Rhys Hoskins

Rhys Hoskins

30-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Milwaukee Brewers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hoskins had to be carted off the field during a Grapefruit League game last spring and it was later confirmed that he suffered a torn left ACL, as feared. The surgery to repair the injury knocked Hoskins out for the entirety of 2023. While there was talk that Hoskins could return for the World Series, the Phillies never made it that far, and as expected the team declined to extend him the qualifying offer after the season. Hoskins has been quite the productive hitter when healthy, blasting 148 home runs in 667 career MLB games to date, but the health concerns are significant (and only mounting) with Hoskins now on the wrong side of 30. He underwent Tommy John surgery at the end of 2020, needed abdominal surgery in 2021 and was coming off surgery to repair the meniscus in his right knee last spring before suffering the left knee injury. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#209
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $12 million contract with the Brewers in January of 2024. Contract includes a $18 million player option ($4 million buyout) for 2025 and an $18 million mutual option ($4 million buyout) for 2026.
No restrictions in spring training
1BMilwaukee Brewers
January 29, 2024
Hoskins (knee) said Monday that he expects to be full participant at the beginning of spring training, Curt Hogg of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
ANALYSIS
Hoskins missed the entire 2023 season after tearing his left ACL during spring training, but he was close to being cleared to return during the postseason for the Phillies and should head into his first camp with the Brewers with no lingering limitations. Slated to turn 31 in March, Hoskins is set to be Milwaukee's regular first baseman in 2024 but should also see ample time at designated hitter.
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Batting Stats
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+21%
OPS vs LHP
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
+27%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+12%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .938 323 44 18 44 2 .269 .375 .564
Since 2021vs Right .776 791 101 39 106 3 .238 .316 .459
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .945 173 24 8 20 0 .286 .387 .558
2022vs Right .743 498 57 22 59 2 .233 .313 .430
2021vs Left .930 150 20 10 24 2 .250 .360 .570
2021vs Right .830 293 44 17 47 1 .245 .321 .510
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
+25%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .866 545 79 27 73 4 .258 .347 .519
Since 2021Away .780 569 66 30 77 1 .235 .320 .460
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home .885 334 50 18 48 1 .262 .350 .534
2022Away .706 337 31 12 31 1 .231 .315 .391
2021Home .836 211 29 9 25 3 .253 .341 .495
2021Away .889 232 35 18 46 0 .241 .328 .562
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Rhys Hoskins See More
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
Last year was a mixed bag for Hoskins. He hit 30 homers, the second highest total of his career, but his 122 wRC+ was his second lowest in six MLB seasons. One reason is Hoskins stayed healthy for the first time since 2019. However, Hoskins didn't take full advantage with a career low fly ball rate. Sure, the personal high .292 BABIP was nice, but Hoskins' job is to hit the ball in the air, hopefully over the fence. His strikeout rate was a career high 25.1% with a 10.7% walk rate, just a tick better than last season's career low. While last season could have been better, Hoskins was still a solid fantasy asset with a skill set likely to provide similar results for a few years. The disclaimer for many players is not to pay for last season's stats. Doing so for Hoskins could earn a profit since he left some homers on the table. That said, his playoff exploits could help recover some of his lost allure.
For the second straight year, Hoskins' season ended prematurely due to an injury which required surgery, as he was shut down in late August with an abdominal issue after undergoing Tommy John surgery at the end of 2020. When healthy, Hoskins produced mixed but mostly positive results. Typically possessing elite plate discipline but not quite elite power, Hoskins shifted slightly in 2021, producing a career-worst 10.6 BB% and a 24.4 K% which missed a career high by 0.1%. That downturn in plate discipline came with an uptick in power, as a career high 17.0% barrel rate helped him homer 27 times in 107 games while producing a .283 ISO, seventh-best among hitters with at least 400 plate appearances. Hoskins' flyball-heavy profile means his .247 average in 2021 is about as good as you can expect, but he should be a good power bat with extra value in OBP leagues as long as he can remain on the field.
Hoskins missed the final two weeks of the season with an elbow injury and eventually underwent Tommy John surgery in early October. Recovery from the procedure is expected to take four to six months, meaning he has a chance to be ready by Opening Day but is far from guaranteed to avoid the injured list. Given how he was hitting, his absence may have been the reason the Phillies missed out on the playoffs by a single game. After hitting a forgettable .226/.364/.454 in 2019, Hoskins improved across the board in 2020, posting a .245/.384/.503 line with 10 homers in 41 games. His walk rate remained quite high at 15.7%, while his 23.2 K% was quite acceptable for a power hitter. Most importantly, he made far better contact than in the previous season, with his barrel rate shooting up from 9.7% to 14.8%. He's still not a top-tier first baseman, but he rebounded nicely following a down year.
