Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2024 Fantasy Outlook
After eight starts, Pivetta was sporting a 6.30 ERA and 1.55 WHIP with 42 strikeouts and nine homers allowed in 40 innings. He was moved to a multi-inning relief role where he excelled, posting a 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP over 12 appearances spanning 20 frames. He fanned 25 with just one homer in that stretch. Pivetta spent the last three months of the season jumping between the rotation and serving as a bulk reliever, registering a 3.27 ERA and 0.97 WHIP over his final 82.2 innings, punching out 116 while surrendering a reasonable 13 homers. Pivetta's velocity picked up after he was initially demoted to the bullpen, and he started throwing his slider with more cutting action, both tweaks fueling Pivetta's second half success. He's a bit of a wild card this season as Pivetta exhibited success in several roles, and seemed to be at his best when he wasn't expected to pitch more than five frames, though he ended the season with two scoreless seven-inning starts. Pivetta's second half success can't be ignored, but paying for a repeat is a precarious proposition. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#179
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $7.5 million contract with the Red Sox in January of 2024.
Fans 10 in Wednesday's loss
PBoston Red Sox
July 11, 2024
Pivetta (4-6) took the loss Wednesday as the Red Sox fell 5-2 to the A's, giving up four runs on six hits and two walks over 6.2 innings. He struck out 10.
ANALYSIS
The 10 Ks tied his season high, a mark he originally set in his first start of the year March 29 against Seattle, and which he matched in his last outing July 4 in Miami. Pivetta has fanned at least nine batters in four of his last eight starts, posting a 4.17 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 55:15 K:BB through 45.1 innings over that stretch. He'll try not to cool off during his time off, as Pivetta isn't scheduled to take the mound again before the All-Star break.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Nick Pivetta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Pivetta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-19%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .232 688 182 68 142 34 2 33
Since 2022vs Right .234 978 264 75 209 44 3 30
2024vs Left .205 139 39 12 26 5 1 5
2024vs Right .253 167 49 8 40 6 2 8
2023vs Left .225 241 77 18 49 14 0 16
2023vs Right .197 346 106 32 61 17 1 7
2022vs Left .252 308 66 38 67 15 1 12
2022vs Right .254 465 109 35 108 21 0 15
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-46%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-22%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.84 1.38 195.1 12 16 0 10.2 3.8 1.4
Since 2022Away 3.78 1.11 202.1 12 11 1 10.0 2.7 1.5
2024Home 5.50 1.33 36.0 1 4 0 11.8 3.5 1.0
2024Away 2.97 0.97 39.1 3 2 0 9.4 1.4 2.1
2023Home 4.54 1.24 69.1 6 6 0 11.3 4.0 1.4
2023Away 3.56 1.01 73.1 4 3 1 11.8 2.3 1.5
2022Home 4.80 1.50 90.0 5 6 0 8.7 3.8 1.5
2022Away 4.32 1.26 89.2 5 6 0 8.8 3.5 1.2
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Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.40
 
