Nick Pivetta

Nick Pivetta

29-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Pivetta struggled early and late in 2022 with a 6.52 ERA between his first five and final eight outings of the season, but he pitched much better during the heart of the campaign with a 3.62 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 118:38 K:BB across his other 20 starts. Now entering his age-30 season, Pivetta lost a tick off his fastball and saw his strikeout rate drop nearly four percentage points to 22.6 percent compared to 2021, and he had a career-worst 45.4 percent hard-hit rate. He has a 4.54 ERA across 63 starts for Boston across the past two seasons and has a secure rotation spot heading into 2023, but his inconsistency makes him a difficult option to trust for fantasy managers. Pivetta's best value is likely to come as a streaming option. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $2.65 million contract with the Red Sox in March of 2022.
Shaky versus Rays
PBoston Red Sox
October 5, 2022
Pivetta pitched four innings, giving up two runs on four hits and three walks while striking out five batters in Wednesday's win over the Rays. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
Pivetta tossed two scoreless innings to open Wednesday's outing before he surrendered a two-run homer to Ji-Man Choi in the third frame. The long ball accounted for all the damage on the the right-hander's line, though he allowed seven batters to reach base. Pivetta limped to the finish of the 2022 campaign, producing a 6.29 ERA and 1.77 WHIP over his final five outings. He finished with a 4.56 ERA and 1.38 WHIP while striking out 175 batters over 179.2 innings in 33 starts this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
98
How many pitches does Nick Pivetta generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Nick Pivetta generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-37%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .249 588 140 70 127 26 3 23
Since 2020vs Right .246 896 222 72 199 45 1 31
2022vs Left .252 308 66 38 67 15 1 12
2022vs Right .254 465 109 35 108 21 0 15
2021vs Left .233 262 69 31 53 10 1 9
2021vs Right .235 399 106 34 84 21 1 15
2020vs Left .412 18 5 1 7 1 1 2
2020vs Right .259 32 7 3 7 3 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-25%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-31%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-81%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 5.33 1.49 174.0 10 8 0 9.4 3.8 1.8
Since 2020Away 3.98 1.22 176.1 11 12 1 9.5 3.6 1.0
2022Home 4.80 1.50 90.0 5 6 0 8.7 3.8 1.5
2022Away 4.32 1.26 89.2 5 6 0 8.8 3.5 1.2
2021Home 5.40 1.45 73.1 4 2 0 10.1 3.8 2.1
2021Away 3.75 1.18 81.2 5 6 1 10.2 3.7 0.8
2020Home 9.28 1.69 10.2 1 0 0 10.1 3.4 2.5
2020Away 1.80 1.20 5.0 1 0 0 9.0 3.6 1.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nick Pivetta compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.40
 
K/9
8.8
 
BB/9
3.7
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
93.5 mph
 
ERA
4.56
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.309
 
GB/FB
1.07
 
Left On Base
74.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2378 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
25.4%
 
Swinging Strike
10.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Pivetta was one of the league's biggest first half surprises as he was sitting with a 3.78 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in early June. His 11.4% BB% was high, but a dominant 27.3% K% minimized damage. This is when umpires were instructed to check for grip enhancers. From this point on, Pivetta recorded a 5.06 ERA and 1.31 WHIP, but his BB% significantly fell to 8.7% while his K% dipped only slightly 25.9%. Pivetta's curve and slider spin rates fell for the first five outings after the umpires did their search, but recovered for the remainder of the season. This points to variance, and not a tackier explanation. Considering Pivetta was all but written off, last season was encouraging, but walks and homers remain an issue. He's a rotation lock and the strikeouts and win potential are nice, but they come with ratio risk, and the AL East isn't an easy division to take advantage of favorable matchups.
Pivetta failed to win a starting job with the Phillies, so he began the 2020 season as a reliever. Through three appearances, Pivetta was sporting a 15.88 ERA and 1.94 WHIP with three homers and just four whiffs in 5.2 innings. The struggles prompted Pivetta to lose his roster spot before he was dealt to the Red Sox on Aug. 21. Pivetta was stretched out at Boston's alternate training facility as the Red Sox viewed him as a starter. Pivetta was recalled and made two starts, each lasting five frames with four hits and one earned run allowed. In those 10 innings, he fanned 13 with five walks. The results were enough for Pivetta to get a spring audition as a back-end starter in Boston's depleted rotation. Pivetta will be just 28 years old and the Red Sox are hoping he can rediscover the promising skills displayed in his first two seasons. Perhaps a change of scenery will help, but the wait-and-see approach is recommended.
2019 was supposed to be Pivetta's breakout campaign, as his underlying numbers suggested that a big improvement from his 4.77 ERA was coming. Unfortunately for those who bought into the hype, that didn't come close to happening. He was sent to the minors in mid-April after posting an 8.35 ERA in his first four starts and never really got things together even after returning in late May, posting a 4.66 ERA the rest of way. He lost his rotation spot for good in mid-July, spending the rest of the year in the bullpen. Pivetta's rough season was the product of his numbers falling off across the board. His BB% rose from 7.4% to 9.3%, while his formerly promising 27.1 K% plummeted to 21.1 K%. He also saw his HR/9 balloon to 1.92. The Phillies don't have much reason to bring the Canadian back into the rotation, and there's little reason to believe he'll suddenly become a relief ace.
Pivetta’s underlying numbers from his rookie campaign hinted at the possibility of improvement in 2018, and improvement did indeed come, with the righty cutting his ERA from an ugly 6.02 to a still-high 4.77. The story heading into 2019 is much the same, as Pivetta’s supporting statistics yet again suggest that he has the potential for more. He posted a strong 27.1% strikeout rate (13th-best among qualified starters) and a better-than-average 7.4% walk rate, leading to a solid 3.80 FIP. The problem for the Canadian remains the home-run ball. His career HR/FB remains a troubling 17%, well above the league average. If he can get that in line, he could develop into a workhorse that provides lots of strikeouts and a relatively low ERA. If the homer problem remains, he’ll do enough damage to fantasy owners’ ERAs to render him nothing more than a deep-league option despite the whiffs.
Pivetta was one of several young Phillies to be given a chance in the starting rotation, and like most of them, he struggled, putting up a 6.02 ERA in 133 innings. However, the underlying numbers suggest he deserved better. He struck out 9.5 batters per nine innings, well above the major-league average of 8.3 K/9, and his groundball percentage of 43.8 was right around the league average. His high ERA can be primarily attributed to a relatively high BABIP (.332) and a high HR/FB rate (18.2 percent), both of which can be expected to regress toward the mean next season. If the Phillies trust Pivetta's underlying numbers, he should be given a chance in the rotation again next year and could have more success. Still, he doesn't look like much more than a back-end starter long term.
More Fantasy News
Struggles in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
September 25, 2022
Pivetta gave up five earned runs on six hits and four walks while striking out eight over five innings in a 7-5 loss to the Yankees on Saturday. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans seven in win
PBoston Red Sox
September 18, 2022
Pivetta (10-11) yielded three runs on seven hits and two walks over five innings Sunday, striking out seven and earning a win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Allows three homers in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
September 13, 2022
Pivetta did not factor into the decision Tuesday's extra-inning loss against the Yankees, allowing three runs on six hits and two walks over 5.1 innings. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Pitches well in loss
PBoston Red Sox
September 8, 2022
Pivetta (9-11) took the loss Wednesday, allowing one run on two hits and three walks over five innings against Tampa Bay. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
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Good to go Wednesday
PBoston Red Sox
September 7, 2022
Pivetta (calf) will start Wednesday's game against the Rays at Tropicana Field, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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