Hoskins didn't have to play left field or carry the Phillies' offense on his own, but those changes failed to have the desired effect in his age-26 season. His offensive performance took a step back almost everywhere, as his slash line dropped from .246/.354/.496 to .226/.364/.454 and his homer total fell from 34 to 29. Outside of a 16.5% walk rate (fifth-best among qualified hitters), those numbers aren't really good enough for a first baseman on a contending team, especially considering the league-wide power explosion, though there doesn't appear to be an immediate threat to Hoskins' playing time. Statcast doesn't offer much hope for a regression-related bounceback, suggesting he overachieved his xBA (.216) and xSLG (.405). A better performance in 2020 can't be ruled out given Hoskins' past success and hitter-friendly home park, but he's less interesting than he was last offseason.
Hoskins couldn't maintain the incredible pace that saw him hit 18 homers in 50 games as a rookie, but that doesn't mean his second season should be considered a disappointment. He slashed .246/.354/.496 with 34 homers, 89 runs and 96 RBI, all while playing out of position in left field. Those numbers made him one of the most valuable fantasy first basemen, though with just 17 games played at the position, he's now only outfield-eligible in traditional formats. He will quickly regain 1B-eligibility after Carlos Santana was dealt this offseason. The Phillies already added Jean Segura and could add another big bat in free agency, so Hoskins' counting stats could increase, even beyond any personal improvements he makes heading into his age-26 season. His batting average may remain modest due to a flyball-heavy approach (51% flyball rate last season) but a strong 13.2% walk rate erases that weakness in OBP and points leagues.
Hoskins burst onto the scene for the Phillies in August, swatting 18 homers and driving in 48 runs during a 50-game stretch that is unmatched by other rookies throughout MLB history. A fifth-round pick out of Sacramento State in 2014, Hoskins rolled through the minor leagues with relatively limited attention until his 38-homer breakout at Double-A in 2016. The encore in 2017 included 29 homers in 475 appearances with Triple-A Lehigh Valley before his promotion, and perhaps most impressively for a young power bat is Hoskins' ability to control the strike zone. He improved his strikeout rate at Triple-A Valley (15.8 percent) and kept that number in check after the promotion to Philadelphia (21.7 percent) during the final two months. With his impressive debut Hoskin secured an everyday job, and he'll be counted on as the team's primary run-producer in the heart of the order. Don't be surprised if he's treated as a top-50 player this spring.
Hoskins had a monster year at Double-A Reading where he hit .281/.377/.566 with 38 home runs in 498 at-bats. He took advantage of a hitter-friendly park in Reading where he slashed .292/.396/.636 with 25 of his 38 home runs. Hoskins does have a solid eye at the plate and a simple but effective swing, which should allow him continued success as he advances. He hit .282 with a .920 OPS against righties and .277 with a 1.024 OPS versus lefties, but there are questions regarding whether he will hit enough when he gets to the majors and has to face better offspeed stuff. His floor is likely a platoon bat at first base, and making it as an average or better everyday first baseman is not out of the question. His hit tool is certainly a better bet to play against big league pitching than Reading teammate Dylan Cozens, who led the minors with 40 home runs. A strong start to the season at Triple-A could have Hoskins pushing for a look in the majors by midseason.
Hoskins, a fifth-round pick in 2014 out of Cal State Sacramento, popped up on prospect radars last season after a hot start at Low-A Lakewood. He posted nearly identical numbers at both Lakewood and High-A Clearwater last season. His BABIP was a bit high in 2015 so he might not be a .300 hitter, but he does have a good eye at the plate with solid pop, and he makes contact at an 80 percent clip. Those skills should allow him to succeed when he is moved up to Double-A, and if he continues to hit then he could arrive in the majors in 2017 as the Phillies' replacement for Ryan Howard at first base.
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Lands with Brewers
1BMilwaukee Brewers
Knee
January 23, 2024
Hoskins (knee) signed a two-year, $36 million contract with the Brewers on Tuesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Denied qualifying offer
1BFree Agent
Knee
November 8, 2023
The Phillies declined Monday to extend a one-year, $20.33 million qualifying offer to Hoskins (knee), making him an unrestricted free agent, Jon Heyman of the New York Post reports.
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Not part of NLCS roster
1BPhiladelphia Phillies
Knee
October 16, 2023
Hoskins (knee) isn't included on the Phillies' roster for the team's National League Championship Series versus the Diamondbacks.
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Ready for live batting practice
1BPhiladelphia Phillies
Knee
October 3, 2023
Hoskins (knee) will begin taking live batting practice Wednesday in Clearwater, Florida, Todd Zolecki of MLB.com reports.
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World Series return not ruled out
1BPhiladelphia Phillies
Knee
September 27, 2023
Hoskins (knee) took batting practice and ran the bases at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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