Paul Skenes

Paul Skenes

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Pittsburgh Pirates
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Expectations were sky high for Skenes when he was called up by the Pirates for his big-league debut in May, and yet he exceeded expectations as a rookie, even earning the start for the National League in the All-Star Game. The right-hander struck out more than five batters for every one he walked (5.31 K/BB) and finished with a 1.96 ERA over 133 innings spanning 23 starts, the second-lowest ERA for a rookie pitcher since the earned run became an official stat in both leagues in 1913. With a devastating four-seamer that averaged 98.8 mph in 2024, five secondary pitches highlighted by the sinker and breaking ball, plus exceptional command of his repertoire, Skenes is already an ace and arguably the SP1 overall in fantasy baseball heading into 2025. However, the velocity, while great for getting results on the field, could be seen as something as a red flag given many of the game's hardest throwers have gone down in recent years due to elbow trouble. Skenes, who will still be just 22 years old at the start of the upcoming season, has avoided the operating table so far in his young career. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#13
ADP
Signed a one-year contract with the Pirates in March of 2025.
Chased early Tuesday
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 12, 2025
Skenes (7-9) took the loss Tuesday against the Brewers, allowing four runs on six hits and two walks while striking out four in four innings.
Analysis
Skenes began by allowing a leadoff home run to Sal Frelick and was taken yard a second time in the fourth by Brice Turang. Skenes required 93 pitches to complete four frames, marking only the second time this season he's failed to complete five innings, with both instances coming against Milwaukee. Despite giving up four runs in two of his last three starts, Skenes still sits pretty atop baseball with a 2.13 ERA and will look to bounce back next week at home against the Blue Jays.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2025 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2024 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Sorare
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
92
Last 10 Games
81
Last 5 Games
94
How many pitches does Paul Skenes generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Paul Skenes generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2025
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .200 586 184 45 107 24 3 9
Since 2023vs Right .194 509 152 23 93 21 0 10
2025vs Left .212 323 98 23 63 16 2 5
2025vs Right .178 258 68 13 43 15 0 4
2024vs Left .186 263 86 22 44 8 1 4
2024vs Right .210 251 84 10 50 6 0 6
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-7%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
2023
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 2.12 0.98 140.1 10 5 0 9.8 2.0 0.8
Since 2023Away 1.98 0.93 140.2 8 7 0 11.7 2.4 0.4
2025Home 1.70 0.87 68.2 4 4 0 9.2 1.7 0.7
2025Away 2.50 1.03 79.1 3 5 0 10.9 2.6 0.5
2024Home 2.51 1.07 71.2 6 1 0 10.4 2.3 0.9
2024Away 1.32 0.80 61.1 5 2 0 12.8 2.1 0.4
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Paul Skenes compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.61
 
K/9
10.1
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
98.2 mph
 
ERA
2.13
 
WHIP
0.96
 
BABIP
.278
 
GB/FB
1.40
 
Left On Base
80.4%
 
Exit Velocity
82.1 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.6%
 
Spin Rate
2125 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.5%
 
Swinging Strike
14.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Paul Skenes See More
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Paul Skenes See More
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Skenes, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2023 draft, is such a good pitching prospect that the most interesting thing to discuss with him is when he will make his big-league debut. He tallied 122.2 innings for LSU and 6.2 innings across stops at rookie ball, Single-A and Double-A last season (129.1 total innings), so there shouldn't be any notable workload restrictions in his age-22 season beyond the normal care teams show their most prized young arms. Additionally, if Skenes were to spend a full year in the majors and win rookie of the year, the Pirates would be rewarded with a Prospect Promotion Incentive draft pick at the end of the first round in 2025. The 6-foot-6 righty boasts two potential 80-grade pitches in his fastball (sits 99-100 mph, touches 103) and mid-80s slider. He has started throwing his upper-80s changeup more, and that looks like a potential third elite offering. The only things that could derail an ascent to ace status in a few years are injuries and/or unforeseen command issues. Skenes is generally seen as the best college pitching prospect since Stephen Strasburg, and Strasburg made 11 starts in the upper-levels of the minors before making his big-league debut. That could be Skenes' path as well, but there are different incentives in place now, so he will be appointment viewing in spring training games for as long as he remains in big-league camp.
More Fantasy News
Tosses six scoreless in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 7, 2025
Skenes (7-8) earned the win Thursday against the Reds, allowing seven hits and striking out eight across six scoreless innings.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Punches out eight in no-decision
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 2, 2025
Skenes did not factor into the decision in Saturday's game against Colorado, allowing four runs on five hits and two walks while striking out eight across five innings.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fans nine in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 27, 2025
Skenes (6-8) yielded three hits and a walk over six shutout frames Sunday, striking out nine and earning a win over the Diamondbacks.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Fires six scoreless in win
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 21, 2025
Skenes (5-8) earned the win against the Tigers on Monday, allowing three hits and one walk while striking out six over six scoreless innings.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Could have more shortened outings
PPittsburgh Pirates
July 17, 2025
The Pirates are not expected to skip any of Skenes' starts in the second half but will likely have him throw a few more "low-volume outings" as a means of managing his workload, Noah Hiles of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette reports.
Analysis
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Grabs NL POTM for July
PPittsburgh Pirates
August 5, 2025
Skenes was named the National League Pitcher of the Month for July, Jason Foster and Andy Werle of MLB.com report.
Analysis
Skenes went 2-1 across five starts in July and gave up just two runs, both of which came against the Twins on July 11. The reigning NL Rookie of the Year finished the month with a 0.67 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 12.0 K/0 across 27 innings and made the NL All-Star team for a second consecutive year. Skenes leads all qualified starters with a 2.02 ERA, and his 0.92 WHIP is tied with Zack Wheeler for second best in the majors behind Tarik Skubal.
See All MLB Rumors