RotoWire 150 - NBA: The Professor's Overall List

RotoWire 150 - NBA: The Professor's Overall List


RotoWire 150

This is merely a snapshot as of December 23, 2011, based on a standard eight-category roto league. For updated rankings, please consult our cheat sheet. Feedback is welcome.

RankNamePosTeamNotes
1James, LeBron F MIABest actual player, poised for leap with post game and motivation from last season
2Durant, Kevin F OKCConsensus #1 in roto leagues, for very good reason
3Paul, Chris G LACIf I knew for sure he'd play 60 games, Paul might be #1. Great situation in LA but history of injury
4Rose, Derrick G CHILast year made MVP leap, and has room to improve
5Love, Kevin C MINIf he manages to improve on last year's breakout, will challenge for #1 slot next season
6Westbrook, Russell G OKCIf adds a 3-ptr per game would challenge Durant for best roto prospect on Thunder
7Wade, Dwyane G MIAConsistently great; compact schedule favors young vets in their primes
8Anthony, Carmelo F NYI've said it before, but if he keeps making 2 treys/game his stats will be as good as Durant's
9Gasol, Pau C LALEither holds more responsibility in LA with Odom gone or goes to be the franchise player on another team. Win-win.
10Howard, Dwight C ORLAdded strong steals last year; 5 dominant categories enough to counter FT%? Top-5 worthy in head-to-head leagues
11Curry, Stephen G GSWould be higher if not for his trick


RotoWire 150

This is merely a snapshot as of December 23, 2011, based on a standard eight-category roto league. For updated rankings, please consult our cheat sheet. Feedback is welcome.

RankNamePosTeamNotes
1James, LeBron F MIABest actual player, poised for leap with post game and motivation from last season
2Durant, Kevin F OKCConsensus #1 in roto leagues, for very good reason
3Paul, Chris G LACIf I knew for sure he'd play 60 games, Paul might be #1. Great situation in LA but history of injury
4Rose, Derrick G CHILast year made MVP leap, and has room to improve
5Love, Kevin C MINIf he manages to improve on last year's breakout, will challenge for #1 slot next season
6Westbrook, Russell G OKCIf adds a 3-ptr per game would challenge Durant for best roto prospect on Thunder
7Wade, Dwyane G MIAConsistently great; compact schedule favors young vets in their primes
8Anthony, Carmelo F NYI've said it before, but if he keeps making 2 treys/game his stats will be as good as Durant's
9Gasol, Pau C LALEither holds more responsibility in LA with Odom gone or goes to be the franchise player on another team. Win-win.
10Howard, Dwight C ORLAdded strong steals last year; 5 dominant categories enough to counter FT%? Top-5 worthy in head-to-head leagues
11Curry, Stephen G GSWould be higher if not for his trick ankle; Adding strong all-around game to all-world scoring and treys
12Williams, Deron G NJShould be poised for a big year in New Jersey, especially if he has any free agent motivation
13Ellis, Monta G GSHas been an ironman with minutes the last few years, and production just keeps coming.
