Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

24-Year-Old ForwardF
Indiana Pacers
GTD
Injury Lower Leg
Est. Return 2/22/2024
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Following a couple of unproductive seasons in Boston, Nesmith turned things around last year, putting up career-high numbers across the board for the Pacers. In 24.9 minutes per night, he averaged 10.1 points, 3.8 rebounds, 0.8 steals and 1.6 three-pointers. While this could point to an increased role for Nesmith once again this season, his path to minutes remains clouded, to say the least. The Pacers brought in Obi Toppin from New York, as well as Jarace Walker via the NBA Draft. Both players will take playing time away from Nesmith. Given he was barely a top 200 player last year, it's hard to see Nesmith being anything more than a deeper league target. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Current Season
From Preseason
#117
ADP
$Signed a three-year, $33 million contract extension with the Pacers in October of 2023.
Personal Bio/PreCareer Summary

Aaron Joshua Nesmith was born Oct. 16, 1999 in Charleston, South Carolina. He is the son of Benard and Erine Nesmith. He has a brother, Eddie, who attended Harvard and plans to go to medical school. Nesmith's advice to young people is to "Always work hard and give that little extra effort when your peers are not." For high school, he attended Porter-Gaud in Charleston and was first called up to the varsity basketball team as an eighth-grader. During his time at Porter-Gaud, he led the team to three Class 3A state championships. As a senior, he was named South Carolina Gatorade Player of the Year. For college, Nesmith attended Vanderbilt for two seasons and studied human and organizational development. Before suffering a season-ending injury in his sophomore season, Nesmith was on pace to have one of the best three-point shooting campaigns in college basketball history, converting 52.2 percent of his shots from distance. Nesmith was an immediate contributor at Vanderbilt in his freshman season, appearing in a total of 32 contests and averaging 11.0 PPG. He made his first start of the 2018-19 season Jan. 9 against Georgia, and through the remaining 19 games, he averaged 13.2 points and 5.4 rebounds. His season high of 26 points came Feb. 13 against Florida, and he put up 24 points and 14 rebounds in the very next game against Auburn. Nesmith picked up right where he left off in his sophomore season, averaging 23.0 points in the first 14 games to place himself among the nation's top scorers. He set a new career high with 34 points against Richmond on Nov. 14 and later matched that total against UNC-Wilmington on Dec. 21. His season unfortunately ended due to a foot injury in January that cost him Vanderbilt's final 18 games. The 6-6 wing had been shooting 52.2 percent from beyond the arc prior to the injury -- a skill that drew the attention of NBA scouts. He officially turned pro in late-March.

Limited in practice
FIndiana Pacers
Lower Leg
February 20, 2024
Coach Rick Carlisle said Tuesday that Nesmith's (lower leg) injury isn't as bad as initially feared but was limited in practice, Dustin Dopirak of The Indianapolis Starreports.
ANALYSIS
Nesmith suffered a shin injury against the Raptors last Wednesday, but no updates have been provided on the results of his MRI. Luckily for Indiana, the 24-year-old forward appears to have avoided a major injury. Fantasy managers should look out for an official injury report to clarify Nesmith's status for Thursday's game versus Detroit.
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Stat Review
How does Aaron Nesmith compare to other players?
This section compares his stats with all players from the previous three seasons (minimum 200 minutes played)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
  • True Shooting %
    An advanced statistic that measures a player's efficiency at shooting the ball that takes field goal percentage, free throw percentage, and three point percentage into account.
  • Effective Field Goal %
    A statistic that adjusts field goal percentage to account for the fact that three-point field goals count for three points while field goals only count for two points.
  • 3-Point Attempt Rate
    Percentage of field goal attempts from three point range.
  • Free Throw Rate
    Number of free throw attempts per field goal attempt.
  • Offensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available offensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Defensive Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available defensive rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Total Rebound %
    An estimate of the percentage of available rebounds a player grabbed while they were on the floor.
  • Assist %
    An estimate of the percentage of teammate field goals a player assisted while they were on the floor.
  • Steal %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent possessions that end with a steal by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Block %
    An estimate of the percentage of opponent two-point field goal attempts blocked by the player while they were on the floor.
  • Turnover %
    An estimate of turnovers committed per 100 plays.
  • Usage %
    An estimate of the percentage of team plays used by a player while they were on the floor.
  • Fantasy Points Per Game
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Game.
  • Fantasy Points Per Minute
    NBA Fantasy Points Per Minute.
True Shooting %
65.1%
 
