This article is part of our College Capper series.
Hey - a winning Week 7! I'm claiming Pitt as a win, as the number had moved amply up to where they covered by the time the column was published, as noted in the comments. I'm also now 3-0 in games to stay away from, most recently hinting at FSU covering against UNC. The most obvious line here is Alabama (-20). I'm not saying stay away from it, and I'm sure as heck not taking the Vols. I'll likely hammer the first half, but something seems amiss. Lots of road favorites for me this week, which usually isn't a winning strategy. Let's buck that trend!
Tulsa (-10) at South Florida (Friday)
I believe in Bulls' head coach Jeff Scott and his offensive mind. But I just don't think USF is a good offensive team just yet – this is a major rebuild. Yes, they scored 37 last week and could be improving. But putting up 25.5 ppg against The Citadel and ECU isn't impressive. They have only four TD passes to date, average 5.7 yards per attempt, and 3.97 yards per rush. Tulsa's defense meanwhile is allowing 3.17 YPC and 6.7 YPA...doing so against Oklahoma State and UCF. Their offense isn't great, but they won't need to score a ton to cover.
Florida State (+5) at Louisville
Most logic has Louisville snapping a four-game losing streak and winning here. It's a rebound spot against an FSU side likely due for letdown following an upset of UNC. The 'Noles