14Bryant, Kobe G LALWas poised for a beast season, but wrist injury is worrisome
15Evans, Tyreke G SACAppears healthy, if so poised for a monster come back this season
16Griffin, Blake F LACFT% is his Achilles heel in standard rankings, but could be poised for Derrick Rose-like leap this season
17Nowitzki, Dirk F DALTried and true, consistent, excellent. Only question is if team rests him more in packed schedule
18Jefferson, Al C UTAFinished last season (post-Williams trade) strong, seems poised to continue from there
19Stoudemire, Amar'e C NYRoto feast when healthy and featured, but health (knees/back) always a question mark and Carmelo/Chandler could impact his scoring/rebounding chances
20Smith, Josh F ATLSupposedly lost a lot of weight and came back even more explosive; had a strong preseason as well
21Gordon, Eric G NORAlready seemed poised to explode any time based on strong early career; now as featured guy the only thing possibly between Gordon and the roto elite is health history
22Aldridge, LaMarcus F PORAny time a player has heart concerns is worrying, especially with Portland's injury history, but broke out in a major way last year and should still be the man in Portland this year
23Rondo, Rajon G BOSSame refrain, if he could shoot would be all-world. Schedule will cause Celts to rely on him even more than usual
24Horford, Al F ATLHe's like a junior "Big Fundamental"…young and consistently good production, but doesn't capture public attention
25Lee, David F GSWasn't as elite last season as he had been in previous years, but is healthy again and has had a dominant preseason
26Wallace, Gerald F PORCame off the bench for awhile after being traded to Portland last season, but grew back into a big roto-producing role in new digs
27Holiday, Jrue G PHIQuietly joined the roto elite last season, and still young/on the way up
28Wall, John G WASCompletely overshadowed by fellow "rookie" Blake Griffin last year, Wall also has Rose-leap potential this season
29Nash, Steve G PHOWas still brilliant last season before hip injury slowed him; age and health vs potential for dominance?
30Granger, Danny F INDAlways a strong roto player, but easily overlooked
31Martin, Kevin G HOUConsistently strong scorer with great FT% effect, and quietly played 80 games last year to relieve "fragile" reputation
32Gay, Rudy F MEMWas breaking out before injury last season, but maybe different dynamic after Randolph/Gasol dominated in postseason
33Bogut, Andrew C MILHis elbow is finally healthy and he's already speaking of increasing scoring into the upper teens with elite defense…expecting huge things
34Ginobili, Manu G SANWas MVP candidate for the first half of last season before wore down; scary with the compacted schedule and injury history, but capable of top-10 production if healthy
35Randolph, Zach F MEMWent into beast-mode in last year's playoffs, but still no defense and shots could go down with Rudy Gay back and healthy
36Odom, Lamar F DALAppears to be a perfect fit in Dallas, and may have a larger team role than he had with the Lakers
37Ibaka, Serge F OKCBroke out last season, and should only be better moving forward
38Iguodala, Andre G PHIStill great potential, but took a bit of a back seat to Jrue Holiday for the 76ers last year
39Garnett, Kevin F BOSAge and injury have slowed him, but bounced back last season and is being asked to take on a larger scorer role this year
40Scola, Luis F HOUHas been underrated for the last couple years, and still is. Unless and until Houston manages to bag a Gasol, Scola remains the man
41Conley, Jr., Mike G MEMConley is the 5th most recognized name on his team, but he may finish highest in the rankings
42Billups, Chauncey G LACWent from the penthouse (PG for Knicks) to the outhouse (backing up Chris Paul) back into a valuable slot as the starting SG on a team that should get him a lot of open looks
43Gortat, Marcin C PHOEveryone's favorite "sleeper" center after he played so well post-trade to Phoenix last season
44Wright, Dorell F GSWill the transition from Nelly's system to Mark Jackson's hurt his production? So much of his value tied into scoring and treys.
