Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Minnesota Twins
Out
Injury Abdomen
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Larnach looked set to be an impact hitter in the lineup as he was hitting .299 with a .890 OPS over the first two months sandwiched around a stint on the injured list for a groin injury. He fell apart in June by hitting .127 and later that month needed core muscle surgery. He returned to Triple-A in late September and is expected to be ready for Opening Day. He has a sweet left-handed swing with plus power, but will need to reduce his strikeouts (31.7%). His lack of contact (64.4%) makes him prone to long slumps though he draws walks (10.0 BB%) at a good rate. He has limited defensive ability as corner outfielder, so his bat will need to force himself into the lineup. He'll compete for major league role this spring and could factor as a reserve or in a platoon role. The 2018 first-round draft pick has 30-plus home run potential if he can make more contact. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $2.55 million contract with the Twins in July of 2018.
Rehab paused to due wrist issue
OFMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
September 23, 2022
Larnach dealt with wrist soreness Thursday while rehabbing with Triple-A St. Paul, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Larnach has been out since late-June abdominal surgery. He went 5-for-17 through five rehab games but is now considered day-to-day again. If this setback turns out to be anything other than particularly minor, Larnach's season could be over, as the Twins have dropped out of the playoff picture.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
6
11
12
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
2
1
3
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .594 141 13 2 11 0 .217 .277 .318
Since 2020vs Right .728 340 38 10 35 1 .230 .332 .395
2022vs Left .716 51 4 0 3 0 .277 .333 .383
2022vs Right .711 129 18 5 15 0 .212 .295 .416
2021vs Left .525 90 9 2 8 0 .183 .244 .280
2021vs Right .737 211 20 5 20 1 .242 .355 .382
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+26%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+87%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .776 220 25 8 25 1 .250 .350 .426
Since 2020Away .615 261 26 4 21 0 .207 .287 .328
2022Home .986 74 11 4 11 0 .313 .392 .594
2022Away .527 106 11 1 7 0 .177 .245 .281
2021Home .667 146 14 4 14 1 .218 .329 .339
2021Away .676 155 15 3 14 0 .228 .316 .360
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Trevor Larnach compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.32
 
BB Rate
10.0%
 
K Rate
31.7%
 
BABIP
.320
 
ISO
.175
 
AVG
.231
 
OBP
.306
 
SLG
.406
 
OPS
.712
 
wOBA
.311
 
Exit Velocity
90.1 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.1%
 
Barrels/PA
6.7%
 
Expected BA
.227
 
Expected SLG
.442
 
Sprint Speed
24.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
41.9%
 
Line Drive %
19.0%
 
Fly Ball %
39.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
Larnach struggled in his first taste of the majors as the 2018 first-round draft pick had difficulty making contact despite prodigious power. He showed promise after he was recalled in May by hitting seven home runs with a .775 OPS in his first 47 games. He fell into a long slump in the second half by hitting .167 with a .480 OPS before demoted in August. He has a sweet left-handed swing with plus power, but will need to reduce his strikeouts (34.6%) and show more promise against left-handed pitchers (.525 OPS). He has limited defensive ability as corner outfielder, so his bat will need to force himself into the lineup. He'll likely need to right himself at Triple-A before getting another chance, but could factor as a reserve or in a platoon role right away with a strong spring. He still has upside as a three-category anchor who hits around .260 with 30-plus home runs.
If the only aspect of evaluating prospects for fantasy was triple-slash line potential with the assumption of everyday at-bats, Larnach would be ranked quite a bit higher. However, he fits best in left field, where he still projects to be a below-average defender, and he won't be a threat on the bases. He is an imposing 6-foot-4 slugger who struck out 27.6 percent of the time as a 22-year-old at Double-A in 2019. Larnach is a good hitter for his size, given his plus-plus all-fields power, but strikeouts will probably always be a part of the package, given his long levers. This all puts a lot of pressure on Larnach to do a ton of damage at the plate in order for him to just be a 2- or 3-win player. He should debut this summer and his sweet left-handed swing should keep him in the majors for a long time. The most likely good outcome is a three-category anchor who hits around .260 with 30-plus home runs.
He has not put up jaw-dropping counting stats, but Larnach has been consistently dominant at every full-season stop. In 2018, he logged a 149 wRC+ at Low-A and followed that up with a 148 wRC+ at High-A and Double-A (48% better than a league-average hitter). He has had an Oppo% over 30% and a GB% under 49% at every stop and owns a 10.6 BB% against full-season pitching. The skill set seemed incredibly stable until he struck out 27.6% of the time at Double-A, up from 20.5% at High-A. For a 22-year-old who is a near lock to get double-digit starts at designated hitter every year, Larnach needs to have a pretty airtight offensive profile to be a real asset. The left-handed slugger has plus raw power but has not been able to get to it consistently in games. Given the Twins' organizational depth chart, Larnach is unlikely to reach the majors this year unless he dominates in the upper levels.
Where a player gets drafted is part of the story, but often just a small part when it comes to dynasty-league value. Case in point: Larnach, an Oregon State outfielder the Twins selected with the No. 20 pick in the 2018 draft, might be the best fantasy asset from that class. He projects as a fringe-average defender in an outfield corner, but his bat has a chance to be special. Larnach handled the Appy League with ease (139 wRC+), lacing balls to all fields while walking almost as much as he struck out. He didn't slow down after a promotion to Low-A, notching a 0.65 BB/K, .209 ISO and 149 wRC+ -- marks that would have ranked in the top seven in the Midwest League among qualified hitters. Despite standing 6-foot-4, 210 pounds, Larnach covers the entire plate with a beautiful left-handed swing, displaying easy plus power. He won't be much of a threat on the bases by the time he reaches the majors, but could hit .300 with 30-plus homers in his peak seasons.
More Fantasy News
Rehab shifts to Triple-A
OFMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
September 15, 2022
Larnach (abdomen) had his rehab shifted to Triple-A St. Paul on Thursday, Betsy Helfand of the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Begins to play rehab games
OFMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
September 14, 2022
Larnach (abdomen) has started to play rehab games in the instructional league but isn't back to full speed, the St. Paul Pioneer Press reports. Having him "cutting it loose and throwing and moving around in the outfield in an unrestricted manner ... definitely took more out of him or were a little more challenging than we originally thought," said manager Rocco Baldelli.
ANALYSIS
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Shifts to 60-day IL
OFMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
September 1, 2022
Larnach (abdomen) was transferred from the 10-day injured list to the 60-day injured list Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing rehab stint
OFMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
August 29, 2022
Larnach (abdomen) is expected to begin a rehab assignment Thursday with Single-A Fort Myers, Do-Hyoung Park of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Ramping up hitting, running
OFMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
August 22, 2022
Larnach (core) has progressed to taking live at-bats and sprinting at full effort, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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