K/9
10.5
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
94.3 mph
 
ERA
4.18
 
WHIP
1.14
 
BABIP
.299
 
GB/FB
0.79
 
Left On Base
75.2%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.3%
 
Spin Rate
2443 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.6%
 
Swinging Strike
11.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Pivetta struggled early and late in 2022 with a 6.52 ERA between his first five and final eight outings of the season, but he pitched much better during the heart of the campaign with a 3.62 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 118:38 K:BB across his other 20 starts. Now entering his age-30 season, Pivetta lost a tick off his fastball and saw his strikeout rate drop nearly four percentage points to 22.6 percent compared to 2021, and he had a career-worst 45.4 percent hard-hit rate. He has a 4.54 ERA across 63 starts for Boston across the past two seasons and has a secure rotation spot heading into 2023, but his inconsistency makes him a difficult option to trust for fantasy managers. Pivetta's best value is likely to come as a streaming option.
Pivetta was one of the league's biggest first half surprises as he was sitting with a 3.78 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in early June. His 11.4% BB% was high, but a dominant 27.3% K% minimized damage. This is when umpires were instructed to check for grip enhancers. From this point on, Pivetta recorded a 5.06 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but his BB% significantly fell to 8.7% while his K% dipped only slightly 25.9%. Pivetta's curve and slider spin rates fell for the first five outings after the umpires did their search, but recovered for the remainder of the season. This points to variance, and not a tackier explanation. Considering Pivetta was all but written off, last season was encouraging, but walks and homers remain an issue. He's a rotation lock and the strikeouts and win potential are nice, but they come with ratio risk, and the AL East isn't an easy division to take advantage of favorable matchups.
Pivetta failed to win a starting job with the Phillies, so he began the 2020 season as a reliever. Through three appearances, Pivetta was sporting a 15.88 ERA and 1.94 WHIP with three homers and just four whiffs in 5.2 innings. The struggles prompted Pivetta to lose his roster spot before he was dealt to the Red Sox on Aug. 21. Pivetta was stretched out at Boston's alternate training facility as the Red Sox viewed him as a starter. Pivetta was recalled and made two starts, each lasting five frames with four hits and one earned run allowed. In those 10 innings, he fanned 13 with five walks. The results were enough for Pivetta to get a spring audition as a back-end starter in Boston's depleted rotation. Pivetta will be just 28 years old and the Red Sox are hoping he can rediscover the promising skills displayed in his first two seasons. Perhaps a change of scenery will help, but the wait-and-see approach is recommended.
2019 was supposed to be Pivetta's breakout campaign, as his underlying numbers suggested that a big improvement from his 4.77 ERA was coming. Unfortunately for those who bought into the hype, that didn't come close to happening. He was sent to the minors in mid-April after posting an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts and never really got things together even after returning in late May, posting a 4.66 ERA the rest of way. He lost his rotation spot for good in mid-July, spending the rest of the year in the bullpen. Pivetta's rough season was the product of his numbers falling off across the board. His BB% rose from 7.4% to 9.3%, while his formerly promising 27.1 K% plummeted to 21.1 K%. He also saw his HR/9 balloon to 1.92. The Phillies don't have much reason to bring the Canadian back into the rotation, and there's little reason to believe he'll suddenly become a relief ace.
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs.
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Let down by 'pen in dominant outing
PBoston Red Sox
July 4, 2024
Pivetta struck out 10 batters while allowing one hit and two walks over seven scoreless innings in a no-decision against Miami on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Stunned by San Diego
PBoston Red Sox
June 28, 2024
Pivetta (4-5) took the loss Friday, coughing up five runs on seven hits and a walk over four-plus innings in a 9-2 loss to the Padres. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three runs in 4.1 frames
PBoston Red Sox
June 22, 2024
Pivetta took a no-decision Saturday against Cincinnati, allowing three runs on six hits and one walk while striking out five batters over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Wins with quality start
PBoston Red Sox
June 17, 2024
Pivetta (4-4) allowed three runs on nine hits and a walk over seven innings Monday, striking out four and earning a win over Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Struggles early in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
June 12, 2024
Pivetta did not factor into the decision in Wednesday's 8-6 win over the Phillies, allowing four runs on six hits and four walks with four strikeouts over four innings.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Chance to be traded
PBoston Red Sox
May 26, 2024
Pivetta could be dealt by the Red Sox this summer if the club isn't in playoff contention, reports Sean McAdam of The Springfield Republican.
ANALYSIS
The 31-year-old is in the final year of his contact, and Boston could look to cash in for some prospects if the team is looking up in the standings. Pivetta has been a reliable rotation piece for the Red Sox again this season with a 4.20 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 33:5 K:BB over 30 innings. The Red Sox could have some interesting in re-signing him, however, which may affect their willingness to deal him ahead of the trade deadline.
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