45Blatche, Andray F WASThought he would dominate last season after breaking out the season before, but was just good…this could
46Gasol, Marc C MEMMade his name and his contract with last season's playoffs, but was already showing signs of developing roto goodness last season
47Bynum, Andrew C LALWhen healthy, one of the best centers in NBA. Always an injury risk, but Odom trade means he will get bigger role this year
48Noah, Joakim F CHIStrong defensive numbers, though the strong frontcourt of the Bulls and nagging injuries ate into his potential last season
49Jackson, Stephen G MILAlways strong, and should be one of the featured scorers in Milwaukee
50Deng, Luol G CHIConsistent near-20 point threat with solid peripheral categories
51Parker, Tony G SANDoesn't shoot the trey, but otherwise very valuable and could be relied upon more in the condensed schedule with Duncan and Manu being older
52Jennings, Brandon G MILBurned me last year, as I projected him a top-30 player. If he improves shot even a little bit, could get there this year
53Pierce, Paul G BOSShot career best percentages while still producing almost 20 ppg last season
54Beasley, Michael F MINOffensive break-out last season before nagging injuries slowed him, should be even better this year
55Gallinari, Danilo F DENCould end up as the best player in Denver this season, especially with so many of his former teammates stuck playing in China
56Boozer, Carlos F CHILooking for a big bounce-back this year out of Boozer. I think he approaches his Utah numbers
57Cousins, DeMarcus F SACStill hugely talented, with attitude the biggest question mark; Lots of potential and upside here
58Hibbert, Roy C INDBroke out early last season before he wore down, should be better equipped to handle the larger role this year
59Johnson, Joe G ATLJohnson's star has fallen in the last few years, from roto elite to tertiary option on his own team
60Matthews, Wesley G PORCame out of nowhere to replace Brandon Roy last year; now the incumbant, should still be good though Jamal Crawford waits in the wings
61Bosh, Chris F MIAWon't return to Toronto numbers, but expecting a better fit and more producting in year 2 of Miami's Big Three
62Hilario, Nene C DENMuch like Al Horford, he's consisently solid but not flashy as he produces year in/year out
63DeRozan, DeMar G TORArrived on the seen with some dominant scoring at mid-season, should be even better this year
64Humphries, Kris F NJBurst onto the roto big stage with man-sized double-doubles last season, will have larger role early with Brook Lopez out
65McGee, JaVale C WASRidiculously talented, and the only question mark is his maturity
66Irving, Kyrie G CLEEarly frontrunner for Rookie of the Year; Once "earns" starting spot should be focus of Cavs offense this season
67Monroe, Greg F DETBecame a double-double machine as a rookie, should be even better as a sophmore
68Lowry, Kyle G HOUWas a surprise last year, taking advantage of Aaron Brooks' injury and subsequent trade. This year he is the incumbent
69Kidd, Jason G DALKeeps getting older and older, but remains roto relevant even as he slows down
70Augustin, D.J. G CHRHad a solid season after winning the position battle with Ray Felton last season, but in a new battle now to hold off Kemba Walker
71Terry, Jason G DALHis role and production are very well established, and after his big playoff performance his swag should remain strong
72Allen, Ray G BOSStill one of the best 3-point shooters in the game, even in the back half of his thirties
73Bargnani, Andrea F TORA bit of a one-trick pony as a scorer, but still valuable production from a center
74Felton, Raymond G PORWas borderline dominant in NY, then slowed way down in Denver. Gets a fresh start in Portland, and should be solid
75Lawson, Ty G DENExpected to be the man at PG for the Nuggets, but Andre' Miller has been great in the preseason in injury relief
76Millsap, Paul F UTAStill a strong producer, but ouchy injury has opened the dor for Derrick Favors to possibly snake some of his minutes
77Dudley, Jared F PHOAppears to have the leg-up on Shannon Brown in the battle for starting shooting guard in Phoenix
78Harden, James G OKCWas very high on him when I thought he would start this year; still looking for good improvement
79Collison, Darren G INDWasn't quite as good as expected in his feature role with the Pacers last season, but serviceable if can hold off George Hill to maintain starting role
