Bank Account -626
Braves at Nats – Mike Minor vs Stephen Strasburg. The money line is ONLY -155 which is way too low considering the Braves can’t hit, Minor has been brutal, the Nats are at home, and Strasburg is on the hill. This should be around -185. The Nats on their recent sweep of the Braves outscored the Braves 22-10. The Nats have actually held the Braves to 11 runs in their last five meetings. So I ask the question do you really think Mike Minor and the Braves could end the Braves skid vs Strasburg and Bryce Harper at Washington? Strasburg is 1-2 with a 5.28 ERA in his three career starts vs the Braves. Normally I would be nervous, but I have faith in the big guy. Minor is 0-3 with a 9.08 ERA over his last three starts and has given up a league high 13 bombs. Minor gave up four runs in five innings vs Strasburg last week.
TV’s Take: Nats -155; -1.5 +135/Bet $310 to win $200 and $100 -1.5 to win $135
Pirates at Brewers – I usually stay away from Randy Wolf, but given Kevin Correia in on the mound riding a seven game win less streak and his career ERA is 6.86 vs the Brewers in four career starts I can’t pass this up. Correia was 0-2 with a 5.91 ERA last season at Miller Park. The Pirates have dropped 14 in a row at Miller Park and Andrew McCutchen is 6-50 vs the Brewers with 10K’s. So if we take out the only dangerous player the Pirates have I like our chances even more. Wolf was 1-2 with a 2.92 ERA vs the Pirates last season. Finally, the Pirates of 2012 hit .210 in May.
TV’s Take: Brewers -143/Bet $143 to win $100
Twins at Indians – Carl Pavano vs Derek Lowe looks good on paper for the Tribe regardless of Lowe’s recent struggles (8ER in 2 1/3IP). Pavano is battling a sore shoulder and has struggled all year as his 2-4 5.46 ERA clearly point out. Like Lowe, Pavano had his worst start of the year also his last time out (6ER 4 1/3IP). The Twins are coming off a three game sweep of the pathetic A’s so I do not put much value in that as the Indians have defeated the Twins 10 of their last 11 games and a two-game sweep earlier this year.
TV’s Take: Indians -134/ Bet $134 to win $100
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