Mike Clevinger

Mike Clevinger

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Now 16 months removed from Tommy John surgery, Clevinger believes he's made a full recovery from the procedure. The reports on his progress have been encouraging and Clevinger thinks he will be ready to go for the start of the 2022 season. New Padres manager Bob Melvin made it clear that Clevinger will be in the rotation, though Melvin added the caveat, "if 100 percent healthy." The team is taking it slowly with Clevinger this spring, which makes sense even if Clevinger is near the back-end of the usual recovery window from TJS. He had a brilliant 2018 season with Cleveland when he posted a 3.02 ERA over 200 innings, but the right-hander has never reached 130 innings in any other big-league season. A bet on Clevinger is a leap of faith on the health. The skills we've seen in the past make it tempting to take that leap. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#194
ADP
$Signed a two-year, $11.5 milliion contract with the Padres in November of 2020.
Lasts four innings Sunday
PSan Diego Padres
September 25, 2022
Clevinger did not factor into the decision Sunday, allowing five runs on eight hits and one walk over four innings against Colorado. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
After making it through at least five innings in his last three starts, Clevinger was chased after allowing five runs over four innings Sunday. He has now allowed 20 runs over 23 innings in his last five starts, ballooning his ERA to 4.49, up from 3.59 on Aug. 29. He will attempt to get back on track in his next start, tentatively scheduled against the White Sox this weekend.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
85
How many pitches does Mike Clevinger generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Mike Clevinger generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-15%
BAA vs LHP
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .228 334 75 32 68 8 1 16
Since 2020vs Right .245 292 53 17 65 15 1 9
2022vs Left .220 245 53 23 48 4 1 13
2022vs Right .258 219 35 12 51 12 0 6
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left .250 89 22 9 20 4 0 3
2020vs Right .209 73 18 5 14 3 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
 
 
-58%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 2.74 1.00 75.2 5 3 0 8.6 2.4 1.4
Since 2020Away 5.45 1.43 74.1 4 6 0 6.8 3.5 1.6
2022Home 3.07 1.07 44.0 2 3 0 8.0 2.5 1.6
2022Away 5.46 1.35 64.1 4 4 0 6.9 3.2 1.5
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 2.27 0.92 31.2 3 0 0 9.4 2.3 1.1
2020Away 5.40 1.90 10.0 0 2 0 6.3 5.4 1.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Mike Clevinger compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.51
 
