Nestor Cortes

Nestor Cortes

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Yankees
2024 Fantasy Outlook
The crafty lefty cemented his spot in the Yankees' starting rotation in 2022 with a 2.44 ERA, 0.92 WHIP and 163:38 K:BB across 158.1 innings, but he made just 12 starts in 2023 due to a rotator cuff strain. Cortes also struggled when available last season and finished with a 4.97 ERA over 63.1 innings to go along with a 1.6 HR/9 and a career-worst 40.1 percent hard-hit rate. A 3.71 xERA indicates some unfortunate results, while a 4.84 xFIP paints a less favorable underlying picture. Cortes' reliance on different arm angles and deliveries leaves less margin for error on his pitches, especially since his stuff doesn't really stand out. It also makes him more difficult to evaluate, as the numbers themselves tell less of a story than with most pitchers. A positive regression seems likely in 2024, but Cortes' lack of year-to-year track record leaves some risk coming off a poor campaign. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#238
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.95 million contract with the Yankees in January of 2024.
Allows three homers in loss
PNew York Yankees
July 20, 2024
Cortes (4-9) took the loss against the Rays on Saturday, allowing six runs on eight hits and two walks with one strikeout over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
Cortes entered Saturday with a 1.81 ERA in 10 home starts but surrendered a season-high six earned runs, including three homers across the fourth and fifth innings. The Rays have the southpaw's number this season, as he generated only five swinging strikes on 92 pitches and fell to 0-3 against them in four chances. On the year, he owns a 3.99 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 111:24 K:BB across 119.2 innings and lines up for a road matchup with the Red Sox next week.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Nestor Cortes generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nestor Cortes generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-30%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-38%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-46%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .163 222 71 13 34 6 0 4
Since 2022vs Right .233 1148 270 69 248 60 0 42
2024vs Left .217 88 24 4 18 4 0 1
2024vs Right .257 402 87 20 97 24 0 18
2023vs Left .163 45 14 2 7 1 0 2
2023vs Right .261 220 53 18 52 14 0 9
2022vs Left .110 89 33 7 9 1 0 1
2022vs Right .202 526 130 31 99 22 0 15
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-17%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 2.64 0.91 194.0 12 5 0 8.9 1.9 0.9
Since 2022Away 4.52 1.27 147.1 9 10 0 9.1 2.5 1.6
2024Home 2.48 0.88 69.0 4 4 0 8.6 1.2 1.2
2024Away 6.04 1.54 50.2 0 5 0 8.0 2.7 1.8
2023Home 4.58 1.18 37.1 2 0 0 8.9 2.2 1.4
2023Away 5.54 1.35 26.0 3 2 0 10.4 3.8 1.7
2022Home 1.95 0.82 87.2 6 1 0 9.1 2.4 0.5
2022Away 3.06 1.05 70.2 6 3 0 9.4 1.9 1.4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nestor Cortes compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.63
 
K/9
8.3
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
91.9 mph
 
ERA
3.99
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.298
 
GB/FB
0.66
 
Left On Base
75.6%
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.6%
 
Spin Rate
2323 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.9%
 
Swinging Strike
11.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
If you go back and look at Cortes's 2022 outlook, you can see he teased at what was possible, but without a large body of work, everyone was right to be skeptical of what Cortes would be as a starter. Those who took the chance in the late rounds were greatly rewarded by one of the best late round steals in 2022 as the lefty picked up where he left off in 2021 for most of the 2022 season. Cortes uses varying arm angles, deliveries, and pitches to frustrate hitters all season. 75% of what he threw were four-seamer and cutters, and those two pitches were paired so well that the league hit below .200 against both pitches while all five of his offerings had whiff rates above 20%. In 330 innings of work, he has a career 80% LOB rate and a .266 BABIP, so his 2022 numbers ( 79%, .243) are not terribly out of line and a continuation of what he did in 2021. The stuff is not paritcularly special, but his ability to spin and sequence it is certainly special and being a lefty in Yankee Stadium doesn't hurt either. The big question is if he can put up consecutive seasons of workload as he has never done so.
Cortes, when not running around Mushroom Kingdom attempting to avoid Bowser, enjoyed a surprising season for the Yankees. It was his second stint with the club, but this time he worked as a bandaid in the rotation rather than in low-leverage situations. He used a variety of arm angles, timing mechanisms and pitches making the most of his below-average stuff to effectively disrupt the timing of the opposing hitters. He is a throwback to the pitching of 30 years ago when guys relied on location and guile rather than velocity; somehow the league hit .196 off his fastball (.189 xBA!) when the pitch averaged 90.7 mph. Pitching where he does, and in the division he does, leaves Cortes with a thin margin for error, and he's been susceptible to the long ball throughout his career (2.0 HR/9 career rate). Cortes is really only rosterable if he were to secure a starting rotation spot in spring training.
More Fantasy News
Drops to 4-8
PNew York Yankees
July 11, 2024
Cortes (4-8) took the loss against the Rays on Thursday, allowing five runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out four batters over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight in no-decision
PNew York Yankees
July 6, 2024
Cortes came away with a no-decision in Friday's 5-3 extra-inning loss to the Red Sox, allowing one run on three hits and a walk over six innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles early in loss
PNew York Yankees
June 29, 2024
Cortes (4-7) took the loss to the Blue Jays on Saturday, allowing three runs on seven hits and one walk with five strikeouts over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss despite quality start
PNew York Yankees
June 23, 2024
Cortes (4-6) was saddled with the loss Sunday, allowing three runs on five hits over seven innings against Atlanta. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Cruises to fourth win
PNew York Yankees
June 19, 2024
Cortes (4-5) picked up the win in Tuesday's 4-2 victory over the Orioles, allowing five hits over six scoreless innings. He struck out six without walking a batter.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Option for Opening Day
PNew York Yankees
March 14, 2024
Manager Aaron Boone said Thursday that Cortes "could be" in the mix to start for the Yankees on Opening Day, reports Bryan Hoch of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Boone acknowledged the team will need to shift some pitchers' schedules around in the wake of Gerrit Cole's elbow injury, and Cortes could be the best remaining option for Opening Day. He's coming off a rough 2023, as he made just 12 starts due to a shoulder strain and posted a 4.97 ERA across 63.1 innings. Regardless of whether or not he pitches in the opener, the 29-year-old will be a key rotation piece for the Yankees in 2024.
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