Rowdy Tellez

Rowdy Tellez

28-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Pittsburgh Pirates
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Tellez looked well on his way to a second straight 30-homer season in 2023 after putting eight over the boards in April. Things mostly went downhill after that, though. The 28-year-old missed six weeks of action with forearm and finger injuries and by the time he returned in late August Carlos Santana had taken over at first base for the Brewers, leaving Tellez to fight for starts at designated hitter. He did very little with the at-bats he was given down the stretch and Milwaukee chose to non-tender him this offseason. Tellez's hard-hit rate (40.4 percent) and barrel rate (8.7 percent) both dropped off significantly last season, while his strikeout rate (24.5 percent) went up. His age and track record suggest Tellez will bounce back to some degree in 2024, and he should get regular starts at least versus righties after signing with Pittsburgh over the winter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#489
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.2 million contract with the Pirates in December of 2023.
Lands with Pittsburgh
1BPittsburgh Pirates
December 12, 2023
Tellez signed a one-year, $3.2 million contract with the Pirates on Tuesday, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Tellez spent over two seasons with the Brewers, and he will remain in the NL Central to fill the Pirates' opening at first base. The 28-year-old slugger took a major step back in 2023, slashing .215/.291/.376 with 13 home runs -- only one of which came after May 23. Despite his recent struggles, Tellez should begin the season as Pittsburgh's primary first baseman, though he will likely step out of the lineup against lefties in favor of Jared Triolo or Connor Joe.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2023 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2022 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2019 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
2018 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
22
38
4
8
1
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
2
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+16%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+30%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+24%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .643 249 19 7 22 0 .219 .309 .333
Since 2021vs Right .747 1026 108 52 150 2 .225 .299 .448
2023vs Left .530 52 1 1 4 0 .174 .269 .261
2023vs Right .691 299 25 12 43 0 .223 .294 .396
2022vs Left .644 134 11 4 11 0 .209 .313 .330
2022vs Right .801 465 56 31 78 2 .222 .303 .498
2021vs Left .730 63 7 2 7 0 .276 .333 .397
2021vs Right .716 262 27 9 29 0 .234 .298 .418
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+4%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+29%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+19%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .763 602 57 33 91 2 .224 .307 .456
Since 2021Away .695 673 70 26 81 0 .224 .296 .399
2023Home .682 159 11 7 25 0 .217 .283 .399
2023Away .654 192 15 6 22 0 .214 .297 .357
2022Home .866 295 34 22 52 2 .231 .329 .537
2022Away .673 304 33 13 37 0 .208 .283 .391
2021Home .651 148 12 4 14 0 .218 .291 .361
2021Away .774 177 22 7 22 0 .262 .316 .457
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Rowdy Tellez compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.41
 