K/9
7.3
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
93.5 mph
 
ERA
4.49
 
WHIP
1.24
 
BABIP
.269
 
GB/FB
0.83
 
Left On Base
73.6%
 
Exit Velocity
82.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.1%
 
Spin Rate
2257 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
27.0%
 
Swinging Strike
11.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
When the Padres acquired Clevinger at the trade deadline, they figured to be securing an ace for the foreseeable future. The right-hander certainly looked the part early on, balancing one poor start with three strong ones for Cleveland prior to the deal. The move to the West Coast did little to dampen Clevinger's outlook as his numbers mostly improved after joining the Padres. There were a few areas of concern when examining his overall 2020 body of work -- namely, a 4.18 xFIP that exceeded his ERA by over a run and a 24.7 K% that was nearly 10 points lower than his 2019 mark -- but given the scrambled nature of the campaign and the fact Clevinger continued to miss bats at a healthy rate (12.8 SwStr%), San Diego should have entered 2021 giddy about him anchoring its rotation. Sadly, a late-season elbow issue turned out to need Tommy John surgery, so Clevinger won't be able to contribute until 2022.
Clevinger checks all the boxes of a fantasy ace. He features three plus pitches, led by a 96-mph fastball. His next best is a slider generating a 21.8% swinging strike mark followed by a change inducing swinging strikes 15.9% of the time. The only blemish is his curve with just 26th percentile spin, leading to a slightly-lower 13.9% swinging-strike rate but a hefty .405 BABIP. After a 200-inning campaign in 2018, Clevinger only threw 126 last season, with two IL stints. The first came after straining his back in his second start of the year. Clevinger spent nine weeks on the shelf before returning, only to go back for an ankle injury. After the minimum stay, Clevinger returned and never looked back. The Indians may be conservative so he may not reach the 200-inning plateau this season, but there's no reason he shouldn't come close. One last tidbit: Clevinger is 29, though he seems five years younger.
Clevinger avoided the sophomore slump in 2018 by not being a sophomore. He quietly exceeded his rookie eligibility in 2016. Last season was a nice step forward for Clevinger as he showed more command of his pitches than he had the previous two seasons and got to the 200-inning mark in just his third season in the majors. Although advanced pitch metrics show that all four of Clevinger's pitchers were better than average, he does struggle more against lefties who had 13 of the 21 homers against him last year and slugged 84 points better against than their right-handed teammates. Clevinger had a 31% increase in his workload from 2017 to 2018 (when including postseason work), but at age 28, that should not be as much of an issue as it is for other younger pitchers. Back-to-back seasons of stranding 80% of his runners is fortune rarely enjoyed by a starter, so factor in some ERA regression this season and you'll be fine.
Clevinger would be a first rounder if hair were a scoring category as he has a magical mane. What he does not have is consistent command as it comes and goes from game to game. There were times in 2017 when he looked dominating in outings and there were times he could not complete five innings due to high pitch counts and an inability to find the strike zone (4.4 BB/9). Clevinger has his flaws, but it is tough to overlook his potential as he strikes out 10 per nine innings and holds batters to a low batting average (.210), thus largely offsetting the free passes he is fond of handing out. His ERA was lower than it should have been as he stranded 79.7 percent of his runners, which is tough for a starting pitcher to do. He should be in the Cleveland rotation in 2018, so bank on wins, strikeouts and some WHIP help while keeping your fingers crossed that the ERA does not get too close to 4.00.
Clevinger looks like a Jacob deGrom starter kit, though he didn't quite pitch like one in a 53-inning debut sample. He has the 93-95 mph heater and three secondary pitches, but he leans on the slider and changeup while the curveball is more of a show-me pitch. The right-hander struggled a bit the third time through the lineup like most young arms. He also started slow so he really only found success in the third and fourth innings of his starts. He was also solid in 12 innings of relief. He needs to figure out righties again if he's going to find success similar to his minor league track record (3.41 ERA, 2.8 K/BB). Homers were his undoing, almost exclusively because of a lack of fastball command. He yielded too many walks with it to righties and lefties, but righties had a 600-point better OPS with five homers in 75 plate appearances. In summation: Clevinger has some common young-arm issues, but enough raw stuff to stay firmly on the radar.
More Fantasy News
Gets back on track
PSan Diego Padres
September 20, 2022
Clevinger (6-7) earned the win during Tuesday's 5-0 victory over St. Louis, allowing three hits and two walks with three strikeouts in 5.2 scoreless innings.
ANALYSIS
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Knocked around by Mariners
PSan Diego Padres
September 14, 2022
Clevinger (5-7) was charged with the loss after he pitched five innings, giving up six runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out two versus the Mariners on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Surrenders four runs in no-decision
PSan Diego Padres
September 9, 2022
Clevinger didn't factor into the decision during Friday's 5-4 win against the Dodgers, allowing four runs on five hits and one walk with four strikeouts in five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up in fourth inning
PSan Diego Padres
September 5, 2022
Clevinger (5-6) took the loss during Sunday's 9-4 defeat at the hands of the Dodgers, allowing five runs on four hits and two walks with four strikeouts in 3.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Evens record at 5-5
PSan Diego Padres
August 30, 2022
Clevinger (5-5) earned the win over San Francisco on Monday, pitching five innings and allowing two runs on five hits and one walk while striking out three batters.
ANALYSIS
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