173 plate appearances.
Batting Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+44%
OPS vs RHP
2025
+15%
OPS vs LHP
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023vs Left | .624 | 125 | 5 | 9 | .171 | ||||
Since 2023vs Right | .899 | 567 | 30 | 83 | .256 | ||||
2025vs Left | .830 | 35 | 2 | 3 | .226 | ||||
2025vs Right | .719 | 142 | 6 | 11 | .195 | ||||
2024vs Left | .611 | 44 | 1 | 3 | .184 | ||||
2024vs Right | .953 | 217 | 12 | 34 | .275 | ||||
2023vs Left | .481 | 46 | 2 | 3 | .119 | ||||
2023vs Right | .970 | 208 | 12 | 38 | .281 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats |
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
+10%
OPS at Home
2025
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2023Home | .888 | 344 | 19 | 48 | .248 | ||||
Since 2023Away | .808 | 348 | 16 | 44 | .232 | ||||
2025Home | .806 | 85 | 4 | 8 | .244 | ||||
2025Away | .675 | 92 | 4 | 6 | .158 | ||||
2024Home | .845 | 117 | 6 | 14 | .232 | ||||
2024Away | .934 | 144 | 7 | 23 | .281 | ||||
2023Home | .976 | 142 | 9 | 26 | .265 | ||||
2023Away | .756 | 112 | 5 | 15 | .229 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Matt Wallner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.36BB Rate
10.4%K Rate
28.9%BABIP
.234ISO
.245AVG
.199OBP
.295SLG
.444OPS
.739wOBA
.323Exit Velocity
91.2 mphHard Hit Rate
43.1%Barrels/PA
7.5%Expected BA
.223Expected SLG
.431Sprint Speed
22.0 ft/secGround Ball %
34.3%Line Drive %
16.7%Fly Ball %
49.0%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2020
Wallner had a strong first full season in the majors and looks set to begin 2024 as the starting left fielder. After two short stints in the majors in April and May, Wallner was called up in July and took over the left field job by hitting 13 home runs with a .854 OPS in the second half. Wallner has outstanding power as measured by elite Avg. Exit Velocity (91.9 mph) and Barrel % (18.8%). He crushed right-handed pitching by hitting .281 with 12 home runs and a .970 OPS against righties. However, he struggled against lefties by hitting .118 with a .481 OPS against southpaws (although just 46 PA). Though he draws walks at a good rate (11.0% BB%) he strikes out too often (31.2% K%). He has one of the best throwing arm in the majors, but his range isn't great in the outfield. While he'll likely start in left field, he could be platooned and replaced for defensive purposes. Wallner has 30-home run power if he can improve against lefties and find more time in the lineup.
More Fantasy News

Idle against ace lefty
Wallner is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Tigers.
Analysis
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Raps sixth home run in loss
Wallner went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Friday's 17-6 defeat to the Brewers.
Analysis
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Out against left-hander
Wallner is absent from the lineup for Tuesday's game in Cincinnati.
Analysis
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Sits against lefty
Wallner didn't start in Wednesday's 6-1 win over the Athletics due to left-hander Jeffrey Springs working the bulk of innings in relief behind right-handed opener Justin Sterner, Phil Miller of The Minnesota Star Tribune reports.
Analysis
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Getting rest Tuesday
Wallner is not in the Twins' lineup Tuesday against the Athletics.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Seeking mental, physical reset
Manager Rocco Baldelli hopes Wallner's demotion to Triple-A St. Paul on Tuesday will serve as a mental and physical reset, reports Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
Analysis
The 26-year-old impressed in 2023 with an .877 OPS and 14 homers in 76 games for the Twins, but he went 2-for-25 with 17 strikeouts in 33 plate appearances this year before being sent down. Strikeouts have always been a concern for Wallner -- he had a 31.5 percent strikeout rate last season and never had a rate below 26 percent in the minors -- but his struggles became untenable with Minnesota looking to shake off a slow start as a team. Wallner should receive another big-league chance at some point in 2024, assuming he gets back on track at Triple-A.
The 26-year-old impressed in 2023 with an .877 OPS and 14 homers in 76 games for the Twins, but he went 2-for-25 with 17 strikeouts in 33 plate appearances this year before being sent down. Strikeouts have always been a concern for Wallner -- he had a 31.5 percent strikeout rate last season and never had a rate below 26 percent in the minors -- but his struggles became untenable with Minnesota looking to shake off a slow start as a team. Wallner should receive another big-league chance at some point in 2024, assuming he gets back on track at Triple-A.