Seth Brown

Seth Brown

30-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Oakland Athletics
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Brown has proven to be an incredible find as an 18th-round pick out of Lewis-Clark State College in 2015. Granted he's only been 12% better than league average by wRC+ in 294 MLB games to date, but compared to the rest of his A's teammates, he might as well be Barry Bonds. At age 29/30, Brown smacked 25 home runs -- no other Athletic hit more than 18 last season -- and finished with a barrel rate in the 90th percentile. The power comes with a good deal of swing-and-miss though Brown shaved his strikeout rate down to a more palatable 26.3% last season while adding a couple points to his walk rate. A lefty batter, Brown has struggled against same-side pitching in the majors to the tune of a .527 OPS and would likely find himself more strictly platooned on another team. While he swiped 11 bags last season, a repeat of double digits should be considered unlikely given his modest sprint speed. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#212
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Athletics in March of 2022.
Three hits, double in win
OFOakland Athletics
June 7, 2023
Brown went 3-for-4 with a double, an RBI and two runs scored in Wednesday's victory over Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
Brown looks to be heating up at the plate while slowly working his way back into an everyday role. He's now doubled in three straight games following an 0-for-16 slump. Overall, the 30-year-old Brown is slashing .200/.281/.375 with three homers, 10 RBI and two stolen bases through 89 plate appearances this season.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
12
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+63%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+382%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+45%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+54%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .483 149 12 4 16 2 .142 .221 .261
Since 2021vs Right .788 807 95 44 115 15 .236 .306 .482
2023vs Left .167 24 0 0 2 0 .000 .167 .000
2023vs Right .805 70 9 3 8 2 .254 .329 .476
2022vs Left .548 99 6 3 12 2 .174 .232 .315
2022vs Right .793 456 49 22 61 9 .243 .320 .473
2021vs Left .503 26 6 1 2 0 .136 .231 .273
2021vs Right .776 281 37 19 46 4 .220 .278 .498
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2023
 
 
+23%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .723 448 46 17 52 8 .230 .297 .426
Since 2021Away .756 508 61 31 79 9 .213 .289 .467
2023Home .583 47 4 2 4 2 .163 .234 .349
2023Away .715 47 5 1 6 0 .225 .340 .375
2022Home .721 265 26 8 25 4 .237 .306 .415
2022Away .774 290 29 17 48 7 .224 .303 .471
2021Home .777 136 16 7 23 2 .242 .301 .476
2021Away .736 171 27 13 25 2 .191 .251 .484
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Stat Review
How does Seth Brown compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.34
 
BB Rate
11.7%
 
K Rate
34.0%
 
BABIP
.271
 
ISO
.169
 
AVG
.193
 
OBP
.287
 
SLG
.361
 
OPS
.649
 
wOBA
.291
 
Exit Velocity
93.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
45.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.5%
 
Expected BA
.223
 
Expected SLG
.487
 
Sprint Speed
24.4 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
33.3%
 
Line Drive %
13.7%
 
Fly Ball %
52.9%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Brown was finally given an extended look at the big-league level in 2021, logging 307 plate appearances while appearing at all three outfield field positions and first base. Outside of going deep at an impressive 14.1 AB/HR clip, the 29-year-old's output was largely underwhelming. He struck out 29% of the time while posting a disappointing 7.5% walk rate en route to slashing .214/.274/.280. There are some reasons to be optimistic about his offensive upside going forward, however. His .230 BABIP in 2021 strongly points to some positive regression in the batting average department going forward, and if he's able to continue to drive the ball out of the park at a high rate, it's not crazy to envision him becoming an above average offensive player. His struggles against southpaws will likely prevent him from capturing an everyday role, but Brown shouldn't have trouble finding consistent at-bats against right-hander's to begin 2022.
Brown made Oakland's Opening Day roster and then spent the rest of the abbreviated season shuttling between the major-league roster and the alternate training site. He only appeared in seven games, stepping up to the plate a total of five times. Brown has a pair of 30-homer season in the minors, but both occurred when he was a bit old for the level. Still, he has some pop from the left side and possesses the defensive flexibility the Athletics favor as Brown can play all three outfield spots plus first base. While he has a chance to make the 2021 club as a reserve, it's more likely Brown opens with Triple-A Las Vegas, where he will have to bide his time and await an opening at the big-league level.
Brown has now hit 30 or more home runs in two of the past three minor-league seasons. Before you get too excited; one season came as a 24-year-old in High-A, and one came last year in the PCL with the happy fun ball. The lefty hit 28 of his 37 homers against righties last year, and had a .999 OPS against righties compared to an .837 OPS vs lefties. He strikes out quite a bit, yet still has managed to hit for a decent average -- no worse than .283 at his last three stops. Last year's Triple-A numbers have to be taken with a grain of salt given the physics of the baseball and that Brown wasn't even a top-30 prospect in the Oakland organization heading into last season. He turns 28 this year, so his prospect status is behind him, but he looked good at the plate in his time at the big-league level. There's a lot working against him, but Brown may be able to make this work with a good RH platoon partner.
More Fantasy News
Exits lineup Sunday
OFOakland Athletics
June 4, 2023
Brown is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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Day off versus lefty
OFOakland Athletics
May 31, 2023
Brown is not in the starting lineup Wednesday versus Atlanta, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Logs second steal
OFOakland Athletics
May 28, 2023
Brown went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in Sunday's 10-1 loss to the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in back-to-back games
OFOakland Athletics
May 26, 2023
Brown went 1-for-4 with a two-run home run in Friday's 5-2 loss to the Astros.
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Accounts for offense in loss
OFOakland Athletics
May 25, 2023
Brown went 1-for-3 with a two-run home run in Thursday's 3-2 loss to the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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