80Duncan, Tim F SANGetting older, and likely will rest at times with the packed season schedule, but still one of the better roto centers in game
81West, David F INDRecovered from knee injury earlier than expected; not 100% but already back on court. Game should fit well in Indiana
82Brand, Elton F PHIShowed that he is still among the better roto options in the game, and is center eligible in many leagues
83Jordan, DeAndre C LACThe Kaman trade and entrance of Chris Paul drives his value through the roof; may shoot 70% from field off all dunks
84Harris, Devin G UTANever made the leap, but is in a good situation to produce as the starting PG inUtah
85Allen, Tony G MEMBurst onto the scene last season after Rudy Gay went down, will be interesting to see if he can maintain his role with Gy back
86Afflalo, Arron G DENA very solid real life player that earned a big contract with a big season last year; no huge strengths nor weakenesses in game
87Turkoglu, Hidayet F ORLCame back into fantasy relevance with Magic trade last season, but is getting older and would likely be less valuable if Howard leaves
88Hill, George G INDWas strong as a shooter in San Antonio, has to battle Collison for starting gig in Indiana; should knock down treys either way
89Delfino, Carlos G MILHas played well when healthy for two straight seasons, and should continue to do so this year
90Maggette, Corey G CHRPerhaps the most talented scorer on a talent-depleted Bobcats team; health is the major concern
91Crawford, Jamal G PORDifferent team, same role; expect him to score, knock down the trey; may spend some time at PG as well
92Douglas, Toney G NYCurrently a primary role as point guard for a D'Antoni system, but eventually expected to lose time when Baron Davis returns
93Batum, Nicolas G PORWas everyone's favorite sleeper last season, but Wes Matthews stole his thunder. Still lurking
94Teague, Jeff G ATLHas opportunity to win starting job in Atlanta if he can stay healthy for long enough; if holds job has sleeper potential
95Chandler, Tyson C NYIn NY this year, expected to bring same defensive character he brought to Dallas. Expect rebounds and blocks as long as he's healthy
96Richardson, Jason G ORLNumbers fell off a cliff when he moved from Phoenix to Orlando; No reason he shouldn't bounce back a bit
97Jack, Jarrett G NORUnexpectedly the new starting point guard in New Orleans after the Chris Paul trade; has history of posting good numbers as starter
98Salmons, John F SACUsually strong in first season with a new team then questionable in following seasons
99Kaman, Chris C NORWent from battling DeAndre Jordan to battling Emeka Okafor for minutes, but could have larger role in offense if earns the minutes
100Budinger, Chase G HOUHas proven himself a mid-teens scorer with good treys when starting, which he should this year
101Casspi, Omri F CLESleeper candidate; averaged almost 11 points, 5+ boards and 1.6 treys last season for Kings, expected to have bigger role for Cavs this year
102Gordon, Ben G DETShould have bigger role in Detroit with Rip Hamilton gone, could bounce back a bit towards what he used to be in Chicago
103Lewis, Rashard F WASNumbers fell off badly last season, was injured in Washington. Doesn't seem to fit their youth movement, but could be healthier
104Favors, Derrick F UTAHad a huge preseason with Paul Millsap ouchy, may have played himself into the line-up; major upside if he earns enough minutes
105Turner, Evan G PHI#2 pick in 2010, was slightly disappointing as rookie, could really break out as sophomore if he wins the starting job (had good preseason)
106Williams, Derrick F MINMay be most talented player in his draft class, trying to find minutes in crowded Timberwolves frontcourt
107Dalembert, Samuel C HOUFinds a way to be productive on the glass and blocks wherever he goes; Houston should be no exception
108Thornton, Marcus G SACStrong scoring presence for Kings for as long as he holds the starting SG job, which he holds coming out of camp
109Landry, Carl F NORLandry is like a slightly poor man's David West, and enters season as the starter in New Orleans
110Haywood, Brendan C DALPoised for a bounce-back season as starting C in Dallas with Chandler gone
111George, Paul F INDWe've been waiting for his upside to pan out for a little while now…could start to see more this year