BB Rate
10.0%
 
K Rate
24.5%
 
BABIP
.249
 
ISO
.161
 
AVG
.215
 
OBP
.291
 
SLG
.376
 
OPS
.667
 
wOBA
.293
 
Exit Velocity
89.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.5%
 
Barrels/PA
5.7%
 
Expected BA
.238
 
Expected SLG
.374
 
Sprint Speed
19.2 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
37.4%
 
Line Drive %
19.6%
 
Fly Ball %
43.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Batted Ball Stats
Loading Batted Ball Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Rowdy Tellez See More
Collette Calls: NL Central 2024 Bold Predictions
43 days ago
Jason Collette's latest set of bold predictions includes a potential breakout season for Seiya Suzuki.
Collette Calls: Value in the Scrap Heap for 2024
83 days ago
Jason Collette highlights 10 hitters and 10 pitchers who have been nearly forgotten about in the first handful of 2024 drafts, including shortstop Tim Anderson.
The Z Files: Underdog Fantasy Playoff Best Ball Rankings Refresh
145 days ago
Todd Zola offers an update on the Underdog best-ball playoff contest and explains why he has so much exposure to Julio Rodriguez and the Mariners.
Lineup Lowdown: National League
155 days ago
Ryan Boyer presents Lineup Lowdown, an in-depth look at the National League's lineups, including the ascension of Michael Harris occasionally to the leadoff for the NL East-champion Atlanta Braves.
The Z Files: Underdog Fantasy Playoff Best Ball Rankings
168 days ago
Todd Zola reviews Underdog's new playoff best-ball leagues, where the runaway success of Atlanta and Ronald Acuna in the regular season may actually hurt their value to your roster.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
When Tellez was deal to Milwaukee, fantasy managers had hoped that he would be freed from the shackles of a platoon situation and we could finally see what the slugger could do as a full-time player. For better and for worse, that indeed happened in 2022. Tellez had 599 plate appearances and his StatCast profile has a high volume of dark red ink on it, but the .219/.306/.461 triple-slash line shows the risks of exposing the lefty slugger to too many lefty pitchers. That approach worked in 2019 when the fortunes went his way and he hit .270/.317/.513 against lefties in the AL, but went .209/.313/.330 against lefties in the NL this past season as he swung and missed at nearly 50% of the non-fastballs he saw from southpaws. The new shift rules could potentially add a few points of average to his line, but he otherwise remains a two-category contributor.
Big, beefy and with a penchant for clutch late-inning home runs, Tellez quickly became a fan favorite in Milwaukee after he was traded from Toronto for relievers Trevor Richards and Bowden Francis in early July. As with the acquisition of Willy Adames from Tampa Bay, the Brewers went 2-for-2 on buying low on AL East hitters who went on to mash with their new club. Tellez hit .209/.272/.338 in 50 games with Toronto and his playing time had gotten pretty irregular by May. With Milwaukee, he hit .272/.333/.481 with seven home runs, an 8.0 BB% and an 18.4 K%. Tellez has been in the 94th percentile or better in max exit velocity in each of the past three years and has logged a linedrive rate over 20% in each big-league season. Getting his flyball rate over 40% would go a long way toward him getting the most of his huge raw power in games. He doesn't show strong lefty/righty splits, and if the National League gets the designated hitter, he could get a chance to play almost every day.
Tellez posted impressive power metrics in 2020, highlighted by a .257 ISO, 81st percentile hard-hit rate and 79th percentile average exit velocity. While Tellez has always shown the ability to crush fastballs, he also made improvements when confronted by breaking pitches. In 2018 and 2019, Tellez posted expected slugging marks of.409 and .392, respectively. In 2020, that mark jumped to .531. Another important development in Tellez's skill profile was his improved contact rate, which jumped from near 70% in his first two big-league seasons to 78.7% in 2020. This was backed by a more aggressive approach on pitches inside the zone, as his swing rate in those scenarios rose from 63.4% to 70.1%. If Tellez can maintain the more discerning approach at the plate, 2021 may be the year he gets a full slate of plate appearances as the Blue Jays' designated hitter.
Tellez broke camp with the Blue Jays, expected to absorb most of the at-bats vacated by Kendrys Morales leaving. The burly left-hander played regularly over the first half, splitting time between first base and designated hitter. In July, Tellez lost playing time before being sent to Triple-A Buffalo. At the time, he was slashing an anemic .227/.280/.436. Tellez spent a month with the Bisons, righting the ship with a 1.138 OPS. He returned in mid-August, posting an improved .226/.325/.481 the rest of the way. Tellez has plus power, but poor plate skills. Fanning at a 28.4% clip isn't as dire anymore, but he needs to improve on a 7.1% walk rate. Solid contact and patience in the low minors suggest Tellez can improve at the major-league level. Still, long term, Tellez profiles best as a designated hitter, perhaps facing just righty pitching. He is in play for cheap power but is not assured a regular role.
While Yankee fans were enjoying Luke Voit and Rays fans enjoyed Ji-Man Choi, Jays fans got a pleasant surprise with their own September slugger. Tellez has been a solid hitter throughout his minor-league career, with above-average power and defensive limitations due to his size, but he stalled out a bit at Triple-A. Nobody could have predicted the small-sample offensive explosion he had last season with the big club (13 extra-base hits in 73 PA). Statcast did not support his September production, as his xwOBA was 80 points below his actual mark. In plain English -- the quality of his contact was not as good as the actual outcomes of his at-bats. Additionally, his 28.8 K% and 2.7 BB% in that tiny sample suggest major regression was coming. Tellez should head back to Triple-A with Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales on the big-league roster. He may get another chance in 2019, but should not be expected to recapture last year's brief success.
The subject of much doubt as he raked at each stop in the lower levels, Tellez, a 30th-round pick in 2013, always answered the bell. That is, until he got to Triple-A. Scouts who saw Tellez remarked on how it seemed like he wasn't getting good breaks on balls in play, and his .264 BABIP bears that out. However, that doesn't explain why he hit just six home runs in 122 games en route to a .110 ISO -- easily the worst mark of his career. His walk rate (9.4 percent) and his strikeout rate (18.8 percent) were fine. Triple-A pitching may have just vexed him -- sometimes guys hit a wall as they climb through the ranks. Entering his age-23 season, it's possible he can make some adjustments and earn a big-league promotion. However, with Justin Smoak and Kendrys Morales around, he not only needs to show significant improvement before getting called up, but would likely need an injury to open up a spot for him.
Few first base prospects can match Tellez's excellent contact skills (17.9 percent strikeout rate) and patience (12.3 percent walk rate) while also projecting to bring a plus hit tool and plus power to the equation. There is that tiny sliver of doubt that he will hit for enough power to profile as an above average fantasy first baseman, as this marked his first season with 20-plus home runs, but a future home in the American League East should help matters. It will be worth monitoring his ability to hit lefties as he moves up the ranks. He hit .264/.345/.456 in 125 at-bats against southpaws at Double-A, which isn't bad, but it illustrates a notable platoon split. The bat is good enough against righties that a Matt Adams-esque career is the worst-case scenario. The Blue Jays kept him at Double-A all season so he likely won't reach the majors until late 2017, at the earliest.
He may have been a 30th round pick, but Tellez has quickly shot up through the team’s prospect rankings and is now a top-10 prospect in the organization. At just 20 years old, he stands an imposing 6-foot-4, 245 pounds and is a left-handed masher, picture perfect for Rogers Centre one day. He split his season between Low-A Lansing and High-A Dunedin, collectively hitting for a .289/.347/.454 slash line with 14 home runs and 77 RBI. He played particularly well when he moved up to Dunedin, hitting for a .811 OPS and seven home runs in 35 games. Tellez plays first base by necessity and doesn’t really have any speed either defensively or on the basepaths. He may start the season back at High-A Dunedin, but advance to Double-A by midsummer.
More Fantasy News
Dropped by Milwaukee
1BFree Agent
November 17, 2023
Tellez became a free agent Friday after being non-tendered by the Brewers, Robert Murray of FanSided.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Left off NL Wild Card Series roster
1BMilwaukee Brewers
October 3, 2023
Tellez is not on the roster for the Brewers' NL Wild Card Series matchup against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Taking seat Wednesday
1BMilwaukee Brewers
September 6, 2023
Tellez is not in the lineup for Wednesday's contest against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sitting against righty
1BMilwaukee Brewers
September 4, 2023
Tellez is not in Monday's lineup against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Idle against southpaw
1BMilwaukee Brewers
September 3, 2023
Tellez isn't in the Brewers' lineup Sunday against Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.