Effective Field Goal %
63.8%
 
3-Point Attempt Rate
52.8%
 
Free Throw Rate
20.8%
 
Offensive Rebound %
3.9%
 
Defensive Rebound %
12.6%
 
Total Rebound %
8.2%
 
Assist %
6.5%
 
Steal %
1.6%
 
Block %
1.9%
 
Turnover %
8.1%
 
Usage %
16.5%
 
Fantasy Points Per Game
23.6
 
Fantasy Points Per Minute
0.9
 
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Our historical fantasy ratings are standard scores calculated using 8-Category settings with 12 teams and 13 players per team.
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Pacers Rotation: Minutes Breakdown
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Average Fantasy Points
Average Fantasy Points are determined when Aaron Nesmith was active vs. non-active during the season. Click here to view average fantasy points for a different time period.
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Limited versatility
FIndiana Pacers
February 12, 2024
Nesmith ranks in the 24th percentile among all forwards in assist-to-usage ratio and in the 32nd percentile in defensive rebounding rate this season, per CleaningTheGlass.
ANALYSIS
Nesmith's lack of facilitating is unsurprising given that he plays next to Tyrese Haliburton, but his lack of defensive rebounding is notable given that Indiana ranks 27th in defensive rebounding rate as a team. That being said, Nesmith does grade as a slightly above-average offensive rebounder this season with a 4.0 percent rate.
See All NBA Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Nesmith was a non-factor during the 2021-22 season, but after being traded to Indiana, he could see a more consistent role coming his way. The Pacers are entering a rebuild and so the coaching staff are likely to experiment with their rotations throughout the season. Thus far in his career, Nesmith hasn't sniffed fantasy relevancy. While he will get an opportunity to impress this season, it is still hard to see him being anything more than a very, very deep consideration.
Despite appearing in only 46 games during his rookie season, Nesmith showed glimmers of hope. The first-round pick surprised some with extra defensive intensity and raised his three-point shooting gradually throughout the season, ending with a 37.0 percent mark from behind the arc. The problem is that Nesmith and fellow first-round pick Romeo Langford are fairly redundant wings on a squad with All-Star Jaylen Brown and defensive-stopper Marcus Smart. At some point, the Celtics will need to prioritize either Nesmith's or Langford's development, as there really are not enough minutes for both, barring injuries. Nesmith is the better floor spacer, which probably gives him an edge over Langford. Stars Brown and Jayson Tatum could use a dead-eye sniper for easy catch-and-shoot opportunities, and Nesmith has the chance to fill that role. Remember, Nesmith hit 52.2 percent of his three-point attempts during his last year at Vanderbilt. In addition to Langford, Nesmith will also battle Josh Richardson for wing minutes. Nesmith has a modest opportunity to improve on last year's 14.5 minutes per game, but a stacked depth chart is working against the NBA sophomore.
The Celtics selected Nesmith with the 14th pick of the 2020 NBA Draft. Nesmith's appeal was obvious: he was the best college outside shooter in the country, hitting 52.2 percent of his three-pointers during his sophomore season at Vanderbilt. That accuracy and his 4.3 made three-pointers a game led the nation before he suffered a foot injury 14 games into the season. The 6-foot-6 wing also sports a 6-foot-10 wingspan, which helped him snag 1.4 steals and 0.9 blocks that same season. With Gordon Hayward leaving Boston, the Celtic bench certainly has room for a scoring wing. If Nesmith can continue his catch-and-shoot success at the pro level, he could be an ideal fit with Boston's stars. The Celtics don't need Nesmith to lead them in scoring. But they can certainly use some scoring off the bench and complimentary pieces to play alongside Jayson Tatum, Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown. A strong 3-and-D player like Nesmith could quickly earn minutes. A team can never have too many shooters. With Romeo Langford injured and Marcus Smart permanently in the starting lineup, Nesmith could be Boston's first scorer off the bench. Nesmith has the potential to lead a sturdy second unit that includes veterans Jeff Teague and Tristan Thompson.
More Fantasy News
Getting MRI on shin
FIndiana Pacers
Lower Leg
February 15, 2024
Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle said after Wednesday's 127-125 win over the Raptors that Nesmith will receive an MRI after exiting in the third quarter with right shin soreness, Ian Harrison of the Associated Press reports. "It looked very scary," Carlisle said of Nesmith's injury. "He's in good spirits. He did walk off the court with some help. Hopefully it's not a long-term thing."
ANALYSIS
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Suffers injury, iffy to return
FIndiana Pacers
Lower Leg
February 14, 2024
Nesmith is questionable to return to Wednesday's game against the Raptors due to right shin soreness, Tony East of SI.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Flashy scoring Monday
FIndiana Pacers
February 12, 2024
Nesmith contributed 21 points (8-13 FG, 1-4 3Pt, 4-7 FT), three rebounds and one assist over 33 minutes during Monday's 111-102 loss to the Hornets.
ANALYSIS
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Hits for 22 in Sunday's win
FIndiana Pacers
February 5, 2024
Nesmith posted 22 points (8-11 FG, 3-5 3Pt, 3-3 FT), eight rebounds, four assists and one steal in 34 minutes during Sunday's 115-99 win over the Hornets.
ANALYSIS
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Leading scorer in Tuesday's loss
FIndiana Pacers
January 31, 2024
Nesmith finished Tuesday's 129-124 loss to the Celtics with 26 points (11-17 FG, 4-7 3Pt), 12 rebounds, seven assists and one block in 41 minutes.
ANALYSIS
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