112Mayo, O.J. G MEMTook a major step back last year, but still has the ability if he can get off bench. If the twice-failed trade to Indiana ever happens it could be a big help
113Miller, Andre G DENThe back-up to Ty Lawson in Denver, but had double-digit assists in both preseason games as injury replacement and has good relationship with Karl…keep an eye on him
114Walker, Kemba G CHROne of the more intriguing rookies; Good upside on a team devoid of talent, especially if he can start earning more point guard minutes over incumbent D.J. Augustin
115Carter, Vince G DALNo telling if he has anything left in the tank. Looked bad last year, but joins the cast of 30-something former stars in Dallas
116Young, Thaddeus F PHIStill young enough to improve; Game not dominant, but can be productive with minutes
117Nelson, Jameer G ORLSupposedly lost weight and came back in great shape, but preseason performance wasn't inspiring and his value would change tremendously if Howard leaves
118Camby, Marcus C POR37 years old, history of injury, and already battling a sore knee. On the other hand, if he gets anywhere near 25 minutes/game is good for 10 boards and two blocks
119Varejao, Anderson F CLEWas having a career year before his season-ending injury, should pick back up this year
120Williams, Louis G PHIWilliams is a prototype scoring sixth man, making his upside range in the Jamal Crawford/Jason Terry realm
121Johnson, Amir F TORStarting center for Toronto; a good per-minute player that looks to get more minutes this year; double-double potential, stated goal to be the NBA Defensive Player of Year
122Jamison, Antawn F CLEProductive when healthy, but now in his mid-30s and coming off of injury so health not a guarantee. Nevertheless, still has 20 ppg potential if can hold off Tristan Thompson as starting PF
123Johnson, Wesley F MINRookie didn't burst onto the scene as expected last season after nagging hammy injury early; could bounce back in year two
124Crawford, Jordan G WASGood scorer; expected to be sixth man for Wizards; Upside in Ben Gordon range
125Okafor, Emeka C NORBattling Chris Kaman for minutes, and not longer able to play off of Chris Paul…bad news for both his minutes and his production
126Young, Nick G WASHad a breakout season last year, and now that he is re-signed to a one year deal he should continue to put up numbers this year
127Gibson, Taj F CHIStuck behind the Bulls' talented starting bigs, but showed last season that he can put up starters production in cse of injury
128McGrady, Tracy F ATLPlayed well in spurts for Pistons last season, and this summer expressed confidence in a return to form this year
129Patterson, Patrick F HOUSat beside his agent on a plane last summer, was cool guy; Patterson was surprisingly effective in short starting bursts
130Diaw, Boris F CHRWeighing in over 300 pounds to play center; extra weight slows and provides injury risk; Numbers have been consistent for last few years
131Calderon, Jose G TORtd>Still the starter for now, but could lose job to Jerryd Bayless and I wouldn't be surprised
132Battier, Shane F MIALooks like a role player in Miami, though could get some time at PF in a "small" line-up
133Bayless, Jerryd G TORMay be best lead guard on Toronto, though currently he's behind Jose Calderon on the depth chart
134Marion, Shawn F DALWell into his decline, now more of an all-around role player with no dominant category
135Frye, Channing F PHOWas a fantasy revelation early last season, but battling to keep his starting job this year
136Stuckey, Rodney G DETJust signed a new contract, and though may play more SG this year still should provide a mix of scoring and assists
137Neal, Gary G SANWas strong enough as rookie that George Hill was shown the door; Could improve as sophomore
138Rubio, Ricky G MINIs he all flash, or is there some substance? Can he shoot well enough to be effective? Worth a late-round flyer
139Williams, Maurice G LACCould still have solid value as 6th man
140Davis, Baron G NYInjury prognosis went from 8 - 10 weeks to 4 - 8 after Knicks picked him up; if closer to 4 weeks, Davis could be pretty valuable as the starting PG in a D'Antoni system
141Ariza, Trevor F NORUnsure if can hold off Aminu to keep starting job
142Jefferson, Richard F SANWas a great source of treys last season, and with him apparently not being amnestied, should reprise that role this year
143Blair, DeJuan F SANNo upside, but still has near double-double potential and the chance to play starter's minutes.
