Shinnosuke Ogasawara

Shinnosuke Ogasawara

27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Washington Nationals AAA
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Ogasawara was posted in December and will look to make the jump to MLB ahead of his age-27 season. The fact that the lefty still has several years of his prime ahead of him will be appealing to potential suitors, but it's not clear that Ogasawara has enough in his profile to merit much interest. His 3.12 ERA last season was above league-average for NPB (2.96), while his 13.6 K% was well below average (18.8%) - not the sort of performance which says a player is ready to jump to a new level. For his career, Ogasawara's 3.67 ERA is higher even than the likes of Shun Yamaguchi (3.36) and Kohei Arihara (3.37), two pitchers who failed to make an impact in their brief MLB careers, to say nothing of long-term success stories like Masahiro Tanaka (2.67) and Kenta Maeda (2.39). A 5-foot-11 frame and a fastball that sits a modest 91-93 mph are further points against the lefty, though an elite 3.7 BB% does at least provide one reason for MLB teams to think he's a project worth investing in. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#380
ADP
Signed a two-year, $3.5 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2025.
Sent down to minors
PWashington Nationals  AAA
July 12, 2025
The Nationals optioned Ogasawara to Triple-A Rochester following Saturday's 6-5 loss to the Brewers.
Analysis
Making his second start for the Nationals on Saturday, Ogasawara took a no-decision after allowing three earned runs on four hits and one walk while striking out two over four innings. While he performed better Saturday than he had in his MLB debut, the southpaw won't retain his rotation spot after giving up seven runs over 6.2 frames across his first two MLB starts. It's not yet clear who Washington will turn to as its new fifth starter moving forward, but the team has some time to decide with the All-Star break just around the corner.
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Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2025 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
56
Last 10 Games
56
Last 5 Games
56
How many pitches does Shinnosuke Ogasawara generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Shinnosuke Ogasawara generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-74%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-74%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .125 10 2 1 1 0 0 0
Since 2023vs Right .476 22 2 0 10 3 0 1
2025vs Left .125 10 2 1 1 0 0 0
2025vs Right .476 22 2 0 10 3 0 1
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
2025
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 13.50 2.63 2.2 0 1 0 6.8 0.0 3.4
Since 2023Away 6.75 1.25 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 2.3 0.0
2025Home 13.50 2.63 2.2 0 1 0 6.8 0.0 3.4
2025Away 6.75 1.25 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 2.3 0.0
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Minor League Left/Right Pitching Splits (AAA)
Since 2023
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .250 22 1 2 5 0 2 0
Since 2023vs Right .282 42 11 2 11 3 1 1
2025vs Left .250 22 1 2 5 0 2 0
2025vs Right .282 42 11 2 11 3 1 1
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Stat Review
How does Shinnosuke Ogasawara compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.00
 
K/9
5.4
 
BB/9
1.4
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
90.9 mph
 
ERA
9.45
 
WHIP
1.80
 
BABIP
.403
 
GB/FB
2.40
 
Left On Base
47.2%
 
Exit Velocity
86.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.1%
 
Spin Rate
2214 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
33.3%
 
Swinging Strike
9.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Shinnosuke Ogasawara See More
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More Fantasy News
Still shaky in second start
PWashington Nationals  AAA
July 12, 2025
Ogasawara allowed three runs on four hits and a walk while striking out two over four innings in a no-decision versus the Brewers on Saturday.
Analysis
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Awarded another start
PWashington Nationals  AAA
July 11, 2025
Ogasawara is slated to start Saturday's game against the Brewers in Milwaukee.
Analysis
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Struggles in debut
PWashington Nationals  AAA
July 6, 2025
Ogasawara (0-1) took the loss Sunday against the Red Sox, allowing four runs on seven hits over 2.2 innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Promoted for MLB debut
PWashington Nationals  AAA
July 6, 2025
The Nationals selected Ogasawara's contract from Triple-A Rochester in advance of his start Sunday against the Red Sox in Washington.
Analysis
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Making big-league debut Sunday
PWashington Nationals  AAA
July 5, 2025
Ogasawara (oblique) will make his major-league debut Sunday against the Red Sox, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Hoping to be posted this offseason
PFree Agent  AAA
October 7, 2024
Ogasawara has requested that his Nippon Professional Baseball team, the Chunichi Dragons, make him available to MLB teams this offseason via the posting system, Yahoo Sports Japan reports.
Analysis
Ogasawara, who turns 28 Tuesday, has pitched for the Dragons for nine seasons, most recently collecting a 3.12 ERA but just 82 strikeouts over 144.1 innings during the 2024 campaign. Jon Morosi of MLB Network reported back in April that MLB teams were scouting Ogasawara, although it's unclear what level of interest he will garner.
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