144Hill, Grant F PHOKeeps getting older and older, but remains roto relevant as long as he's playing
145Thomas, Tyrus F CHRSolid rebounding and block potential, and is center eligible in some leagues
146Okur, Mehmet C UTAShould post very solid numbers for the first two months with Brook Lopez out
147Redick, J.J. G ORLOnce a shooter, always a shooter
148Fredette, Jimmer G SACI've already seen some writers trying to fit the "Tebow" tag on him, and the season hasn't even started yet
149Lopez, Brook C NJFractured foot could sideline him for almost half of the season
150Knight, Brandon G DETAnother promising rookie vying for minutes

Others that caught my eye

N/AKirilenko, Andrei F Still unsure if he's playing in America, for who, or when he might start. Other than that, he's a solid late/mid pick
N/AMiles, C.J. G UTARole in rotation not set, but when given minutes can hit the three and score in the mid-teens
N/AHamilton, Richard G CHIShould be a solid scorer in Chicago, but lesser and doesn't do much else
N/AThompson, Tristan F CLELottery rookie expected to start season behind Jamison, but has talent to carve out larger role as season goes along
N/ABrown, Shannon G PHOBattling with Jared Dudley for starting SG slot, but appears to be more in line to be the sixth man. Seems made to be finisher for fastbreaking team like Suns
N/AFields, Landry F NYStarted last season like gangbusters then slowed dramatically; has to prove that fast start wasn't a fluke
N/ABass, Brandon F BOSCurrently a back-up, but could end up getting near starters minutes in the older and injury risk Celtics frontcourt
N/AAminu, Al-Farouq F NORHas upside and could earn more minutes on a Hornets team depleted of talent
N/AUdoh, Ekpe F GSHas worked on his offense, but still a bit of a defense specialist that is competing for PT; would need Ibaka-like leap for relevance, but already a great shot-blocker
N/ADavis, Ed F TORHad solid rookie year, but slated to back up Toronto's best player which limits his minutes upside
N/AFernandez, Rudy G DENGood potential, but has been disgruntled and moved around a lot the last couple of seasons. Unknown role in Denver
N/AHenderson, Gerald G CHRWas strong to finish last season, but had offseason hip surgery to relieve knee pain; role player on a team devoid of talent
N/AArenas, Gilbert G Can't find a team. But when he does, reasonable chance to be one of the top-150 players in the league
N/AHickson, J.J. F SACWas at one time expected to be a future leader in Cleveland, now competing with others (including DeMarcus Cousins) for big man minutes in Sacramento
N/AAnderson, Ryan F ORLShould score double-digits, grab around six boards, and knock down two treys per game; Solid perimeter role player numbers
N/AHaslem, Udonis F MIAGarbageman, always solid
N/AMeeks, Jodie G PHIHanging onto the starting SG job in Philly for dear life, with Evan Turner breathing down his neck
N/AButler, Caron F LACWorth at least paying attention to as starting SF on talented team, but likely the fifth option and doesn't do much else outside of scoring
N/AMcRoberts, Josh F LALShould start first four games of season as power forward while Bynum is suspended, and still play solid role in rotation even after Bynum is back
N/AVillanueva, Charlie F DETAlways tends to produce solid numbers, whether as a starter or coming off the bench
N/ARandolph, Anthony F MINMay be a permanent enigma; No minutes at all available in Wolves frontcourt rotation; yet somehow it seems certain he'll get to be a garbagetime savior in the fantasy playoffs for someone
N/ADavis, Glen F ORLCould be starting PF for Magic this season, has reasonable scoring potential though rebounds may be pedestrian and no defensive stats to speak of
N/ABeaubois, Rodrigue G DALWas everyone's favorite sleeper last season before injuries derailed him; enters this season healthy
N/AEvans, Reggie F LACHas double-digit rebound capability even in a bench role
N/AO'Neal, Jermaine F BOSWas solid when healthy last two seasons, enters season as healthy as he's going to get; should post nice blocked shot numbers
N/AVesely, Jan F WASBehind Rashard Lewis on depth chart; athletic but lacks polish

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Andre' Snellings
Andre' Snellings is a Neural Engineer by day, and RotoWire's senior basketball columnist by night. He's a two-time winner of the Fantasy Basketball Writer of the Year award from the Fantasy Sports Writers Association.
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